贸易逆差收窄
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波黑塞族共和国今年前10个月贸易逆差收窄
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-11-26 14:01
单月数据显示,塞族共和国10月份出口4.9亿马克,进口7.09亿马克。(驻波黑使馆经商处) 波黑《独立报》11月24日报道。根据波黑塞族共和国统计局的数据,今年1-10月,该实体出口额44.47 亿马克,同比增长6.6%;进口额62.93亿马克,增长3.2%。贸易逆差收窄,进出口覆盖率为70.7%。 该实体最大的出口目的国为克罗地亚(7.84亿马克)和塞尔维亚(7.51亿马克)。主要进口来源国为塞 尔维亚(11.42亿马克)和意大利(8.81亿马克)。最大出口商品为电力(4.36亿马克),最大进口商品 为石油及沥青矿物提取油类(4.05亿马克)。 ...
降息50基点还暴涨 3.6%!美元疯涨背后,普通人该抄底还是逃离?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 05:17
降息还能走强?最近美元这波操作把不少人看懵了! 两个月涨3.6%,明明美联储已经两次降息,可美元指数照样冲到100以上。 咱们普通人关心的是,这美元到底还能强多久?手里的资产该怎么调整? 周叔今天就结合权威分析和最新消息,把这事儿掰开揉碎了讲明白,全是干货不绕弯! 内部支撑:降息潮里的美元韧性 说句实在话,美元这波强势,核心还是美国经济自己撑得住。 9月到11月, 美联储两次降息共50个基点(BP)。 按常理货币该走弱,可美元指数反倒从96.64涨到100.15, 关键就在于通胀和就业的"反向操作"。 美国通胀韧性简直超出预期,9月仍维持在3.0%,远超2%的目标,服务类通胀更是降得磨磨蹭蹭。 看似软化,可9月非农新增就业突然冲到11.9万,比7、8月的7.3万和2.2万翻了几番,医疗保健、教育等行业的反弹,直接让市场不敢再赌大幅降息。 而劳动力市场更有意思,失业率从4.0%升到4.4%。 11月下旬,纽约联储主席威廉姆斯说还有降息空间,可柯林斯等官员却警告通胀风险,坚决反对12月降息。 更关键的是, 美联储内部现在吵成一团。 据CME"美联储观察", 12月降息25个BP的概率71%,维持不变的概率29%, ...
印度6月贸易逆差收窄,出口有亮点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 00:21
Group 1 - India's trade deficit narrowed significantly in June, with the goods trade deficit falling to $18.78 billion, lower than the expected $22.24 billion and the previous month's $21.88 billion, primarily due to a substantial decrease in imports [1] - Total imports in June decreased to $53.92 billion from $60.61 billion in May, with crude oil imports reducing by $1 billion to $13.7 billion and gold imports dropping by 28% to $1.8 billion [1] - Overall goods exports fell by 9% month-on-month to $35.14 billion, marking a seven-month low, although exports to the US increased by 23.53% year-on-year to $8.27 billion despite a 10% tariff hike [1] Group 2 - The decline in international oil prices and a sharp reduction in non-oil imports contributed to the improvement in the trade deficit, with expectations that the current account deficit will narrow to 0.7% of GDP in Q1 FY2026, a decrease of 20 basis points year-on-year [3] - For the first quarter of the current fiscal year (April-June), total goods trade showed a year-on-year increase of 4.2% for exports and 1.9% for imports, indicating a continuous optimization of trade structure [3] - The Indian government is negotiating a temporary trade agreement with the US to avoid potential high tariffs, in response to recent tariff adjustments by the US targeting countries with perceived trade imbalances [3] Group 3 - In the first five months of 2025, India's total exports to the US reached $47.15 billion, a significant year-on-year increase of 25.6%, while imports from the US rose by 8.2% to $18.25 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of $28.91 billion [3] - Notably, US exports to India showed a marked increase in Q2 2025, rising from ₹20.89 billion in the same period last year to ₹25.52 billion [3] Group 4 - Barclays research indicates that the average effective import tariff on Indian goods by the US increased significantly from 2.7% to 11.6% after April 2025, impacting bilateral trade relations and becoming a key topic in ongoing negotiations [4]