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国际油价波动
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国内成品油价“三连涨”,加满一箱油多花9元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 08:59
Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil prices in China have experienced their first "three consecutive increases" of the year, with gasoline and diesel prices raised by 235 yuan/ton and 225 yuan/ton respectively, leading to increased costs for consumers and logistics [1][3]. Price Adjustments - The latest price adjustments translate to an increase of 0.18 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline and 0.19 yuan for both 95-octane gasoline and 0 diesel [1]. - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92-octane gasoline will now cost an additional 9 yuan, while logistics costs for heavy trucks running 10,000 km per month will increase by approximately 337 yuan [1]. Market Trends - This adjustment marks the 13th price change in 2025 and the 6th increase this year, resulting in a pattern of "six increases, five decreases, and two suspensions" [3]. - The international oil market has shown volatility, with significant fluctuations in oil prices due to geopolitical tensions and changes in U.S. oil inventory levels [3]. Future Price Predictions - Analysts predict a high likelihood of price reductions in the next round of adjustments, with expectations of a decrease of around 290 yuan/ton for gasoline and diesel due to the recent drop in international oil prices [5][6]. - The next price adjustment window is set to open on July 15 at 24:00 [8]. Demand Outlook - Despite the potential for price reductions, domestic gasoline demand is expected to remain strong due to increased travel during the summer and higher air conditioning usage amid rising temperatures [7]. - Conversely, diesel demand may decline due to lower operational rates in downstream sectors influenced by high temperatures and rainy seasons [7].
以色列袭击伊朗 美油涨超13%刷新逾4个月新高
news flash· 2025-06-13 02:41
Core Viewpoint - WTI crude oil futures surged over 13%, reaching $76.89 per barrel, marking the highest level since January 22 [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - The significant increase in oil prices is attributed to military actions taken against Iran, specifically airstrikes targeting nuclear and military facilities [1] - The operation was named "Lion's Strength," indicating a strategic military initiative that may impact global oil supply and demand dynamics [1] Group 2: Price Volatility - The volatility in international oil prices suggests potential for substantial trading opportunities, with reports indicating that daily gains could reach nearly tenfold [1]
SC原油主力合约触及涨停,涨幅8.98%,报535.2元/桶
news flash· 2025-06-13 01:12
Core Viewpoint - The SC crude oil main contract has reached its daily limit, with an increase of 8.98%, priced at 535.2 yuan per barrel [1] Industry Summary - International oil prices are experiencing significant volatility, presenting opportunities for substantial returns, with potential gains of nearly ten times in a single day [1]
原油大降7.5%,油价大跌465元/吨后,5月19日调价,油价创新低!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-04 06:51
Core Viewpoint - Domestic oil prices have remained unchanged due to insufficient adjustment margins, with the latest price change occurring on April 30, 2025, resulting in a minor increase of 25 yuan/ton, which did not meet the adjustment threshold [1][3] Oil Price Adjustment Overview - The last oil price adjustment saw a significant drop in prices, with gasoline and diesel decreasing by 480 yuan and 465 yuan/ton respectively, translating to a reduction of approximately 0.38 to 0.42 yuan/liter [3] - From February to April 2025, oil prices experienced a cumulative decline of 835 yuan/ton, equating to a decrease of about 0.67 to 0.71 yuan/liter across various regions [3] International Oil Market Trends - As of the latest data, WTI crude oil has fallen to 58.29 USD/barrel, while Brent crude is at 61.29 USD/barrel, reflecting a significant downward trend in the oil market [3] - This week, WTI crude oil has seen a cumulative drop of 7.5%, and Brent crude has decreased by 6.85%, marking a decline of over 10% from the mid-April peak [3] Market Dynamics and Future Expectations - The oil market is currently characterized by mixed signals, with OPEC+ expected to increase production by 400,000 barrels per day in June, while concerns about energy demand persist due to tariffs impacting manufacturing [5] - The upcoming oil price adjustment on May 19, 2025, is anticipated to reflect a negative change rate, with potential decreases in gasoline and diesel prices estimated between 150 to 200 yuan/ton [5][7] Regional Price Information - Current gasoline and diesel prices across various regions in China are provided, with Beijing's 92 gasoline priced at 7.10 yuan/liter and 0 diesel at 6.78 yuan/liter [8]