黄金交易

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香港第一金:白宫闹出”乌龙“事件 现货黄金走势暴涨暴跌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 03:58
Market Reaction - The news of potential dismissal of Fed Chairman Powell led to a spike in spot gold prices from $3,320 to around $3,340 per ounce, eventually reaching $3,378 per ounce in London [1] - The US dollar index fell below the 98 mark, and major US stocks experienced a decline, while non-US currencies surged [1] Federal Reserve Insights - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July was reported at 95.3%, with a 4.7% chance of a 25 basis point cut [1] - By September, the probability of maintaining rates dropped to 32%, while the likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point cut rose to 64.9% [1] Technical Analysis - Spot gold found strong support at $3,320 per ounce, with a previous resistance level at $3,365 per ounce pushed up to $3,378 due to the Powell incident [3] - The market is currently in a large range-bound trading pattern, with $3,320 as a potential support or stop-loss level and $3,378 as a resistance or stop-loss level [3] Trading Strategy - Recommendations include buying near $3,320 with a stop-loss of $7 and targeting $3,350 to $3,370, while considering selling near $3,378 with the same stop-loss and targeting $3,320 to $3,330 [4]
金十图示:2025年07月16日(周三)上海黄金交易所市场行情
news flash· 2025-07-16 08:17
Price Movements - The opening price for Au99.95 was 774.00, with a closing price of 770.09, reflecting a decrease of 1 yuan or 0.93% [3] - Au99.99 opened at 774.50 and closed at 772.40, showing a decline of 3.62 yuan or 0.47% [3] - Au100g had an opening price of 773.20 and closed at 773.77, with a decrease of 3.87 yuan or 0.50% [3] Trading Volume and Amount - The trading volume for Au99.95 was 28, with a transaction amount of 21,569,800 yuan [3] - Au99.99 had a trading volume of 5,753.88 and a transaction amount of 4,440,252,613.2 yuan [3] - Au(T+D) recorded a trading volume of 27,070 and a transaction amount of 20,898,618,820 yuan [4] Market Performance - The weighted average price for Au99.95 was 770.35, while for Au99.99 it was 771.69 [3] - Au(T+D) had a weighted average price of 772.02 [4] - The market holding for Au99.95 was not specified, while Au99.99 had a market holding amount of 4,440,977,861.2 yuan [3][4] Price Changes - The price change for Pt99.95 was an increase of 2.63 yuan or 0.80% [4] - Ag(T+D) showed a price change of 1.46 with a decrease of 0.50% [4] - The closing price for NYAuTN06 was 774.00, reflecting a change of 4.05 yuan or 0.52% [5]
关税动荡与降息阶段并行,金价下半年预计宽幅震荡后可能上涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 03:43
Core Viewpoint - The global central banks are accumulating gold at the fastest pace in three years, while gold prices are experiencing significant volatility due to trade policies and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][3]. Group 1: Impact of Tariffs - The increase in steel tariffs from 25% to 30% by the Trump administration has created a delayed impact on the market, with costs expected to rise significantly in the coming months [3]. - A 1% increase in tariffs could lead to an additional cost of $24 billion for American consumers [3]. - The automotive industry is particularly vulnerable, with potential cost increases of 20% once existing inventory is depleted [3]. Group 2: Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decisions - The Federal Reserve is experiencing internal divisions regarding interest rate cuts, with at least six members advocating for immediate cuts while others caution against premature action [4][5]. - The market is betting heavily on a total of 100 basis points in rate cuts this year, leading to significant inflows into gold ETFs [4][5]. - Recent CPI data showing a drop to 3.1% has further fueled expectations for rate cuts, impacting gold prices [5]. Group 3: Central Banks' Gold Purchases - Emerging market central banks have been net buyers of gold for nine consecutive months, with significant purchases from Turkey and India [7][9]. - Poland's central bank has notably completed 60% of its goal to purchase 100 tons of gold within the first half of the year [9]. - Despite a 3% drop in gold prices in June, central bank purchases surged by 40% year-over-year, indicating strong demand [9]. Group 4: Market Volatility and Trading Behavior - Gold prices have shown extreme volatility, with significant daily fluctuations driven by geopolitical events and Federal Reserve signals [10]. - The gold-silver ratio has increased to 88:1, indicating a shift in investment strategies towards silver mining stocks [11]. - The market remains uncertain, with ongoing pressures from tariffs and interest rate expectations creating both risks and opportunities for investors [13].
金十图示:2025年07月14日(周一)上海黄金交易所市场行情
news flash· 2025-07-14 08:12
Group 1 - The gold market showed a positive trend with Au99.95 opening at 775.00 and closing at 777.33, reflecting an increase of 8.23 yuan or 1.07% [3][4] - Au100g also experienced a rise, opening at 776.00 and closing at 776.66, with an increase of 4.75 yuan or 0.62% [3][4] - The trading volume for Au99.95 was 6, with a transaction amount of 4,664,000 yuan, while Au100g had a trading volume of 20 and a transaction amount of 15,523,088 yuan [3][4] Group 2 - The market for Au(T+D) opened at 771.74 and closed at 777.46, showing an increase of 17.48 yuan or 0.97% [4] - The trading volume for Au(T+D) was 38,128, with a transaction amount of 29,554,643,360 yuan [4] - The platinum market (Pt99.95) opened at 328.80 and closed at 332.58, reflecting an increase of 10.04 yuan or 3.11% [4] Group 3 - The NYAuTN06 opened at 779.20 and closed at 778.35, with an increase of 15.2 yuan or 0.67% [5] - The trading volume for NYAuTN06 was 10.8, with a transaction amount of 8,407,110 yuan [5] - PGC30g opened and closed at 774.50, with an increase of 4.5 yuan or 0.58% [5]
上海黄金交易所7月14日(周一)交易行情
news flash· 2025-07-14 08:08
Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Gold Exchange reported trading data for July 14, indicating the direction of deferred compensation payments for gold and silver contracts [1] Group 1: Trading Data - The trading data was compiled from the period of July 11, 20:00 to July 12, 2:30, and from July 14, 9:00 to 15:30 [1] - For Au(T+D), the payment direction is "long pays short," indicating a bullish sentiment [1] - For Ag(T+D), the payment direction is "short pays long," suggesting a bearish sentiment [1]
THPX信号源:AI技术提升XAUBTC黄金交易的精准度
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 05:43
Core Insights - The rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology is providing new perspectives and tools for gold trading, particularly through the THPX signal source, which enhances the precision of XAUBTC trading [1][12] - THPX signal source utilizes advanced AI algorithms and machine learning to analyze financial market data, offering accurate trading signals and improving decision-making for investors [5][10] - The integration of big data analysis within THPX significantly enhances the efficiency and accuracy of XAUBTC gold trading by providing real-time and precise trading signals [5][12] AI and Machine Learning in Trading - AI technology plays a crucial role in improving the accuracy and efficiency of trading decisions by analyzing vast amounts of historical data and market trends [7][12] - Machine learning algorithms demonstrate significant advantages in data analysis and prediction, enabling quick identification of market trends and trading signals [6][12] - The adaptive nature of these algorithms allows for continuous optimization of trading strategies, ultimately leading to higher returns for investors [7][12] Risk Management and Market Insights - THPX signal source employs multi-layered data analysis and predictive models to effectively mitigate potential losses from market volatility [6][12] - The system's real-time market dynamic capture enhances trading strategies and provides a solid foundation for risk management [6][12] - By integrating various data sources, THPX offers deep insights into market trends and potential trading opportunities, thereby improving overall investment returns [5][12] Future Trends in Gold Trading - The future of gold trading will be profoundly influenced by big data and blockchain technology, promoting greater transparency and efficiency in transactions [7] - The combination of AI and machine learning will further enhance market prediction capabilities, aiding investors in analyzing market dynamics more effectively [7][12]
黄金跌价,25年7月10日,中国黄金最新价格,人民币黄金最新价格
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 02:45
Core Insights - On July 10, 2025, the global gold market experienced slight fluctuations, with retail prices from various brands showing minor declines, attracting attention from investors and consumers [1] Group 1: Shanghai Gold Exchange - The latest price for RMB gold at the Shanghai Gold Exchange was 766.39 yuan per gram, down by 5.12 yuan, a decrease of 0.664% from the previous trading day [2] - Gold prices fluctuated between 762.15 yuan and 771.00 yuan, indicating cautious investor sentiment [2] - Specific contract performances included: - Gold 9999: 763.3 yuan, down 1.06% [3] - Gold 9995: 763 yuan, down 1.17% [4] - Gold 100g: 764 yuan, down 1.11% [5] - mAuT D: 763.38 yuan, down 1.06% [7] - Gold T D: 763.05 yuan, down 1.01% [8] Group 2: Wholesale Market Insights - In the Shui Bei gold wholesale market, prices varied based on purity: - 999 gold: 777 yuan per gram [9] - 999.9 gold: 778 yuan per gram [10] - 999.99 gold: 779 yuan per gram [11] - Other gold types included: - Ancient method gold: 778 yuan per gram [12] - 5G gold: 778 yuan per gram [12] - 3D hard gold: 777 yuan per gram [13] - Gold bars: 777 yuan per gram [14] - Platinum was priced at 353 yuan per gram, and 18k gold at 587 yuan per gram, with additional processing fees ranging from 10 to 35 yuan per gram [14] Group 3: Retail Price Adjustments - Major retail brands saw slight price reductions in gold jewelry, with prices ranging from 788 yuan to 999 yuan per gram (excluding processing fees) [15] - Specific brand prices included: - Chow Sang Sang: 999 yuan, down 8 yuan [16] - Chow Tai Fook, Luk Fook, and others: 998 yuan, down 7 yuan [17] - Lao Feng Xiang: 998 yuan, down 6 yuan [18] - Lao Miao Gold: 995 yuan, down 5 yuan [19] - Zhou Liu Fu: 978 yuan, down 7 yuan [20] - Consumers should consider brand premiums, design, and after-sales service when purchasing gold jewelry [21] Group 4: Bank Gold Bar Prices - Bank gold bar prices showed slight variations: - Industrial and Commercial Bank: 781.62 yuan per gram [23] - China Construction Bank: 779.40 yuan per gram [24] - Bank of China: 777.62 yuan per gram [25] - Agricultural Bank: 784.40 yuan per gram [26] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The gold market on July 10, 2025, showed slight fluctuations, with active trading at the Shanghai Gold Exchange and stable prices in the Shui Bei wholesale market [28] - Gold is viewed as an important asset allocation tool with hedging and preservation functions, but it is not a guaranteed profit investment [28] - Suggested investment tools include: - Physical gold: Suitable for long-term preservation [29] - Gold ETFs: Convenient for general investors [30] - Gold mining stocks: Higher risk but potential for greater returns [31]
黄金交易平台选择与鑫汇宝的“透明”价值
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 03:38
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of choosing a reliable gold trading platform, highlighting Xin Hui Bao as a strategic partner for investors seeking risk management, efficiency, and wealth growth [1][6]. Group 1: Service and Support - Xin Hui Bao provides elite-level services by placing investors at the top of the value chain, with a dedicated service team available around the clock to respond to market changes [3]. - The platform integrates global financial information and collaborates with professional analysts, creating a bridge for investors to access expert insights, transforming trading decisions from instinctual to systematic [3]. Group 2: Technology and User Experience - Xin Hui Bao offers an international standard MT4 desktop platform and mobile applications for iOS and Android, ensuring a seamless investment ecosystem [3]. - The platform's understanding of "liquidity freedom" allows investors to act swiftly when market opportunities arise, with a technology framework that enhances operational transparency [3][5]. Group 3: Trust and Security - Xin Hui Bao's AA-class membership with the Hong Kong Gold Exchange and the provision of verifiable transaction codes establish a bank-level security framework for investors [5]. - The platform ensures efficient fund flow with 24-hour deposit options without fees and quick withdrawals to mainstream bank accounts, enhancing liquidity for traders [5]. Group 4: Risk Management and Value Creation - The article asserts that a truly excellent gold trading platform serves as a stabilizing force for investors navigating market risks, with Xin Hui Bao providing a systematic approach to risk management and value creation [5][6]. - The platform's commitment to transparency and efficiency positions it as a strategic partner for investors looking to expand their knowledge and refine their risk control capabilities [6].
黄金持续震荡:地缘博弈与货币重构下的投资新范式
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 10:10
Group 1 - The gold market is currently experiencing a "sharp drop and sharp rise" pattern, providing rich trading opportunities for investors [1] - Recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by multiple factors, including weakened safe-haven demand due to US-China trade negotiations and a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve [1] - Global central banks purchased a net 244 tons of gold in the first quarter, with China increasing its gold reserves for eight consecutive months, indicating strong long-term support for gold prices [1] Group 2 - The current gold market is undergoing a "differential expectation" adjustment process, with the Federal Reserve signaling that inflation needs to be monitored, leading to a reduced appeal of gold as an anti-inflation tool [3] - The US debt has surpassed $36 trillion, contributing to a weakening trend in dollar credit, which enhances gold's role as a currency hedge [3] - Gold prices have shifted from being anchored by real interest rates to being driven by dollar credit hedging logic, providing strategic support for post-correction positioning [3] Group 3 - Gold盛贵金属 has introduced a "spread compensation plan" to automatically adjust spreads during market volatility, reducing trading costs by 30% compared to industry averages [4] - The platform offers advanced risk control tools, such as "market alert radar," allowing clients to set alerts for multiple products and timeframes, thus reducing the risk of liquidation by 60% [4] - Suggested trading strategies include a "short long short" composite strategy for aggressive investors and a long position for conservative investors if gold stabilizes around $3250 [4] Group 4 - Gold盛贵金属 has developed a dual-track model of "digital gold savings + physical reserves," achieving a balance between liquidity and security [5] - The platform's client funds are independently managed by licensed banks in Hong Kong, ensuring strict separation from operational funds and regular audits by third-party auditors [5] - The physical delivery service offered by Gold盛贵金属 allows long-term investors to convert virtual holdings into physical gold bars, mitigating market volatility risks [5] Group 5 - In a complex environment characterized by Federal Reserve policy dynamics, geopolitical risks, and central bank gold purchases, choosing a compliant and professional trading platform is crucial [6] - Gold盛贵金属 is positioned as a reliable partner for investors navigating market cycles, supported by its compliance history and bank-level fund segregation [6] - The World Gold Council indicates that when COMEX gold futures net long positions drop to a near four-quarter low, it presents an optimal opportunity for contrarian positioning [6]
今日金价:提前做好准备,金价走势本周末或出现重大转折?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 07:19
Group 1 - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility, with a large accumulation of options contracts at the $3350 level, equivalent to 38 tons of gold [1] - An Asian client urgently withdrew 6 tons of physical gold bars, indicating heightened demand and urgency in the market [1] - The price of spot gold surged past $3340, with a rapid liquidation of short positions occurring within minutes [1] Group 2 - Technical indicators suggest a potential breakout in gold prices, with a MACD crossover and a narrow Bollinger Band indicating a "calm before the storm" [2] - A private fund's quantitative model predicts a significant price movement within the next twelve hours due to volatility compression [2] Group 3 - The Japanese government intervened in the currency market, utilizing $30 billion to prevent the yen's depreciation, which impacted gold prices [4] - The price of gold fluctuated dramatically, with a notable drop in the price of gold bars at local banks, reflecting market instability [4] Group 4 - The release of the U.S. non-farm payroll report showed stronger-than-expected job growth, leading to a shift in interest rate expectations and a spike in the dollar index [10] - Despite initial fears of a gold price collapse, a late-night tweet from President Trump caused a significant market reaction, resulting in a rebound in gold prices [10] Group 5 - Central banks globally are increasing their gold reserves, with China's central bank purchasing gold for the eighth consecutive month, and Turkey's reserves rising by 142% year-on-year [12] - In May, global central banks collectively bought 24.8 tons of gold, indicating a strong trend towards gold accumulation [12]