Core Viewpoint - The gold market has experienced a strong bull run in 2023, with international gold prices increasing by 58.41% year-to-date, reaching a high of $4,100 per ounce as of November 27 [1] Group 1: Factors Supporting Gold Prices - Global central banks continue to purchase gold, with a net purchase of 39 tons in September, a 79% increase from August, marking the highest monthly net purchase in 2025 [1] - A survey indicated that 95% of central banks expect to increase their gold reserves in the next 12 months, the highest percentage since the survey began in 2019 [1] - Gold is becoming a preferred asset for central banks' diversified reserves, indicating long-term demand [1] Group 2: Economic Influences on Gold Prices - The deepening interest rate cut cycle by the Federal Reserve is expected to enhance gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset, with market expectations of approximately two rate cuts in 2026 [2] - The decrease in interest rates lowers the opportunity cost of holding gold, thereby increasing its attractiveness [2] Group 3: Geopolitical and Credit Risks - Heightened geopolitical tensions and ongoing trade friction are driving demand for safe-haven assets like gold [2] - The increasing scale of U.S. debt and concerns over dollar credit risk contribute to a long-term trend of "de-dollarization," further supporting gold prices [2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent price increase of gold by Laopu Gold reflects broader trends in the global and domestic gold markets, driven by multiple factors including macroeconomic conditions and unique characteristics of the Chinese market [2][6]. Global Macro Background - Continuous geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Israel-Palestine crisis, have heightened global risk aversion, leading investors to flock to gold as a safe-haven asset [4]. - Central banks worldwide, including the People's Bank of China, are significantly increasing their gold reserves, contributing to sustained demand and higher gold prices [5]. Inflation Concerns - Despite a global decline in inflation, it remains relatively high, prompting investors to turn to gold as an effective hedge against inflation [6]. Currency Fluctuations - The depreciation of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar has amplified the increase in domestic gold prices, even if international gold prices remain stable [7]. Domestic Demand and Consumption - Strong domestic investment and consumer demand, along with a shift in consumer preferences towards gold products, have further driven up prices [8]. - The appeal of high-quality craftsmanship and brand value in gold products, particularly from Laopu Gold, has led to significant price increases due to limited supply and high demand [8]. Market Dynamics - The end of the interest rate hike cycle and expectations of future rate cuts have reduced the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it more attractive to investors [9]. - A weaker US dollar typically makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, stimulating demand and pushing prices higher [9]. Diversification and Risk Management - Countries are increasingly seeking to diversify their reserves away from the US dollar to mitigate risks associated with international sanctions and political instability [10]. - Gold is viewed as a universal store of value, independent of any government’s promise, enhancing its appeal as a reserve asset [10]. Investment Trends - The underperformance of domestic stock and real estate markets has led to a surge in investment in gold as a safe haven, driven by a "buy high" mentality among consumers [11]. - Younger generations are increasingly interested in gold as both an investment and a fashionable savings method, contributing to rising demand for traditional gold products [11].

Core Viewpoint - The new chairman of the London Bullion Market Association, Peter Zoellner, calls for the UK to restart gold futures trading, despite previous unsuccessful attempts in establishing derivative contracts in this $35 trillion global physical gold trading center [1]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The global gold market would benefit from having "two or three well-liquid trading centers" [1]. - Previous attempts to launch gold futures contracts in London were deemed premature, but the current market conditions may be more favorable [1]. - Concerns among market participants regarding trading on U.S. exchanges have increased due to uncertainties stemming from fluctuating tariff policies [1]. Group 2: Historical Context - The London Metal Exchange launched a gold futures contract in 2017, which was closed five years later due to low trading volumes [2]. - Earlier attempts at establishing a "London Gold Futures Market" from 1982 to 1985 also failed due to insufficient trading activity [2]. Group 3: Pricing and Transparency - The London Bullion Market Association plays a crucial role in determining which gold meets the "good delivery" standards for delivery to London member vaults [2]. - The association is considering whether to disclose more pricing data, including forward contracts and real-time price data, to enhance market transparency [2]. - The association has been collecting forward contract price data and has been publishing the "Gofo" gold forward rate curve for the past 12 years [2]. Group 4: Current Market Trends - Gold prices have surged by 57% this year, currently hovering around $4,100 per ounce [2]. - Central bank purchases of gold are expected to continue driving prices upward, with limited alternative options available [2]. - Concerns regarding government bond markets and trade wars are influencing factors in the gold market [2][3]. Group 5: Market Perception and Innovation - There is a growing concern over the fiscal policies of major economies, with public debt rising dramatically [3]. - The perception of political alliances, trade policies, and fiscal and monetary policies is shifting globally, which may lead to price volatility [3]. - The gold market is defended against claims of being outdated, emphasizing its focus on safety and credibility over convenience [3].