黄金交易

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香港黄金交易所:电子平台交易如常进行 港金公开喊价市场休市
智通财经网· 2025-09-24 05:55
智通财经APP获悉,9月24日,香港黄金交易所公布市场交易安排,由于香港天文台已发出十号飓风信 号,预料信号会维持一段时间,香港黄金交易所电子交易平台一切交易如常进行;港金公开喊价市场方 面,倘若八号(或以上)飓风信号日间仍然生效,港金公开喊价巿场上、下午交易时段休市并暂停议定公 价。 ...
老凤祥(600612):25H1业绩承压,渠道产品调整进行时
Huachuang Securities· 2025-09-17 03:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 69.61 CNY [2][8] Core Views - The company experienced revenue and profit declines in H1 2025 due to high gold prices and a high base from the previous year, with revenue down 16.5% year-on-year to 33.36 billion CNY and net profit down 13.1% to 1.22 billion CNY [2][8] - The company is actively adjusting its product offerings and channels, focusing on quality over quantity, with a net increase of 9 marketing outlets in Q2 2025 [8] - The company launched new products targeting younger consumers and is collaborating with Alibaba to develop co-branded products [8] Financial Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 8.7%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to high gold prices affecting consumer demand [8] - The company’s operating expenses remained stable, with sales, management, and financial expense ratios at 1.3%, 0.6%, and 0.3% respectively [8] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 16.6 billion CNY, 18.3 billion CNY, and 20.2 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 17, 15, and 14 [8][9]
9月降息预期升升升,领峰贵金属点差优惠限时送,可返$26/手!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 11:45
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium has strengthened market expectations for a rate cut in September, with traders now estimating an 85% probability of a 25 basis point cut, up from 75% prior to Powell's remarks [1][3] - Powell indicated that the risks to employment are increasing, suggesting that the Fed may need to adjust its policy stance to address these concerns, which opens the door for a potential rate cut as early as September [1][3] - Recent inflation data continues to rebound, and Powell believes that the impact of tariffs on inflation will accumulate in the coming months, although he considers most of these effects to be one-time events [3][4] Group 2 - The upcoming non-farm payroll data will be crucial in determining the pace and magnitude of any potential rate cuts, as it may provide decisive guidance for the Federal Reserve [4][5] - Goldman Sachs traders suggest that if August's non-farm employment growth falls below 100,000, it could solidify the case for a September rate cut, especially under political pressure [5] - The weekly initial jobless claims data will also serve as a reference point for interest rate expectations [5]
百利好丨黄金交易中圆弧顶形态的构成与交易逻辑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-30 12:30
Core Viewpoint - The arc top is an important reversal pattern in financial markets, indicating a gradual shift in market forces, and is closely monitored by traders and analysts [1]. Group 1: Identification Criteria - The arc top pattern requires several key conditions: after a period of price increase, the upward momentum weakens and eventually turns into a slow decline, forming a rounded top on the chart [3]. - The process is often accompanied by a gradual decrease in trading volume, which, while not mandatory, is a common auxiliary signal. A significant drop in volume on the right side of the arc compared to the left side increases the reliability of the pattern [3]. Group 2: Market Implications - The longer the arc top takes to form, the stronger the subsequent downward momentum is likely to be. The theoretical minimum decline after confirmation of the pattern is generally the vertical distance from the arc top to the neckline [5]. - In practice, prices may not immediately drop but may oscillate near the neckline, forming a "cup handle" structure, which provides exit opportunities but typically leads to a downward breakout [5]. Group 3: Trading Strategies - Due to the lengthy formation period of the arc top, investors can use trend lines, moving averages, or other technical indicators for early judgment. A significant drop below the neckline (e.g., more than 3%) is considered confirmation of the pattern, prompting risk management or trend-following actions [5]. - Particularly in the final stages, the appearance of a gap down or long bearish candlestick often indicates heightened market panic, necessitating decisive action [5]. - The target price for the arc top should be assessed using support levels, percentage retracements, or Fibonacci tools, and investors should remain vigilant and flexible in their decision-making as the pattern begins to form [5].
揭黄金4大破局关键!领峰环球交易大赛热力全开,百万奖池实盘激战
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-08-11 09:32
从通胀担忧,地缘风暴,再到央行购金,不可阻挡的去美元化浪潮……黄金高位震荡,下一个纪录高点 在哪?迎击市场四大破局关键,领峰环球(acetoptg.top/JfSTFg)交易大师赛第22季狂欢登场,【8月11日 报名启动,8月15日火热开赛】,全民热战巅峰竞技,不容错过的金融圈盛事,值得您来战一战、赢一 赢! 没有报名门槛,全民免费参赛,新客、老友皆宜,百万奖金实盘激战,激起金市千层浪!是新手最棒的 启航之战,更是老司机切磋的舞台,天天双倍奖金大放送,排名榜单加码100元京东卡——3大榜单,每 榜前三选手,人手一份京东卡! 立即加入这场匹配,体验一次从交易到盈利,从盈利到胜利,从胜利到登顶桂冠全过程。您就是我们在 找的交易之星!经典赛制、高额奖金,公开透明的系统随机匹配PK,与万千高手同台厮杀,向对手致 敬、更向市场使出技术绝招,一起K线论剑、开启一场交易的奇遇! 【领峰环球大赛,专属星级体验】 1、低门槛=0.5手起判胜负,每手盈利相加总分,高过对手就赢了,新手达人在线初试牛刀! 【黄金高燃进行时-四大焦点揭秘】 除最高配平台支持,还有火热行情等着您。黄金深处牛市,不用等待,现在就是入市好时机! ●焦点一: ...
门槛低好申请!领峰环球8月点差福利,黄金每手返$26!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 04:25
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant impact of political events, particularly the lawsuit against Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell by allies of Trump, which could lead to a potential interest rate cut and subsequently boost gold prices [1][5] - Recent gold price movements have seen a notable drop, with prices falling below 1000 yuan per gram, indicating a volatile market where even declines can present trading opportunities for investors [3][6] - The lawsuit against Powell is seen as a critical event that could influence international gold prices, with expectations that if Powell faces pressure leading to a rate cut in September, gold prices could surge [5][8] Group 2 - Various factors are influencing gold prices, including tariffs, geopolitical risks, and U.S. economic data, which have contributed to a significant price drop of nearly 100 dollars within three days [6][8] - The relationship between gold and the U.S. dollar, as well as U.S. interest rates, is emphasized, with expectations of potential rate cuts later in the year, providing strong support for gold prices despite recent declines [8][9] - The article promotes trading opportunities with a specific trading platform, highlighting low entry costs and promotional offers for trading gold, suggesting a favorable environment for investors looking to capitalize on market volatility [9]
日内短线还是趋势交易?黄金交易者如何定位自己,TTPS团队通过今晚行情帮你梳理,找到适合自己的交易风格,点击观看直播>>>
news flash· 2025-07-21 12:59
Group 1 - The article discusses the current trading strategies for gold traders, focusing on whether to adopt short-term or trend trading approaches [1] - The TTPS team is providing a live session to help traders identify their suitable trading styles based on the current market conditions [1]
巨富金业小课堂:不同周期的杠杆适配:日内短线和隔夜持仓
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 02:03
Core Viewpoint - The selection of leverage must align with the trading cycle, as the volatility in the precious metals market is expected to rise to 18% by 2025, making the blind application of high leverage risky and likely to trigger forced liquidation [1] Group 1: Intraday Trading - For intraday trading (positions held for no more than 8 hours), a leverage of 3-5 times is recommended to capture price fluctuations, with 2025 data showing Asian market volatility at 0.8% and European market at 1.5% [3] - The new regulations in 2025 limit intraday leverage to a maximum of 5 times to prevent excessive risk [3] - A typical stop-loss range for short-term trades is between 0.5% and 1%, allowing a $10,000 principal to withstand a 1% fluctuation (resulting in a $500 loss), which is suitable for novice traders [3] - An example from June 2025 shows that during a non-farm payroll event, a 15-minute price movement reached 2%, yielding a profit of $1,000 with 5 times leverage, indicating manageable risk [3] - Frequent intraday trading may trigger "excessive leverage monitoring," leading to a temporary reduction of leverage to 3 times for accounts with more than 5 trades in a single day [3] Group 2: Overnight Positions - For overnight positions (held for more than 8 hours), a leverage of 1-2 times is advisable to mitigate cross-market risks, as 2025 data indicates a 40% higher probability of sudden volatility compared to intraday trading [4] - An unexpected interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in March 2025 caused a 3% gap in gold prices overnight; using 2 times leverage resulted in a $600 loss, while 5 times leverage would have led to a $1,500 loss, nearing the liquidation threshold [4] - Overnight positions incur interest costs, with the overnight fee for long positions in 2025 set at 0.012% per day; lower leverage reduces holding costs, with a 1 times leverage resulting in a $3 overnight fee per contract, compared to $15 for 5 times leverage [4] Group 3: Adaptation Principles and Pitfalls - Adjust leverage based on volatility: In 2025, silver's intraday volatility is 2.3%, necessitating lower leverage (2-3 times) compared to gold [5] - Calculate safety lines using margin: The formula is "Principal × Leverage × 0.5 (liquidation line) ÷ Stop-loss range"; for example, with a $10,000 principal and 5 times leverage, a 0.5% stop-loss allows for holding 20 contracts [5] - Avoid crossing regulatory red lines: In 2025, overnight leverage exceeding 3 times is prohibited, with penalties for non-compliance; new traders should check platform compliance ratings [5] - New traders should remember that leverage acts as a "multiplier," with low leverage for quick intraday gains and light positions for overnight risk management; 80% of short-term traders who survive in 2025 adhere to the principle of "shorter cycles, leverage not exceeding 5 times; longer holdings, leverage approaching 1 time" [5]
7月重磅升级!领峰贵金属点差门槛直降,每手最高返$26,助您轻松布局!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 08:02
Group 1 - The recent surge in gold prices is driven by geopolitical tensions, heightened risk aversion, and ongoing central bank purchases of gold [1][3] - Germany and Italy are considering repatriating their gold reserves stored in the US, which are valued at over $245 billion, due to concerns over the safety of overseas gold storage amid rising geopolitical risks [1] - The European Taxpayers Association has urged German and Italian policymakers to reassess their reliance on the Federal Reserve as a gold custodian [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's latest economic projections indicate a median expectation of two interest rate cuts by 2025, with significant divergence among officials regarding the potential range of cuts [2] - Fed officials Waller and Bowman have publicly indicated that they do not rule out the possibility of a rate cut in July, intensifying market speculation about a policy shift [2] - Despite current uncertainties, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to factors such as geopolitical issues, trade protectionism, and inflationary pressures [3]
黄金当下的核心交易逻辑是什么?多头能否重振旗鼓?顺姐正在连线国信期货首席分析师顾冯达老师,前瞻黄金交易机会
news flash· 2025-06-17 13:22
Group 1 - The core trading logic of gold currently revolves around the potential for bullish sentiment to regain momentum [1] - Insights from Guo Fengda, the chief analyst at Guoxin Futures, are being sought to explore forward-looking trading opportunities in gold [1]