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宝城期货国债期货早报(2025年11月10日)-20251110
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-10 02:39
Group 1: Report Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report Group 2: Core Viewpoint of the Report - The short - term view of Treasury bond futures is mainly for consolidation, with limited upward and downward drivers in the short - term. In the long - term, due to the insufficient effective domestic demand, the monetary environment will be overall loose, providing strong support for Treasury bond futures [5] Group 3: Summary of Relevant Content 1. Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For the TL2512 variety, the short - term view is oscillatory, the medium - term view is oscillatory, and the intraday view is weak. The reference view is oscillatory consolidation. The core logic is that the short - term expectation of interest rate cuts has decreased, while the long - term expectation of easing still exists [1] 2. Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For varieties TL, T, TF, and TS, the intraday view is weak, the medium - term view is oscillatory, and the reference view is oscillatory consolidation. The core logic is that Treasury bond futures oscillated and consolidated last Friday. In the short - term, the necessity of a comprehensive interest rate cut is not strong, and market interest rates are gradually approaching policy rates, so the upward momentum of Treasury bond futures is limited. In the long - term, the problem of insufficient effective domestic demand still exists, and the future monetary environment will be overall loose, providing strong support for Treasury bond futures [5]