北京时间1月13日凌晨，美股周一收高，道指与标普500指数均创历史新高。投资者暂时忽略了美国司法 部对美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔展开刑事调查的影响。美国总统特朗普要求将信用卡利率上限设定为 10%。 道指涨86.13点，涨幅为0.17%，报49590.20点；纳指涨62.56点，涨幅为0.26%，报23733.90点；标普500 指数涨10.99点，涨幅为0.16%，报6977.27点。 周一盘中，道指最高上涨至49633.35点，标普500指数最高上涨至6986.33点，二者均创盘中历史最高纪 录。 周一美股低开高走，受沃尔玛和部分科技股上涨推动，主要股指从当日最低水平反弹。道指一度下跌近 500点，标普500指数在盘中低点时下跌0.5%。 银行股周一普跌，花旗集团下跌3%，摩根大通和美国银行均下跌约2%，第一资本（Capital One）股价 下滑6%，此前特朗普表示，若经营信用卡业务的金融机构不响应其要求将信用卡利率上限设定为10% 并维持一年，将构成违法行为。 Sage公司首席投资策略师Rob Williams表示："从某种意义上说，这并没有那么重要。我认为这只是噪 音，甚至没有对利率造成太大影响……焦 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the stock market remains bullish as expectations for economic growth have significantly improved, with global stock markets likely to rise further [1] - A recent Bank of America survey indicates that 28% of global fund managers are overweight on stocks, the highest level in seven months [1] - The perception of economic growth has seen the most significant improvement in nearly a year, with only 16% of investors believing the economy will weaken [1] Group 2 - The report highlights that the risks of a "recessionary trade war" are diminishing, contributing to a bullish market sentiment [1] - The MSCI All-Country World Index has reached an all-time high, driven by renewed investment enthusiasm in artificial intelligence and stronger tech stocks [1] - Nearly half of the survey respondents expect the Federal Reserve to implement four or more rate cuts in the next 12 months [1] Group 3 - Approximately 26% of respondents view a "second round of inflation" as the biggest tail risk, while 24% are concerned about the weakening independence of the Federal Reserve and dollar depreciation [2] - The survey conducted from September 5 to 11 included 165 respondents managing a total of $426 billion in assets [2] - Key findings include a cash holding rate of 3.9% for the third consecutive month and a net 15% of investors adopting a "below normal" risk strategy, an improvement from 19% in August [2] Group 4 - About 39% of respondents want companies to increase capital expenditures, the highest since December of the previous year, while only 27% prefer companies to focus on balance sheet optimization, the lowest since February 2022 [2] - The most crowded trades include going long on the "seven tech giants" (42%), going long on gold (25%), shorting the dollar (14%), and going long on cryptocurrencies (9%) [2]

Group 1 - Citigroup strategists recommend increasing bets against the performance of long-term U.S. Treasury bonds and a decline in the dollar, primarily due to President Trump's potential to undermine the political independence of the Federal Reserve [1] - The strategists suggest adding small positions to existing bets, specifically betting that 30-year interest rate futures will underperform compared to 5-year contracts, leading to a steeper yield curve [1] - Concerns about the weakening of the Federal Reserve's independence are expected to manifest through a weaker dollar and a steepening yield curve [1] Group 2 - Following Trump's announcement to dismiss Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, the spread between 30-year and 5-year U.S. Treasury yields reached its highest level since 2001 [2] - Trump's unprecedented dismissal has heightened market fears that the Federal Reserve may be forced to cut rates due to political pressure, which could increase future inflation risks [2] - Despite the restructuring risks within the Federal Reserve's decision-making body, the dollar has not shown significant weakness, potentially due to renewed fiscal concerns in France [2]