Core Insights - The capital market in 2025 experienced structural fluctuations, with non-ferrous metals, TMT, and power equipment being market highlights, while dividend sectors and real estate faced pressure. As 2026 approaches, structural opportunities are emerging supported by policy stabilization, corporate profit recovery, and liquidity influx [4] Group 1: Global Liquidity Improvement - The global macro environment in 2026 is expected to release positive signals, with the U.S. fiscal and monetary policies likely to trend towards easing. The "Great Beautiful Act" could lead to a long-term tax cut, potentially increasing the federal deficit by approximately $3.4 trillion over the next decade, and the debt ceiling may rise by $5 trillion (a 12% increase) [5] - A low-interest-rate environment is expected to ease global liquidity constraints, alleviating capital outflow pressures in emerging markets and creating a relatively stable external environment for A-shares [5] Group 2: Domestic Economic Recovery - Domestic policies are aligning with micro signals to create a warming effect. The Central Economic Work Conference at the end of 2025 and the 2026 Two Sessions will emphasize "seeking progress while maintaining stability and improving quality and efficiency" [6] - Industrial enterprises are currently at the bottom of the inventory cycle, with a narrowing decline in PPI indicating an approaching replenishment cycle. The cumulative year-on-year growth of net profit excluding non-recurring gains for all A-shares in Q3 2025 was 3.2%, and asset turnover rates are stabilizing [6] - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to drive price recovery, leading to a positive cycle in corporate profits. Institutional investors such as insurance funds and bank wealth management are anticipated to become significant sources of incremental funds in 2026, further solidifying market liquidity [6] Group 3: Key Investment Areas for 2026 - Focus on the AI supercycle, with continued prosperity in domestic and international computing power chains. Attention should be given to new technology iterations and inflation-related sectors, particularly the gaming industry and the gradual development of smart terminals and AI applications [7] - High-end manufacturing going overseas should be monitored, especially in sectors like energy storage-lithium batteries and AI-related high-demand segments. Sustainable growth potential exists in domestic and overseas markets for heavy trucks, passenger vehicles, and construction machinery [8] - Long-term attention should be given to the revaluation of strategic resources, including precious and industrial metals. Energy and lithium carbonate show signs of bottoming out, while the chemical sector's resource products and significantly rebounding blue-chip varieties are also worth investing in [8] - Continuous monitoring of breakthroughs in frontier technologies such as robotics, solid-state batteries, controlled nuclear fusion, aerospace, and quantum computing is recommended [9] - New consumption trends and innovative pharmaceuticals are areas of interest, with solid fundamentals in emotional, service, and technology consumption. The innovative drug sector remains a long-term trend, with improved cost-effectiveness following recent declines [9] Conclusion - The equity market outlook for 2026, while facing challenges, is supported by a "triple support" system of policy stabilization, profit recovery, and liquidity influx, which may solidify the foundation for structural market trends. Investors are encouraged to align with industry trends and core logic while capturing opportunities from a long-term perspective [10]

Core Viewpoint - The recent eight consecutive days of gains in the Shanghai Composite Index signal a positive outlook, indicating that the A-share year-end rally has commenced [1] Group 1: Market Drivers - Three main expectations are driving the initiation of the year-end rally: a consensus of optimism among institutional investors, the anticipated early arrival of the spring market, and the conclusion of adjustments in overseas AI models, leading to improved liquidity and risk conditions [1] - Recent announcements of the 15th Five-Year Plan policies and events have heightened investor expectations regarding policy [1] Group 2: Sector Focus - Key sectors to watch for the year-end rally include non-ferrous metals and AI computing power, which are expected to experience significant catalytic growth [1] - The primary market focus remains on commercial aerospace, with secondary themes including the Hainan Free Trade Zone, controllable nuclear fusion, and humanoid robots [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **controlled nuclear fusion industry**, specifically the **magnet segment** which holds a significant value share in the overall investment landscape. The ITER project allocates approximately **30%** of its total investment to magnets, with potential increases to **40%** for high-temperature superconducting (HTS) technologies [1][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Investment Potential**: 2025 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for investments in controlled nuclear fusion, with capital expenditures expected to expand rapidly from **2025 to 2028**. This will lead to active bidding across the entire industry chain, benefiting companies with secured orders [1][5]. - **Technological Advancements**: Low-temperature superconducting (LTS) technology is currently mature, while HTS is viewed as the future direction, with companies like **West Superconductor** and **Shanghai Superconductor** leading in their respective fields. HTS is expected to reduce device size and costs significantly [1][3][4]. - **Market Dynamics**: The recent bidding activity has been robust, with a notable **$4 billion** project in November, indicating that market expectations are being met and the industry is progressing steadily [6]. Company-Specific Insights - **West Superconductor**: This company has established a leading position in the LTS sector, maintaining a gross margin above **30%** and benefiting from substantial orders due to the BEST project. Their products have been certified internationally and are crucial for nuclear fusion applications [7][8]. - **Shanghai Superconductor**: Recognized as a global leader in HTS wire production, the company has a production capacity exceeding **1,000 meters** and has secured contracts for significant international fusion projects, achieving a gross margin over **60%**. Plans for further capacity expansion are underway [13][14][15]. Risks and Challenges - The controlled nuclear fusion industry faces uncertainties, including project advancement risks, policy changes, and insufficient funding. Investors are advised to closely monitor these variables as they could significantly impact industry development [2][17]. Additional Noteworthy Content - The transition from first-generation copper oxide to second-generation rare earth metal oxides in HTS materials is noted for its higher critical temperatures and stronger current-carrying capabilities, indicating a promising future for these materials in fusion applications [10][12]. - The competitive landscape includes other companies like **Yongding Co.** and **Lianchuang Optoelectronics**, which are also making strides in HTS and LTS technologies, respectively [16]. This comprehensive overview highlights the significant investment opportunities and technological advancements within the controlled nuclear fusion industry, while also addressing the inherent risks that investors should consider.

当下，可控核聚变正迎来前所未有的政策支持。从《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五 个五年规划的建议》，到国家能源局发布的《加快建设新型能源体系》，再到科技部将其纳入"十五 五"国家科技重大专项并规划超500亿元投资……一系列顶层设计明确将可控核聚变列为需前瞻布局的未 来能源技术，并将其视为新的经济增长点。 近日，北京中岩大地科技股份有限公司（下称"中岩大地"）与四川束研聚创科技有限公司（下 称"束研聚创"）正式签署战略合作协议，通过"投资+合资"的双重模式切入可控核聚变领域。 据悉，中岩大地在岩土工程领域已积累了深厚的技术底蕴和行业口碑。在电力短缺及国家能源自主 安全战略日益重要的大背景下，中岩大地自2023年起便主动将业务视野拓展至能源领域，并于同年正式 确立了"核心技术+核心材料"双轮驱动战略。围绕这一战略方向，公司已逐步聚焦于核电、水利水电等 国家战略关键领域，并在多个标志性项目中验证了该战略的可行性与成效。 战略方向选对了，合作伙伴的选择同样至关重要。中岩大地选择的束研聚创，其核心团队来自核工 业西南物理研究院、中科院等国家级科研机构，在可控核聚变的核心技术研发、关键部件设计及工艺创 新方面积累 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown unexpected strength, initiating a "New Year red envelope" trend, with 3,410 stocks rising in the last trading week, marking the best week in December [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The average stock price across A-shares increased by 3.15% over the week, reaching a mid-week high of 27.03 yuan, matching the year's peak from September 18 [3]. - The Shanghai Composite Index has achieved an eight-day winning streak since December 17, raising investor expectations for a potential rise above 4,000 points before the year ends [7]. - Other major indices have also shown optimistic trends, with the CSI 2000 index reaching a new high [5]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Market Drivers - A significant net inflow of funds into the A500 ETF has been noted, with a total net inflow of 110.6 billion yuan in December, of which 101.9 billion yuan (92.2%) came from the A500 ETF [10]. - The strong inflow of new funds is seen as a driving force behind the market's late December rally, contributing to the eight consecutive days of gains in the Shanghai Composite Index [10]. - Historical analysis suggests that early spring market rallies typically lead to strong performances in January, influenced by policy expectations and external factors [11]. Group 3: Sector Insights - The upcoming spring market rally is expected to favor technology growth and certain cyclical industries, with recommendations for balanced investments in these sectors [11]. - High-growth sectors such as optical modules and PCB are highlighted as key areas of focus, alongside short-term supply constraints in light chips and high-speed copper cables [14]. Group 4: Economic Indicators - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 0.1% increase in profits for industrial enterprises above designated size over the first 11 months [15]. - The total scale of China's ETFs has reached 6.03 trillion yuan, reflecting a more than 60% increase from the beginning of the year [19].

Group 1 - UBS Wealth Management predicts that the Chinese stock market will continue to have upward potential through 2026, driven by advanced manufacturing and technology as new growth engines [1] - The technology sector, which accounts for about half of the MSCI China Index, is becoming increasingly resilient to external shocks and U.S. economic cycles [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index is expected to see a 37% growth in earnings per share by 2026, with approximately 7 trillion RMB in excess household savings likely to flow into the stock market [1] Group 2 - Barclays anticipates that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates in July and December of 2026, influenced by the spring wage negotiation cycle [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of wage negotiations as a key factor in the Bank of Japan's monetary policy and its response to the risk of yen depreciation [2] Group 3 - OANDA reports that multiple factors are driving a historic surge in precious metals, with gold potentially reaching $5,000 per ounce and silver $90 per ounce in the coming year [3] - The report attributes the rise to speculative trading, low liquidity at year-end, expectations of long-term Fed rate cuts, a weaker dollar, and increased geopolitical risks [3] - Platinum and palladium prices have surged due to supply constraints and strong industrial demand, with platinum up approximately 165% and palladium over 90% year-to-date [3] Group 4 - CICC suggests focusing on asset trend changes rather than specific gold price predictions, as current gold prices are above short-term valuation models, indicating potential bubbles [4] - The report anticipates that the gold bull market may not end soon, but volatility is expected to increase as prices deviate from fundamental indicators [4] - CICC maintains an optimistic outlook on Chinese assets, emphasizing the benefits of the AI technology wave and ample liquidity, while suggesting a focus on technology growth in the short term [5][6] Group 5 - CITIC Securities highlights the importance of maintaining macro liquidity stability through tools like reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions [6] - The report predicts a 5%-10% increase in the overall A-share market in 2026, with Hong Kong stocks expected to experience a rebound in performance [6] - The outlook for commodities includes expectations for gold to challenge $5,000 per ounce and copper prices to rise to $12,000 per ton due to supply constraints and demand drivers [6] Group 6 - CITIC Securities notes a trend of diminishing focus on quantitative targets by the People's Bank of China, with an emphasis on long-term structural reforms [7] - The report indicates that the central bank's policy may shift towards addressing supply-side issues and reducing financing costs [7] Group 7 - Huatai Securities states that the current appreciation of the RMB is likely to enhance foreign interest in RMB-denominated assets, creating a positive feedback loop for capital inflows [8] - The report suggests that the strengthening of the RMB will continue to support the valuation of both onshore and offshore RMB assets [8] Group 8 - CITIC Jin Investment reports that rising storage costs have begun to impact consumer electronics prices, with several manufacturers increasing product prices by 100-200 RMB [9] - The report indicates that the cost pressures from rising storage prices are likely to lead to a temporary decline in consumer electronics sales [9] Group 9 - Galaxy Securities notes that leading liquor companies are adjusting their strategies for 2026, focusing on maintaining price stability and channel profitability amid cyclical pressures [10] - The report emphasizes the importance of developing new consumer segments and adapting to new consumption trends as part of long-term transformation efforts [10]

Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market saw a mixed performance on December 26, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.1%, the Shenzhen Component increasing by 0.54%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.14% [1] - Sectors such as Hainan Free Trade Zone, duty-free, and tourism led the gains, while sectors like paper-making, photolithography machines, and liquid-cooled servers experienced declines [1] Group 2: Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace concept stocks remained active, with China Satellite (600118) hitting a three-day limit-up, bringing its total market value close to 100 billion and trading volume nearing 13 billion [2] - Shenjian Co. achieved a seven-day limit-up, focusing on 3D printing technology primarily for aerospace components, while not yet venturing into rocket engine applications [4] - Institutions noted that by 2025, the commercial aerospace industry is expected to accelerate, with over 100 satellites in orbit and private rocket companies entering the national satellite launch market [4] Group 3: Controlled Nuclear Fusion Sector - The controlled nuclear fusion sector rebounded in the afternoon, with stocks like Pangaea Micro-Transparent rising nearly 11% and Yongding Co. hitting the limit-up [5] - Investment logic in the controlled nuclear fusion industry is shifting from a distant "ultimate energy" narrative to a trend driven by engineering implementation, fueled by demand surges and technological breakthroughs [7] Group 4: Photovoltaic Sector - The photovoltaic sector showed strength, with stocks like GCL-Poly Energy and Junda Co. hitting the limit-up [7] - The State Administration for Market Regulation emphasized the importance of addressing "involution" competition in the photovoltaic industry, which has led to profitability challenges and hindered innovation and product upgrades [7]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the high-end equipment manufacturing industry in China, emphasizing a "dual-driven" growth model characterized by strong domestic demand and robust international expansion [3][5]. Core Insights - The high-end equipment industry in China is experiencing a structural transformation, with a focus on technological advancements and brand development, leading to increased global market share [3]. - The report highlights two main investment themes: the technological self-reliance driven by AI and the deepening international expansion of Chinese equipment manufacturers [4][5]. - Key sectors to watch include gas turbines, industrial mother machines, controlled nuclear fusion, quantum computing, robotics, and 3D printing, which are expected to drive future growth [4][41]. Summary by Sections Domestic Manufacturing and Investment - Manufacturing investment in China is under short-term pressure, but high-end manufacturing and equipment sectors are emerging as growth engines, with a 1.9% year-on-year increase in manufacturing fixed asset investment [15][19]. - The report notes that high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing sectors maintain high levels of activity despite overall investment slowdowns [15][22]. Export Performance - China's high-end equipment exports are performing well, driven by the global AI investment boom and recovery in demand from developed markets [28][31]. - In the first ten months of 2025, China's exports of electromechanical products reached 13.43 trillion yuan, marking an 8.7% year-on-year increase [28][31]. Technological Self-Reliance - The report emphasizes the importance of technological self-reliance, particularly in sectors like gas turbines and quantum computing, which are expected to see significant growth due to increasing global demand [4][48]. - The global gas turbine market is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to rise from 44.1 GW in 2023 to an average of 60 GW from 2024 to 2026, reflecting a 36% increase [49][50]. International Expansion - Chinese equipment manufacturers are poised for further international growth, particularly in emerging markets, with sectors like engineering machinery and agricultural equipment expected to see substantial export growth [5][41]. - The report highlights the potential for Chinese companies in the oil and gas equipment sector, particularly in the Middle East, where demand is expected to rise significantly [5][13].

Core Viewpoint - The market is increasingly focused on investment opportunities for 2026 as the A-share market approaches the end of 2025, with sectors like metals, TMT, and power equipment performing well, while dividend stocks and real estate are under pressure [1] Group 1: Global Economic Environment - The global macroeconomic landscape is expected to show positive changes in 2026, with the U.S. likely to adopt more accommodative fiscal and monetary policies, potentially increasing the federal deficit by approximately $3.4 trillion over the next decade [4] - The anticipated fiscal expansion in the U.S. may require a low-interest-rate environment, which could improve global liquidity and stabilize the external environment for the A-share market [4] Group 2: Domestic Economic Policies - The Central Economic Work Conference at the end of 2025 has set a policy direction of "seeking progress while maintaining stability," indicating a focus on quality and efficiency improvements [5] - Industrial enterprises are at the bottom of the inventory cycle, with a narrowing decline in PPI suggesting an approaching recovery phase for corporate profits, as evidenced by a 3.2% year-on-year growth in net profit for all A-shares in Q3 2025 [5] Group 3: Investment Opportunities for 2026 - The A-share market is expected to remain structurally driven, with five key areas for investors to focus on: 1. AI Super Cycle: Continued growth in domestic and international computing power chains, with a focus on new technology iterations and the gaming industry [9] 2. High-end Manufacturing Overseas: Attention on sectors like energy storage and lithium batteries, as well as heavy-duty vehicles and engineering machinery that offer growth potential [11] 3. Strategic Resource Revaluation: Long-term focus on precious and industrial metals, with particular attention to energy and lithium carbonate showing signs of stabilization [11] 4. Frontier Technology Breakthroughs: Ongoing interest in industries such as robotics, solid-state batteries, and quantum computing [11] 5. New Consumption and Innovative Pharmaceuticals: Focus on sectors with solid fundamentals in consumer and technology spending, as well as innovative medical devices [11] Group 4: Market Liquidity - The degree of asset allocation migration towards equity markets is still in its early stages, with significant room for growth as indicators remain at historical lows [10] - Institutional investors, including insurance funds and bank wealth management products, are expected to become important sources of marginal capital in 2026, further enhancing market liquidity [10]

Core Insights - The investment logic in the controlled nuclear fusion industry is shifting from a "ultimate energy" narrative to an industry trend investment driven by engineering implementation [1] - The main driving forces are the expected explosion in demand and technological breakthroughs on the supply side [1] Group 1: Demand and Supply Dynamics - The development of artificial intelligence and big data has highlighted the long-term power supply gap [1] - The application of high-temperature superconductors and AI technology in nuclear fusion is expected to reduce construction costs of fusion devices and accelerate iteration speed [1] Group 2: Capital Expenditure and Market Opportunities - This shift is generating capital expenditures for the construction of experimental and demonstration reactors, leading to increased orders for upstream companies in the industry chain [1] - Upstream companies are expected to benefit continuously before fusion energy generation, suggesting a strategic investment opportunity in core suppliers of fusion devices and key segments with high value proportions [1]