通胀率调控

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俄央行下调基准利率至17%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 12:51
俄央行表示,截至9月8日,俄年化通胀率为8.2%。在现行货币政策下,2025年年化通胀率将降至6.0% 到7.0%,2026年将降至4.0%的目标通胀水平。 今年6月和7月,俄央行先后下调基准利率至20%、18%。此前,俄央行连续数月将基准利率维持在21% 水平。(完) 新华社莫斯科9月12日电(记者黄河)俄罗斯中央银行12日发布公告,宣布下调基准利率100个基点至 17%。这是今年以来俄央行连续第三次下调基准利率。 公告说,当前物价增长指标整体保持稳定,经济活动也保持向均衡增长路径回归趋势。俄央行将维持适 度从紧货币政策,促使通胀率2026年回归目标水平。 ...
美联储7月议息会议要点速览:连续第五次维持利率不变,尚未就9月利率做出任何决定
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 01:50
Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve has maintained the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.5%, marking the fifth consecutive time this year it has held rates steady [1] - The voting results for the rate decision were 9 in favor, 2 against, with one member absent; this is the first time since 1993 that two members have opposed the rate decision [1] - Powell stated that no decision has been made regarding the September rate, and they will consider economic information before the next meeting [1] Inflation - Core inflation is influenced by tariffs, with estimates suggesting that 30% to 40% of core inflation may stem from these tariffs [2] - The inflation rate is slightly above the target, but the economy remains solid despite uncertainties [3] - The committee is committed to achieving maximum employment and restoring inflation to the 2% target [4] Economic Outlook - Recent indicators suggest a slowdown in U.S. economic activity during the first half of the year, influenced by fluctuations in net exports [5] - Economic growth is projected to slow to 1.2% in the first half of 2025, down from 2.5% last year [6] - The Federal Reserve reiterated that uncertainty regarding the economic outlook remains high, having removed previous language indicating that uncertainty had diminished [7] Financial Markets - The committee will continue to reduce its holdings of Treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities [8] Tariffs - Some prices of goods have begun to reflect the impact of higher tariffs more clearly, but the overall effect of tariffs on economic activity and inflation is still under observation [9] - Core PCE in June may have increased by 2.7% year-over-year, with tariffs pushing up prices of certain goods, while long-term inflation expectations remain aligned with the 2% target [10]