贸易逆差收窄

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印度6月贸易逆差收窄,出口有亮点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 00:21
Group 1 - India's trade deficit narrowed significantly in June, with the goods trade deficit falling to $18.78 billion, lower than the expected $22.24 billion and the previous month's $21.88 billion, primarily due to a substantial decrease in imports [1] - Total imports in June decreased to $53.92 billion from $60.61 billion in May, with crude oil imports reducing by $1 billion to $13.7 billion and gold imports dropping by 28% to $1.8 billion [1] - Overall goods exports fell by 9% month-on-month to $35.14 billion, marking a seven-month low, although exports to the US increased by 23.53% year-on-year to $8.27 billion despite a 10% tariff hike [1] Group 2 - The decline in international oil prices and a sharp reduction in non-oil imports contributed to the improvement in the trade deficit, with expectations that the current account deficit will narrow to 0.7% of GDP in Q1 FY2026, a decrease of 20 basis points year-on-year [3] - For the first quarter of the current fiscal year (April-June), total goods trade showed a year-on-year increase of 4.2% for exports and 1.9% for imports, indicating a continuous optimization of trade structure [3] - The Indian government is negotiating a temporary trade agreement with the US to avoid potential high tariffs, in response to recent tariff adjustments by the US targeting countries with perceived trade imbalances [3] Group 3 - In the first five months of 2025, India's total exports to the US reached $47.15 billion, a significant year-on-year increase of 25.6%, while imports from the US rose by 8.2% to $18.25 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of $28.91 billion [3] - Notably, US exports to India showed a marked increase in Q2 2025, rising from ₹20.89 billion in the same period last year to ₹25.52 billion [3] Group 4 - Barclays research indicates that the average effective import tariff on Indian goods by the US increased significantly from 2.7% to 11.6% after April 2025, impacting bilateral trade relations and becoming a key topic in ongoing negotiations [4]