黄金期货合约
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金价疯狂暴涨暴跌背后:镰刀早已高高举起,专割贪心的韭菜!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 18:20
Group 1: Gold Price Trends - In January 2026, international gold prices experienced significant volatility, starting at $4500/oz and peaking at $5598.75/oz, marking a monthly increase of over 24% before a sharp decline [1] - The price dropped dramatically at the end of January, with a single-day decline of 9%, the largest since 1980, reaching a low of $4440/oz [1] Group 2: Investor Behavior - Young investors have become the main force in gold purchases, driven by social media trends and the allure of high returns [3] - Some investors are using credit cards and personal loans to buy gold, which poses significant financial risks [3][10] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Retail gold jewelry prices have surged, with brands like Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook reaching prices of approximately 1039 CNY per gram [3] - The international gold futures price has doubled over 30 months, compared to $1636.4/oz in October 2022 [3] Group 4: Regulatory Concerns - Regulatory bodies have issued warnings about the overheating market, advising investors to manage risks and control positions [5][10] - Several banks have reiterated the importance of risk awareness in precious metal investments, especially in light of increased geopolitical risks [5][10] Group 5: Illegal Activities - Illegal trading platforms are exploiting the gold rush, luring investors with promises of high returns while posing significant risks [7] - Common scams include gold custody schemes and virtual investment frauds, which mislead investors into believing they are participating in legitimate transactions [7] Group 6: Market Predictions - Analysts predict that gold prices could approach $5000/oz or even $6000/oz, supported by macroeconomic factors and central bank demand [11][13] - The global demand for gold investment reached a record 2175 tons in 2025, with significant inflows into gold ETFs [13] Group 7: Geopolitical Influences - Recent geopolitical developments have affected market sentiment, with easing tensions potentially leading to a shift of funds from gold to equity markets [15] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has emphasized the need for risk control amid increased price volatility [15]
交易所出手!调整铜等期货涨跌停板幅度
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2026-02-09 23:17
两大交易所再次出手调整! 上期所再次调整 镍NI2702、锡SN2702合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为12%,套保持仓交易保证金比例调整为13%,一般持仓交易保证金比例调整为14%; 2月9日,上海期货交易所(以下简称上期所)发布关于调整铜等期货新上市合约交易保证金比例和涨跌停板幅度的通知。 黄金AU2605合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为17%,套保持仓交易保证金比例调整为18%,一般持仓交易保证金比例调整为19%; 白银AG2702合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为20%,套保持仓交易保证金比例调整为21%,一般持仓交易保证金比例调整为22%; 螺纹钢RB2702、热轧卷板HC2702、纸浆SP2702、胶版印刷纸OP2702合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为7%,套保持仓交易保证金比例调整为8%,一般持仓交易 保证金比例调整为9%; 燃料油FU2703、石油沥青BU2702、丁二烯橡胶BR2702合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为9%,套保持仓交易保证金比例调整为10%,一般持仓交易保证金比例 调整为11%。 如遇《上海期货交易所风险控制管理办法》第十三条规定情况,则在上述涨跌停板幅度、交易保证金比例基础上调整。 经研究决定,下述合约上市时起,涨 ...
【财经早报】事关黄金白银!交易所再出手,下周一生效
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2026-02-05 23:35
Market Updates - The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges announced the holiday schedule for the 2026 Spring Festival, with a break from February 15 to February 23, resuming trading on February 24 [1] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange adjusted the price limits and margin requirements for various futures contracts, including copper, aluminum, and gold, effective from February 9 [2] Company News - Runze Technology announced plans to issue convertible bonds to acquire assets, with trading suspended from February 6 for up to 10 trading days [4] - Tianqi Model is planning a major asset restructuring through the issuance of shares and cash to acquire equity in Dongshi Automotive Technology Group, with trading suspended from February 6 [5] - *ST Cube reported a significant stock price increase of 314.93% from January 20 to February 5, leading to a trading suspension for verification due to potential market volatility [5] - Jiangfeng Electronics plans to acquire control of Beijing Kaide Quartz Co., with trading resuming on February 6 [6] - JinkoSolar clarified that it has not engaged in any business with SpaceX and has no current orders related to "space photovoltaics," which has not impacted its financial performance [8] - Jinfu Technology intends to acquire 51% stakes in two companies for a total consideration of up to 714 million yuan, with a share transfer agreement in place [9] Industry Insights - CITIC Securities reported that the automotive industry may face profit margin pressures in Q1 2026 due to rising costs of storage and battery materials, with potential impacts from lithium carbonate price increases [10] - Galaxy Securities highlighted that AI's benefits are primarily seen in improved efficiency and cost reduction across platforms and content production, suggesting a focus on internet and AI-related stocks [11]
资讯早班车-2026-02-04-20260204
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-02-04 01:34
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report comprehensively presents macro - economic data, commodity investment information, financial news, and stock market trends. It shows that the macro - economy has certain fluctuations, the commodity market has policy - induced changes and price movements, and the financial and stock markets are also affected by multiple factors such as policies, market supply and demand, and international situations. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Data - GDP in Q4 2025 grew 4.5% year - on - year, lower than 4.8% in the previous quarter and 5.4% in the same period last year [1] - In January 2026, the manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, up from 49.0% in the previous month, and the non - manufacturing PMI was 49.4%, down from 50.1% in the previous month [1] - In December 2025, social financing scale was 22,075 billion yuan, lower than 35,299 billion yuan in the previous month and 28,537 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] 3.2 Commodity Investment Reference 3.2.1 Comprehensive - The "14th" central No. 1 document on "Three Rural Issues" was released, aiming at rural revitalization [2] - Multiple exchanges adjusted margin ratios and price limit ranges of various commodity futures contracts [2][3] - On February 3, 2026, 38 domestic commodity varieties had positive basis and 30 had negative basis [3] - CME's average daily contract trading volume in January increased 15% year - on - year to a record 29.6 million contracts [3] 3.2.2 Metals - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold up 6.83% and COMEX silver up 10.27% [5] - Global alumina production in 2025 reached 144.98 million tons, up 5.1% from 2024 [6] - Chile's copper production is expected to grow 3.7% in 2026 and 6.4% in 2027, with the average price in 2026 expected to be $4.95 per pound [7] 3.2.3 Coal, Coking, Steel and Minerals - Indonesian miners suspended thermal coal spot exports after the government proposed to cut coal production [9] 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - On February 3, 2026, domestic gasoline and diesel retail prices were raised by 205 yuan/ton and 195 yuan/ton respectively [10] - Four public fund companies warned of significant premiums in the secondary market trading prices of their crude oil and petroleum - themed funds [10] - The U.S. plans to issue licenses for companies to exploit Venezuelan oil [10] 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - Ukraine's white sugar production in 2025 dropped to 1.72 million tons, a 4% decrease [11] 3.3 Financial News Compilation 3.3.1 Open Market - On February 3, the central bank conducted 105.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 296.5 billion yuan [13] - On February 4, the central bank will conduct 800 billion yuan of 3 - month (91 - day) outright reverse repurchase operations, with a net injection of 100 billion yuan [13] - In January 2026, the central bank's MLF had a net injection of 700 billion yuan, and PSL had a net injection of 174.4 billion yuan [14] 3.3.2 Important News - The 2026 central No. 1 document focused on rural revitalization, including financial support policies [15] - Rumors about VAT rate adjustments in the game and financial industries were untrue [15][16] - The State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasized the development of strategic emerging industries [16] - The Shanghai headquarters of the central bank called for promoting the reasonable growth and balanced distribution of credit [16] 3.3.3 Bond Market Summary - The Chinese bond market was mainly volatile, with treasury bond futures mostly rising [22] - The exchange bond market had mixed performances, with some bonds rising and some falling [22][23] - The中证 Convertible Bond Index rose 2.63% [23] 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose 151 points, and the RMB central parity rate was raised 87 points [27] - The US dollar index fell 0.22%, and most non - US currencies rose [27] 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - Huatai Fixed - income said to focus on the expansion of free - trade offshore bonds and the possibility of using dim - sum bonds to take over free - trade bonds [28] - CITIC Securities expected that dividend insurance products and incremental funds from bank deposits would support 2026 premium income [28] 3.3.6 Today's Reminders - On February 4, 158 bonds will be listed, 163 bonds will be issued, 127 bonds will make payments, and 55 bonds will pay principal and interest [30] 3.4 Stock Market News - On Tuesday, the A - share market rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 1.29% [31] - The Hong Kong stock market's main indexes recovered, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.22% [31] - The CSRC chairman met with the head of the UK's FCA to discuss regulatory cooperation [31] - In January, the number of new A - share accounts reached 4.9158 million, a 15 - month high [31]
贵金属期现日报-20260202
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-02-02 03:01
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints - Silver prices may fluctuate greatly in the range of $70 - 110 due to factors such as regulatory restrictions and macro - news sentiment. Before the holiday, institutional ETFs continued to reduce positions and wait and see, leading to a decline in liquidity. It is recommended to wait for market volatility to fall and use methods such as selling options for unilateral positions to lock in risks [1] - Platinum prices will enter a consolidation phase. It is recommended to wait for the market to adjust in place before trying to buy or conduct short - term high - selling and low - buying operations [1] - Due to short - term news and capital sentiment, the volatility risk is relatively large. Pay attention to the support of the 20 - day moving average. Gold can be allocated to buy at - the - money or slightly out - of - the - money call options instead of going long after the market stabilizes. Light - position participation in long gold - silver ratio arbitrage is also recommended [1] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2604 contract closed at 1161.42 yuan/gram on January 30, down 87.70 yuan or 7.02% from January 29 [1] - AG2604 contract closed at 27941 yuan/kg on January 30, down 2950 yuan or 9.55% from January 29 [1] - PT2606 contract closed at 714.10 on January 30, up 19.30 or 2.78% from January 29 [1] - PD2606 contract closed at 526.60 yuan/gram on January 30, up 22.60 or 4.48% from January 29 [1] Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold main contract closed at 4907.50 on January 30, down 503.30 or 9.30% from January 29 [1] - COMEX silver main contract closed at 85.25 on January 30, down 30.54 or 26.37% from January 29 [1] - NYMEX platinum main contract closed at 2178.20 dollars/ounce on January 30, down 458.70 or 17.40% from January 29 [1] - NYMEX palladium main contract closed at 1701.00 on January 30, down 334.00 or 16.41% from January 29 [1] Spot Prices - London gold was at 4880.03 on January 30, down 497.13 or 9.25% from the previous value [1] - London silver was at 85.26 on January 30, down 30.61 or 26.42% from the previous value [1] - Spot palladium was at 2300.00 dollars/ounce on January 30, down 492.00 or 17.62% from the previous value [1] - Spot rhodium was at 1820.00 on January 30, down 286.00 or 13.58% from the previous value [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 1163.99 yuan/gram on January 30, down 79.41 or 6.39% from January 29 [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T + D was at 27530 yuan/kg on January 30, down 2468 or 8.23% from January 29 [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's platinum 9995 was at 638 yuan/gram on January 30, down 9.31% from the previous value [1] Basis - The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract was 2.57, up 8.29 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 46.10% [1] - The basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract was - 411, up 482 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 60.60% [1] - The basis of London gold - COMEX gold was - 27.47, up 6.17 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 28.70% [1] - The basis of London silver - COMEX silver was 0.01, down 0.07 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 74.10% [1] Price Ratios - The ratio of COMEX gold/silver was 57.57 on January 30, up 10.83 or 23.18% from the previous value [1] - The ratio of SHFE gold/silver was 41.57 on January 30, up 1.13 or 2.80% from the previous value [1] - The ratio of NYMEX platinum/palladium was 1.28 on January 30, down 0.02 or - 1.18% from the previous value [1] - The ratio of GZFE platinum/rhodium was 1.36 on January 30, down 0.02 or - 1.63% from the previous value [1] Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.26% on January 30, up 0.02 or 0.5% from the previous value [1] - The 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.52% on January 30, down 0.01 or - 0.3% from the previous value [1] - The 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 1.90% on January 30, up 0.01 or 0.5% from the previous value [1] - The US dollar index was 97.12 on January 30, up 0.95 or 0.99% from the previous value [1] - The offshore RMB exchange rate was 6.9589 on January 30, up 0.0107 or 0.15% from the previous value [1] Inventory and Positions - The SHFE gold inventory was 103029 on January 30, unchanged from the previous value [1] - The SHFE silver inventory was 455068 (in ten - grams) on January 30, down 26940 or - 5.59% from the previous value [1] - The COMEX gold inventory was 35748596 on January 30, down 128604 or - 0.36% from the previous value [1] - The COMEX silver inventory was 405886807 on January 30, down 2366533 or - 0.58% from the previous value [1] - The COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts were 19038541 ounces on January 30, up 253295 or 1.35% from the previous value [1] - The COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts were 104879945 on January 30, down 3277493 or - 3.03% from the previous value [1] - The SPDR gold ETF position was 1087 tons on January 30, up 0.57 or 0.05% from the previous value [1] - The SLV silver ETF position was 15523 on January 30, unchanged from the previous value [1]
2月1日金价暴跌超9%,国内一夜蒸发170元!历史性牛市要来了?四大牛市因子正在集结
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 12:40
国际伦敦金现在2026年2月1日的交易数据具体如下:开盘价为4820美元每盎司,最高触及4880美元,最低下探4750美元,最终收盘于4765美元,跌幅达 9.2%。 国内黄金T D合约开盘1100元每克,最高1105元,最低1088元,收盘1090元,日内波动幅度有限。 沪金主连合约表现类似,收盘报1092元每克。 金 店零售价格方面,周大福、老凤祥等品牌在2月1日上午标价1625元每克,下午随国际金价下调至1455元每克,调整幅度超过10%。 整体市场呈现高位震荡 后的急跌态势,波动主要源于获利盘兑现和货币政策预期的博弈。 历史上,金价大幅上行行情需要三大驱动因素共振。 1970年代,布雷顿森林体系崩溃后,黄金从官方定价35美元每盎司飙升至1980年的850美元以上,涨幅 超过20倍。 2008年金融危机后,美联储实施量化宽松,金价从700美元左右涨至2011年的1900美元以上。 这些时期都伴随着美联储降息、全球央行购金或地 缘风险升级。 2026年初的市场环境,正在部分重现这些条件。 美元信用面临结构性挑战,类似于1971年的情况。 美国联邦债务规模在2026年初已突破38万亿美元,债务占GDP比例超 ...
贵金属期现日报-20260130
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-30 01:30
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The short - term news and capital sentiment have a significant impact on the volatility risk of precious metals. Gold long positions should take profit on rallies, and one can buy at dips for at - the - money options. [1] - Silver price volatility remains high, institutional ETFs continue to reduce positions and stay on the sidelines. It is recommended to pay attention to risk control measures of exchanges and maintain the idea of buying on dips with light positions. [1] - The easing of the supply tightness in the London palladium spot market may limit its upside space, so short - term observation is advisable. [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Domestic Futures Closing Price - The AU2604 contract closed at 1249.12 on January 29, up 62.92 (5.30%) from January 28. [1] - The AG2604 contract closed at 30891 on January 29, up 1672 (5.72%) from January 28. [1] - The PT2606 contract closed at 714.10 on January 29, up 19.30 (2.78%) from January 28. [1] - The PD2606 contract closed at 526.60 on January 29, up 22.60 (4.48%) from January 28. [1] Foreign Futures Closing Price - The COMEX gold主力 contract closed at 5410.80 on January 29, down 0.20 (0.00%) from January 28. [1] - The COMEX silver主力 contract closed at 115.79 on January 29, down 0.84 (-0.72%) from January 28. [1] - The NYMEX platinum主力 contract closed at 2636.90 on January 29, down 68.20 (-2.52%) from January 28. [1] - The NYMEX palladium主力 contract closed at 2035.00 on January 29, down 60.50 (-2.89%) from January 28. [1] Spot Price - London gold was at 5377.16, down 36.65 (-0.68%) from the previous value. [1] - London silver was at 115.87, down 0.74 (-0.63%) from the previous value. [1] - Spot palladium was at 2792.00, up 121.00 (4.53%) from the previous value. [1] - Another spot palladium was at 2106.00, up 92.00 (4.57%) from the previous value. [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 1243.40, up 20.36 (5.01%) from the previous value. [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T + D was at 29998, up 688 (2.35%) from the previous value. [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's platinum 9995 was at 704, up 33 (4.99%) from the previous value. [1] Basis - The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 was - 5.72, down 3.56 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 46.10%. [1] - The basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver主力 was - 893, down 984 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 60.60%. [1] - Another basis was 5.08, up 6.87 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 99.60%. [1] - The basis of London gold - COMEX gold was not provided, and the basis of London silver - COMEX silver was - 0.02, down 0.10 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 69.00%. [1] Price Ratio - COMEX gold/silver was 46.73, up 0.33 (0.72%) from the previous value. [1] - Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold/silver was 40.44, down 0.16 (-0.40%) from the previous value. [1] - NYMEX platinum/palladium was 1.30, up 0.00 (0.38%) from the previous value. [1] - Guangzhou Futures Exchange's platinum/palladium was 1.36, down 0.02 (-1.63%) from the previous value. [1] Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.24, down 0.02 (-0.5%) from the previous value. [1] - The 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.53, down 0.03 (-0.8%) from the previous value. [1] - The 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 1.89, down 0.01 (-0.5%) from the previous value. [1] - The US dollar index was 96.16, down 0.19 (-0.19%) from the previous value. [1] - The offshore RMB exchange rate was 6.9482, up 0.0049 (0.07%) from the previous value. [1] Inventory and Position - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold inventory was 103029, unchanged (0.00%) from the previous value. [1] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's silver inventory was 482008, down 26360 (-5.19%) from the previous value. [1] - The COMEX gold inventory was 35877200, unchanged (0.00%) from the previous value. [1] - The COMEX silver inventory was 408253340, down 3431295 (-0.83%) from the previous value. [1] - The COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts were 18785246, down 47826 (-0.25%) from the previous value. [1] - The COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts were 108157437, up 482886 (0.45%) from the previous value. [1] - The SPDR gold ETF position was 1087, down 3.43 (-0.31%) from the previous value. [1] - The SLV silver ETF position was 15523, down 112.76 (-0.72%) from the previous value. [1]
黄金突破5500美元背后的三大推手,牛市还能持续多久?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 04:09
美联储的利率政策无疑是推动金价上涨的第一大引擎。就在金价突破5500美元的前夜,美联储宣布维持基准利率不变,主席鲍威尔更明确排除了短期内加息 的可能性。历史数据显示,每当美联储进入政策宽松周期,美元指数往往会应声下跌,而黄金作为以美元计价的资产,其价格就会获得强劲支撑。这次也不 例外,市场对美元走软的预期直接点燃了黄金的多头行情。 当现货黄金价格在1月29日首次突破5500美元/盎司时,整个金融市场为之一震。这个数字不仅刷新了历史纪录,更在短短四天内完成了从5000美元到5500美 元的惊人跨越。如此迅猛的涨势背后,究竟隐藏着怎样的市场逻辑?这场黄金牛市又将走向何方? 全球央行持续增持黄金储备构成了第三重支撑。虽然本次事件中未提及具体数据,但近年来各国央行对黄金的青睐有目共睹。在美元信用面临挑战的背景 下,黄金作为终极货币的地位再次得到强化。这种结构性需求的变化,为金价提供了长期上涨的基础动能。 面对如此强势的上涨,投资者最关心的问题无疑是:这轮牛市还能走多远?有机构已经给出了6600美元的预测目标。从技术面看,金价在突破5500美元后虽 然出现短暂回落,但整体仍保持在高位震荡。若地缘政治紧张局势持续发酵,叠 ...
贵金属期现日报-20260128
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-28 02:42
Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views - Future market is more affected by geopolitical situation, and attention should be paid to the Fed's decision early on Thursday. In general, the short - term market is affected by news and capital sentiment, and the market maintains a relatively strong volatile trend. Gold long positions should take the opportunity to take profits at high prices, and one - sided trading can buy out - of - the - money call options instead of long positions [1]. - For silver, rising raw material costs may accelerate enterprises to replace silver with other metals, suppressing industrial demand, while new demand in fields such as AI is expected to support the silver price. Regulatory restrictions have cooled speculative sentiment, and ETF holdings have continued to decline. Short - term silver prices may still experience large - scale fluctuations, and it is recommended to pay attention to risk control measures of exchanges and maintain the idea of buying on dips with light positions [1]. - Platinum and palladium are supported by their macro - financial attributes and tight supply patterns, and their prices are linked to the rise of gold, with the price center continuously rising. However, the easing of supply tightness in the London spot market may limit the upside space, and it is recommended to buy on dips and sell on rallies within a day [1]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Domestic Futures Closing Prices - On January 27, the AU2604 contract closed at 1148.38 yuan/gram, up 0.44% from the previous day; the AG2604 contract closed at 28300 yuan/kilogram, up 4.02%; the PT2606 contract closed at 705.70 yuan/gram, down 5.24%; the PD2606 contract closed at 523.00 yuan, down 2.21% [1]. 2. Foreign Futures Closing Prices - On January 27, the COMEX gold主力 contract closed at 5179.60, up 3.49%; the COMEX白银主力 contract closed at 112.35, up 8.14%; the NYMEX铂金主力 contract closed at 2645.10, up 2.70%; the NYMEX palladium主力 contract closed at 1950.50, down 2.11% [1]. 3. Spot Prices - The current price of London gold is 5180.23, up 3.40%; London silver is 111.91, up 7.73%; spot platinum is 2642.50, down 5.99%; spot palladium is 1932.00, down 7.65%. The Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D is 1142.89 yuan/gram, down 0.12%; silver T + D is 28732 yuan/kilogram, up 4.43%; platinum 9995 is 751 yuan/gram, down 6.48% [1]. 4. Basis - The current value of gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 is - 5.49, down 6.43% from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 46.10%; silver TD - Shanghai silver主力 is 432, up 126, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 60.60%; London gold - COMEX gold is 5.08, up 6.87, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 99.60%; London silver - COMEX silver is - 0.02, down 0.10, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 69.00% [1]. 5. Price Ratios - The current value of COMEX gold/silver is 46.10, down 4.30%; the Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold/silver is 40.58, down 3.44%; NYMEX platinum/palladium is 1.36, up 4.91%; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange's platinum/palladium is 1.35, down 3.10% [1]. 6. Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.24, up 0.5%; the 2 - year US Treasury yield is 3.53, down 0.8%; the 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield is 1.90, unchanged; the US dollar index is 95.77, down 1.32%; the offshore RMB exchange rate is 6.9336, down 0.22% [1]. 7. Inventory and Positions - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold inventory is 103029, unchanged; silver inventory is 544244 (in ten - grams), down 5.15%; COMEX gold inventory is 35941502, unchanged; COMEX silver inventory is 415146297, down 0.02%; COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts are 18847080 ounces, up 0.01%; COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts are 113269767, down 0.87%; SPRD gold ETF holdings are 1087, up 0.08%; SLV silver ETF holdings are 15848, down 0.79% [1].
EasyMarkets易信:金银再刷记录
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 10:49
Core Viewpoint - Gold and silver are experiencing unprecedented price increases, with silver reaching a new historical peak of $95.885 per Comex futures contract, making it the current focus of the commodity market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices are approaching the significant level of $4900, following an increase of over $43 in February contracts [3][4]. - The strong buying momentum driven by charts reflects the market's firm confidence in the bullish trend of precious metals, despite an overall increase in market risk appetite [3][4]. - Geopolitical easing has unexpectedly failed to suppress the upward trend of precious metals, with strong demand for hard assets remaining robust [3][4]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The continuous decline of the US dollar index and the stability of the US 10-year Treasury yield at 4.25% provide ongoing liquidity support for non-yielding precious metals [4]. - The fluctuation of crude oil prices around $59.75 further highlights gold's hedging advantages [4]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Both gold and silver exhibit high bullish momentum, with gold's next key target set at $5000, while the current psychological resistance is at $4891.10 [4]. - Silver bulls have fully taken control of the charts, aiming for a milestone closing target of breaking the $100 mark [4]. - Given the high technical ratings, any short-term pullbacks may attract institutional funds for re-entry [4].