12月5日，A股保险股集体大涨，其中，中国太保（601601）以6.85%的涨幅居首。同时，中国平安上涨 5.88%，中国人保（601319）上涨4.92%，中国人寿（601628）上涨4.61%，新华保险（601336）上涨 4.57%。 同时，港股保险股午后进一步拉升，收盘时，中国太平涨超7%，中国平安涨近7%，中国人寿涨超5%。 具体来看，中信证券表示，保险行业已从资产负债表衰退叙事中率先走向良性扩张，周期向好正式确 立，预计2026年向上趋势进一步加强分红险销售持续向好。具体体现在以下四个方面：一是资产负债表 良性扩张。行业净资产从2024年初2.7万亿元增至2025年9月的3.7万亿元，保险行业总资产从31.8万亿元 增至40.4万亿元，权益乘数从11.9倍降至10.8倍。同时，严监管推动利差（预定利率动态调整）与费差 （全渠道"报行合一"）改革，破解内卷竞争。 保险股集体大涨，有何利好因素？业内人士认为，消息面、基本面和政策面三大利好齐发，加上12月5 日大盘整体情绪较高，共同推动保险股集体大涨。 摩根士丹利放利好 12月5日，一则利好消息在业内广泛传播。 摩根士丹利将中国平安纳入重点关注名单，维 ...

政策方面，严监管措施分利差与费差两大维度持续推进，强力破解行业持续多年的内卷式竞争模式：从 利差看，自2023年上半年监管启动预定利率窗口指导以来，新一轮预定利率调降拉开序幕，此后2024年 正式建立预定利率动态调整机制，对防范利差损风险起到重要作用；从费差看，2023年以来监管借鉴车 险"报行合一"的成功经验，致力于推动人身险全渠道"报行合一"，综合整治内卷式费用竞争，对于引导 行业弱化费用竞争、聚焦价值创造、重视客户利益具有重要意义。 智通财经APP获悉，中信证券发布研报称，保险行业已从资产负债表衰退叙事中率先走向良性扩张，周 期向好正式确立，预计2026年向上趋势进一步加强，体现为：净资产恢复并维持较快增长、分红险作为 主力产品更加畅销、银保渠道份额集中和总量增长仍然具有很大空间、险资作为耐心资本主力，目前资 产结构正受益于债券利率低位波动、股市慢牛的市场格局。从选股角度看，保险股阿尔法和贝塔兼具， 建议重点关注保单价值率高、新业务价值增长好、重视高股息资产配置带来收益稳定向好的公司。 中信证券主要观点如下： 严监管、反内卷推动保险公司资产负债表良性扩张。 险资增配权益是长期趋势，成为权益市场重要增量资 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 132.86 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.5% [1] - The new business value reached 35.72 billion yuan, with a comparable year-on-year growth of 46.2% [1] Financial Performance - The cumulative profit growth was primarily impacted by one-time events, including the revaluation of convertible bonds and the inclusion of Ping An Good Doctor and Ping An Health Technology in the consolidated financial statements, resulting in a total one-time impact of -9.35 billion yuan [2] - The non-annualized comprehensive investment return rate improved by 1.0 percentage point to 5.4%, positioning the company among the industry leaders [2] New Business Development - The new business value growth was driven by an improvement in the new business value rate, which increased by 7.6 percentage points to 25.2% (on a comparable basis) [2] - The new single premium increased by 2.3%, and it is anticipated that the pace of future interest rate reductions in the industry will slow down, with "volume" becoming the main source of value growth [2] Agency Channel Performance - The number of individual insurance agents increased to 354,000 by the end of the third quarter, up from 340,000 in the first half of the year, marking two consecutive quarters of growth [3] - The productivity of the agent workforce improved significantly, with per capita new business value increasing by 29.9% year-on-year [3] - The company is focusing on high-quality team building and expects the agent scale to stabilize, while also diversifying channels that contributed 35.1% of new business value in the first three quarters [3] Property and Casualty Insurance - The property and casualty insurance segment achieved a premium income of 256.25 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.1% [4] - The combined cost ratio for property and casualty insurance improved by 0.8 percentage points to 97.0%, attributed to reduced natural disasters and enhanced operational efficiency [4] Industry Outlook - The industry is undergoing a valuation reconstruction, with significant upward potential for the company [4] - The company is advancing channel reforms and focusing on supply-side innovation, particularly in health and comprehensive financial services, which is expected to strengthen its product and pricing barriers in the future [4] - The current PEV valuation for 2025 stands at 0.71 times, indicating substantial recovery potential [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][9]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the logic behind increasing equity allocation and scale growth for insurance assets has been validated, with a positive outlook for the asset side in the short term and a potential revaluation of industry profitability and valuations in the medium to long term. The company is actively pursuing channel reforms and focusing on supply-side innovation, particularly in healthcare and comprehensive financial services, which are expected to enhance its product and pricing barriers in the future. The current PEV valuation for 2025 is 0.71 times, indicating significant room for recovery [2][6][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 132.86 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.5%. The new business value reached 35.72 billion yuan, with a comparable year-on-year growth of 46.2% [6][12]. New Business Value Growth - The new business value accelerated, with a year-on-year growth rate of 46.2%. The improvement in new business value rate was the main contributor to this growth, with new single premiums increasing by 2.3% and the new business value rate (first-year premium) rising by 7.6 percentage points to 25.2% [12][17]. Individual Agent Channel - The number of individual insurance agents increased to 354,000 by the end of the third quarter, up from 340,000 in the first half of the year, marking two consecutive quarters of growth. The productivity of the agent workforce also improved, with per capita new business value increasing by 29.9% year-on-year [12][17]. Property and Casualty Insurance - The property and casualty insurance segment achieved a premium income of 256.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%. The combined cost ratio improved by 0.8 percentage points to 97.0%, attributed to reduced natural disasters and enhanced operational efficiency [12][17]. Industry Valuation - The report notes that the industry is undergoing a valuation reconstruction, with ample upward potential for the company. The ongoing channel reforms and focus on supply-side innovation are expected to strengthen the company's competitive position in the market [12][17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The logic behind increasing equity allocation and scale growth has been validated, with a positive outlook for the asset side in the short term and potential revaluation of industry profitability and valuation in the medium to long term. The company is continuously advancing channel reforms, emphasizing supply-side innovation, and deepening its involvement in healthcare and comprehensive financial services, which are expected to help build future product and pricing barriers [2][12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 68.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 8.8%. The new business value reached 22.34 billion yuan, showing a comparable year-on-year growth of 39.8% [6][12] New Business Value - The new business value growth was primarily driven by an improvement in the new business value rate, which increased from 17.3% to 26.1% on a comparable basis. The new single premium decreased by 7.2% to 85.57 billion yuan [12] Distribution Channels - The individual insurance agent count decreased by 6.3% to 340,000, likely due to a 17.3% decline in agent income. However, the per capita new business value improved by 21.6%. The bank insurance channel's new business value grew by 168.6%, with new single premiums increasing by 77.6% [12] Property and Casualty Insurance - The company achieved a property and casualty insurance premium of 171.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%. The auto insurance premium was 108.61 billion yuan, up 3.6%, while the new energy vehicle insurance premium reached 21.7 billion yuan, growing by 46.2% [12] Asset Allocation - The equity allocation increased from 7.6% in 2024 to 10.5%, while the bond exposure decreased from 61.7% to 60.8%. The real estate exposure was reduced from 3.5% to 3.3% [12] Valuation - The current PEV valuation for 2025 is 0.68 times, indicating significant room for recovery [2][12]