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ETO Markets 市场洞察:黄金“疯狂过山车”来袭,三大因素暗藏杀机,你的投资要“凉凉”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-24 05:01
Core Viewpoint - The gold market experienced significant volatility due to multiple factors including progress in US-EU tariff agreements, a rebound in risk assets, and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policies [1][3][4]. Group 1: Trade Agreements Impact - The decline in gold prices is attributed to market expectations of easing trade tensions, highlighted by a trade agreement between the US and Japan, which reduced auto tariffs from 27.5% to 15% and included a commitment from Japan to invest $550 billion in the US [3]. - The EU is also nearing a similar agreement with the US, potentially setting the baseline tariff for EU goods at 15%, alleviating fears of a 30% tariff increase on August 1 [3]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Risk Assets - Optimism surrounding trade agreements has led to a rally in risk assets, with major US stock indices reaching new closing highs and significant gains in European automotive stocks [4]. - As a result, funds have shifted from safe-haven assets like gold to riskier investments, putting downward pressure on gold prices [4]. Group 3: Federal Reserve Policy Uncertainty - There is growing concern regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, with President Trump publicly criticizing Chairman Powell for maintaining high interest rates, which could influence future monetary policy [4][5]. - Current market expectations for a rate cut in September stand at 58%, indicating a divided outlook on future Fed actions [5]. Group 4: Technical Analysis and Market Outlook - Technically, gold prices are struggling to maintain levels above $3400, with potential declines to the $3350-$3330 range if the price falls below the July 16 high of $3377.17 [6]. - Analysts suggest that the recent pullback in gold prices may be a healthy profit-taking phase, with long-term bullish factors still in play, including geopolitical risks and US debt issues [6]. - The future trajectory of gold prices will be influenced by three main factors: progress on trade agreements, signals from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates, and upcoming economic data releases [8][9][10].
黄金破位形成头肩顶 另一潜在风险正在酝酿
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-24 04:15
摘要周四(7月24日)亚市盘中,现货黄金维持弱势走跌态势,刚刚金价一度跌破3380美元,1小时均线 高位已经开始拐头,形成头肩顶结构,黄金价格反弹只要不强势突破3400上方,那么黄金将短期完成头 肩顶的短期顶部结构,空头将开始发力。 周四(7月24日)亚市盘中,现货黄金维持弱势走跌态势,刚刚金价一度跌破3380美元,1小时均线高位 已经开始拐头,形成头肩顶结构,黄金价格反弹只要不强势突破3400上方,那么黄金将短期完成头肩顶 的短期顶部结构,空头将开始发力。 【要闻速递】 尽管黄金价格短期受贸易协议打压,但另一潜在风险正在酝酿——美联储的独立性争议。路透调查显 示,多数经济学家认为美联储7月不会降息,但特朗普近期多次公开抨击美联储主席鲍威尔"维持高利率 是政治操作",甚至提议取消房产销售资本利得税以刺激经济。 这种政治干预可能引发长期不确定性。若美联储被迫妥协,激进降息或导致通胀飙升,反而支撑黄金; 但若坚持独立性,高利率环境将继续压制金价。目前市场对9月降息的概率预期仅为58%,黄金多空双 方仍在拉锯。 美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特向市场保证,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔不会被解职,缓解了政治不确定 性,此后债券 ...
金晟富:7.24黄金高台跳水符合预期!日内黄金行情分析参考
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-24 02:22
换资前言: 一样的行情,不一样的指导,不一样的人生。新手的特点就是不懂技术,盲目进场。他们每次交易只考 虑一个问题:认为只要预判了市场涨跌就可以去做这笔交易。这种重方向、轻位置的做法使得交易者一 败涂地。其实,顺势而为的"势"跟"方向"是有很大差别的,因为市场的运动方向呈现震荡的形态运行, 而市场的趋势往往是全局性的。在我这里,我能做的是帮你合理的把控仓位,利用支撑和阻力位下单, 让每一单有理可依,有迹可循。买卖点位不应该是随意进场,请对自己的资金负责。如果你对行情真的 无法把握,可以前来找到我,多一个分析师对你来说没有任何损失,永远记住一句话,专业的人做专业 的事,一切实战只为盈利,合作只为双赢.文末+本人,每日实时分享现价单及策略。 近期有哪些消息面影响黄金原油走势?后市黄金多空该如何研判? 周四(7月24日)亚市早盘,现货黄金窄幅震荡,目前交投于3388.73美元/盎司附近。周三黄金市场经 历了一场"过山车"行情。金价在亚市早盘一度冲高至五周高点3438美元/盎司,但随后快速回落,单日 跌幅超过1%,最终收于3386.99美元/盎司,较日内高点下跌逾50美元。这一剧烈波动背后,是美欧关 税协议进展、风险 ...