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和讯投顾陈立钟:为什么 “该吃肉却喝汤”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 04:46
一、先复盘:你的操作为什么 "该吃肉却喝汤"?(不是错,是优化空间)? 你提到的两个核心案例 —— 半导体炸板反包、稳定币连板,看似都是 "大肉机会",但最终只喝汤,本 质是 "卖票模式的纪律性" 和 "市场超预期走势" 的博弈,不是操作失误,反而体现了你的风险意识,我 们先拆透背后逻辑:? 1. 半导体炸板反包:"按模式卖" 没毛病,但可加个 "观察窗口"? 你的操作逻辑:昨天炸板(单票少板 1 亿,说明尾盘抛压大),今天按既定模式卖出 —— 这符合之前 说的 "铁律 3:尾盘大涨适当减仓""铁律 1:不贪多",毕竟炸板后次日能反包涨停是 "小概率超预期", 多数情况是低开回调,你能避开 "吃面风险" 已经赢了第一步;? 优化点:下次遇到 "炸板但量能没崩" 的票(比如昨天半导体炸板时,全天量能比前一天缩≤10%,且没 跌破 5 日线),可以在今天早盘留个 "30 分钟观察窗口":? 若早盘低开≤2%,且 10 点前能拉回 5 日线以上(比如今天半导体低开 1.5%,9:50 拉回 5 日线),就多 拿 1 小时;若 10 点后还在 5 日线下,再按原模式卖 —— 这样既能守住纪律,又能抓住 "反包小概率机 ...
粤开市场日报-20250822
Yuekai Securities· 2025-08-22 08:23
证券研究报告 | 策略点评 申万一级行业表现:电子、通信、计算机在行业涨跌幅榜居前;石油石 化、钢铁、农林牧渔在行业涨跌幅榜居后。 概念板块表现:总体来看,连板、炒股软件、自主可控概念表现相对较 好;航空运输、西藏振兴、动物疫苗概念表现相对较差。 风险提示 2025 年 08 月 22 日 投资要点 分析师:孟之绪 执业编号:S0300524080001 电话: 邮箱:mengzhixu@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20250822 今日关注 今日主要指数涨跌幅:沪指涨跌幅为 1.45%,深证成指涨跌幅为 2.07%, 创业板指涨跌幅为 3.36%。 股市有风险,投资需谨慎。 请务必阅读最后特别声明与免责条款 www.ykzq.com 1 / 5 | 一、市场回顾 | 3 | | --- | --- | | 二、风险提示 | 3 | | 图表 1: | | --- | | 今日主要指数涨跌幅(%)及概念板块表现 3 | 策略点评 一、市场回顾 图表1:今日主要指数涨跌幅(%)及概念板块表现 二、风险提示 股市有风险,投资需谨慎 请务必阅读最后特别声明与免责条款 www.ykzq.com 3 ...
粤开市场日报20250819-20250819
Yuekai Securities· 2025-08-19 09:57
Market Overview - The major indices showed slight declines today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.02%, the Shenzhen Component down by 0.12%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.17% [2] - In terms of sector performance, the top-performing sectors included Comprehensive, Communication, and Food & Beverage, while the underperforming sectors were Pharmaceuticals & Biology, Coal, and Media [2] Concept Sector Performance - Overall, the concepts of consecutive boards, board hitting, and consumer electronics manufacturing performed relatively well, whereas Insurance, Photoresist, and Excavator concepts lagged behind [2]
粤开市场日报-20250819
Yuekai Securities· 2025-08-19 07:58
Market Overview - The main indices showed slight declines today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.02%, the Shenzhen Component down by 0.12%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.17% [1] - In terms of sector performance, the top-performing sectors included Comprehensive, Communication, and Food & Beverage, while the underperforming sectors were Pharmaceuticals & Biology, Coal, and Media [1] Concept Sector Performance - Overall, the concepts of consecutive boards, board hitting, and consumer electronics manufacturing performed relatively well, whereas Insurance, Photoresist, and Excavator concepts lagged behind [1]
粤开市场日报-20250815
Yuekai Securities· 2025-08-15 08:18
Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.83% to close at 3696.77 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 1.60% to 11634.67 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 2.61% to 2534.22 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 22446 billion, a decrease of 346 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - All sectors except for banking experienced gains today, with the leading sectors being comprehensive, non-bank financials, electric equipment, computer, and building materials, which rose by 3.92%, 3.16%, 2.85%, 2.34%, and 2.29% respectively [1] - The banking sector saw a decline of 1.46% [1] Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors included stock trading software, consecutive boards, power equipment, and semiconductor materials, among others [2][11]
粤开市场日报250807-20250807
Yuekai Securities· 2025-08-07 12:01
Market Overview - The major A-share indices showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.16% to close at 3639.67 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.18% to 11157.94 points, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.68% to 2342.86 points[2]. - A total of 2117 stocks rose, while 3084 stocks fell, with 216 stocks remaining unchanged across the market[2]. Trading Volume - The total trading volume for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 182.55 billion yuan, an increase of 9.14 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day[2]. Sector Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the leading sectors included non-ferrous metals (up 1.20%), beauty care (up 0.99%), real estate (up 0.82%), textile and apparel (up 0.81%), and transportation (up 0.73%)[2]. - The sectors that experienced declines included pharmaceuticals and biology (down 0.92%), electric equipment (down 0.74%), telecommunications (down 0.47%), national defense and military (down 0.39%), and household appliances (down 0.29%)[2]. Concept Stocks - The top-performing concept stocks today included continuous boards, rare earth permanent magnets, rare earths, IGBT, and third-generation semiconductors, among others[3].
粤开市场日报-20250807
Yuekai Securities· 2025-08-07 08:23
Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.16% to close at 3639.67 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.18% to 11157.94 points, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.68% to 2342.86 points [1][14] - Overall, there were 2117 stocks that rose and 3084 stocks that fell, with a total trading volume of 18255 billion yuan, an increase of 914 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the leading sectors included non-ferrous metals, beauty care, real estate, textile and apparel, and transportation, with respective gains of 1.20%, 0.99%, 0.82%, 0.81%, and 0.73% [1][14] - Conversely, the sectors that experienced declines included pharmaceuticals and biology, electric equipment, telecommunications, national defense and military, and household appliances, with respective losses of 0.92%, 0.74%, 0.47%, 0.39%, and 0.29% [1][14] Concept Sectors - The top-performing concept sectors today included continuous boards, rare earth permanent magnets, rare earths, IGBT, and third-generation semiconductors, among others [2][11] - Sectors that saw a pullback included CRO, innovative drugs, and vitamins [11]
粤开证券市场日报-20250806
Yuekai Securities· 2025-08-06 09:12
Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.45% closing at 3633.99 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.64% at 11177.78 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.66% at 2358.95 points [2][14] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 17341 billion, an increase of 1380 billion compared to the previous trading day [2] Industry Performance - Most of the Shenwan first-level industries experienced gains today, with the defense and military industry leading the way with a rise of 3.07%, followed by machinery equipment at 1.98%, coal at 1.89%, textile and apparel at 1.36%, and computer industry at 1.30% [2][16] - Conversely, the pharmaceutical and biological, construction materials, commercial retail, social services, and banking industries saw declines, with decreases of 0.65%, 0.23%, 0.23%, 0.19%, and 0.14% respectively [2][16] Sector Highlights - The top-performing concept sectors included continuous boards, the top ten military industrial groups, aircraft carriers, robotics, military-civilian integration, coal mining, industrial internet, chemical fibers, sensors, and machine vision [3] - Notable declines were observed in sectors such as Tibet revitalization, anti-cancer, and CRO [3]
粤开市场日报-20250806
Yuekai Securities· 2025-08-06 08:39
Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.45% closing at 3633.99 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.64% at 11177.78 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.66% at 2358.95 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 17341 billion yuan, an increase of 1380 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Most of the Shenwan first-level industries experienced gains today, with the leading sectors being defense and military, machinery and equipment, coal, textile and apparel, and computer industries, which rose by 3.07%, 1.98%, 1.89%, 1.36%, and 1.30% respectively [1] - Conversely, the pharmaceutical and biological, building materials, commercial retail, social services, and banking sectors saw declines, with decreases of 0.65%, 0.23%, 0.23%, 0.19%, and 0.14% respectively [1] Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included continuous boards, top ten military industrial groups, aircraft carriers, robots, and military-civilian integration, among others [2] - Notable declines were observed in sectors such as Tibet revitalization, anti-cancer, and CRO [11]
粤开市场日报250805-20250805
Yuekai Securities· 2025-08-05 08:54
Key Points - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that all major A-share indices experienced an increase today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.96% to close at 3617.60 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.59% to 11106.96 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.39% to 2343.38 points [2][13] - The report highlights that the total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 15961 billion yuan, which is an increase of 975 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] - It notes that all first-level industries in the Shenwan index rose today, with the leading sectors being comprehensive, banking, steel, media, and telecommunications, which saw increases of 1.98%, 1.59%, 1.45%, 1.28%, and 1.25% respectively [2][15] - The report also mentions that the concept sectors with the highest gains included first boards, board hitting, consecutive boards, consumer electronics OEM, photolithography glue, satellite internet, insurance, banking, satellite navigation, intelligent logistics, animal vaccines, excavators, and near-term new shares [2][16]