花旗分析师表示，他们预计会议纪要将暗示"利率轨迹将取决于6月、7月和8月公布的数据"，这与美联 储主席鲍威尔在国会听证会上的说法一致。鲍威尔为美联储在9月会议上可能降息奠定了基础，前提是 关税导致的物价上涨没有显示出导致持续通胀的迹象，而且经济继续创造足够的就业机会，以防止失业 率上升过快。花旗分析师表示："'观望'期可能会在夏末结束。" ...

Group 1 - Recent comments from two Federal Reserve officials indicate a cautious approach in light of economic uncertainty, suggesting a potential "wait-and-see" period before further policy adjustments [1][3] - The global economic landscape is fraught with uncertainties such as trade tensions, geopolitical issues, and slowing growth, which complicate the Fed's decision-making process [3][4] - Domestic economic indicators show resilience but also present risks, including inflation volatility and labor market instability, necessitating more data for accurate policy evaluation [3][4] Group 2 - The Fed's policy adjustments must consider market expectations to avoid excessive market reactions and volatility [4] - There is debate among analysts regarding the potential lag in policy adjustments due to the Fed's cautious stance, which could hinder timely responses to rapid economic changes [4] - In the coming months, the Fed will closely monitor key economic data such as inflation rates, employment figures, consumer confidence, and manufacturing activity to inform its policy decisions [5]