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中闽能源(600163):风况平稳营收小幅提升,热电减值限制单季业绩
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-02 14:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company achieved a total on-grid electricity generation of 1.865 billion kWh in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.32%. In the third quarter alone, the on-grid electricity generation was 499 million kWh, up 7.30% year-on-year. This stable growth in electricity generation contributed to a revenue of 286 million yuan in the third quarter, a 3.17% increase year-on-year. However, the operating costs rose by 7.82% to 180 million yuan, which limited the company's operational performance, leading to a decrease in gross profit by 4.24 million yuan year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company in the third quarter was 13.55 million yuan, down 79.78% year-on-year [2][6][13]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 286 million yuan in Q3, with a year-on-year growth of 3.17%. The operating costs for the same period were 180 million yuan, reflecting a 7.82% increase year-on-year, which constrained the company's main business performance. The gross profit decreased by approximately 3.84% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to the parent company was 13.55 million yuan, a significant decline of 79.78% year-on-year [2][6][13]. Operational Highlights - The company’s wind power generation in Fujian reached 444 million kWh in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 4.74%. However, the electricity generation in Heilongjiang decreased by 2.19% to 32.98 million kWh. The biomass power generation was 16.83 million kWh, while the photovoltaic generation in Xinjiang dropped by 28.64% to 5.52 million kWh due to adverse regional conditions [13]. Future Growth Potential - The company has significant growth potential through both internal development and external acquisitions. Upcoming asset injections from the group, including projects like Yongtai Pumped Storage, are expected to enhance earnings per share. The company is also actively pursuing new projects, including offshore wind and solar initiatives, which will contribute to sustained growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [13]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.28 yuan, 0.49 yuan, and 0.69 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 19.28x, 10.74x, and 7.70x. The investment recommendation remains "Buy" based on these forecasts [13].
内蒙华电(600863):煤炭板块影响业绩,风电注入保障盈利增长
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance is impacted by the coal sector, while the injection of wind power assets is expected to support profit growth [1] - The company reported a total revenue of 15.052 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 9.23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.208 billion yuan, down 10.60% year-on-year, which aligns with expectations [6] - The company is optimistic about the profitability of the wind power assets being injected, committing to a minimum net profit contribution of 800 million yuan from these assets over three years [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 19.908 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 10.7% [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected at 2.348 billion yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 1.0% year-on-year [5] - Earnings per share for 2025 is estimated at 0.36 yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 12 [5] - The company’s coal production for the first three quarters of 2025 was 10.459 million tons, a decrease of 0.92% year-on-year, while coal sales averaged 304.10 yuan per ton, down 26.42% year-on-year [6]