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原油大涨1.75%后飙涨,国内油价降幅减至25元/吨,7月连降或梦碎
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-18 21:52
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that domestic fuel prices are currently in a state of stagnation, with a potential for an increase in the near future due to rising international crude oil prices [1][3][4] - As of July 19, the domestic oil price adjustment mechanism is in effect, with the next price change scheduled for July 29, 2025, marking the 15th adjustment of the year [1][3] - In July, there have been two price adjustments so far, with one increase of 235 CNY/ton and one decrease of 130 CNY/ton, resulting in a net increase of 105 CNY/ton for gasoline and 100 CNY/ton for diesel [3][4] Group 2 - Recent data shows that WTI crude oil prices increased by 1.75% to 67.54 USD/barrel, while Brent crude rose by 1.46% to 69.52 USD/barrel, indicating a bullish trend in the oil market [3] - The current price drop for gasoline and diesel is limited to 25 CNY/ton, which is a reduction of 20 CNY/ton compared to the previous day, suggesting a potential reversal in price trends if crude prices continue to rise [3][4] - The market is experiencing mixed signals due to factors such as a decrease in U.S. EIA crude oil inventories and ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting supply, which may lead to uncertainty in future price movements [3][4]
原油大降7.5%,油价大跌465元/吨后,5月19日调价,油价创新低!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-04 06:51
Core Viewpoint - Domestic oil prices have remained unchanged due to insufficient adjustment margins, with the latest price change occurring on April 30, 2025, resulting in a minor increase of 25 yuan/ton, which did not meet the adjustment threshold [1][3] Oil Price Adjustment Overview - The last oil price adjustment saw a significant drop in prices, with gasoline and diesel decreasing by 480 yuan and 465 yuan/ton respectively, translating to a reduction of approximately 0.38 to 0.42 yuan/liter [3] - From February to April 2025, oil prices experienced a cumulative decline of 835 yuan/ton, equating to a decrease of about 0.67 to 0.71 yuan/liter across various regions [3] International Oil Market Trends - As of the latest data, WTI crude oil has fallen to 58.29 USD/barrel, while Brent crude is at 61.29 USD/barrel, reflecting a significant downward trend in the oil market [3] - This week, WTI crude oil has seen a cumulative drop of 7.5%, and Brent crude has decreased by 6.85%, marking a decline of over 10% from the mid-April peak [3] Market Dynamics and Future Expectations - The oil market is currently characterized by mixed signals, with OPEC+ expected to increase production by 400,000 barrels per day in June, while concerns about energy demand persist due to tariffs impacting manufacturing [5] - The upcoming oil price adjustment on May 19, 2025, is anticipated to reflect a negative change rate, with potential decreases in gasoline and diesel prices estimated between 150 to 200 yuan/ton [5][7] Regional Price Information - Current gasoline and diesel prices across various regions in China are provided, with Beijing's 92 gasoline priced at 7.10 yuan/liter and 0 diesel at 6.78 yuan/liter [8]