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万华化学(600309):经营彰显韧性,长期成长可期
Guohai Securities· 2025-08-12 10:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance demonstrates resilience, and long-term growth is expected [4] - The company is a leader in the polyurethane industry with significant scale advantages [11] - The report highlights the impact of product price differentials on the company's performance, particularly in the first half of 2025 [7][8] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 90.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.12 billion yuan, down 25.1% year-on-year [6] - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 47.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.0%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.1% [6] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 13.8%, down 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 7.4%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [6] Segment Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the polyurethane segment generated revenue of 36.9 billion yuan, up 4% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.7%, down 2.3 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The petrochemical segment reported revenue of 34.9 billion yuan, down 12% year-on-year, with a gross margin of -0.4%, down 4.9 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The fine chemicals and new materials segment achieved revenue of 15.6 billion yuan, up 20% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 9.6%, down 7.4 percentage points year-on-year [7] Future Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to generate revenues of 197.6 billion yuan, 230.5 billion yuan, and 251.8 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [11] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 14.3 billion yuan, 18.4 billion yuan, and 22.3 billion yuan for the same years [11] - The report anticipates a PE ratio of 13, 10, and 9 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [11]