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泡泡玛特赛道开始大堵车
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-16 03:46
Core Insights - The resurgence of Pop Mart's stock price, which has increased over 12 times in a year and a half, has significantly boosted the wealth of its founder, Wang Ning, to over 150 billion yuan, while the company's market value has reached over 370 billion HKD [1] - The success of Pop Mart has revitalized the entire collectible toy industry, prompting reflections on the underlying logic of the collectible toy market [1] Company Developments - A new collectible toy IP, WAKUKU, has emerged, backed by a company called Quantum Song, which recently transitioned from adult education to the collectible toy sector, inspired by Pop Mart's success [2][3] - Quantum Song's stock price surged from $2.16 to $9.24, marking a 327.78% increase, as it seeks to establish a foothold in the collectible toy market [3] - Quantum Song has made strategic acquisitions, including a 61% stake in Letsvan, a company specializing in collectible toy design and sales, for a total cash consideration of 235 million yuan [3] Market Trends - The collectible toy industry is witnessing a shift from a fragmented market to a more concentrated one, with leading players like Pop Mart benefiting from increased market share as weaker competitors exit [15] - The industry is also seeing a trend towards high-margin IP-driven models, with Pop Mart's self-owned IPs contributing significantly to its revenue and profitability compared to competitors relying on licensed IPs [14][11] Competitive Landscape - 52TOYS, another player in the collectible toy market, has recently filed for an IPO and completed a C+ round of financing totaling 144 million yuan, indicating a renewed interest in the sector [8][9] - Despite its efforts, 52TOYS has struggled with profitability, reporting a total loss of 19.5 million yuan over three years, and its market share is significantly lower than Pop Mart's [12][11] - TOP TOY, a sub-brand of Miniso, is also planning to go public, aiming to raise $300 million, highlighting the competitive dynamics in the collectible toy space [9] Industry Dynamics - The collectible toy market is evolving with new consumer behaviors, where emotional value and brand loyalty are becoming more significant than mere novelty [14] - The interplay between collectible toys and celebrity endorsements is becoming a common marketing strategy, as seen with WAKUKU's association with celebrities like David Beckham [4][6] - The industry's growth is also influenced by the luxury market dynamics, where high-priced collectible toys are gaining traction among consumers, although the sustainability of such trends remains uncertain [16]