Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the wind power sector is expected to break the cyclical pattern and maintain growth in 2026, driven by both onshore and offshore wind energy expansion globally, with a focus on green energy applications [10][12] - The report identifies four main investment themes for 2026: 1) Resonance of policies between China and Europe for offshore wind, 2) Green energy catalyzing non-electric utilization, 3) Profitability elasticity of major manufacturers, and 4) Sustained demand in the components sector [10][16] Group 1: Industry Overview - In 2025, the wind power sector faced cyclical pressures, but by the third quarter, the relative advantages of wind power became more pronounced due to policy impacts on the electricity market and non-electric utilization, leading to a projected double-digit growth in installed capacity for 2026 [10][20] - The report forecasts that installed capacity for onshore and offshore wind in 2026 will reach approximately 110 GW and 10 GW respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 10% and 25% [20][41] Group 2: Key Companies and Profitability Forecasts - The report highlights several key companies with investment ratings, including: - Goldwind Technology (002202.SZ) with a buy rating and projected EPS growth from 0.42 in 2024 to 1.16 in 2026 [7] - Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) also rated as buy, with EPS expected to rise from 1.47 in 2024 to 3.03 in 2026 [7] - New Strong Link (300850.SZ) rated as buy, with EPS projected to increase from 0.18 in 2024 to 2.92 in 2026 [7] - The profitability of major manufacturers is expected to improve significantly, with the average bidding price for main units increasing by 7.4% in 2025, and a high proportion of high-price orders expected to continue into 2026 [10][13] Group 3: Offshore Wind Development - The report notes that both Europe and China are emerging from a low point in offshore wind development, with a significant increase in project approvals and construction expected to drive growth in 2026 [10][56] - The offshore wind policy in China is evolving, with a focus on deep-sea technology and a significant number of projects expected to be initiated, which will enhance demand for high-voltage cables and other components [10][56] Group 4: Component Sector Dynamics - The demand for wind turbine components is projected to remain strong, with expectations of over 20,000 turbines needed annually during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, indicating a recovery from previous supply chain constraints [10][44] - The report suggests that component manufacturers will benefit from increased capacity utilization and the introduction of new technologies, with specific companies recommended for investment, including New Strong Link and Delijia [10][13]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for non-electric utilization to address the consumption issues of renewable energy, with recent policies highlighting this approach [1][27] - The National Energy Administration has proposed expanding the utilization pathways for renewable energy, including incorporating green methanol into the renewable energy non-electric consumption assessment system [1][27] - The investment in power generation has significantly outpaced that in the grid during the early stages of the 14th Five-Year Plan, but grid investment is expected to accelerate in the later stages to improve renewable energy consumption [1][26] Group 2 - Wind turbine manufacturers are transitioning their business models from asset turnover to full-chain operations, with companies like Goldwind and Envision investing in wind-to-hydrogen and methanol projects [2] - The long-term trend of carbon reduction is confirmed despite delays in the implementation of the IMO net-zero framework, with rising carbon prices expected to enhance the comparative advantage of wind-to-green methanol production [2][36] - The demand for offshore wind energy in Europe is anticipated to increase, with supply constraints in cables and infrastructure favoring Chinese manufacturers [3] Group 3 - The wind power industry is experiencing significant growth, with cumulative installed capacity reaching 590 million kW by October 2025, a year-on-year increase of 21.4% [5] - The average single-unit capacity of newly installed wind turbines has increased to 6046 kW, reflecting a slowdown in the pursuit of larger turbine sizes [13] - The financial performance of wind power equipment companies has generally improved, with 37 out of 42 selected companies reporting revenue growth year-on-year [16] Group 4 - The investment in non-electric utilization is expected to drive value reconstruction for manufacturers, with a focus on green hydrogen and methanol production [4][29] - Major projects in green hydrogen and methanol production are being developed, such as Goldwind's 500,000-ton green methanol project in Inner Mongolia [29] - The overall cash flow from operating activities for wind power equipment has shown significant improvement, indicating a positive trend in financial health [20]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the significant growth of renewable energy installations, with wind and solar power exceeding thermal power for the first time, reaching a total installed capacity of 1.71 billion kilowatts by Q3 2025, accounting for 46% of total capacity, up 6.4 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The report outlines the importance of renewable energy consumption and its integration into the power system as a key focus for the 14th and 15th Five-Year Plans, aiming for a new energy system that supports high proportions of renewable energy by 2035 [2] Group 1: Green Electricity Consumption - The introduction of the green electricity direct connection policy allows renewable energy sources to supply electricity directly to users, bypassing the traditional grid, which is expected to enhance local consumption and address international carbon trade barriers [4] - Data centers are identified as a significant growth area for energy demand, with the green electricity direct connection policy providing a cost-effective energy supply solution, fostering the development of virtual power plants and energy storage [4] - The report highlights the potential for energy storage projects to evolve from grid stability to active demand-side management due to the green electricity direct connection policy [4] Group 2: Non-Electric Utilization - The inclusion of renewable energy non-electric consumption in national assessments marks a significant policy shift, with targets set for renewable energy heating, hydrogen production, and biofuels [6] - Renewable energy heating and cooling solutions are positioned as quantifiable pathways for industrial sectors reliant on thermal energy, with molten salt storage technology expected to enhance solar thermal power generation [6] - The report notes the accelerating decarbonization of the global transportation sector, with biofuels like green methanol and SAF gaining traction, presenting substantial growth opportunities [6] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on coal-fired power companies as they adapt to changing pricing structures, with attention on long-term contract prices expected to stabilize profitability [7] - Hydropower is highlighted as a scarce asset with long-term investment value due to limited development space, recommending specific companies for investment [7] - Nuclear power is expected to maintain long-term growth despite short-term pressures from tax policy changes, with several new projects set to come online by 2027 [7] Group 4: Market Performance - The environmental sector has outperformed the market, with the environmental index rising by 16.94% year-to-date compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 16.02% increase [13] - The report indicates that the power sector's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.455 trillion yuan, a slight decline of 2.21% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 3.89% to 175.6 billion yuan [16] - Coal-fired power companies have benefited from falling coal prices, with a reported revenue of 905.8 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 15.83% [20]