学会克制自己的不良情绪，避免冲动交易。投资过程中，亏损与盈利均属常态。若不幸遭遇亏损时，我 们应冷静分析这其中的原因，总结经验教训，而非由于急于回本而盲目增加仓位。实现盈利时，亦不可 过度贪心，应合理设置止盈，确保收益能够落袋为安。 富格林指出，延迟的非农数据公布，黄金市场新一轮行情波动产生，不少场外投资者兴致高昂，欲进场 操作以谋财富。然而贸然进场，亏损概率颇高，此时如何追损便成了关键问题。在整个交易过程中，合 规的交易方法是进行高效盈利或追损的基石。作为香港黄金交易所100号会员的富格林，深知投资者急 切想要实现财富增值，因此接下来将给大家分享一些合规的交易方法。 在交易前，做好充分的调研与分析必不可少。密切关注全球经济形势货币政策、政治局势以及重大经济 数据发布等，这些因素都会对黄金价格产生重大影响。比如，当全球经济衰退预期升温时，黄金的避险 属性会凸显，价格可能上涨；而当美联储加息预期增强，促使美元走强，黄金价格则可能受到压制。 合理的仓位管理是控制风险的基础。采用"金字塔加仓"或"固定比例加仓"策略。顺势操作是交易的首要 原则。黄金市场趋势明显时，应顺应市场方向交易，上升趋势做多，下降趋势做空，可大 ...

文章来源：瑞恩资本RyanbenCapital 综合报道 据报道，摩根大通的黄金交易部门，上月底悄悄搬家了，没有任何新闻稿。整个黄金交易部门，从纽约搬到了新加坡，五十多名交 易员和他们的家人，被要求在一周内抵达新加坡。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 根据www.Todayusstock.com报道，2025年11月27日，摩根大通（JPM）内部下发紧急指令，要求50余名黄金交易员及其家人在一周内 迁至新加坡。 当时的邮件原文写着："本周末前将所有COMEX合格黄金操作员迁至亚太地区"。 此次行动未见公开声明，属高度机密调整，引发市场对全球黄金供应链重塑的猜测。公司内部邮件显示，此举旨在强化亚太交易能 力，应对地缘政治与监管变局。 据独立记者Bill Still报道，此迁移发生在感恩节假期，交易员需迅速打包家当，凸显操作紧迫性。 迁移规模涉及全球最大黄金交易台，或将重塑纽约与伦敦的传统格局。 新加坡，作为全球黄金枢纽，2025年交易量已超伦敦15%，零关税政策吸引BRICS国家资金流入。摩根大通私人银行已将亚太总部设 于此，迁移将无缝对接客户需求。 迁移核心源于三重压力： 一 ...

Private Equity Market Review - The article provides an overview of the private equity market, highlighting recent trends and activities in the sector [2]. Hedge Fund Market Overview - The Bloomberg Hedge Fund Index showed a preliminary increase of 1.1% in October, with a year-to-date rise of 11% [4]. - Equity hedge funds performed the best, with a year-to-date increase of 17% [4]. - The total assets in the global hedge fund industry reached a record $5 trillion, driven by strong inflows of nearly $34 billion in the last three months [4]. Industry Highlights - There is a growing competition for talent in the gold trading sector, as trade companies, hedge funds, and banks are actively hiring specialized gold traders, leading to rising compensation in this niche market [4]. - Shareholders of the well-known Chinese condom and sexual wellness brand, Jissbon, are considering selling a minority stake of approximately 20% to 30% of the business, with potential buyers including private equity firms CVC Capital Partners and Advent [4]. Performance Overview - The performance of various hedge fund strategies as of October 31, 2025, includes: - Equity Hedge: 1.28% monthly return, 16.59% year-to-date [5] - Credit Hedge: 0.59% monthly return, 6.58% year-to-date [5] - Event Driven Hedge: 0.62% monthly return, 9.04% year-to-date [5] - Macro Hedge: 1.15% monthly return, 7.28% year-to-date [5] - Relative Value Hedge: 1.27% monthly return, 9.11% year-to-date [5] Notable Transactions - KKR is in negotiations to acquire a minority stake in Hong Kong's Dingrui Reinsurance Company [6].

Core Insights - The essence of gold trading is not merely price speculation but a deeper contest of global confidence, where gold serves as a safe haven during economic uncertainty and may face selling pressure when confidence in the economy and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies is high [1] Group 1: Trading Philosophy - Successful trading requires maintaining rationality during market panic and exercising restraint during periods of greed, rather than merely predicting price movements [1] - A shift in trading mindset from seeking to predict every market movement to focusing on risk management and emotional control is crucial for achieving profitability [3][5] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The true barriers to entry in gold trading lie in the ability to exercise patience rather than in complex technical analysis [4] - The relationship between the U.S. dollar and gold is characterized by a negative correlation, where a strong dollar typically pressures gold prices, while a weak dollar supports them [6] - Real interest rates significantly impact gold prices; lower real rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, leading to price increases, while higher real rates exert downward pressure [6] Group 3: Trading Strategies - Adhering to strict trading rules, such as limiting risk exposure to 2% of account funds and pausing trading after consecutive losses, can help avoid emotional trading pitfalls [5] - Observing market trends without rushing into trades can lead to better decision-making and reduced errors, emphasizing that long-term profitability is achieved by minimizing mistakes rather than maximizing opportunities [7] Group 4: Company Overview - Hong Kong First Gold, regulated by the Hong Kong Gold and Silver Exchange Society, provides a transparent and secure trading environment for global investors, offering professional training and stable trading systems to support both novice and experienced traders [7]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Financial Development Council (HKFDC) released a report titled "Unlocking Hong Kong's Potential: Growth Prospects for Expanding the Commodity Market," emphasizing Hong Kong's position as a leading international financial center and its potential to enhance economic resilience through the expansion of its commodity market [1] Group 1: Market Development - The report suggests that strengthening the commodity market ecosystem in Hong Kong is essential for enhancing market efficiency and stimulating trading activities [1] - Key recommendations include focusing on the development of major commodities that align with regional advantages and strategic goals, particularly in gold, iron ore, copper, and aluminum [2] Group 2: Strategic Importance - The report highlights the importance of establishing a robust physical commodity trading foundation before expanding into futures trading, as a strong spot market can significantly activate futures trading [2] - The ongoing global energy transition and the Belt and Road Initiative present new opportunities for commodity trading in Hong Kong [2] Group 3: Role of HKEX - The HKFDC identifies the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) as an ideal candidate to drive further development in the commodity sector [1] - The report emphasizes the need for enhanced connectivity between mainland China and Hong Kong's commodity markets to facilitate growth [1]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the increasing popularity of gold as a safe-haven asset amid global economic fluctuations, with personal gold investment in China projected to exceed 800 billion yuan by 2025, and nearly half of this investment being small-scale transactions [1] Group 1: Choosing a Gold Trading Platform - Selecting a safe and reliable trading platform is crucial for new investors, with regulatory qualifications being the first line of defense for fund security [3] - Investors should prioritize platforms regulated by authoritative institutions, such as AA-class members of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange, which require high capital deposits and independent fund custody [3] - Ensuring fund segregation and third-party audit reports is essential to guarantee that client funds are completely separate from company operating funds [4] - Transaction costs significantly impact investment returns, and investors should compare the total costs of spreads, commissions, and overnight interest [4] - Clear and transparent trading rules are vital, with no hidden fees in the platform's cost structure [4] - Execution efficiency is critical for trading experience, and investors can use demo accounts to test order execution speed and slippage rates [4] Group 2: Gold Account Opening Process - The account opening process is straightforward and can be completed online without the need for physical documentation [6] - Required documents include a valid ID, phone number, email, and bank card, which are used for account registration and verification [6] - Investors can register via the platform's official website or app, filling in personal information as prompted [6] - After submitting documents, the platform typically takes 1-3 hours for verification, followed by setting up trading and fund passwords [7] - Before funding the account, it is important to confirm the platform's deposit thresholds and fee standards [8] Group 3: Gold Trading Platforms Overview - Jinrong China is highlighted as a beginner-friendly platform, holding AA-class membership with the Hong Kong Gold Exchange and employing bank-level encryption and independent fund custody [10] - The platform offers low-cost trading with a minimum deposit requirement and spreads as low as $0.2 per ounce, along with zero commissions [11] - New investors are supported through features like a "newbie training camp," AI auto-copy trading, and a simulated trading environment [12] Group 4: Gold Trading Tips and Risk Management - New investors are encouraged to start with simulated trading to familiarize themselves with the market without risk [14] - It is recommended to practice for at least 1-2 months in a demo account before transitioning to live trading [15] - Basic analysis methods, including fundamental and technical analysis, are essential for understanding market trends and potential trading opportunities [16] - Strict risk management principles should be followed, such as limiting initial investments and setting stop-loss orders [17][18] - Investors should avoid trading during major economic events to mitigate risks associated with high volatility [19] - Continuous learning and discipline are crucial for long-term success in gold trading, which is viewed as a marathon rather than a quick profit scheme [20][21]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Gold Exchange announced that electronic trading will continue as usual despite the issuance of a No. 10 hurricane signal by the Hong Kong Observatory, which is expected to remain in effect for some time [1] Trading Arrangements - The electronic trading platform of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange will operate normally [1] - If a No. 8 (or higher) hurricane signal remains in effect during the day, the public bidding market for Hong Kong gold will suspend trading in both the morning and afternoon sessions [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 69.61 CNY [2][8] Core Views - The company experienced revenue and profit declines in H1 2025 due to high gold prices and a high base from the previous year, with revenue down 16.5% year-on-year to 33.36 billion CNY and net profit down 13.1% to 1.22 billion CNY [2][8] - The company is actively adjusting its product offerings and channels, focusing on quality over quantity, with a net increase of 9 marketing outlets in Q2 2025 [8] - The company launched new products targeting younger consumers and is collaborating with Alibaba to develop co-branded products [8] Financial Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 8.7%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to high gold prices affecting consumer demand [8] - The company’s operating expenses remained stable, with sales, management, and financial expense ratios at 1.3%, 0.6%, and 0.3% respectively [8] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 16.6 billion CNY, 18.3 billion CNY, and 20.2 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 17, 15, and 14 [8][9]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium has strengthened market expectations for a rate cut in September, with traders now estimating an 85% probability of a 25 basis point cut, up from 75% prior to Powell's remarks [1][3] - Powell indicated that the risks to employment are increasing, suggesting that the Fed may need to adjust its policy stance to address these concerns, which opens the door for a potential rate cut as early as September [1][3] - Recent inflation data continues to rebound, and Powell believes that the impact of tariffs on inflation will accumulate in the coming months, although he considers most of these effects to be one-time events [3][4] Group 2 - The upcoming non-farm payroll data will be crucial in determining the pace and magnitude of any potential rate cuts, as it may provide decisive guidance for the Federal Reserve [4][5] - Goldman Sachs traders suggest that if August's non-farm employment growth falls below 100,000, it could solidify the case for a September rate cut, especially under political pressure [5] - The weekly initial jobless claims data will also serve as a reference point for interest rate expectations [5]

Core Viewpoint - The arc top is an important reversal pattern in financial markets, indicating a gradual shift in market forces, and is closely monitored by traders and analysts [1]. Group 1: Identification Criteria - The arc top pattern requires several key conditions: after a period of price increase, the upward momentum weakens and eventually turns into a slow decline, forming a rounded top on the chart [3]. - The process is often accompanied by a gradual decrease in trading volume, which, while not mandatory, is a common auxiliary signal. A significant drop in volume on the right side of the arc compared to the left side increases the reliability of the pattern [3]. Group 2: Market Implications - The longer the arc top takes to form, the stronger the subsequent downward momentum is likely to be. The theoretical minimum decline after confirmation of the pattern is generally the vertical distance from the arc top to the neckline [5]. - In practice, prices may not immediately drop but may oscillate near the neckline, forming a "cup handle" structure, which provides exit opportunities but typically leads to a downward breakout [5]. Group 3: Trading Strategies - Due to the lengthy formation period of the arc top, investors can use trend lines, moving averages, or other technical indicators for early judgment. A significant drop below the neckline (e.g., more than 3%) is considered confirmation of the pattern, prompting risk management or trend-following actions [5]. - Particularly in the final stages, the appearance of a gap down or long bearish candlestick often indicates heightened market panic, necessitating decisive action [5]. - The target price for the arc top should be assessed using support levels, percentage retracements, or Fibonacci tools, and investors should remain vigilant and flexible in their decision-making as the pattern begins to form [5].