Summary of Galp Energia SGPS Conference Call Company and Industry - **Company**: Galp Energia SGPS - **Industry**: Oil and Gas, specifically focusing on upstream assets in Namibia Core Points and Arguments 1. **Partnership with TotalEnergies**: Galp has established a strategic partnership with TotalEnergies to develop the Mopane asset in Namibia, which is part of the Orange Basin PEL83 block [3][4][5] 2. **Significant Achievements**: Galp successfully drilled five wells in just over a year, which is seen as a remarkable achievement and has led to the partnership with TotalEnergies [3][4] 3. **Development Plans**: The partnership aims to accelerate the development of the Mopane asset, with plans to launch an exploration and appraisal campaign that includes three wells over the next two years [4][6] 4. **Production Goals**: TotalEnergies has a clear development plan for the Venus asset, targeting 160,000 barrels of oil per day with potential first oil by 2030 [5][6] 5. **Financial Structure**: The transaction involves an asset swap where Galp will exchange a 40% interest in Mopane for a 10% interest in Venus and a 9.4% interest in another block [6][7] 6. **Funding Agreement**: TotalEnergies will carry 50% of Galp's investments towards the first development in Mopane, significantly de-risking Galp's financial exposure [7][8] 7. **Production Forecast**: Galp anticipates average production to be close to 110,000 barrels per day by the end of 2025, with competitive break-even levels around $20 per barrel [9][10] 8. **Long-term Growth Strategy**: The partnership is expected to support Galp's growth strategy well into the 2030s, with several high-potential developments already in the pipeline [10][11] Important but Potentially Overlooked Content 1. **Valuation of Assets**: The valuation of the transaction is driven by two main components: the asset swap and the carry agreement, with approximately 70% of the value hinging on the carry [17][18] 2. **Exploration and Appraisal Wells**: The three planned wells are crucial for de-risking the Mopane asset and will help in determining the best development approach [21][22] 3. **Gas Handling Challenges**: Discussions with TotalEnergies have included solutions for gas handling, which is a challenge at Venus, and the implications for Mopane's gas content are still being assessed [57][59] 4. **Timing of the Transaction**: The decision to proceed with the partnership was influenced by the need to mitigate risks associated with continuing development independently and the information gathered from previous drilling [62][63] 5. **Future CapEx Considerations**: The CapEx profile for Venus is still being finalized, with expectations for a significant investment once the FID is made, which is targeted for 2026 [30][83] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, highlighting the strategic partnership, development plans, financial implications, and future growth prospects for Galp Energia SGPS in the oil and gas sector.

Core Insights - TotalEnergies and Galp have agreed to swap stakes in three offshore oil licenses in Namibia, enhancing TotalEnergies' position as the operator of the Mopane and Venus discoveries [1][2] - The transaction is expected to be completed in 2026, pending approvals from Namibian authorities and joint venture partners [3] Stake Distribution - TotalEnergies will acquire a 40% operated interest in petroleum exploration license 88 (PEL83), which includes the Mopane oil discovery, and will hold a 35.25% operated interest in PEL56 and a 33.085% operated interest in PEL91 upon closing [3][4] - Galp will obtain a 10% participating interest in PEL56 and a 9.39% participating interest in PEL91 from TotalEnergies, while also holding a 40% interest in PEL83 [2][3] Financial Arrangements - TotalEnergies will carry 50% of Galp's capital expenditures for exploration and appraisal work on the Mopane discovery, which will be reimbursed through 50% of Galp's future cash flows generated by the project [2] Development Plans - TotalEnergies plans to develop the Venus discovery with a floating production, storage, and offloading unit capable of 160,000 barrels per day, aiming for a final investment decision in 2026 [6] - An exploration and appraisal campaign will be launched over the next two years, including three wells, with the first planned for 2026 [5] Strategic Goals - The collaboration aims to create a producing hub in Namibia, achieving synergies that will generate long-term value for Namibia and stakeholders [5] - TotalEnergies' chairman emphasized leveraging the company's operatorship track record to advance profitable and sustainable developments of both Venus and Mopane discoveries [4]

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve's decision to end quantitative tightening (QT) has sparked discussions about a potential policy shift, but it should not be equated with the start of a new easing cycle [1][2] - The Fed will stop reducing its Treasury holdings but will continue to let approximately $15 billion of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) mature each month, replacing them with short-term Treasury bills [1][3] - This operation is characterized as an asset swap rather than an increase in reserves, focusing on changing the composition of the balance sheet rather than expanding its size [1][4] Summary by Sections End of QT vs. Restart of QE - The current Fed operation is fundamentally different from quantitative easing (QE), which aims to inject liquidity into the financial system through large asset purchases [2][4] - The Fed's plan involves an internal adjustment of its asset portfolio, with no increase in bank reserves, making it a misunderstanding to interpret this as a restart of QE [2][3] Future Balance Sheet Expansion - Future expansion of the Fed's balance sheet is expected only in extreme situations, such as a severe recession or financial crisis, primarily to hedge against cash demand [3][4] - The Fed may begin purchasing Treasury bonds to maintain stable reserve levels, potentially increasing its buying by $10 billion to $15 billion monthly to match cash growth [3][4] Focus on Treasury Issuance Strategy - The key focus for asset markets should shift from the Fed to the U.S. Treasury, which plays a crucial role in determining how much duration risk the market needs to absorb [5][14] - The Treasury's recent strategy has leaned towards increasing short-term bond issuance, and the Fed's purchase of short-term Treasuries may facilitate this, depending on the Treasury's final decisions [5][14]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's decision to end quantitative tightening (QT) has sparked discussions about a potential policy shift, but it should not be interpreted as the beginning of a new easing cycle [1][2]. Group 1: Federal Reserve's Actions - The Federal Reserve announced it will end QT on December 1, which is about six months earlier than previously expected [1]. - The Fed will stop reducing its Treasury holdings but will continue to let approximately $15 billion of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) mature each month, replacing them with an equal amount of short-term Treasury bills (T-bills) [1]. - This operation is characterized as an asset swap rather than an increase in reserves, focusing on changing the composition of the balance sheet rather than expanding its size [1]. Group 2: Distinction from Quantitative Easing (QE) - It is crucial to distinguish this operation from quantitative easing (QE), which involves large-scale asset purchases to inject liquidity into the financial system [2]. - The Fed's current plan is merely an internal adjustment of its asset portfolio, not an increase in bank reserves, thus misinterpreting it as a restart of QE is incorrect [2]. - The cumulative impact of stopping the $5 billion monthly reduction in Treasury holdings is relatively minor, amounting to only $30 billion in the context of the Fed's large portfolio [2]. Group 3: Future Balance Sheet Expansion - Future expansion of the Fed's balance sheet is expected to occur only under extreme conditions, such as a severe recession or financial crisis, primarily for technical reasons to hedge against cash demand [3]. - The Fed may need to purchase additional Treasury securities to maintain stable reserve levels, potentially increasing its monthly purchases by $10 billion to $15 billion to match cash growth [3]. - This buying behavior is aimed at preventing a decline in reserves rather than increasing them, and should not be overinterpreted as a signal of monetary easing [3]. Group 4: Focus on Treasury's Issuance Strategy - The real focus for asset markets should shift from the Federal Reserve to the U.S. Treasury, which plays a key role in determining how much duration risk the market needs to absorb [4]. - The Treasury's recent strategy has leaned towards increasing the issuance of short-term bonds, and the Fed's purchase of short-term Treasuries may facilitate further short-term bond issuance by the Treasury [4]. - Ultimately, the Treasury's decisions will significantly influence market liquidity and interest rate trends, making it a core variable in market direction [12].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Canadian Natural achieved record quarterly corporate production of approximately 1.62 million BOEs per day, a significant increase of approximately 257,000 BOEs per day or 19% from Q3 2024 levels [4][12] - Adjusted funds flow for Q3 2025 was approximately CAD 3.9 billion, with adjusted net earnings of CAD 1.8 billion [12] - Returns to shareholders in the quarter totaled CAD 1.5 billion, including CAD 1.2 billion in dividends and CAD 300 million in share repurchases [12][14] - The company has increased its dividend for 25 consecutive years, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21% [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Oil sands mining and upgrading production averaged approximately 581,136 barrels per day, an increase of approximately 83,500 barrels per day or 17% from Q3 2024 levels [6] - Thermal in situ operations averaged 274,752 barrels per day, showing slight growth from Q3 2024 [7] - Primary heavy crude oil production averaged 87,705 barrels per day, an increase of 14% from Q3 2024 levels [8] - North American light crude oil and natural gas production averaged 180,100 barrels per day, a 69% increase from Q3 2024 [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American natural gas production averaged approximately 2.66 BCF for the quarter, a 30% increase from Q3 2024 levels [10] - Operating costs for North American natural gas averaged CAD 1.14 per MCF, a decrease of 7% from Q3 2024 [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance operational efficiencies through the recent AOSP swap with Shell Canada, which adds approximately 31,000 barrels per day of annual zero-decline bitumen production [5] - Canadian Natural's strategy focuses on continuous improvement, capital allocation to high-return projects, and maintaining a diverse asset base to mitigate reliance on any single commodity [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism regarding the operational setup into the end of the year, with all assets performing as expected [41] - There is a positive outlook on discussions with the federal government regarding carbon competitiveness and pathways for future growth opportunities [34][35] Other Important Information - The company repaid $600 million of US dollar debt securities during Q3 and received a new long-term investment-grade credit rating of BBB plus from Fitch Ratings [14] - The board approved a quarterly dividend of CAD 58.75 per common share, payable on January 6, 2026 [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Potential operational benefits from the Albion Oil Sands asset swap - Management highlighted the utilization of equipment and potential cost savings from consolidating operations [18][19] Question: Participation in new pipeline projects for Canadian crude - Management indicated openness to reviewing egress opportunities and potential participation in projects that enhance market access [23][24] Question: Need for further consolidation in Western Canada gas - Management emphasized the importance of egress opportunities for gas and the need for LNG projects to unlock basin potential [27][28] Question: Implications of T block decommissioning on capital expenditures - Management noted that 2026 capital expenditures are expected to increase modestly, with tax recoveries on expenditures being significant [36][37] Question: Operational setup and asset performance as the year ends - Management confirmed that all assets are performing as expected with strong optimization and utilization [41] Question: Updated thoughts on M&A and capital allocation strategy - Management stated that while they look at M&A opportunities, there are no significant changes to their capital allocation strategy [45][46]

Core Viewpoint - DNO ASA has streamlined its Norwegian Continental Shelf portfolio through a multi-asset swap with Aker BP ASA, enhancing its position in key areas while divesting non-core assets [1][2][3]. Group 1: Transaction Details - DNO increased its stake in the Verdande field from 10.5% to 14%, which is in advanced development and set to start production later this year [2]. - In exchange, DNO will transfer its stake in the Vilje field, along with interests in the Kveikje discovery and three exploration permits to Aker BP [2][3]. - The transaction involves no cash consideration and is subject to regulatory approval [3]. Group 2: Portfolio Changes - The swap results in the following changes in interests: - Vilje: Producing, current interest 28.9%, post-deal interest – - Verdande: Under development, current interest 10.5%, post-deal interest 14% - Kveikje: Discovery, current interest 29%, post-deal interest 20% - PL1171 (Sunndal): Exploration, current interest 50%, post-deal interest 34% - PL1175 (Reka): Exploration, current interest 30%, post-deal interest 20% - PL1204 (Abel): Exploration, current interest 60%, post-deal interest 40% [4]. Group 3: Strategic Context - This transaction aligns with DNO's strategy of highgrading its North Sea portfolio, following the acquisition of Sval Energi AS in June 2025 [3].