本文由 AI 算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 【11月3日消息，鲍威尔称12月降息并非定局，高盛仍看好美元下行】上周10月货币政策会议后，美联 储主席鲍威尔称，12月下次会议降息"并非板上钉钉"，而投资者原本预计这几乎已成定局。 高盛策略 师在报告中表示，仍认为美联储降息动机与美元进一步下行前提一致，即美国将不会像以前那样表现出 色。 ...

上周10月货币政策会议后，美联储主席鲍威尔表示，在12月的下次会议降息"并非板上钉钉"。投资者原 本预计这几乎已成定局。高盛策略师在报告中表示："我们仍然认为，美联储降息的动机与我们对美元 进一步下行的前提是一致的：美国经济将不会像以前那样表现出色。" ...

Group 1 - International gold prices reached a historic high of $3,795 per ounce on September 23, with a slight increase to $3,777.9 per ounce at the time of reporting [2] - Domestic gold jewelry prices also rose, with Chow Sang Sang's gold jewelry priced at 1,100 yuan per gram, an increase of 10 yuan per gram from the previous day [2] - Stocks of companies such as Western Gold, Silver, Shandong Gold, and Zijin Mining saw an increase in share prices on the same day [4] Group 2 - Deutsche Bank attributed the record high gold prices to investor panic and concerns over significant downside risks in the stock market, viewing gold as a safe haven during times of turmoil [4] - Long-term prospects for gold prices remain positive, with analysts suggesting that the recent Federal Reserve rate cut may lead to a favorable environment for gold, despite short-term profit-taking pressures [5] - Goldman Sachs projected that gold prices could soar to $4,000 per ounce by 2026 under baseline scenarios, with potential peaks of $4,500 and $5,000 per ounce under tail risk scenarios [5]

Group 1: Zinc Market Overview - Zinc prices have entered a downward trend due to a relaxed supply side and disappointing demand expectations in the U.S. macroeconomic environment [1] - The U.S. tariff policy adjustments under the Trump administration are expected to lead to a long-term decline in the dollar, which will positively impact zinc prices [2] - Domestic zinc concentrate production has slightly decreased year-on-year due to declining ore grades, with future increases expected to be limited [3] Group 2: Supply Dynamics - Overseas mining production is anticipated to recover in the medium to long term, despite recent reductions due to weather and maintenance issues [2] - Domestic zinc smelting output is expected to increase year-on-year, but the growth potential remains limited due to reduced imports from overseas smelters [3] - The overall supply of zinc ore is expected to continue growing, but the year-on-year increase will be relatively modest [2][3] Group 3: Demand Factors - Weak demand is observed in the construction sector, with significant declines in operating rates for cement and asphalt facilities [4] - The real estate sector is experiencing a downturn, with new construction and completion areas showing a year-on-year decline [4] - The automotive sector is seeing growth driven by trade-in policies and promotions, which may support zinc demand in the medium to long term [4] Group 4: Price Outlook - The combination of a declining dollar and resilient macro data is expected to provide some support for zinc prices [5] - However, the ongoing increase in supply coupled with weak demand will lead to a more relaxed supply-demand structure, potentially putting downward pressure on prices [5] - The expected price range for zinc may shift downward, but the space for decline is expected to be narrower than before due to limited supply growth and macroeconomic support [5]