Group 1: PX Industry - The PX industry in China saw a month-on-month load decrease of 1.5% to 89.4%, while the Asian industry load decreased by 0.6% to 80.6% [3][15] - Domestic industry load is at a historical high for the same period, with the announced maintenance plans for January to March being weaker than in previous years, and overseas plants planning to increase loads, indicating overall supply is expected to remain ample [3][15] - The demand side is pressured by numerous maintenance plans for downstream PTA facilities in the first quarter, leading to a forecast of a loose supply-demand balance for PX [3][15] - Geopolitical risks in the Middle East have eased slightly, which may provide some support for oil prices, but the underlying risks remain, continuing to support the PX market [3][15] - The PX May futures price is expected to follow oil price adjustments, with a support area around 6950-7050 where buying opportunities may be considered [3][15] Group 2: PTA Industry - The PTA industry experienced a month-on-month load decrease of 1.9% to 76.3%, which is at a historically low level for the same period, compounded by numerous maintenance plans in the first quarter [4][16] - The overall atmosphere for new orders is weak, with a continuous decline in operating rates for terminal factories in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions [4][16] - The PTA market is expected to face inventory pressure in the first quarter due to weak terminal demand and potential reductions in polyester production [4][16] - The PTA May futures price is anticipated to follow oil price adjustments, with strong support expected below the 5000 mark [4][16] Group 3: EG Industry - The domestic ethylene glycol (EG) industry saw a month-on-month load increase of 0.5% to 74.4%, with synthetic gas production load increasing by 1.6% to 80.2%, remaining at a historical high [5][17] - Despite high shipping costs and potential reductions in imports due to Middle Eastern maintenance, domestic supply remains ample, leading to overall supply pressure [5][17] - Weak new order performance and declining operating rates in terminal factories are expected to lead to inventory accumulation in January, with February potentially being the peak period for inventory pressure [5][17] Group 4: PF Industry - The direct-spun polyester short fiber load remained stable at 99.1%, supported by low inventory levels, while the industry operating rate remains high [6][18] - Demand is expected to weaken as downstream yarn enterprises enter a cautious purchasing phase due to cash flow pressures, leading to a reduction in production loads [6][18] - The PF March futures price is expected to fluctuate in line with raw material prices, with ongoing pressure from weak terminal demand [6][18] Group 5: PR Industry - The bottle-grade PET industry load decreased by 6.4% to 68.4%, with the industry operating load at a historically low level, and further maintenance plans expected to continue the supply contraction [7][19] - The current period is characterized by a traditional off-season for beverage consumption, limiting production recovery potential in January and February [7][19] - The PR March futures price is expected to fluctuate with raw material prices, with short-term strategies suggesting a preference for PR over PF [7][19] Group 6: Soda Ash Industry - Recent soda ash futures saw a slight decline, with stable spot prices, while market sentiment weakened [8][20] - Soda ash production increased by 22,000 tons to 775,000 tons, leading to increased supply pressure [8][20] - Downstream demand has slightly decreased, with inventory levels rising, indicating a potential for ongoing supply-demand imbalance [8][20] Group 7: Glass Industry - Glass futures experienced a slight increase, with stable spot prices and marginal improvements in the supply-demand balance [10][22] - Recent glass production saw a slight increase, with improved purchasing activity from downstream sectors leading to a decrease in inventory levels [10][22] - The glass market is expected to remain under seasonal demand pressure, with prices anticipated to fluctuate [10][22]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content. Report's Core View - Gasoline cracking margins have declined, and gasoline blending performance has weakened. The PX market has remained strong amidst multiple factors. The increase in PX prices is mainly supported by the value of gasoline blending and the stabilization and recovery of the by - product benzene price. The PX - naphtha spread has further widened to $256, while the spread between PX and mixed xylene remains under pressure, just slightly above $100, limiting the space to increase efficiency by increasing PX production. Domestic rumors of unit overhauls are positive for PX, and some South Korean producers are even considering taking offline toluene - route PX units in December. Domestic PTA manufacturers benefit from India's cancellation of the BIS certification restriction on PTA imports, improving export prospects and boosting PX procurement sentiment. The strong PX price significantly benefits the PTA market. Currently, the PTA supply has tightened slightly, while the polyester industry's operating rate has remained stable, with the overall load maintained above 90%. Thanks to the positive adjustments of trade policies in some overseas countries, the export inquiries for polyester products have increased significantly, and the domestic polyester export outlook is optimistic. The costs of bottle chips and staple fibers follow suit [2]. Summary by Related Catalog Price Changes - PTA spot price increased from 4610 to 4635, a change of 25; MEG inner - market price decreased from 3900 to 3882, a change of - 18; PTA closing price increased from 4632 to 4700, a change of 68; MEG closing price increased from 3873 to 3885, a change of 12; 1.4D direct - spun polyester staple fiber price increased from 6365 to 6390, a change of 25; short - fiber basis decreased from 140 to 134, a change of - 6; 12 - 1 spread decreased from 80 to 110, a change of - 30; polyester staple fiber cash flow increased from 240 to 246, a change of 6; 1.4D imitation large - chemical fiber price remained unchanged at 5400; the spread between 1.4D direct - spun and imitation large - chemical fiber increased from 965 to 990, a change of 25; East China water bottle chip price increased from 5707 to 5731, a change of 24; hot - filled polyester bottle chip price increased from 5707 to 5731, a change of 24; carbonated - grade polyester bottle chip price increased from 5807 to 5831, a change of 24; outer - market water bottle chip price increased from 755 to 760, a change of 5; bottle - chip spot processing fee increased from 459 to 468, a change of 9; T32S pure polyester yarn price remained unchanged at 10300; T32S pure polyester yarn processing fee decreased from 3935 to 3910, a change of - 25; polyester - cotton yarn 65/35 45S price remained unchanged at 16300; cotton 328 price increased from 14480 to 14495, a change of 15; polyester - cotton yarn profit decreased from 1607 to 1584, a change of - 22; primary three - dimensional hollow (with silicon) price remained unchanged at 7080; hollow staple fiber 6 - 15D cash flow decreased from 632 to 617, a change of - 15; primary low - melting - point staple fiber price remained unchanged at 7580 [2]. Market Conditions - Polyester staple fiber: The main futures of polyester staple fiber rose 60 to 6250. In the spot market, the prices of polyester staple fiber production factories were stable, and the prices of traders increased slightly. Downstream buyers made rigid - demand purchases, and the factory sales volume was limited. The price of 1.56dtex*38mm semi - bright natural white (1.4D) polyester staple fiber in the East China market was 6140 - 6460 yuan for cash - on - delivery, tax - included self - pick - up; in the North China market, it was 6260 - 6580 yuan for cash - on - delivery, tax - included delivery; in the Fujian market, it was 6190 - 6350 yuan for cash - on - delivery, tax - included delivery. Polyester bottle chip: The mainstream negotiation price of polyester bottle chips in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets was 5710 - 5800 yuan/ton, with the average price increasing by 35 yuan/ton compared to the previous working day. PTA and bottle - chip futures rose, and the supply - side offers followed the increase, with the market negotiation focus rising [2]. Industry Operating Rates - The direct - spun staple fiber load (weekly) increased from 88.37% to 89.32%, a change of 0.95%; polyester staple fiber sales volume increased from 46.00% to 53.00%, a change of 7.00%; polyester yarn startup rate (weekly) remained unchanged at 66.00%; recycled cotton - type load index (weekly) remained unchanged at 51.10% [3].