油价本周一下探61.60一线后强势反弹，连续三个交易日收阳，周五冲高受阻于66.40一线后大幅回落，最终收了一根带上影线的阴线，油价短线有回调的迹 象，下方关注61.5-62区域的支撑。四小时线，油价周五冲高66.40一线后回落幅度比较大，目前布林带三轨收口，KDJ死叉后向下发散运行，MACD有形成 死叉的迹象，短线走势开始转弱。 来源：许安鸿 美元指数本周整体呈现"先弱后强"的格局，行情驱动主要来自对美联储降息预期的再定价和宏观数据的超预期表现。周初连续收跌主要因为投资者重新定价 美联储降息路径；从周三起，美债收益率企稳，加之美国二季度GDP大幅上修，初请人数骤降，美指连续走强，周四创近三周新高，周五收于98.18。黄金 价格本周波动显著。整体看，现货黄金在创新高后承压回落，但依旧维持在3700美元上方的强势区间。金价盘中最高突破3790美元关口，周三在强美元打压 下快速下挫。最终连续第六周录得上涨，收于3760.53美元/盎司。 本周的新闻流完全对黄金不利，但它仍然上涨了。所以本周黄金市场传递出的信息是，不需要更弱的美元或美联储大幅降息来维持黄金的涨势。在连续几周 强劲上涨之后，本周黄金多头一直屏住呼吸。 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, indicating a slowdown in future rate cuts and anticipating "considerably high inflation" in the coming months, which led to the dollar index rising to 99 before closing at 98.89, up 0.05% [1] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.397%, while the 2-year yield was at 3.952%, reflecting initial declines followed by increases [1] - Gold prices fell by 0.60% to $3368.49 per ounce, influenced by geopolitical risks and tariff-driven inflation concerns stemming from Trump's aggressive tariff agenda [1] Group 2 - Gold prices experienced a significant drop after reaching above $3450, falling over 1% and hitting a low of $3370, indicating a likely continuation of downward adjustments towards the $3290 support level [3] - The market is currently focused on geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the implications of Trump's tariffs, which are expected to influence gold price movements [3] - Oil prices saw a sharp increase of over 13% last Friday, surpassing $77, but subsequently fell back to around $73, with expectations of continued volatility unless geopolitical tensions escalate further [5] Group 3 - The oil market is primarily affected by the conflict with Iran, raising concerns about potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, which could impact nearly 20% of global oil transport [3] - OPEC+ is currently in a phase of accelerated production increases, contributing to supply pressures in the oil market, which may lead to significant selling pressure if conflicts ease [5] - The recommendation for trading strategies suggests focusing on short positions in the oil market, particularly in the $74-$74.50 range, anticipating a drop to $69.50-$70 [5]