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机构预期明年Q1及全年NBV增长较好,保险证券ETF(515630)涨超2.2%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 03:39
数据显示,截至2025年11月28日,中证800证券保险指数(399966)前十大权重股分别为中国平安 (601318)、东方财富(300059)、中信证券(600030)、国泰海通(601211)、中国太保(601601)、华泰证券 (601688)、中国人寿(601628)、广发证券(000776)、招商证券(600999)、新华保险(601336),前十大权重 股合计占比63.12%。 3、权益市场增厚净利润:25年至今保险公司权益收益在20%-30%,且随着中长期试点和明年全行业的 oci切换, 预计继续利好险资收益; 4、当前大部分上市公司pev估值为0.5-0.7倍,处于历史40-50%估值区间。 保险证券ETF紧密跟踪中证800证券保险指数,中证800证券保险指数是在中证800指数的基础上,选择 证券保险行业内对应的证券作为指数样本,为投资者提供更多样化的投资标的。 截至2025年12月15日 10:52,中证800证券保险指数(399966)强势上涨2.24%,成分股中国平安(601318)上 涨5.23%,中国太保(601601)上涨4.58%,华泰证券(601688)上涨4.06%,新华保 ...
25H1上市险企人身险成本盘点:新单成本平均同比下降 65bps
Huachuang Securities· 2025-09-04 07:43
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" with expectations of exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [24]. Core Insights - The average new business cost for listed insurance companies has decreased by 65 basis points year-on-year as of H1 2025, driven by adjustments in preset interest rates and the integration of individual insurance channels [2][12]. - The VIF breakeven yield for listed insurance companies is estimated to be in the range of 2.21% to 3.39%, while the NBV breakeven yield is between 1.5% and 2.89% [2]. - The report indicates that the quality of liability management in the insurance industry is gradually improving, with a potential slowdown in the speed of convergence of "interest spread gains" [12]. Summary by Sections New Business Cost Analysis - The average new business cost for listed insurance companies has shown a significant decline, with a decrease of 61 basis points quarter-on-quarter and 65 basis points year-on-year [2]. - The report anticipates that as new business continues to flow in, the existing cost may trend downward [2]. Breakeven Yield Metrics - The VIF breakeven yield for major insurance companies is as follows: China Life (2.43%), Ping An (2.51%), China Pacific (2.21%), New China Life (3.00%), China Re (3.39%), and Sunshine Insurance (2.80%) [3][10]. - The NBV breakeven yield for the same companies is: China Life (1.50%), Ping An (1.73%), China Pacific (1.76%), New China Life (2.68%), China Re (2.89%), and Sunshine Insurance (2.30%) [11]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends the following order of preference for investment: China Pacific Insurance, China Life H, China Re H, and Sunshine Insurance H. If the equity market continues to outperform expectations, New China Life H is also recommended; if there are signs of recovery in the real estate sector, Ping An is recommended [12].
友邦保险:每股OPAT yoy+12%,新增16亿美元回购计划-20250316
申万宏源· 2025-03-16 13:36
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for AIA Group Limited (01299) [2] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year increase in OPAT of 12% per share, exceeding targets, and announced a new share buyback plan of $1.6 billion [5][6] - The company's NBV growth rate is in line with expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 18% to $4.712 billion [5] - The report highlights a robust performance in investment returns, with total investment assets increasing by 8.2% year-on-year to $255.3 billion [8] Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a year-on-year increase in OPAT of 7% to $6.605 billion, with a significant rise in net profit attributable to shareholders of 81.6% to $6.836 billion [5][10] - The expected net profit for 2025-2027 is revised upwards to $7.774 billion, $8.434 billion, and $8.949 billion respectively [8] - The report indicates a total investment return of 4.8% for equity assets and 4.3% for fixed income assets, remaining stable year-on-year [8] Market Segment Analysis - In the Hong Kong market, NBV increased by 23% to $1.764 billion, with strong growth in agent and partner distribution channels [11] - In mainland China, NBV grew by 20% to $1.217 billion, supported by the establishment of four new branches [11] - Southeast Asia markets showed positive growth, with Thailand, Singapore, and Malaysia reporting year-on-year increases in NBV of 15%, 15%, and 10% respectively [11]