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小鹏汽车-W(09868):2025年10月销量点评:同环比持续增长,月销再破4万辆
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-12 01:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - In October 2025, the company delivered 42,013 new vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 75.7% and a month-on-month increase of 1.0% [2][4]. - Cumulatively, from January to October 2025, the company delivered 355,000 new vehicles, marking a year-on-year increase of 190.0% [2][4]. - The company is expected to see steady sales growth driven by strong new vehicle cycles, enhanced marketing systems, and ongoing improvements in smart driving technology [2][9]. - The new models MONA M03 and P7+ are expected to initiate a new vehicle cycle for the company [9]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - October 2025 saw a record monthly delivery of over 40,000 vehicles, with significant contributions from the new P7 model and strong sales of the SUV family [9]. - The MONA M03 model alone delivered over 15,000 units in October, with total deliveries exceeding 200,000 since its launch [9]. Future Outlook - For Q3 2025, the company anticipates deliveries between 113,000 and 118,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 142.8% to 153.6% [9]. - Expected revenue for Q3 2025 is projected to be between 19.6 billion and 21 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 94.0% to 107.9% [9]. Strategic Developments - The company is expanding its international presence, having entered seven new markets in Europe, Asia, and Africa, transitioning from rapid expansion to solid operations [9]. - The upcoming launch of the next-generation extended-range product, the X9, is anticipated to enhance the company's competitive edge with its unique features [9].
小鹏汽车-W(09868):小鹏汽车与大众EEA合作拓展至油车及插混车,有望持续增厚服务业务收入
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-18 10:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company has signed an expanded strategic cooperation agreement with Volkswagen Group to jointly develop electronic and electrical architecture, which will be applied not only to electric vehicle platforms but also to fuel and plug-in hybrid vehicles in the Chinese market. This collaboration is expected to enhance service revenue [2][4]. - The company is entering a strong new vehicle cycle with the launch of models like MONA M03 and P7+, which is anticipated to drive sales growth. The new models have already seen significant demand, with the G7 model achieving over 10,000 pre-orders in just 9 minutes [9]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 99.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.4X, indicating a substantial improvement in financial performance due to software revenue from Volkswagen [9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is deepening its cooperation with Volkswagen, expanding the scope to include procurement, supply chain, electric vehicle platforms, and electronic architecture, which is expected to enhance overall profitability [9]. Sales and New Models - The new models G6 and G9 have been well-received in the market, achieving sales leadership in their segments. The upcoming models are expected to further boost sales, with a focus on achieving positive cash flow by Q4 [9]. Financial Outlook - The company is projected to turn profitable in Q4 and achieve a positive free cash flow for the year, supported by the new vehicle launches and improved operational efficiencies [9].
小鹏汽车-W(09868):2025年6月销量点评:销量同环比提升,销量结构持续改善
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-07 11:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a total of 34,611 vehicle deliveries in June 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 224.4% and a month-on-month increase of 3.2% [2][4]. - Cumulative vehicle deliveries for Q2 2025 reached 103,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 241.6% [2][4]. - The company is expected to see steady sales growth due to a strong new vehicle cycle, with the launch of models like MONA M03 and P7+ [2][7]. - The company anticipates achieving a revenue of 99.1 billion yuan in 2025, corresponding to a price-to-sales ratio of 1.2X, with significant improvements in software revenue contributing to financial performance [7]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In June 2025, the company delivered 34,611 vehicles, with a year-on-year growth of 224.4% and a month-on-month growth of 3.2% [2][4]. - For Q2 2025, the total vehicle deliveries reached 103,000 units, achieving a new quarterly record with a year-on-year increase of 241.6% [2][7]. New Vehicle Cycle - The launch of new models such as G6, G9, and the upcoming G7 is expected to drive sales further, with G6 and G9 already performing well in domestic and international markets [7]. - The company has initiated a strong new vehicle cycle, with multiple new models set to be released in Q3 and Q4 2025 [7]. Profitability Outlook - The company is projected to achieve a turnaround in profitability by Q4 2025, with expectations of positive free cash flow for the year [7]. - The ongoing improvements in scale, platform, and technology cost reductions, along with the expansion of software revenue models, are expected to enhance future profitability [7].
小鹏汽车-W(09868):2024年四季度业绩点评:强势新车周期带动营收创新高,汽车毛利率超10%
Changjiang Securities· 2025-03-19 05:07
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 16.11 billion yuan in Q4 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 59.4%. The gross margin was 14.4%, up 8.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net loss was 1.33 billion yuan, narrowing by 18 million yuan year-on-year [2][4]. - The strong new vehicle cycle, coupled with enhanced marketing and channel strategies, is expected to accelerate sales growth. The company is likely to see continued financial improvement due to scale effects, cost reductions from platform and technology, and the expansion of software profitability models [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the automotive business generated revenue of 14.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.0%, with a delivery volume of 91,500 units, up 52.1% year-on-year. The average revenue per vehicle was 176,000 yuan. The gross margin for the automotive business was 10.0%, an increase of 6.0 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - Service revenue reached 1.43 billion yuan, growing 74.4% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 59.6%, up 21.4 percentage points year-on-year [7]. Cost and Expenses - R&D expenses in Q4 were 2.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 53.4%, with an R&D expense ratio of 12.5%. Selling and general expenses were 2.28 billion yuan, up 17.5% year-on-year, with a selling and general expense ratio of 14.1% [7]. Future Outlook - For Q1 2025, the expected delivery volume is between 91,000 and 93,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 317.0% to 326.2%. Expected revenue is between 15 billion and 15.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 129.1% to 139.8% [7]. - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas market, with significant growth in export volumes and the launch of new models in international markets [7].