按美元计值，2025年二季度，我国经常账户顺差1287亿美元，其中，货物贸易顺差2191亿美元，服务贸 易逆差471亿美元，初次收入逆差474亿美元，二次收入顺差41亿美元。资本和金融账户逆差1370亿美 元，其中，资本账户逆差1亿美元，金融账户逆差1369亿美元。 按美元计值，2025年上半年，我国经常账户顺差2941亿美元，其中，货物贸易顺差4567亿美元，服务贸 易逆差1064亿美元，初次收入逆差629亿美元，二次收入顺差68亿美元。资本和金融账户逆差2776亿美 元，其中，资本账户逆差1亿美元，金融账户逆差2775亿美元。 按SDR计值，2025年二季度，我国经常账户顺差949亿SDR，资本和金融账户逆差1008亿SDR。 按SDR计值，2025年上半年，我国经常账户顺差2209亿SDR，资本和金融账户逆差2076亿SDR。 来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 上证报中国证券网讯 据国家外汇管理局9月30日消息，2025年二季度，我国经常账户顺差9252亿元，资 本和金融账户逆差9842亿元。 2025年上半年，我国经常账户顺差21126亿元，资本和金融账户逆差19936亿元。 ...

Core Insights - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange released preliminary data on China's balance of payments for the first half of 2025, indicating a current account surplus of 21,589 billion yuan [1] Trade Balance - The goods trade surplus amounted to 32,798 billion yuan, while the services trade recorded a deficit of 7,604 billion yuan [1] - The primary income deficit was 4,089 billion yuan, and the secondary income surplus was 485 billion yuan [1] USD Valuation - In USD terms, the current account surplus for the first half of 2025 was 300.6 billion USD, with a goods trade surplus of 456.6 billion USD [1] - The services trade deficit in USD was 105.9 billion USD, while the primary income deficit was 56.9 billion USD, and the secondary income surplus was 6.7 billion USD [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the international balance of payments data for goods and services trade in China for June 2025, showing a significant increase in trade volume compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - In June 2025, China's total goods and services trade reached 42,214 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 6% [1] - The goods trade exports amounted to 21,185 billion yuan, while imports were 15,112 billion yuan, resulting in a surplus of 6,073 billion yuan [1] - The services trade saw exports of 2,437 billion yuan and imports of 3,480 billion yuan, leading to a deficit of 1,043 billion yuan [1] - Major components of services trade included transportation services with a trade volume of 1,639 billion yuan, travel services at 1,603 billion yuan, other commercial services at 967 billion yuan, and telecommunications, computer, and information services at 659 billion yuan [1] - In dollar terms, the goods and services trade exports were valued at 32.92 billion USD, imports at 25.91 billion USD, and the surplus was 7.01 billion USD [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the growth of China's goods trade surplus and current account surplus, highlighting the impact of economic structure optimization, competitive manufacturing, and recovering external demand on these surpluses [2]. Group 1: Goods Trade Surplus Growth - China's goods trade surplus is a result of deep participation in global industrial division and cyclical fluctuations in external demand [3]. - The long-term surplus is influenced by the global shift in industrial chains, with labor-intensive industries moving to developing countries, while developed nations focus on higher-end products and services [3]. - In 2024, China's goods trade surplus is projected at $768 billion, with foreign-invested enterprises accounting for 27% of total exports, and processing trade surplus contributing 21% to the overall trade surplus [3]. Group 2: External Demand Fluctuations - External demand has shown significant volatility, influenced by global economic developments and international financial market fluctuations [4]. - From 2020 to 2022, major developed economies' quantitative easing led to a 12% annual growth in China's exports, while tightening monetary policies in 2023 resulted in a 5% decline [4]. - A rebound in global manufacturing and semiconductor consumption is expected to drive a 7% increase in exports in 2024 [4]. Group 3: Current Account Balance - The current account is a comprehensive indicator of a country's internal and external economic balance, considering factors like service trade and investment income [6]. - China's current account surplus is projected at $423.9 billion in 2024, reflecting a 45% reduction compared to the goods trade surplus alone [6]. - The current account surplus to GDP ratio is expected to be 2.2% in 2024, indicating a stable economic balance compared to other countries like Japan and Germany [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The development of trade surpluses is closely linked to domestic economic adjustments, global supply chain layouts, and changes in internal and external demand [8]. - With ongoing policies to stabilize foreign trade and domestic demand, China's exports and imports are anticipated to maintain steady growth, keeping trade and current account surpluses within reasonable ranges [8].