过去两年，关于AI抢饭碗的讨论大多集中在程序员的屏幕前和工厂的流水线上。 但在最近，一种更「凡尔赛」的论调开始在科技圈顶层蔓延：那些坐在办公室、握着最高权力的CEO们，开始竞相预言自己的「死期」。 谷歌CEO桑达尔·皮查伊最近接受BBC采访时，抛出了一个观点：CEO的工作，也许是AI最容易胜任的事情之一。 这更像是一场关于「未来定义权」的军备竞赛。 新智元报道 编辑：艾伦 【新智元导读】硅谷最新的炫耀方式，是预言自己的失业。从皮查伊到奥特曼，大佬们竞相宣称AI将接管公司。而在3万亿美元的豪赌背后，当下的技术 尚无法经营好一台自动售货机。 焦虑也是要分阶级的。当然，我们说的是硅谷。 在当下的硅谷，仅仅宣称AI能改变世界已经不够有趣了，现在的时尚是比谁的预言更激进、更反直觉。 拥有一群AI员工不算什么，拥有一个AI老板才是真正的潮流。 奥特曼显然深谙此道。 就在皮查伊发声的几周前，他就在一场会议上立下了Flag：「如果OpenAI不是第一家由AI掌管的大公司，那将是我的耻辱。」 在他的构想中，这是即将发生的现实：从接管具体部门的决策，到最终运营整个庞大的商业机器。 在他看来，唯一的阻碍是人类社会还没准备好接受这一 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the strategic moves of SoftBank under Masayoshi Son, focusing on its investments in AI and semiconductor industries to build a comprehensive AI computing ecosystem [1][3][25] - As of June 2025, SoftBank's net asset value is approximately 31 trillion yen, with a market capitalization of about 14 trillion yen, indicating a significant gap between asset value and market perception [3] - SoftBank's recent acquisitions include Graphcore, a struggling UK AI chip company, and a $20 billion investment in Intel, positioning itself as a major player in the semiconductor sector [9][10][11] Group 2 - Masayoshi Son's vision for SoftBank is to become the world's leading provider of Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI), focusing on AI chips, AI robots, AI data centers, and energy [7][19] - The Stargate project aims to create a new generation of AI infrastructure, with an investment of up to $500 billion to standardize and mass-produce AI servers in the U.S. [10][11] - SoftBank's investment in OpenAI, totaling $400 billion, signifies its commitment to both the infrastructure and application layers of AI technology [11][14] Group 3 - The acquisition of Ampere for $6.5 billion fills a gap in SoftBank's CPU capabilities, enhancing its position in the AI and cloud computing markets [14][15] - The purchase of Graphcore not only saves the company from bankruptcy but also diversifies SoftBank's AI accelerator technology portfolio [15][16] - SoftBank's strategy involves creating a capital map that integrates various components of the AI ecosystem, from IP (Arm) to CPUs (Ampere) and AI accelerators (Graphcore) [16][18] Group 4 - Arm's business model allows for long-term revenue generation through licensing, with a significant portion of its income coming from products launched years ago [20][21] - Arm is planning to develop its own chips, which could enhance its influence in the data center market, although this move carries risks and challenges [21][22] - SoftBank's approach contrasts with Nvidia's vertical integration and cloud giants' self-sufficient models, as it seeks to leverage capital to control various segments of the AI ecosystem [23][24]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing negotiations between OpenAI and Microsoft represent a significant shift in their relationship, moving from a collaborative partnership to a competitive standoff, primarily driven by conflicting interests regarding technology control, profit sharing, and future business strategies [1][9][19]. Group 1: Background and Initial Partnership - OpenAI and Microsoft formed a strategic partnership in 2019, with Microsoft investing $1 billion to support OpenAI's AI research and providing cloud computing resources [5]. - The relationship flourished during a "honeymoon period," highlighted by successful product launches like GitHub Copilot, which leveraged OpenAI's technology [6]. Group 2: Recent Developments and Tensions - Tensions escalated in 2023 following internal upheavals at OpenAI, leading to a loss of trust from Microsoft, which had invested over $13 billion [6][7]. - OpenAI's restructuring into a Public Benefit Corporation (PBC) aimed to facilitate new funding and an IPO, but required Microsoft's consent due to existing agreements [2][8]. Group 3: Key Negotiation Issues - The core disagreement centers around the "declaration of sufficient AGI," which would allow OpenAI to partner with other cloud providers, ending Microsoft's exclusive rights [3][13]. - OpenAI proposed a shift from profit-sharing to equity stakes, suggesting Microsoft could hold about 33% of the new PBC, but Microsoft preferred maintaining profit-sharing for stability [11][12]. Group 4: Strategic Moves and Future Implications - OpenAI is actively seeking to diversify its cloud partnerships, including agreements with Oracle and Google, to reduce reliance on Microsoft Azure [17][18]. - The potential for OpenAI to develop its own AI chips and the Stargate super data center project indicates a strategic move towards independence from Microsoft [18]. Group 5: Conclusion and Future Outlook - The negotiations reflect a broader power struggle in the AI industry, with both companies recognizing the stakes extend beyond financial terms to control over technology and market positioning [19]. - The outcome of these negotiations will likely reshape the future landscape of AI partnerships and competition, making it uncertain whether another collaboration like that of Microsoft and OpenAI will emerge [19].