12月10日，和讯投顾李景峰表示，站在当前位置，创业板指已连续三天远离5日均线，有回调预期。恰 好赶上美联储周三晚上、周四凌晨的议息会议，在这个时间点，资金会选择谨慎观望。远离均线会增加 获利盘，遇到压力位会增加套牢盘，都有增加卖盘的预期，所以今天回调正是前两天所说的节奏，即远 离均线后回靠5日均线。大家注意到没，这两天直播时我连续提到，港股已提前回调，原因是美联储降 息利好落地，因为大家都知道此次降息后，下一次降息概率可能降低。同时，站在这个窗口期，美股包 括纳斯达克指数、道琼斯指数都已提前反映了降息预期，降息落地就意味着利好兑现，美股也是走强后 靠5日线、10日线的节奏。此时若硬让A股上涨，并不现实，我们应对市场宽容一些，让它适当休息， 否则市场"累趴下"对我们更不利。所以我认为，目前回调不是坏现象，按照我讲的大框架，市场应是走 强、回调、再走强、再回调的节奏，这个位置应有一个五浪结构，奔着上轨去。美联储降息落地后，短 时间利好兑现，未来新预期减少，但市场跌得差不多后，自然会寻找机会，比如春季躁动行情预期、险 资加仓预期，险资风险因子下降，必然会主动寻找加仓时机，像易中天等方向，最近就有险资加仓，中 和e ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a strong performance in the Chinese stock market, particularly in the low volatility dividend index and specific stocks like China Media and PetroChina [1] - The low volatility dividend ETF has shown a cumulative increase of 3.79% over the past month, indicating positive market sentiment [1] - Insurance capital has been increasingly investing in the stock market, with a 14% growth in the number of shares held by insurance institutions by the end of Q3, totaling over 650 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - The trend of insurance capital moving from large state-owned banks to high-quality regional banks is evident, with institutions like China Life and Taikang Life entering the top ten shareholders of several regional banks [2] - A-share market shows a calendar effect, suggesting that November to January could be a favorable period for both active and long-term investors [3] - The downward trend in interest rates is expected to enhance the absolute returns of dividend assets, particularly in a market lacking strong fundamental trends [3]

Core Viewpoint - Insurance capital has entered a "buying" mode in equity investments this year, with detailed layouts emerging following the disclosure of A-share listed companies' Q3 reports [1] Group 1: Insurance Capital Investment Trends - By the end of Q3, the number of A-share circulating stocks heavily held by insurance capital increased by 19% compared to the end of last year, with the market value rising by 18% [2] - Insurance capital's heavy holdings in A-shares saw a 14% increase in stock quantity and a market value exceeding 650 billion yuan by the end of Q3 [3] - Financial stocks remain a cornerstone for insurance capital investments, with holdings in this sector exceeding 300 billion yuan, accounting for nearly 50% of total holdings [3] Group 2: New Heavy Holdings - Over 300 new stocks were heavily invested in by insurance capital in Q3, with a total market value exceeding 100 billion yuan [5] - The manufacturing sector accounted for the highest proportion of new heavy holdings, with over 200 stocks and a market value exceeding 450 billion yuan [5] - Significant new investments were made in strategic emerging industries and high-tech manufacturing, including semiconductors and medical devices [5] Group 3: Investment Returns and Performance - The increase in equity asset holdings has led to substantial returns, contributing to record-high profits for insurance companies [7] - For instance, China Life reported a net profit of 167.8 billion yuan in Q3, a 60.5% year-on-year increase, with total investment income reaching 368.6 billion yuan [7] - The growth in profits is attributed to the strategic entry of long-term funds into the market, capitalizing on favorable capital market conditions in Q3 [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent volatility in the micro-cap market, particularly the significant drop in the North Exchange 50 index, attributing it to various factors including market sentiment, high valuations, and the impact of specific stocks [1][2][4]. Summary by Sections Market Volatility - The North Exchange 50 index experienced a drop of 6.15%, marking it as the 10th largest single-day decline in its three-year history, with six days in 2024 alone seeing declines over 6% [1][2]. Reasons for Market Movement - Increasing warnings about micro-cap risks from fund managers have led to some investors taking profits, especially after the North Exchange 50 reached a historical high [2]. - The current valuations are notably high, with the North Exchange 50 at a rolling P/E ratio of 76, the China 2000 at 136, and the Sci-Tech 50 at 140, all at extreme levels compared to historical data [2]. - The significant drop in the largest component stock, Jinbo Biological, which fell by approximately 15%, has heavily influenced market sentiment, despite its year-to-date increase of 140% [2]. Future Market Pressures - The potential reopening of A-share IPOs is seen as a significant future pressure on the micro-cap market, which has thrived in a favorable speculative environment due to low funding rates and limited IPOs [4][5]. Supportive Market Conditions - The micro-cap market has benefited from low funding rates, restricted IPOs, and a lack of institutional investment, allowing it to flourish despite the absence of significant public fund inflows [5]. - Recent regulatory changes, such as the revised Major Asset Restructuring Management Measures, have positively impacted the shell value of micro-cap stocks [5]. IPO Policy Changes - The article highlights a shift in policy towards supporting high-quality, unprofitable tech companies for IPOs, indicating a trend towards more flexible and inclusive listing regulations [7][8]. - The introduction of a new mechanism for adjusting the pace of new stock issuances suggests that the current high valuations in the micro-cap sector may lead to increased supply in the near future [9][12]. Insurance Sector Investment - The insurance sector has significantly increased its equity investments, with a total of 220 billion yuan allocated, indicating a strong shift towards high-dividend blue-chip stocks [15][16]. Monetary Policy - The central bank's decision to exceed the MLF renewal by 3.75 trillion yuan indicates a net injection of liquidity into the market, which may influence bond market dynamics [17][18].