热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 PX： 供需面供稳需增。中国PX行业负荷环比增加0.3pct至89.5%，亚洲行业负荷环比增加0.8pct至82.4%，整体供应预计保持充裕。需求端，下游PTA装置计划检 修较多，将抑制对PX的需求。2-3月PX供需格局预计转向宽松，二季度随着传统检修季到来，供应端收缩将为价格提供支撑。美国2025年12月零售销售环比 意外零增长，强化降息预期。本期API原油库存超预期累库，EIA短期能源展望报告分别上调了2026年、下调了2027年的布伦特原油价格预期。美国总统特 朗普表示，如果与伊朗的谈判未能取得成果，他正考虑向中东地区增派一支航母打击群，并可能采取更具攻击性的策略，例如大规模扣留运输伊朗石油的油 轮。这些表态加剧了投资者对霍尔木兹海峡石油运输可能中断的担忧，地缘政治风险溢价持续支撑市场，推动布伦特原油价格小幅收涨。综合来看，终端需 求呈季节性走弱趋势，预计一季度产业链将面临累库压力。短期内，成本端支撑仍存，聚酯终端需求停滞，PX 5月期价预计震荡运行，待PX价格充分回调 后，可关注中线的做多机会，支撑区域7050-7150。 （李思进 期 ...

光大期货能化商品日报 光大期货能化商品日报（2026 年 1 月 30 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 周四油价大幅上涨，其中 WTI 3 月合约收盘上涨 2.21 美元至 65.42 | | | | 美元/桶，涨幅 3.50%。布伦特 3 月合约收盘上涨 2.31 美元至 70.71 | | | | 美元/桶，涨幅 3.38%。SC2603 以 480.9 元/桶收盘，上涨 13.9 元 | | | | /桶，涨幅为 2.98%。消息方面，一名美国官员表示，美国海军又 | | | | 一艘驱逐舰已抵达中东地区。该官员表示，驱逐舰已于过去 48 小 | | | | 时内抵达该地区。至此，美国在中东地区的驱逐舰数量增至六艘， | | | | 此外还有一艘航空母舰和三艘其他濒海战斗舰。周日 OPEC 会议 | | | 原油 | 将召开，OPEC+代表透露，该机构仍让实施暂停增产计划。沙特 | 震荡 | | | 阿拉伯和俄罗斯为首的八个成员国将于周日举行在线会议，审议 | | | | 3 月份的供应政策，这是本季度产量冻结期的最后一个月。重大 | ...

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 天然橡胶： 周二，国产全乳胶 15950 元/吨，环比上日持平元/吨；泰国 20 号混合胶 15100 元/吨，环比上日下跌 50 元/吨。 原料端：昨日泰国胶水报收 57.9 泰铢/公斤，环比上日上涨 0.2 泰铢/公斤，泰国杯胶价格报收 53.2 泰铢/公斤，环比上日上涨 0.2 泰铢/公斤；云南停割；海 南停割。 截至 2026 年 1 月 25 日，青岛地区天胶保税和一般贸易合计库存量 58.45 万吨，环比上期减少 0.04 万吨，降幅 0.07%。保税区库存 9.45 万吨，降幅 5.03%； 一般贸易库存 49 万吨，增幅 0.95%。青岛天然橡胶样本保税仓库入库率减少 6.73 个百分点，出库率增加 2.65个百分点；一般贸易仓库入库率增加 0.06 个百 分点，出库率增加 1.41 个百分点。 观点：随着北半球冬季来临，全球即将进入低产季，也代表着单边价格的定价框架将从供需平衡的动态定价转换至存量库存的静态定价，在近期商品市场预 期全面走强的背景下，预计短期内 RU&NR&Sicom 仍将高位震荡。向后看，尽管认为 2026 ...

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 来源：华泰期货 作者： 化工组 1月26日，MA2605合约上涨3.4%。 甲醇品种上涨的主要驱动仍在于地缘局势层面，美国军舰正向中东国家进发，伊朗宣布进入全面戒备状 态。伊朗是海外主要的甲醇供应国，也是中国的甲醇进口第一大来源国。目前伊朗装置处于冬检，市场 预期2月初开始逐步有可能复工，而中国港口库存目前仍处于高库存现实，后续2月进口到港下降预期， 港口库存等待高位去库的兑现。因此若伊朗局势进一步恶化，市场担忧伊朗甲醇冬检装置进一步受影 响，这将决定下一轮甲醇港口去库周期的持续时间。而下游MTO方面，虽然目前是MTO集中检修时 段，虽然盛虹MTO上周五提前进入检修，但宁波富德MTO周末如期重启，港口需求进一步恶化的空间 有限，且下游烯烃相关品种如EG、PP、EB等品种表现不错，且化工板块受通胀资金轮动配置的背景 下，我们对甲醇仍然维持谨慎逢低做多的观点。 修改。 本公司力求报告内容客观、公正，但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，投资者并不能 依靠本报告以取代 行使独立判断。对投资者依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果，本公司及作者均 不承担 ...

天然橡胶： 周一，国产全乳胶 15950 元/吨，环比上日下跌 50 元/吨；泰国 20 号混合胶 15150 元/吨，环比上日下跌 50 元/吨。 原料端：昨日泰国胶水报收 57.7 泰铢/公斤，环比上日上涨 0.1 泰铢/公斤，泰国杯胶价格报收 53.0 泰铢/公斤，环比上日持平；云南停割；海南停割。 截至 2026 年 1 月 25 日，青岛地区天胶保税和一般贸易合计库存量 58.45 万吨，环比上期减少 0.04 万吨，降幅 0.07%。保税区库存 9.45 万吨，降幅 5.03%； 一般贸易库存 49 万吨，增幅 0.95%。青岛天然橡胶样本保税仓库入库率减少 6.73 个百分点，出库率增加 2.65个百分点；一般贸易仓库入库率增加 0.06 个百 分点，出库率增加 1.41 个百分点。 观点：随着北半球冬季来临，全球即将进入低产季，也代表着单边价格的定价框架将从供需平衡的动态定价转换至存量库存的静态定价，在近期商品市场预 期全面走强的背景下，预计短期内 RU&NR&Sicom 仍将高位震荡。向后看，尽管认为 2026 全球轮胎等橡胶制品的需求将迎来温和增长，但是需求的增长是 需要时间的，以及全球贸 ...

Group 1 - The price of domestic all-latex rubber increased to 15,500 CNY/ton, up by 100 CNY/ton from the previous day, while Thai 20 mixed rubber rose to 14,800 CNY/ton, up by 50 CNY/ton [4] - As of January 18, 2026, China's natural rubber social inventory reached 1.273 million tons, an increase of 17,000 tons, or 1.3% from the previous period [4] - The total inventory of dark rubber in China was 850,000 tons, also up by 1.7%, with specific increases in Qingdao and decreases in Yunnan and Vietnam [4] Group 2 - With the arrival of winter in the Northern Hemisphere, the global market is expected to transition from dynamic pricing based on supply and demand to static pricing based on inventory levels, leading to high volatility in RU, NR, and Sicom prices [5] - Despite a projected moderate growth in demand for rubber products like tires by 2026, the growth will take time and may be limited by ongoing global trade barriers [5] - It is anticipated that the peak of the current rebound in prices will not exceed the levels seen in late July 2025 before the Lunar New Year in 2026 [5] Group 3 - The PX industry in China saw a decrease in operating load by 1.5 percentage points to 89.4%, while the Asian industry load decreased by 0.6 percentage points to 80.6% [26] - The overall supply of PX is expected to remain ample due to lower maintenance plans compared to previous years and increased operational plans from overseas factories [26] - The demand side is under pressure due to numerous maintenance plans in downstream PTA facilities, leading to a projected loosening of the PX supply-demand balance in the first quarter [26] Group 4 - The PTA industry load decreased by 1.9 percentage points to 76.3%, indicating a low level compared to historical data, with expectations of reduced supply due to maintenance plans [27] - The overall demand environment is weak, with a continuous decline in operating rates in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions [27] - The current TA-polyester segment fundamentals still have support, but the sustainability of this support will be tested by expectations of reduced polyester production [27] Group 5 - The EG industry load increased by 0.5 percentage points to 74.4%, with the synthetic gas production load rising to 80.2%, indicating high levels compared to historical data [29] - Despite high domestic supply, the demand side is weak, with expectations of inventory accumulation in January and potential peak inventory pressure in February [29] - The macro environment shows signs of warming, but supply pressure remains the dominant factor in the industry [29] Group 6 - The PR industry load decreased by 6.4 percentage points to 68.4%, with expectations of continued supply contraction due to maintenance plans [32] - The demand side is weak due to the traditional off-season for beverage consumption, limiting production recovery potential in January and February [32] - Recent tightening of spot supply and rapid expansion of processing fees indicate a strong basis for PR prices [32] Group 7 - The soda ash market saw a slight decline in futures prices, with a recent increase in production leading to increased supply pressure [33] - Downstream demand has slightly decreased, with recent inventory reductions indicating a weakening purchasing sentiment [33] - The overall market sentiment remains mixed, with macroeconomic factors showing neutral influences [34]

Oil Market - WTI prices were not available due to the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday, while Brent crude for March closed at $63.94 per barrel, down $0.19, a decrease of 0.30% [2][15] - Domestic crude oil production in China for 2025 is projected to be 21,605 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, with processing volume at 73,759 million tons, up 4.1% [2][15] - The market is currently experiencing a seasonal decline in diesel and gasoline demand, with oil prices showing no significant driving force, maintaining a volatile trend [2][15] Fuel Oil - The main contract for fuel oil (FU2603) rose by 0.12% to 2,538 yuan per ton, while low-sulfur fuel oil (LU2603) increased by 0.07% to 3,060 yuan per ton [16] - Supply of low-sulfur fuel oil is expected to be sufficient, with Singapore receiving approximately 290-300 million tons in January, up from 260-270 million tons in December [16] - The geopolitical situation in Iran continues to significantly impact oil prices, with fluctuations expected to follow oil price movements [16][4] Asphalt - The main contract for asphalt (BU2602) increased by 0.29% to 3,142 yuan per ton, with concerns over raw material supply easing slightly [17] - The market is currently facing a "weak demand reality" against a backdrop of "strong cost expectations," particularly as winter weather impacts demand [17] Rubber - The main contract for rubber (RU2605) fell by 90 yuan per ton to 15,745 yuan per ton, with NR and BR contracts also experiencing declines [18] - China's rubber tire exports for 2025 are expected to reach 9.65 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.6% [18] - Inventory levels for natural rubber in Qingdao increased, indicating a seasonal accumulation trend [18] PX, PTA, and MEG - TA605 closed at 5,030 yuan per ton, up 0.24%, while EG2605 fell by 1.08% to 3,755 yuan per ton [19] - PX futures closed at 7,106 yuan per ton, with a slight increase of 0.28%, and the market is expected to see some support due to supply reductions [19] Methanol - Methanol prices in Taicang were reported at 2,207 yuan per ton, with CFR China prices ranging from $262 to $266 per ton [21] - Domestic supply remains stable, but demand is under pressure due to reduced operating rates in MTO facilities [21] Polyolefins - Polypropylene prices are under pressure, with production margins for various methods showing negative values [22] - Demand is expected to recover slightly in early January, but inventory levels are anticipated to rise as the month progresses [22] PVC - PVC prices have decreased, with the market experiencing a supply-demand imbalance and overall bearish sentiment [23] - The upcoming end of export tax rebates is expected to increase upward pressure on long-term contracts [23] Urea - Urea futures prices are experiencing weak fluctuations, with the main contract closing at 1,772 yuan per ton, down 1.45% [24] - Market sentiment is declining, with production rates and demand showing signs of weakness ahead of the Spring Festival [24] Soda Ash - Soda ash futures prices are fluctuating, with the main contract closing at 1,192 yuan per ton, down 0.33% [25] - The industry is facing pressure from supply and demand dynamics, with cautious sentiment prevailing in the market [25] Glass - Glass futures prices fell significantly, with the main contract closing at 1,070 yuan per ton, down 2.9% [26] - The market is experiencing a supply recovery, but demand remains cautious, leading to a bearish outlook [26]

Group 1: PX Industry - The PX industry in China saw a month-on-month load decrease of 1.5% to 89.4%, while the Asian industry load decreased by 0.6% to 80.6% [3][15] - Domestic industry load is at a historical high for the same period, with the announced maintenance plans for January to March being weaker than in previous years, and overseas plants planning to increase loads, indicating overall supply is expected to remain ample [3][15] - The demand side is pressured by numerous maintenance plans for downstream PTA facilities in the first quarter, leading to a forecast of a loose supply-demand balance for PX [3][15] - Geopolitical risks in the Middle East have eased slightly, which may provide some support for oil prices, but the underlying risks remain, continuing to support the PX market [3][15] - The PX May futures price is expected to follow oil price adjustments, with a support area around 6950-7050 where buying opportunities may be considered [3][15] Group 2: PTA Industry - The PTA industry experienced a month-on-month load decrease of 1.9% to 76.3%, which is at a historically low level for the same period, compounded by numerous maintenance plans in the first quarter [4][16] - The overall atmosphere for new orders is weak, with a continuous decline in operating rates for terminal factories in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions [4][16] - The PTA market is expected to face inventory pressure in the first quarter due to weak terminal demand and potential reductions in polyester production [4][16] - The PTA May futures price is anticipated to follow oil price adjustments, with strong support expected below the 5000 mark [4][16] Group 3: EG Industry - The domestic ethylene glycol (EG) industry saw a month-on-month load increase of 0.5% to 74.4%, with synthetic gas production load increasing by 1.6% to 80.2%, remaining at a historical high [5][17] - Despite high shipping costs and potential reductions in imports due to Middle Eastern maintenance, domestic supply remains ample, leading to overall supply pressure [5][17] - Weak new order performance and declining operating rates in terminal factories are expected to lead to inventory accumulation in January, with February potentially being the peak period for inventory pressure [5][17] Group 4: PF Industry - The direct-spun polyester short fiber load remained stable at 99.1%, supported by low inventory levels, while the industry operating rate remains high [6][18] - Demand is expected to weaken as downstream yarn enterprises enter a cautious purchasing phase due to cash flow pressures, leading to a reduction in production loads [6][18] - The PF March futures price is expected to fluctuate in line with raw material prices, with ongoing pressure from weak terminal demand [6][18] Group 5: PR Industry - The bottle-grade PET industry load decreased by 6.4% to 68.4%, with the industry operating load at a historically low level, and further maintenance plans expected to continue the supply contraction [7][19] - The current period is characterized by a traditional off-season for beverage consumption, limiting production recovery potential in January and February [7][19] - The PR March futures price is expected to fluctuate with raw material prices, with short-term strategies suggesting a preference for PR over PF [7][19] Group 6: Soda Ash Industry - Recent soda ash futures saw a slight decline, with stable spot prices, while market sentiment weakened [8][20] - Soda ash production increased by 22,000 tons to 775,000 tons, leading to increased supply pressure [8][20] - Downstream demand has slightly decreased, with inventory levels rising, indicating a potential for ongoing supply-demand imbalance [8][20] Group 7: Glass Industry - Glass futures experienced a slight increase, with stable spot prices and marginal improvements in the supply-demand balance [10][22] - Recent glass production saw a slight increase, with improved purchasing activity from downstream sectors leading to a decrease in inventory levels [10][22] - The glass market is expected to remain under seasonal demand pressure, with prices anticipated to fluctuate [10][22]

Group 1: Rubber Market - Domestic natural rubber price for full latex increased to 15,850 CNY/ton, up by 150 CNY/ton from the previous day [4] - Thai mixed rubber price reached 15,150 CNY/ton, up by 100 CNY/ton from the previous day [4] - As of January 11, 2026, China's natural rubber social inventory was 1.256 million tons, an increase of 24,000 tons, or 1.9% [4][21] - The total inventory of dark rubber in China was 835,000 tons, up by 2.5% [4][21] - The market is expected to see high volatility in RU, NR, and Sicom prices in the short term due to seasonal factors and inventory dynamics [5][22] Group 2: PX Market - PX industry load in China increased by 0.3 percentage points to 90.9%, while Asia's load also increased by 0.3 percentage points to 81.2% [6][23] - The demand for PX is expected to rise as downstream PTA facilities restart, leading to a narrowing of PX inventory accumulation in January [6][23] - Despite geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices, the polyester industry remains supported, although seasonal demand weakness is anticipated [6][23] Group 3: PTA Market - PTA industry load increased by 0.1 percentage points to 78.2%, remaining at a historically low level [7][24] - New order sentiment is weak, with a decline in operating rates in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions [7][24] - PTA inventory is expected to face accumulation pressure in January due to seasonal demand decline and maintenance schedules [7][24][25] Group 4: EG Market - Ethylene glycol industry load increased by 0.5 percentage points to 74.2%, with significant room for further improvement [10][27] - Despite rising shipping costs and potential import reductions, domestic supply remains ample, leading to significant supply pressure [10][27] - January is expected to see inventory accumulation, with February potentially being the peak period for inventory pressure in the first half of the year [10][27] Group 5: PF Market - The direct-spun polyester short fiber load remained stable at 99.1%, supported by low inventory levels [11][28] - Demand from downstream yarn enterprises is cautious as they prepare for the holiday season, leading to a decline in purchasing [11][28] - Short-term demand weakness is expected to continue to suppress prices, although cost support remains [11][28] Group 6: PR Market - The bottle-grade PET industry load increased by 0.8 percentage points to 74.8%, but remains at historically low levels [11][28] - Demand is limited due to the traditional off-season for beverage consumption, with limited production recovery expected in January [11][28] Group 7: Soda Ash Market - Soda ash futures saw a slight decline, with stable spot prices [12][29] - Recent production increased by 57,000 tons to 754,000 tons, leading to increased supply pressure [12][29] - Downstream demand has slightly decreased, with inventory levels showing mixed trends [12][29] Group 8: Glass Market - Glass futures experienced a slight decline, with stable spot prices [13][30] - Recent production decreased, while downstream purchasing activity has improved, leading to a reduction in inventory [13][30] - Seasonal demand weakness is anticipated, with short-term price fluctuations expected [13][30] Group 9: Caustic Soda Market - Caustic soda prices have seen slight declines, with high supply levels maintained [14][31] - Downstream demand remains weak, impacting market prices [14][31] Group 10: PVC Market - PVC futures declined by 10 CNY/ton to 4,878 CNY/ton, with ongoing supply pressure [15][32] - The supply side remains in an upward trend, while demand is expected to improve only slightly [15][32] - Short-term market dynamics are expected to remain volatile, with a focus on price fluctuations [15][32]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - All the energy - chemical products covered in the report, including crude oil, fuel oil, asphalt, polyester, rubber, methanol, polyolefins, and PVC, are expected to show an oscillatory trend [1][2][4][5][6]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Crude Oil**: On Tuesday, oil prices fluctuated downward. The WTI February contract closed down $0.13 at $57.95 per barrel, a 0.22% decline; the Brent February contract closed down $0.02 at $61.92 per barrel, a 0.03% decline; the SC2602 contract closed at 437 yuan per barrel at night, down 1.6 yuan per barrel, a 0.36% decline. As of December 30, the total number of oil and gas rigs increased by 1 to 546, the highest since December 12, but still 43 less than the same period last year, a 7.3% decrease. Indian imports of Russian crude oil in December are expected to drop to about 1.1 million barrels per day, but may increase in January. Oil prices have fallen nearly 20% this year and are expected to oscillate weakly [1]. - **Fuel Oil**: On Tuesday, the main fuel oil contract FU2603 on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed flat at 2473 yuan per ton, and the low - sulfur fuel oil contract LU2603 closed down 0.23% at 2977 yuan per ton. China's first batch of low - sulfur fuel oil export tax - rebate quotas for 2026 is 8 million tons, the same as last year. The low - sulfur fuel oil market will have sufficient supply from January to February, while the high - sulfur fuel oil market has some support. The absolute prices of FU and LU may fluctuate with oil prices, and the increase in FU warehouse receipts may put additional pressure on the market [2]. - **Asphalt**: On Tuesday, the main asphalt contract BU2602 on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed up 1.47% at 3038 yuan per ton. The arrival of diluted asphalt at ports is currently stable, and refinery raw material supply in January is not affected by the US - Venezuela geopolitical event. Production increased slightly at the end of the year, but the production schedule for January is low. There is still some demand in the south, while the north has more inventory demand. Asphalt prices may fluctuate with oil prices and may be stronger than crude oil and fuel oil [2]. - **Polyester**: TA605 closed up 0.43% at 5144 yuan per ton, EG2605 closed up 0.79% at 3847 yuan per ton, and PX futures contract 603 closed up 0.63% at 7316 yuan per ton. The production and sales of polyester yarn in Jiangsu and Zhejiang are weak. A 200,000 - ton/year synthetic gas - to - ethylene glycol plant in Guangxi has restarted. PX faces a game between reality and expectation, and ethylene glycol is expected to oscillate after a rebound [4]. - **Rubber**: On Tuesday, the main Shanghai rubber contract RU2605 rose 5 yuan per ton to 15670 yuan per ton, the NR main contract rose 25 yuan per ton to 12690 yuan per ton, and the butadiene rubber BR main contract fell 35 yuan per ton to 11565 yuan per ton. With easing precipitation in the production areas and fading downstream tire demand, rubber prices are expected to oscillate [4][5]. - **Methanol**: On Tuesday, the spot price in Taicang was 2182 yuan per ton. Iranian plant shutdowns will lead to a decline in January arrivals, but MTO plant loads are also decreasing. Port inventories have rebounded, and methanol is expected to maintain a bottom - oscillating trend [5]. - **Polyolefins**: On Tuesday, the mainstream price of East China拉丝 was 6150 - 6300 yuan per ton. Polyolefin production will remain high, while downstream orders and starts are weakening. Polyolefins are expected to oscillate at a low level [5]. - **PVC**: On Tuesday, the PVC market prices in East China were mixed, with some prices in North China rising and those in South China stable. PVC supply remains high, domestic demand is slowing, and it is expected to oscillate at the bottom [6]. 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - The report provides the basis price, basis rate, spot price change rate, futures price change rate, basis change, and the percentile of the latest basis rate in historical data for various energy - chemical products such as crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas, asphalt, etc. on December 31, 2025 [7]. 3.3 Market News - The US EIA inventory report shows that last week, US crude oil, gasoline, and distillate inventories all increased. As of the week of December 19, US crude oil inventories increased by 405,000 barrels to 424.822 million barrels, and Cushing crude oil inventories increased by 707,000 barrels to 21.57 million barrels. Refinery crude oil processing volume decreased by 212,000 barrels per day, and the refinery utilization rate decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 94.6%. US crude oil production decreased by 18,000 barrels per day to 13.83 million barrels per day [10]. - Under US sanctions, Indian imports of Russian crude oil in December are expected to drop to about 1.1 million barrels per day, reaching a three - year low in 2025, but are expected to increase in January [10]. 3.4 Chart Analysis - **4.1 Main Contract Prices**: The report presents historical price trends of main contracts for multiple energy - chemical products from 2021 to 2025 through various charts, including crude oil, fuel oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, asphalt, etc. [12][13][14][15][17][18][20][21][22][23][25][26][27][28][29]. - **4.2 Main Contract Basis**: It shows the historical basis trends of main contracts for different energy - chemical products, such as crude oil, fuel oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, etc. [30][31][32][35][36][37][39][40][41][42]. - **4.3 Inter - period Contract Spreads**: The report analyzes the historical spreads between different contracts for energy - chemical products, including fuel oil, asphalt, PTA, ethylene glycol, etc. [44][45][46][47][49][50][52][53][54][55][56][57][58][59]. - **4.4 Inter - variety Spreads**: It includes historical spreads and ratios between different energy - chemical products, such as crude oil internal and external spreads, fuel oil high - low sulfur spreads, fuel oil/asphalt ratio, etc. [60][61][62][63][64][65][68]. - **4.5 Production Profits**: The report shows the historical production profit trends of LLDPE and PP [69][70]. 3.5 Team Member Introduction - **Zhong Meiyan**: Serves as the assistant director of the research institute and director of energy - chemical research. With more than ten years of research experience in the futures derivatives market, she has won many awards and has rich experience in serving enterprises [74]. - **Du Bingqin**: Analyzes crude oil, natural gas, fuel oil, asphalt, and shipping. With in - depth industry research and many awards, she often publishes views in the media [75]. - **Di Yilin**: Focuses on natural rubber and polyester research. She has won several awards and is good at data analysis [76]. - **Peng Haibo**: Analyzes methanol, propylene, pure benzene, polyolefins, and PVC. With a background in energy - chemical spot - futures trading, he holds a CFA Level 3 certificate [77].