Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a strong upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 3900 points, indicating a recovery in market volume [2][5][13] - Key sectors leading the market include metals and mining (+6.96%), coal (+3.00%), public utilities (+2.65%), and electronics (+2.21%), while sectors such as social services (-1.67%) and media internet (-1.23%) saw declines [2][8][14] - The overall market performance showed the Shanghai Composite Index up by 1.32%, Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.47%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.73%, with total market turnover around 2.67 trillion yuan [2][8][14] Market Analysis - The market sentiment is strong as it is the first trading day after the National Day holiday, with upstream cyclical sectors like non-ferrous metals, steel, and coal leading the gains [8][14] - The technology sector, including solid-state batteries, humanoid robots, and semiconductors, also showed overall growth, driven by breakthroughs in controllable nuclear fusion technology [8][14] - The report highlights that the market is expected to maintain a "slow bull" trend, supported by ample micro liquidity and the influx of long-term capital [13][14] Sector Performance - The report identifies that the AI and robotics sectors are at a critical commercialization window, while traditional sectors face supply surplus issues, necessitating policy support for recovery [14] - The focus on technology growth includes attention to the "Double Innovation" and Hang Seng Technology Index, as well as sectors like lithium batteries, military industry, and chemicals [14] - Value sectors showing improving conditions include metals, gaming, and Hong Kong internet, with a focus on industries with rising revenue growth and gross margins [14]

证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2025 年 10 月 09 日 投资要点 分析师：孟之绪 执业编号：S0300524080001 电话： 邮箱：mengzhixu@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20251009 今日关注 今日主要指数涨跌幅：沪指涨跌幅为 1.32%，深证成指涨跌幅为 1.47%， 创业板指涨跌幅为 0.73%。 申万一级行业表现：有色金属、钢铁、煤炭在行业涨跌幅榜居前；汽车、 食品饮料、商贸零售在行业涨跌幅榜居后。 | 图表 1： | | --- | | 今日主要指数涨跌幅（%）及概念板块表现 3 | 概念板块表现：总体来看，稀土、稀有金属、钴矿概念表现相对较好； 影视、免税店、光刻胶概念表现相对较差。 风险提示 股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 请务必阅读最后特别声明与免责条款 www.ykzq.com 1 / 5 | 一、市场回顾 | 3 | | --- | --- | | 二、风险提示 | 3 | 策略点评 一、市场回顾 图表1：今日主要指数涨跌幅（%）及概念板块表现 二、风险提示 股市有风险，投资需谨慎 请务必阅读最后特别声明与免责条款 www.ykzq.com 3 / 5 资 ...

稀有金属概念股午后持续走强，西部超导涨20%，北方稀土、洛阳钼业、中矿资源涨超9%。 受盘面影响，跟踪中证稀有金属主题指数的ETF涨超6%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | | 涨跌 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 159608 | 稀有金属ETF | 0.992 | 0.063 | 6.78% | | 159671 | 稀有金属ETF基金 | 1.204 | 0.077 | 6.83% | | 562800 | 稀有金属ETF | 0.861 | 0.053 | 6.56% | | 561800 | 稀有金属ETF基金 | 0.918 | 0.055 | 6.37% | 中证稀有金属主题指数选取不超过50家业务涉及稀有金属采矿、冶炼和加工的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映稀有金 属主题上市公司证券的整体表现。 有券商表示，战略小金属储量有限、开采难度大且供给弹性不足，同时新能源、半导体、军工等下游需求快速增长，供需 矛盾加剧。在资源稀缺性持续凸显、需求结构升级及政策调控下，未来小金属价格有望延续上行趋势，具备资源储量优 势、技术壁垒及合规出口渠道的企业将持续 ...

Group 1: Liquidity and Performance of Rare Metal ETFs - The rare metal ETF had an intraday turnover of 9.93%, with a transaction volume of 258 million yuan [3] - As of September 30, the average daily transaction volume of the rare metal ETF over the past month was 207 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - Over the past three months, the rare metal ETF's scale increased by 1.611 billion yuan, also ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The ETF's net asset value increased by 9.15% over the past three years, with the highest monthly return since inception being 24.02% [3] - The longest consecutive monthly gain was five months, with a maximum increase of 66.25% and an average monthly return of 8.60% [3] Group 2: Government Involvement and Industry Dynamics - On October 6, the Trump administration discussed acquiring a stake in Critical Metals, potentially giving the U.S. direct ownership of Greenland's largest rare earth mining project [3] - The U.S. government has recently invested in lithium giant Lithium Americas and MP Materials, which owns the Mountain Pass rare earth mine [3] - There is a focus on rebuilding the domestic rare earth supply chain, although global production of rare earth permanent magnets remains highly concentrated in China [3] Group 3: Company Developments in Solid-State Battery Technology - Ganfeng Lithium is accelerating its layout in the solid-state battery sector, responding to numerous investor inquiries regarding technology routes, capacity planning, and commercialization progress [4] - The company announced breakthroughs in solid electrolyte research and pilot line yield data [4] Group 4: Top Holdings in Rare Metal Index - As of September 30, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Metal Theme Index accounted for 59.91% of the index, including Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Ganfeng Lithium [4] Group 5: Investment Opportunities - Investors can participate in the rare metal sector through the Rare Metal ETF linked fund (014111) [7]

龚启华介绍，中邮证券作为邮政集团金融板块的重要成员，依托邮政集团强大资源禀赋，坚定走"自营 +协同"特色化发展道路。2025年上半年，受托及管理资产5290亿元，投行执业质量达到A类，公司地方 政府债承销规模跻身行业第一方阵，在多省市债券销售利率创区域新低，发挥了扎实服务实体经济能力 的功能。他强调，中邮证券将持续发挥"投研+投行+投资"的联动优势，协同邮政金融板块围绕"四新"主 攻"四化"主战略、奋力实现"四区一高地"主定位和"六大产业基地"建设目标，为贵州新型工业化、数字 经济、绿色产业、国企改革等领域提供全方位金融支持。 新华社客户端贵阳9月25日电 9月25日，由中邮证券有限责任公司联合中国邮政集团有限公司贵州省分 公司、中国邮政储蓄银行贵州省分行共同举办的"邮政金融服务实体经济2025年度策略报告会"在贵阳市 贵州饭店国际会议中心成功举行。会议聚焦宏观经济走势、区域产业转型、债务化解、财富管理等热点 议题，汇聚政府代表、国有企业、上市公司、金融机构、城投公司及专精特新企业等300余位嘉宾，共 同探讨金融赋能贵州实体经济高质量发展路径。 本次会议是在贵州省委金融办的指导下，邮政金融体系整合证券、银行、 ...

Global Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,086, down 0.43% for the day but up 30.04% year-to-date [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.65% to 3,875, with a year-to-date increase of 15.62% [1] - The US markets saw the Dow Jones increase by 1.36% to 46,108, with a year-to-date gain of 8.38% [1] Sector Performance - In the Hong Kong market, the healthcare, energy, and consumer discretionary sectors led the decline, while materials, utilities, and industrials saw gains [3] - The semiconductor and rare metals sectors performed notably well, with significant inflows from southbound funds amounting to HKD 189.89 billion [3] Economic Indicators - The European Central Bank (ECB) maintained interest rates and revised down its inflation forecast for 2027 to 1.9% [3] - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a month-on-month increase of 0.4% and a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, aligning with market expectations [3] Investment Recommendations - Geely Automobile is rated as a "Buy" with a target price of HKD 25.00, representing a potential upside of 33% [4] - Luckin Coffee is also rated as a "Buy" with a target price of USD 44.95, indicating a 19% upside [4] - Semiconductor companies like Horizon Robotics and Beike Micro are rated as "Buy" with target prices of HKD 12.30 and HKD 93.00, respectively, showing potential upsides of 19% and 76% [4]

Core Insights - The rare metals theme index has shown a strong increase of 1.25%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Plating New Materials up 10.24% and China Rare Earth up 4.91% [1][4] - The rare metals ETF has experienced a notable increase in trading volume and net inflows, ranking first among comparable funds in terms of scale and share growth [3][4] Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 11, 2025, the rare metals theme index rose by 1.25%, with key stocks like Plating New Materials and China Rare Earth showing substantial gains [1] - The rare metals ETF recorded a trading turnover of 2.8% and a transaction volume of 68.57 million yuan, with a weekly average transaction of 241 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - Over the past year, the rare metals ETF's net value has increased by 87.53%, placing it in the top 12.70% of index equity funds [3] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The recent fluctuations in lithium carbonate futures prices have led to a decrease in spot prices, but demand is expected to rise with the upcoming peak season, indicating potential upward momentum for lithium prices [4] - The introduction of regulatory measures for rare earth mining and processing is seen as a positive factor, suggesting continued upward potential for the rare earth sector [4] - The top ten weighted stocks in the rare metals theme index account for 57.58% of the total index, highlighting key investment opportunities in companies like Northern Rare Earth and Ganfeng Lithium [4][6]

Market Overview - The main indices showed slight fluctuations today, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.13%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.38%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.27% [1] - Among the Shenwan first-level industry performances, the sectors of communication, electronics, and media led the gains, while non-ferrous metals, coal, and steel lagged behind [1] Concept Sector Performance - Overall, the Xinjiang revitalization, CRO, and circuit board concepts performed relatively well, while lithium mining, lithium iron phosphate batteries, and rare metals concepts showed weaker performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector is experiencing fluctuations, with the China Rare Metals Theme Index down by 2.08% as of September 2, 2025, while certain stocks like Zhuhai Group and China Rare Earth show positive gains [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The rare metals ETF (562800) has seen a weekly increase of 5.36% as of September 1, 2025, ranking it first among comparable funds [1]. - The ETF's trading volume reached 7.74% with a transaction value of 168 million yuan, and its average daily trading volume over the past week was 214 million yuan, also ranking first among comparable funds [3]. - The ETF's latest scale reached 2.2 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception, and its share count reached 2.814 billion, also a record high [3]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Returns - The rare metals ETF recorded a net inflow of 81.9564 million yuan, with four out of the last five trading days showing net inflows totaling 313 million yuan [3]. - Over the past year, the ETF's net value has increased by 90.48%, placing it in the top 12.31% among 2,990 index equity funds [3]. - The ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 24.02% since inception, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being four months and an average monthly return of 8.77% [3]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Policies - The rare earth industry is entering a traditional consumption peak season, with increased downstream demand driving up prices for rare earths, tungsten, and cobalt [4]. - Recent policies aimed at regulating the rare earth sector have heightened expectations for supply-side tightening, contributing to a rapid price recovery for rare earth products [4]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Metals Theme Index account for 57.58% of the index, with significant players including Northern Rare Earth and Luoyang Molybdenum [4][6].

Group 1: ETF Performance and Liquidity - The Rare Metals ETF has a turnover rate of 7.55% during trading, with a transaction volume of 158 million yuan [3] - As of August 29, the average daily transaction volume for the Rare Metals ETF over the past week is 204 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The latest scale of the Rare Metals ETF reached 2.082 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The latest share count for the Rare Metals ETF is 2.709 billion shares, also a new high since inception, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The latest net inflow of funds into the Rare Metals ETF is 116 million yuan, with a total of 315 million yuan net inflow over the past five trading days [3] Group 2: Performance Metrics - As of August 29, the net value of the Rare Metals ETF has increased by 90.98% over the past year, ranking 391 out of 2988 in the index stock fund category, placing it in the top 13.09% [3] - The highest monthly return since inception for the Rare Metals ETF is 24.02%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being four months and the longest cumulative gain being 58.56% [3] - The average return during the rising months is 8.77%, and the annualized excess return over the benchmark for the past three months is 15.27% [3] Group 3: Market Insights and Trends - According to Wenkang Securities, the limited reserves and high extraction difficulty of strategic minor metals, combined with rapidly growing downstream demand in sectors like new energy, semiconductors, and military industry, are intensifying supply-demand conflicts [4] - The ongoing scarcity of resources, demand structure upgrades, and policy adjustments are expected to sustain an upward trend in minor metal prices, benefiting companies with resource advantages, technical barriers, and compliant export channels [4] - As of August 29, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index include Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, Salt Lake Industry, Huayou Cobalt, Tianqi Lithium, Ganfeng Lithium, China Rare Earth, Shenghe Resources, Zhongmin Resources, and Xiamen Tungsten, collectively accounting for 57.58% of the index [4]