Core Viewpoint - The announcement of a 25% tariff on heavy-duty trucks by the U.S. President has led to a decline in shares of Daimler Truck and Traton, exacerbating existing trade tensions in the automotive sector [1][3]. Group 1: Impact on Companies - Shares of Daimler Truck fell by 2% and Traton's shares decreased by 2.4% following the tariff announcement [3]. - Citi estimates that the 25% tariff on trucks assembled in Mexico could impact Daimler Truck's earnings by approximately 700-800 million euros ($818-$934 million), although the company may absorb about half of this through price increases [4]. - Volvo Group, which manufactures all of its U.S. trucks domestically, saw its shares rise by 3.5% in response to the tariff announcement [6]. Group 2: Industry Reactions - Germany's auto industry association criticized the tariff as "incomprehensible," warning that it would burden investment and jobs in the U.S., weaken supply chains, and increase costs [3]. - Analysts at Bernstein noted uncertainty regarding whether the tariffs would apply to USMCA-compliant Mexican sites and whether industry-specific tariffs would stack on top of country-based tariffs [5].

Trade Tariffs - The latest trade tariffs announced by President Trump include 100% on pharmaceuticals and 25% on heavy trucks, along with tariffs on kitchen cabinets and upholstered furniture, all categorized under section 232 national security tariffs [1][2] - The tariffs are expected to start as early as next week, indicating a proactive approach by the Trump administration [2] Implications for China - The tariffs, while not directly aimed at China, will have significant implications for Chinese exports, particularly in the furniture sector, as there will be less furniture and kitchen cabinets imported from China [4] - Beijing is closely monitoring the situation to assess the impact on its domestic economy and the proposed tariff rates, as actual numbers have only recently been attached to the discussions [5] Bilateral Negotiations - The increasing complexity of tariff policies complicates the potential for a bilateral deal between the US and China, especially given China's role as a key manufacturing source for pharmaceuticals [3][9] - The ongoing discussions between the two countries will likely focus on broader issues such as tariff policies, transshipment rules, investment regulations, and intellectual property rights [8][10][11] China's Response - China is reminding the Trump administration that it also holds significant stakes in the negotiations, as evidenced by its recent inclusion of six US companies on its entity list [12][13] - By pledging not to seek special and differential treatment in new WTO agreements, China positions itself as a responsible stakeholder in the global trading system, which may ease bilateral tensions [14][15][16]

Group 1 - Denmark's central bank has revised its GDP forecasts for 2025-2027 downward due to external factors [1] - The negative impact is attributed to U.S. trade tariffs affecting the economy [1] - The pharmaceuticals industry, particularly weight-loss drug maker Novo Nordisk, is facing increased competition, contributing to weaker growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - Oil prices remained stable as traders assessed the effects of ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Russia, alongside concerns regarding trade tariffs that may negatively impact fuel demand [1] Group 1 - Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Russia are influencing oil market dynamics [1] - Concerns over trade tariffs persist, potentially dampening fuel demand [1]

Stagflation, a scenario of high inflation, weak growth and elevated unemployment, has become a topic of concern for economists and traders amid US trade tariffs, sticky services inflation and slowing GDP growth. Recent tariff hikes have pushed costs higher for many imported goods and consumer inflation expectations have risen with annual headline inflation projected to approach 3.9% by year end as tariffs are implemented. However, the argument for stagflation remains limited due to continued weakness in goo ...

Wall Street strategists are sounding alarms that the US economy is drifting toward stagflation as the impact of trade tariffs start to show up: Here’s your Evening Briefing https://t.co/krwCufqiz0 ...

Wall Street strategists are sounding alarms that the US economy is drifting toward stagflation as the impact of trade tariffs start to show up, potentially restricting the ability of the Fed to slash interest-rates https://t.co/l3qrVXM50s ...

South Africa's Jendamark Automation lost contracts worth 750 million rand ($41 million) as a result of new US trade tariffs, News24 reported https://t.co/gPKNPP0q1A ...

US Treasury yields hover around their highest levels in a month as traders await data on producer prices that could provide more evidence trade tariffs are stoking inflation https://t.co/EMy0yVcXos ...

Market Performance & Indices - Major indices are mostly green, influenced by upcoming CPI data and big bank earnings [2] - S&P 500 shows little change overall, but trade tariff threats impact market activity with reduced volume [5] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average is expected to close higher by more than 80 points, approximately 02% [6] - The S&P is up about ten points, roughly 01% [6] - The Nasdaq Composite is adding about 03% [6] - The Russell 2000 is outperforming, up 15 points or about 07% [7] Sector Analysis - More stocks moved higher in the S&P, with 286 to the upside and 213 to the downside [7] - Tech sector is slightly down by 02%, while energy and material stocks are lower by 04% due to sinking oil prices [8] - Communication services, financials, and Real Estate Investment Trusts are the best performers [8] Company Specifics - Fastenal reported a 86% increase in net sales for the second quarter, meeting analyst estimates, shares are 4% higher [9] - Warner Brothers Discovery shares are up more than 2% after reporting domestic revenue of at least $215 million for Superman movie [12] - Warner Brothers Discovery Superman movie took in $220 million worldwide, with $125 million in US ticket sales, beating expectations of $115 million [12] - Candy shares are up by more than 22% [16] - Waters stock fell for double digit losses after announcing a merger valued at $175 billion [17] - Constellation Brands shares fell after President Trump declared a 30% tariff for Mexico and the EU [18] - Fluence Energy's market cap is about $14 billion, with year-to-date performance down 50% [21] Tariffs & Trade - President Trump's comments suggest openness to negotiating trade, providing some relief to investors [3][4] - Tariffs are impacting companies, with a swimming pool maker likely to hike prices for a second time this year [29] - The US has collected more than $100 billion in tariff revenue, but its impact on income statements and inflation data is yet to be fully seen [30] Economic Indicators - Treasury yields are rising, with greater moves on the longer end of the curve [22] - The short end of the curve shows narrow range moves, with a one to three basis point change [23]