本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者赵文娟 于娜 北京报道 2026年1月30日，石药集团（1093.HK）宣布与阿斯利康达成一项总潜在价值高达185亿美元的战略合 作。然而，资本市场的反应却出人意料地冷淡。消息公布后，石药集团股价开盘急跌，收盘跌幅达 9.82%，报9.64港元/股；与其紧密关联的新诺威（300765.SZ）亦同步重挫，收盘暴跌15.72%。 这笔本应提振信心的创纪录授权交易，反而引发股价双双跳水。市场似乎并未被表面的交易金额所迷 惑，而是开始冷静审视数字背后可能隐藏的风险与真正代价。 阿斯利康此次大手笔投资恰逢微妙时机。就在协议签署前一日，在英国首相斯塔默访华期间，这家跨国 药企宣布计划于2030年前在中国投资超过1000亿元人民币，以扩大在药品生产与研发领域的布局。据 悉，这也是其进入中国市场三十年来规模最大的一笔投资承诺。 利好出尽与深层次担忧的交织 与交易规模形成鲜明对比的是资本市场的冷淡反应。石药集团股价在消息公布后不涨反跌，早盘一度跌 近10%，收盘报9.64港元/股，跌幅达9.82%，港股市值降至1106亿港元。 针对相关问题，《华夏时报》记者向石药集团（1093.H ...

Core Viewpoint - Hanyu Pharmaceutical has signed a licensing agreement with Vitamedic Health for the exclusive commercialization of semaglutide in Brazil, marking a significant step in the company's international strategy in South America [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Hanyu Pharmaceutical is a national high-tech enterprise focused on the research, production, and sales of innovative drugs, particularly in the peptide drug sector for over 20 years [2]. - The company has a comprehensive product pipeline covering major peptide targets globally and is the first to receive FDA approval for liraglutide ANDA in the U.S. [2]. - Hanyu has nearly 500 domestic and international patents authorized, with a product line that includes innovative drugs and generic formulations targeting GLP-1 receptors [2]. Group 2: Partnership Details - Vitamedic Health, the Brazilian partner, has over 40 years of industry experience and specializes in the generic drug sector, with a diverse sales network in Brazil [2]. - The collaboration will focus on product registration, market access, localization promotion, and long-term service [1][3]. Group 3: Market Potential - The market for semaglutide is substantial, with projected sales reaching $29.296 billion in 2024, making it one of the top-selling drugs alongside Merck's pembrolizumab [3]. - As patents for semaglutide expire starting in 2026, the generic market is expected to expand rapidly, increasing accessibility for a broader patient population [3]. - This partnership is expected to open up the Brazilian market, which has a population of over 200 million, and potentially expand into other South American and emerging markets [3]. Group 4: Leadership Statements - Hanyu's Chairman expressed optimism about the partnership, highlighting Brazil's role as a key pharmaceutical market in Latin America and the strengths of Vitamedic Health in market operations [4]. - Vitamedic Health's General Manager emphasized the growing local demand for semaglutide and the quality of Hanyu's products, which have passed multiple international certifications [4].

Core Insights - The GLP-1 market is transitioning from a "blue ocean" to a "competitive battlefield," with local Chinese companies poised to become significant players within three years, leveraging pipeline integration and differentiated innovation [3][14]. Group 1: Company Developments - XinNuoWei, a subsidiary of Shijiazhuang Pharmaceutical Group, plans to establish a joint venture with a total investment of 45 million RMB, focusing on innovative metabolic drugs targeting GLP-1, particularly for obesity and type 2 diabetes [1]. - Shijiazhuang Pharmaceutical Group's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 19.891 billion RMB, a 12.32% year-on-year decline, indicating ongoing financial pressure [9]. - The appointment of Cai Lei as CEO of Shijiazhuang Pharmaceutical Group is expected to enhance the company's international strategy [10]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The global GLP-1 market reached $35.2 billion in the first half of 2025, with projections to exceed $70 billion for the entire year, reflecting a growth rate of over 40% [4]. - Novo Nordisk's revenue from diabetes and obesity care reached 215.66 billion DKK (approximately $33.24 billion) in the first three quarters of 2025, with GLP-1 drugs contributing 174.58 billion DKK (approximately $26.90 billion), marking a 15% increase year-on-year [4]. - Eli Lilly reported third-quarter revenue of $17.6 billion, a 54% increase year-on-year, with its diabetes drug Mounjaro generating $6.515 billion in sales during the same period [5]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The approval of oral semaglutide (Wegovy) by the FDA marks a significant advancement in weight management, being the first oral GLP-1 drug approved for this purpose [2]. - The competition in the GLP-1 market is intensifying, with local companies like HengRui and LaiKai actively developing differentiated products, including dual-target GLP-1/GIP drugs and oral small molecules [8][11]. - The market is witnessing a shift towards oral formulations and multi-target drugs, which are expected to enhance patient compliance and expand market capacity [6][12]. Group 4: Future Trends - The future of the GLP-1 market will focus on multi-target innovations, extended indications, and the development of oral formulations, which are anticipated to be key competitive factors [12][13]. - The entry of local Chinese companies into the GLP-1 market is expected to increase competition significantly, with many companies preparing to launch their products by 2026 [14].

Core Viewpoint - Kangyuan Pharmaceutical (600557.SH) has reported its 2025 semi-annual results, showing pressure on performance but significant advancements in R&D innovation, attracting attention from major securities firms for potential value reassessment [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Kangyuan Pharmaceutical is a leading enterprise in the Chinese traditional medicine sector, with core products including Re Du Ning Injection, Jin Zhen Oral Liquid, and Ginkgo Biloba Diterpene Glycoside Injection [1] - The company follows a strategic framework of "one body and two wings," focusing on traditional Chinese medicine while expanding into chemical and biological drugs [1] Group 2: R&D Innovations - The company has expanded its innovative business layout, acquiring 100% of Zhongxin Pharmaceutical for 270 million yuan to enhance its biological drug portfolio, particularly in the metabolic field [1] - Zhongxin Pharmaceutical is developing ZX2021, a long-acting weight loss (anti-diabetic) fusion protein targeting three pathways, which has shown promising results in clinical trials [1][2] Group 3: Market Potential - The market for type 2 diabetes and obesity drugs in China is projected to reach 109.8 billion yuan and 47.2 billion yuan by 2032, with GLP-1 drugs becoming mainstream [2] - Kangyuan Pharmaceutical aims to enter the lucrative metabolic sector with its dual-target and tri-target drugs from Zhongxin Pharmaceutical [2] Group 4: Clinical Development - The company has made significant progress in its self-developed products, with five drugs approved for IND and nine drugs in clinical phases III and above, all being traditional Chinese medicine [3] - In the chemical and biological drug sector, a key product targeting Alzheimer's disease has completed phase II clinical trials and is expected to start phase III trials within the year [3] Group 5: Institutional Support - The company has received recommendations from approximately 10 securities firms, with 16 research reports published this year, emphasizing its innovative R&D pipeline [3] - Despite facing complex internal and external challenges, the company is enhancing its professional and compliant marketing strategies, which are expected to support its long-term healthy development [3]

Group 1 - Company received an administrative penalty notice and announced a risk warning, leading to a one-day suspension of its stock on July 21, with resumption on July 22 [2] - The penalty relates to matters from 2021, affecting the annual report and subsequent convertible bond issuance, but does not trigger mandatory delisting [2] - The board is committed to addressing regulatory requirements and aims to mitigate the impact of the penalty, with plans to apply for the removal of the risk warning after fulfilling certain conditions [2] Group 2 - In early July, the company voluntarily disclosed a half-year performance forecast for 2025, expecting a net profit of 300 million to 330 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.06% to 45.27% [3] - The growth is driven by the increasing demand for GLP-1 targeted drugs, which supports the company's performance, alongside new production capacity coming online [3] - The company is exploring advanced fields such as oligonucleotide drugs and synthetic biology, including a strategic partnership with a leading biomanufacturing firm to enhance technological progress [3]

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between Hanyu Pharmaceutical and Shenzhen Carbon Cloud Smart Peptide Technology Co., Ltd. aims to develop a novel peptide drug targeting GLP-1R/GIPR/GCGR for metabolic disease treatment, particularly for weight control [2][3]. Group 1: Collaboration Details - Hanyu Pharmaceutical will handle preclinical research, IND application, clinical trials, and product registration, covering associated costs [3]. - Carbon Cloud Smart Peptide will be responsible for molecular screening and will bear all development costs during this process [3]. - Hanyu Pharmaceutical will pay up to 38 million yuan in milestone payments to Carbon Cloud Smart Peptide and will share revenue based on sales, with a maximum of 10% for North America and 3% for other global regions [3]. Group 2: Market Position and Product Development - Hanyu Pharmaceutical has established a strong position in the GLP-1 market, particularly with its experience in the development of liraglutide and other peptide products [4]. - The collaboration marks Hanyu Pharmaceutical's entry into the innovative research frontier of weight loss drugs, enhancing its global standing in the GLP-1 sector [4]. - The new drug is expected to show significant weight loss effects in preclinical studies, outperforming existing treatments like terzepatide in specific metrics [5][6].

Core Insights - The company, Nuotai Biopharmaceuticals, reported strong financial performance with a revenue of 1.625 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 57.21%, and a net profit of 404 million yuan, up 148.19% [1] - In Q1 2025, the company continued its growth trend with revenues of 566 million yuan and a net profit of 153 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year increases of 58.96% and 130.10% respectively [1] - The company announced significant cash dividends, proposing a distribution of 1.76 billion yuan in cash dividends and a stock bonus, which represents 48.91% of the annual net profit [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's self-selected product revenue grew by 79.49% to 1.129 billion yuan, while foreign revenue increased by 129.22% to 1.026 billion yuan [3] - The total cash dividends for the year are expected to reach 198 million yuan, with a mid-year dividend of 1 yuan per 10 shares and a year-end proposal of 8 yuan per 10 shares plus a stock bonus of 4 shares [1] Market Demand and Positioning - The global demand for GLP-1 peptide drugs, including liraglutide and semaglutide, has been robust, contributing to the company's strong performance [2] - The global peptide drug market has expanded significantly, growing from approximately 12.39 billion USD in 2007 to 43 billion USD in 2020, with an annual growth rate of 16% [2] R&D and Innovation - The company increased its R&D investment by 178.24% in 2024, reaching 372 million yuan, which constitutes 22.88% of its revenue [5] - The R&D team expanded to 385 members, with a 44.94% proportion of master's and doctoral degree holders [5] - The company has 43 projects under development, focusing on diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, and tumors, with several products achieving regulatory milestones [6] Production Capacity and Expansion - The company has completed the construction of its fourth-generation large-scale peptide production facility, achieving an annual capacity of 5 tons [7] - A new oligonucleotide production facility is under construction, expected to be completed by October 2025, with a projected capacity of 1,000 kg per year [7] Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a dual strategy of "technical depth + industrial synergy" to build a competitive advantage in the global market [8] - It plans to establish an international industrial safety network and strategically acquire overseas production bases to mitigate geopolitical risks [8][9] - The company is actively monitoring global biopharmaceutical regulatory changes and expanding its business footprint into emerging markets such as Latin America and the Middle East [9]

Core Insights - Huadong Medicine's subsidiary, Jiangdong Company, received acceptance for the marketing application of Semaglutide injection for blood sugar control in adults with type 2 diabetes [1] - The clinical trial application for Semaglutide's weight management indication was approved in September 2024, with the Phase III trial completed in December 2024 [1] - Semaglutide is recognized for its significant market potential due to its effective blood sugar and weight management capabilities [2] Industry Overview - The global diabetes market is experiencing substantial growth, with the number of adults with diabetes increasing from approximately 200 million in 1990 to 828 million in 2022 [4] - In China, the number of adult diabetes patients reached about 148 million in 2022, accounting for 18% of the global total, with a high untreated rate of 52.7% [4] - The diabetes treatment market is expected to grow as clinical diagnosis and treatment rates improve [4] Company Developments - Huadong Medicine has a comprehensive pipeline of over 20 commercialized and in-development products targeting various diabetes treatment mechanisms, including GLP-1 receptor agonists [5] - The company’s Semaglutide injection demonstrated comparable efficacy and safety to Novo Nordisk's control drug in Phase III trials, with slightly lower adverse event rates [3] - Huadong Medicine is advancing multiple innovative products, including oral small molecule GLP-1 receptor agonists and dual-target agonists, with ongoing clinical trials [6][7] Market Position - Huadong Medicine is positioned as a strong competitor in the diabetes treatment sector, leveraging its extensive GLP-1 product pipeline and research capabilities [7] - The company aims to become a leading player in the GLP-1 market, capitalizing on its comprehensive product offerings and competitive advantages [7]