12月20日，周五黄金市场依旧处于震荡整理态势，午夜时段黄金未能成功站上4350一线上方，这也使得 后市技术性回踩的可能性持续攀升。回顾昨日行情，日线最终收出十字星形态，这一形态背后反映出多 空双方在均线位置的激烈博弈，需重点留意的是，在金价未跌破4300一线支撑前，市场大概率仍将维持 震荡格局。 昨日美盘时段，黄金多头突然发力，金价最高触及4375附近位置，这一波上涨让市场始料未及。然而， 多头动能未能持续，金价随后快速回落，截至早间，最低触及4309附近位置。从昨日冲高回落的走势来 看，金价再次逼近历史新高4381附近，这一位置也可能成为短线市场的顶部区域。 我们此前已多次强调，行情若要实现反转，核心前提是回撤幅度达到关键阈值。一旦金价出现快速回 落，那么后续继续上行的动力将会显著衰竭。从当前市场形势来看，昨日日线呈现高位阴线十字星形 态，这进一步印证了当前市场的震荡属性，因此短期内我们仍需以震荡思路应对市场波动。 尽管黄金未能成功站稳4350一线上方，但从整体趋势来看，回踩做多的核心思路仍未改变。下方需着重 关注4266—4275区间的得失情况，这一区间具备强劲支撑力度，此前在周二金价下滑过程中，该区间 ...

12月8日，周一，现货黄金小幅上涨，交投于4215美元附近。上周五美国9月PCE物价指数温和回落，为 美联储降息再添佐证，美元承压，黄金获支撑。但与此同时，美国消费者信心指数大幅回升，市场分歧 加剧。更关键的是，美债收益率快速反弹，分流资金导致黄金走势反复。冲高后急速回落，杀跌后又快 速反弹，维持宽幅震荡格局。 当前黄金操作思路上建议在4180-4260区间高空低多即可。必须清醒认识到，黄金目前缺乏持续大涨的 基础，若高位震荡时间过长却无法突破，后续很可能再度回落。因此需严格控制仓位，避免盲目追涨， 以短线或小波段交易为主。 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 新浪声明：此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体，新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的，并不意味着赞同 其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。 责任编辑：陈平 本周四美联储将公布利率决议，在此之前，黄金大概率延续震荡走势。尽管市场普遍预期25个基点的降 息，但决议落地前黄金仍有支撑。需警惕的是，若降息兑现，需防范"卖事实"引发的回调风险。当前多 空因素交织，黄金正等待方向性突破的契机。本周焦点锁定美联储利率决议，市场普 ...

Core Insights - The recent fluctuations in the gold market have led to significant buying activity, with some investors entering at high prices and facing potential losses [1][4] - The market has experienced a strong upward trend from August to October, but the current situation indicates a period of adjustment rather than a continuation of the bullish trend [3][7] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate decisions have influenced market sentiment, with a shift from dovish to hawkish stances impacting investor behavior [4] Market Trends - The gold price surged to $3,500 earlier this year, but subsequently dropped to $3,100, indicating a volatile market environment [2][7] - The current price range for gold is between $3,960 and $3,970, with critical support levels identified at $3,890 to $3,900 [7] - The market sentiment remains optimistic among many investors, which may suggest that the adjustment phase is not yet complete [7] Investor Behavior - Many retail investors are driven by fear of missing out (FOMO), leading them to buy at high prices despite the risks [3][4] - The psychological factors influencing investor decisions include the desire to avoid losses from missed opportunities and the pressure from seeing others profit [3] - The market is characterized by a learning curve, where investors either adapt and improve or continue to ignore risks [5]

Core Viewpoint - The current gold market is characterized by a conflict between emotions and rationality, with prices reflecting this imbalance as they have surged by $1200 in three months, showcasing extremes of "greed and fear" and the harsh collision of "expectations and reality" [1] Market Dynamics - The $4180 level serves as a critical dividing line, representing both a technical resistance and a pivotal point for market logic reconstruction [2] - The recent surge in gold prices is driven by a combination of policy expectations, geopolitical risks, and central bank gold purchases, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations leading to a revaluation of gold's monetary attributes [2] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Israel-Palestine situation, have amplified gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, while central banks have been net buyers of gold for 18 consecutive months, reinforcing the upward trend from a supply-demand perspective [2] Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis - Market sentiment has shifted from cautious exploration to fervent chasing of prices, with the RSI indicator surpassing the 80 threshold, indicating that gold prices have detached from fundamental support [2] - The recent price adjustment is seen as a necessary technical correction rather than a trend reversal, as the market structure has changed with the price nearing historical highs of $4400, triggering stop-loss orders and profit-taking by institutional investors [2] Current Market Conditions - The market is currently in an "information black hole" due to the U.S. government shutdown, which has delayed the release of key economic data, leading to increased divergence in investor judgments regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [3] - Despite the short-term pullback, global gold ETFs continue to see net inflows, and retail investor positions have not reached historical peaks, suggesting that market sentiment has not yet become overly heated [3] Short-term Outlook - In the short term, gold is expected to maintain a range-bound trading pattern centered around $4180, with potential support at $4000 if prices break below $4180 [5] - A sustained breakout above $4180 and a move past $4400 could initiate a new upward trend, while the market awaits new catalysts such as shifts in Federal Reserve policy or escalations in geopolitical conflicts [5] - The strategy for investors is to engage in high selling and low buying within the $4180-$4000 range, while remaining vigilant for potential data shocks following the end of the U.S. government shutdown and sudden easing of geopolitical tensions [5]

黄金市场震荡不断，震荡行情何时出现拐点，市场在等什么信号？金十研究员Steven正在直播，点击进 入直播间观看>> 相关链接 ...

周一，黄金市场受中美贸易和谈消息，开局就是大跳水，之后更是击穿了3220美元的关键支撑，一口气干到3100美元，看到这样的暴跌有人选择割肉离 场，也有人吓的也是到处寻问。 关于上涨和下跌，市场众说纷云，有劝你咬住青山不放手，也有人告诉你暴跌才刚开始，不知道到底听哪个军师，黄金涨了觉得看多的人好牛，黄金跌了 发现看跌的人好准，每天徘徊在认为各种博主牛逼与吹牛逼之间。 今年，前4个月时间黄金自2600美元下方上涨到3500美元，涨幅超900美元左右，仅仅4个月的上涨就超过了2024年黄金全年的上涨，多头的力度越来越 强， 也就意味着震幅的波动会更强烈，随着金价基数的扩大，每天波动100美元成了家常便饭。 接下来，黄金牛还在不在？ 其实，这个问题不重要，重要的是你自己还在不在？如果牛在你怎么布局，如果牛不在你又如何安排？我在昨天直播的时候强调：方向大于位置，位置决 定底气，人总是期待好事发生在自己身上，但很少思考坏事一旦出现怎么应对。 我认为，黄金这里反复的震荡会成为常态，过去黄金每天波动3%，1500美元也就波动45美元，而现在金价3300-3500美元同样波动3%，那就是100-120美 元，波幅没有变，变的是 ...