总冠名： 海目星激光 年会特别赞助： 大族锂电 专场冠名： 英联复合集流体、逸飞激光、华视集团、欧科工业空调 金球奖全程特约赞助： 思客琦 时间&地点： 2025年11月18-20日 深圳前海华侨城JW万豪酒店 会议合作： 陈女士 13560731836（微信同号） 2025（第十五届）高工锂电年会 暨十五周年庆典&高工金球奖颁奖典礼 主办单位： 高工锂电、高工产研（GGII） 协办单位： 卡洛维德 倒计时58天 上篇的分析确立了一个基本事实：在储能与动力电池结构性需求的双重驱动下，中国锂电行业已正 式进入新一轮资本开支周期。 然而，若将此轮扩张简单视为上一轮周期的重复，将是一个严重的误判。 事实上，与2020-2021年那场以规模为核心的"产能军备竞赛"相比，本轮投资浪潮在地域布局、 技术内涵和产业生态上，都呈现出截然不同的新范式。 这些新范式不仅揭示了龙头企业在后价格战时代的生存智慧与战略远见，更预示着中国锂电产业正 从粗放的规模增长，迈向一个以全球化、高技术和产业链协同为核心的高质量发展阶段。 全球化：从"中国制造"到"全球布局" 本轮资本开支最显著的外部特征，是从聚焦本土转向了全球多点开花。 中国企业 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to falling prices of titanium dioxide despite a slight increase in sales volume [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 13.342 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.385 billion yuan, down 19.53% [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company recorded revenue of 6.282 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 3.50% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.01%, with a net profit of 699 million yuan, down 9.24% year-on-year but up 1.90% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Industry Overview - The domestic titanium dioxide industry operated steadily in the first half of 2025, with a total production of 2.305 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.37% year-on-year. The apparent consumption increased by 2.88% to 1.4281 million tons [2]. - The company produced 682,200 tons of titanium dioxide in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.02%, with sales of 612,000 tons, up 2.08% year-on-year [2]. Price Dynamics - The average price of rutile titanium dioxide in the first half of 2025 was 14,418 yuan per ton, down 11.03% year-on-year. The price gap for titanium dioxide narrowed significantly by 26.58% to 7,083 yuan per ton due to rising sulfur prices [2]. Strategic Initiatives - In response to deteriorating trade conditions, the company is actively pursuing an overseas expansion strategy to mitigate the impact of anti-dumping measures on its exports. This includes establishing new factories abroad to be closer to end markets [3]. - The company maintains a strong position in the titanium dioxide and sponge titanium markets, with a production capacity of 1.51 million tons per year for titanium dioxide and 80,000 tons per year for sponge titanium, ranking among the top globally [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.837 billion yuan, 3.532 billion yuan, and 4.307 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 1.19, 1.48, and 1.81 yuan, and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 16, 13, and 11 times respectively [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure, but it is actively expanding overseas production capacity while waiting for market recovery [5] - The company reported a revenue of 133.42 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.85 billion yuan, down 19.53% year-on-year [7] - The company is facing challenges due to a decline in titanium dioxide prices, but it maintains a strong position in the titanium dioxide and sponge titanium markets, with a total production capacity of 1.51 million tons per year for titanium dioxide [7] - The company is implementing an overseas expansion strategy to mitigate the impact of anti-dumping measures on its exports [7] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 28.37 billion yuan, 35.32 billion yuan, and 43.07 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.19 yuan, 1.48 yuan, and 1.81 yuan [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 275.13 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 2.8%, and net profit is expected to be 21.68 billion yuan, down 32.8% year-on-year [6] - The company’s titanium dioxide production for the first half of 2025 was 682,200 tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.02% [7] Market Position - The company has a leading position in the titanium dioxide and sponge titanium markets, with significant production capacities [7] - The company is expanding its upstream titanium ore resources to strengthen its supply chain [7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in profitability, with net profit growth projected at 30.9% in 2025 and 24.4% in 2026 [6][7] - The company’s integrated supply chain and strong market position are expected to support its long-term growth [7]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The discussion revolves around the **Chinese manufacturing industry** and its strategic shift towards **capacity relocation** in response to rising trade tensions and geopolitical challenges [1][2][5][6][8]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Trade Surplus and Capacity Relocation**: China faces a high trade surplus, prompting the need for capacity relocation to mitigate trade friction and adjust the domestic economic structure. Industries with higher overseas revenue ratios tend to have better Return on Equity (ROE) [1][2][8]. - **Impact of Globalization Trends**: The increasing trend of de-globalization, characterized by rising tariffs and geopolitical conflicts, necessitates a shift in supply chain strategies towards regionalization and localization. Chinese companies must optimize their supply chains and expand overseas to maintain competitiveness [1][6][8]. - **Labor Cost Dynamics**: The diminishing labor cost advantage in China and intense domestic competition make capacity relocation a viable solution. Foreign markets show higher tolerance for Chinese capacity relocation compared to product exports [1][8][9]. - **Lessons from Japan**: Japan's historical experience in the 1980s, where it successfully addressed trade issues through overseas direct investment (OFDI), serves as a model for China. Japanese companies improved profitability and supported technological advancements through profit repatriation from overseas subsidiaries [1][10][11]. - **Industry Selection for Capacity Relocation**: A scoring model was developed to evaluate industries suitable for capacity relocation based on urgency, overseas demand potential, and industry lifecycle. Key sectors identified include high-tech electronics, renewable energy equipment, and certain consumer goods [4][17]. Additional Important Insights - **Challenges of Exporting vs. Relocating Capacity**: The current tariff landscape poses significant challenges for Chinese exports, with countries like the U.S. imposing average tariffs of approximately 40% since 2018. This has led to an increase in anti-dumping investigations against Chinese products [5][6]. - **Employment Implications**: Capacity relocation can alleviate domestic employment pressures, as seen in Japan, where overseas employment has significantly increased. This trend indicates a need for more long-term expatriate staff to manage overseas operations [13][15]. - **Service Industry Growth**: The shift from manufacturing to production-related services is emerging as a trend, with increased demand for technical services and support as companies invest abroad. This transition highlights the importance of service sectors in offsetting manufacturing job losses [16]. Conclusion - The strategic shift towards capacity relocation is essential for Chinese companies to navigate the current global trade environment. By learning from Japan's experiences and focusing on high-potential industries, China can enhance its competitiveness and adapt to the evolving economic landscape [1][11][17].

Group 1 - The cement industry is experiencing a stabilization in mid-term performance, with leading companies accelerating strategic mergers and acquisitions to enhance industry concentration in response to weakening demand and intensified competition [1][5] - Huaxin Cement has completed the acquisition of 83.81% of Lafarge Africa in Nigeria for $773.86 million, aiming to strengthen its market presence in Africa [2][3] - The overall performance of the cement industry is expected to improve in the first half of 2025, driven by rising cement prices and declining coal costs, with several companies reporting year-on-year profit growth [1][2] Group 2 - Huaxin Cement's overseas cement business revenue reached 4.128 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.37%, contributing nearly 60% to the company's net profit [2] - The company plans to integrate its overseas assets into a new subsidiary for potential overseas listing, which is expected to enhance its competitiveness in global capital markets [3] - The acquisition of Lafarge Africa is seen as a strategic move to enhance Huaxin Cement's brand influence and operational capacity in West Africa [3] Group 3 - The domestic market is also witnessing accelerated regional consolidation, with Western Cement selling its assets in Xinjiang to Conch Cement for 1.65 billion yuan, which has received unconditional approval [5] - Conch Cement aims to enhance its market position by acquiring quality assets in low-concentration areas, with a market share of approximately 14% as of the first half of 2025 [6] - The industry is expected to face a downward trend in the coming years, but companies remain optimistic about market recovery due to infrastructure projects and improved supply-demand dynamics [6][7] Group 4 - The industry is at a critical stage where policies and market forces are working together to control new capacity and optimize production [7] - Companies are hopeful that the traditional peak season starting in September will improve supply-demand relationships and stabilize cement prices [7]

Group 1 - The current market discussion around AI computing power requires further observation, with a preference for investing in areas with clear future profit potential [1] - From the perspective of the Kondratiev wave cycle, the best-performing sectors from 2021 to 2024 are upstream resource products, such as Zijin Mining, PetroChina, Sinopec, and coal [1] - The current cycle has been extended to 6-7 years, indicating that upstream resource products will still have explosive profit potential until 2026-2027 [1] Group 2 - By 2027-2028, Chinese manufacturing enterprises are expected to generate excess returns, increasing the number of Chinese companies in the Fortune Global 500 from 100 to 300 [2] - The process of competing globally will take 3-5 years for companies to establish overseas production capacity and marketing systems, which is why manufacturing was not prioritized post-2020 [2] - The recent strong performance of major banks suggests a potential expectation of financial capital output, possibly leading to a second expansion of bank balance sheets [2] Group 3 - The past 2-3 years have seen significant capital construction by many excellent manufacturing companies overseas, which are about to enter a harvest period [2] - The potential for a financial expansion similar to the U.S. Marshall Plan could create a large offshore financial market [2] - The opportunities for ordinary investors lie in high-quality assets from "catch-up countries," particularly index stocks, contributing to the potential for a significant bull market [2]

Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 972 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 113 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 505 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 68 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3% [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1 yuan for every 10 shares [1] Group 2: Industry Position and Product Development - The company is a global leader in cellulose ether, which is widely used in construction materials, pharmaceuticals, food, aerospace, and new energy batteries [2] - The company established a subsidiary, Hershey, in 2014 to enter the plant capsule industry, achieving an integrated supply chain from cellulose ether to plant capsules [2] - By the end of 2024, the company's production capacity for cellulose ether and plant capsules is expected to reach 74,000 tons and 35 billion capsules, respectively, with an additional 15 billion capsules under construction [2] Group 3: Market Expansion and Strategic Initiatives - In the first half of 2025, the company's export revenue accounted for 65% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 9% to 630 million yuan, and the gross margin for exports is significantly higher than for domestic sales [2] - In May 2025, the company signed an exclusive agency agreement with Univar Solutions to expand its pharmaceutical-grade cellulose ether distribution to Europe, accelerating its global layout [2] - The company is responding to the U.S. anti-dumping measures by planning to invest in a plant capsule project in the U.S. with a capacity of 20 billion capsules per year, with an investment not exceeding 500 million yuan [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 221 million, 339 million, and 427 million yuan, respectively, and has initiated coverage with a "recommend" rating [4]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 1.96 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 34.1%, and net profit of 110 million yuan, up 15.9% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Brand and Marketing Strategy - The company has undergone a comprehensive upgrade of its brand power, establishing a brand division and enhancing brand architecture, visual identity, product design, and marketing strategies [2] - The revenue from the company's top ten core brands exceeded 1 billion yuan, accounting for over 50% of total revenue for the first time [2] - The company received recognition as one of the "Top 50 Innovative Export Brands" by Amazon, reflecting its strengthened brand influence [2] Group 2: Channel Expansion - The company has strategically increased investment in non-Amazon channels such as TikTok and Temu, resulting in a significant rise in revenue from these platforms [2] - Non-Amazon channel revenue now accounts for 7.4% of total revenue, driven by the company's focus on high-end markets and the establishment of independent brand sites [2] Group 3: Global Supply Chain and Operational Efficiency - The company has initiated its "capacity going abroad" strategy, establishing supply chains in Vietnam and expanding into Southeast Asia, including Myanmar, Malaysia, and Cambodia [3] - A centralized procurement strategy has been implemented to reduce costs and shorten production cycles, enhancing operational efficiency [3] - The company's strong organizational capabilities have enabled it to execute operational adjustments and business innovations effectively, leading to accelerated growth [3]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 1.96 billion and a year-on-year growth of 34.1%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 110 million, up 15.9% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Brand and Marketing Strategy - The company has undergone a comprehensive upgrade of its brand power, establishing a brand division and enhancing brand architecture, visual identity, product design, and marketing strategies [2] - The revenue from the top ten core brands exceeded 1 billion for the first time, accounting for over 50% of total revenue, reflecting the effectiveness of the brand upgrade [2] - The company has successfully transitioned from "product export" to "brand export," leveraging social media marketing with overseas key opinion leaders [2] Group 2: Channel Expansion - The company has strategically increased resource allocation to non-Amazon channels such as TikTok and Temu, resulting in a significant rise in revenue from these platforms, which now account for 7.4% of total revenue [2] - The establishment of independent sites for nine Amazon brands has further contributed to revenue growth outside of traditional channels [2] Group 3: Global Supply Chain and Operational Efficiency - The company has initiated its "capacity going abroad" strategy, establishing supply chains in Vietnam and expanding into other Southeast Asian countries, with plans to enter the Turkish market [3] - A centralized procurement strategy has been implemented to reduce costs and shorten production cycles, enhancing operational efficiency [3] - The company's strong organizational capabilities have enabled it to execute operational adjustments and business innovations effectively, leading to accelerated growth [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Viewpoints - The company plans to issue exchangeable bonds worth up to 1.25 billion yuan, using part of its holdings in Yongxin shares as collateral, to alleviate debt pressure and enhance liquidity [2][6]. - The company holds 136 million shares of Yongxin, accounting for 22.2% of its total share capital, and the specific issuance scale and timing will be determined based on market conditions [2][6]. - The company is investing in overseas production lines for two-piece cans in Thailand and Kazakhstan, with expected production capacities of 700 million and 900 million cans, respectively [11]. - The company aims to optimize its production capacity and improve profitability through international expansion and integration with COFCO Packaging [11]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leader in the metal packaging industry in China, with a stable profit base from three-piece cans and significant market share in two-piece cans [11]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.36 billion, 1.37 billion, and 1.60 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 10, 10, and 9 [11]. Market Outlook - The company expects improvements in the profitability of two-piece cans, driven by better market conditions and potential price increases in the domestic market [11]. - The company is also focusing on enhancing its overseas business and product differentiation to optimize its profit structure [11].