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美股再创历史新高,前路风险几何?|美股一线
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-18 01:08
21世纪经济报道记者 吴斌 尽管爆表的PPI带来意外冲击,过去一周美股仍上涨。 从一周表现来看,标普500指数和纳指分别累计上涨0.94%和0.81%,刷新历史新高。道指上涨1.74%, 逼近45000点关口。 在美联储9月降息几乎板上钉钉之际,乐观情绪占据主导。摩根士丹利财富管理的应用股票顾问团队主 管Andrew Slimmon表示,近期受益于降息的个股是美股市场的大赢家,例如房屋建筑商、周期性股 票、工业类和材料类公司。 景顺亚太区全球市场策略师赵耀庭对记者表示,尽管美联储主席鲍威尔认为观望态度是合理的,但相对 温和的通胀和疲弱的就业报告为放宽货币政策提供了支持依据。基本预期仍然是,美联储将在今年年底 前实施两次降息,每次25个基点。 经济数据意外坐上过山车 过去一周,跌宕的经济数据也加剧了市场动荡。 据央视新闻报道,当地时间8月12日,美国劳工部发布的消费者价格指数显示,美国7月份通胀压力维持 6月份以来的上升势头。7月份消费者价格指数同比上涨2.7%,与6月份涨幅持平。但剔除波动较大的食 品和能源价格后,7月份核心消费者价格指数同比上涨3.1%,高于6月的2.9%,远高于美国联邦储备委 员会制定的2 ...
巴菲特再度减持2000万股苹果!亿万富豪们也“恐高”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 00:01
美股科技股的泡沫,让部分超级富豪萌生"退意"。 随着英伟达、苹果、微软等科技巨头越涨越高,美国超级富豪减持套现的步伐也开始加快。 8月14日,根据伯克希尔最新向美国证监会(SEC)提交的13F文件显示,伯克希尔二季度再度减持了 2000万股苹果股票,持股数量较一季度环比减少6.67%,苹果持仓占比从一季度的25.76%降至22.31%, 持仓市值减少41亿美元。 此外,伯克希尔还减持了2630万股美国银行。 从总体持仓情况来看,巴菲特的前十大重仓股基本没有发生任何变化,其中前几大重仓股分别为苹果、 美国运通、美银、可口可乐、雪佛龙、穆迪、西方石油。 相关资料显示,去年至今随着英伟达股价的高涨,其首席执行官黄仁勋年内也是轮番减持。根据其提交 给SEC的文件显示,自6月20日开始,黄仁勋启动了本轮减持计划。 根据统计显示,自6月20日以来,黄仁勋已累计减持135万股,合计套现2.15亿美元。而在2024年,黄仁 勋也进行过一轮减持,套现超过7亿美元。 根据福布斯富豪榜8月数据显示,黄仁勋以1550亿美元身家位列全球第6位。 除了黄仁勋,Meta首席执行官扎克伯格也在最近两年通过各种渠道减持了该公司的股票,有统计显 ...
股市必读:博思软件(300525)8月15日董秘有最新回复
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 22:06
Core Viewpoint - The company is actively developing AI-based solutions and participating in government procurement reforms, positioning itself as a leader in digital financial services in China [3][5][6]. Group 1: Company Performance - As of August 15, 2025, the company's stock price closed at 15.56 yuan, with an increase of 1.83%, a turnover rate of 2.98%, a trading volume of 185,400 shares, and a transaction amount of 285 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Shareholder Information - The company will disclose the number of shareholders in its periodic reports, encouraging investors to refer to these reports for updates [2]. Group 3: Business Strategy and Development - The company is focusing on building a leading AI infrastructure in finance, procurement, and healthcare, aiming to create a closed-loop system of "data + model + scenario" to enhance customer value [3]. - The company is involved in the pilot programs for electronic invoice cross-province reimbursement, providing services to over 10 pilot provinces and cities [4]. - The company aims to become a leading provider of government and internet services by focusing on digital certificates, smart finance, and digital procurement, while exploring new technologies [5]. - The company is actively monitoring policies related to AI and government services, with ongoing developments in B2B and B2C markets [5]. - The company’s digital procurement business aligns with national policies, providing internet procurement management platforms for government departments and enterprises [6]. Group 4: Market Activity - On August 15, the company experienced a net inflow of 3.6976 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 3.1708 million yuan, and speculative funds had a net outflow of 6.8684 million yuan [7][8].
网站原创内容产出慢?优采云文生视频功能成突破口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 19:38
近期,不少企业和自媒体运营者都在关注如何提升内容流量,尤其是在搜索引擎优化方面。 我的朋友张云峰,一个经营着数码科技博客的站长,就差点陷入"每天花30元去'假装上班'"的焦虑里——因为他的网站原创内容产出慢,收录和排名一直上 不去,每天对着后台数据发愁,只能干着急。 如何快速产出符合SEO的视频内容? 张云峰的博客以图文为主,但视频化是趋势,搜索引擎对优质视频内容的加权也越来越明显。 月初,他尝试自己拍摄剪辑SEO教学视频,从脚本撰写到配音剪辑,一条5分钟的视频要耗3天,还总担心优化不到位。 直到上周,他接触到优采云的"文生视频"功能,才找到突破口。 AI自动生成视频,效率提升多少? 他选择"图片轮播+影视解说小帅"配音,系统自动匹配网络配图,还能添加字幕和背景音乐。 以前3天一条视频,现在设置好参数后,每小时能生成5条,而且通过AI生成的标题带上"解锁秘密"等吸引眼球的词,播放量比之前手动制作的高出3倍。 被忽视的细节:发布后如何让搜索引擎快速收录? 内容做好了,如何让百度等引擎尽快抓取? 张云峰通过优采云的"百度主动推送"功能,在插件设置里填入百度资源平台token,文章发布后系统会自动推送链接,他的视频 ...
人生第一堂HarmonyOS公开课开讲,十大鸿蒙生态伙伴体验区惊喜连连
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 18:39
Core Insights - The event showcased Huawei's HarmonyOS ecosystem, emphasizing its innovative features and user-friendly interactions for young students [1][3][9] Group 1: Event Overview - 200 students participated in an immersive experience at Huawei's research base, exploring the HarmonyOS ecosystem [1] - The event included interactive exhibits from ten ecosystem partners, enhancing the overall experience with unique functionalities [3] Group 2: Innovative Features - Students engaged with features like "tap to share" and seamless content transfer across devices, highlighting the convenience and intelligence of the HarmonyOS [3] - The Bilibili HarmonyOS version demonstrated innovative split-screen design, allowing users to watch videos while controlling playback simultaneously [3] Group 3: Practical Applications - The Didi HarmonyOS version featured real-time vehicle information on the lock screen and simplified trip sharing [5] - The Qunar travel app showcased voice command capabilities for booking train tickets, streamlining the user experience [5] Group 4: Educational Aspects - The event included talks from industry leaders and Huawei experts, providing valuable insights into technology development and career paths [7] - Over 400 universities are involved in HarmonyOS talent cultivation, with more than 6,100 companies participating in innovation training camps [7] Group 5: Support Initiatives - Huawei launched the "Star Plan," investing 100 million yuan to support campus developers, offering incentives for application development [8] - The plan provides financial rewards for successful app submissions, encouraging student participation in the HarmonyOS ecosystem [8] Group 6: Youth Engagement - The enthusiasm of the younger generation for the HarmonyOS ecosystem is translating into active participation in both usage and development [8] - The event served as a practical classroom for showcasing China's technological self-innovation, fostering a connection between youth and technology [9]
鸿蒙5终端数量已破千万华为启动鸿蒙应用开发者激励计划2025
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-08-17 16:44
Core Viewpoint - Huawei's HarmonyOS ecosystem has reached a significant milestone with over 10 million devices running HarmonyOS 5, marking a critical phase in its development [1] Group 1: Investment and Development - Huawei has invested nearly 10 billion yuan to support developers in creating and migrating native HarmonyOS applications [1] - The HarmonyOS has undergone six years of development and has transitioned to a "truly native" phase since the launch of HarmonyOS 5 in March [1] Group 2: Developer Incentives and Ecosystem Growth - Huawei has launched the HarmonyOS Developer Incentive Program 2025, offering cash rewards for developers who successfully create and publish applications within a specified timeframe [1] - The incentive program features a tiered reward system and aims to lower barriers for developers by providing tools and frameworks for easier adaptation [2] - Major companies such as Tencent, Alibaba, JD.com, and ByteDance have joined the HarmonyOS ecosystem, with popular applications like Alipay and WeChat adapting to the native environment [2] Group 3: Industry Collaboration and Localization - Continuous investment in the HarmonyOS ecosystem is expected to attract more developers and foster deep collaboration among upstream and downstream enterprises, creating a complete domestic technology system from the operating system to application services [3]
鸿蒙“听劝”!央视《对话》见证鸿蒙与伙伴的决心与坚守
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-17 14:50
Core Insights - HarmonyOS 5 has surpassed 10 million devices, marking a significant milestone for the Hongmeng ecosystem [1] - The construction of a new application ecosystem is deemed more challenging than developing the operating system itself [3] - Collaborative efforts from partners like Tencent, Alibaba, and others are crucial for the success of the Hongmeng ecosystem [4][5] Group 1: Milestones and Achievements - The achievement of over 10 million devices is celebrated as a major milestone, showcasing the collective effort of Chinese tech companies [1] - Tencent has adapted over 50 applications to HarmonyOS 5, including popular services like WeChat and QQ, indicating strong user demand [5] - Alibaba's Taotian Group aims for 100% adaptation of its applications to HarmonyOS by September 30, 2023, with current adaptation at 90% [5] Group 2: Challenges and Opportunities - Building a robust application ecosystem requires significant effort and collaboration among developers, akin to the "chicken or egg" dilemma [3] - The transition to HarmonyOS involves substantial work, and developers' willingness to invest is critical for success [3] - The railway application 12306 has launched a new version on HarmonyOS, enhancing user experience with real-time travel information [10] Group 3: Partner Contributions - Partners like Tencent and Alibaba express confidence in the potential of HarmonyOS, emphasizing the importance of collaboration for ecosystem development [4][5] - The railway 12306 team acknowledges Huawei's strong execution and commitment, reinforcing their decision to join the ecosystem [8] - Sina Finance has adapted 90% of its functionalities to HarmonyOS, viewing participation as a strategic move to avoid being "choked" by competitors [10] Group 4: User Experience and Feedback - The concept of "Hongmeng listens to feedback" is highlighted, with partners actively iterating applications based on user input [12][13] - Recent updates to applications like WeChat and QQ Music reflect a commitment to rapidly address user needs and enhance functionality [13] - The growth of Sina Finance's user base by seven times in eight months illustrates the positive reception of the ecosystem [14] Group 5: Future Prospects - Huawei is investing nearly 10 billion in resources to support developers in transitioning to HarmonyOS, aiming to lower development costs [14] - The company envisions HarmonyOS becoming a major global operating system, not just in China, as the ecosystem matures [14]
港股周观点 | 预期验证期不改港股中枢上移趋势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 14:37
Group 1 - The market is currently in a critical verification phase, with expectations for interest rate cuts in the US due to moderate inflation, leading to a rebound in market sentiment after previous recession concerns [1] - The Hong Kong stock market has seen a rapid rise, driven by strong earnings reports from major companies and supportive domestic policies, particularly in consumer lending [1] - The market is experiencing increased volatility, with a lack of clear trading themes and significant events pending verification, indicating a potential window for portfolio adjustments [1] Group 2 - As of August 15, 2025, 132 earnings forecasts were released for major overseas Chinese stocks, with a positive forecast rate of 58%, particularly high in utilities (100%), finance (89%), and healthcare (74%) sectors [2] - The overall profit recovery for the first half of 2025 is expected to be 13%, compared to 8% in 2024, with significant industry differentiation [2] - The recovery in profits is supported by improved liquidity in the Hong Kong market and stronger domestic policies compared to the previous year, with fiscal spending increasing by 8.9% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [2] Group 3 - Short-term liquidity pressures exist in the market, but the medium-term outlook remains positive, with expectations for a net issuance of $1 trillion in US Treasury bonds in Q3 2025 [3] - The anticipated increase in bond issuance may exert upward pressure on 10-year Treasury yields, with a 92.1% probability of a rate cut in September [3] - The upcoming Jackson Hole meeting is crucial for discussions on monetary policy, which could impact market liquidity [3] Group 4 - Hong Kong's liquidity remains relatively ample, with significant inflows from southbound capital, which accounted for over 40% of trading in Hong Kong stocks [4] - The Hong Kong dollar has appreciated significantly, and the liquidity conditions are expected to remain relatively loose, despite potential adjustments in interest rates [4] - The market is currently experiencing a carry trade reversal, influenced by rising expectations for US interest rate cuts [4]
京北方(002987):公司点评:业务持续向产品化转型,积极布局RWA及海外业务
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-17 12:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting significant price appreciation in the next 6-12 months [4][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.36 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, with a gross profit growth of 4.5%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 6.6% to 110 million RMB [2]. - The revenue structure is shifting towards productization and project-based services, with high-margin fintech solutions generating 710 million RMB, up 15.9%, and AI and big data products achieving 60 million RMB, a remarkable growth of 73.5%. Conversely, low-margin digital operations and services saw a decline of 21.1% to 330 million RMB [3]. - The company has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Guofu Quantum to establish a joint venture focused on RWA technology platform development, targeting applications in Web3.0, AI, and cross-border payments [3]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas business, establishing relationships with Chinese clients in Hong Kong and collaborating with clients in Southeast Asia, while optimizing its business delivery model in Hong Kong [3]. Financial Forecasts - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 4.92 billion RMB, 5.32 billion RMB, and 5.83 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 6.2%, 8.1%, and 9.5% respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 330 million RMB, 378 million RMB, and 441 million RMB, with growth rates of 6.8%, 13.6%, and 16.5% respectively [4][9].
4亿公司藏70亿金矿!帮主郑重拆解迅雷神操作
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 11:03
Core Insights - The article highlights the significant disparity between the market valuation of Thunder (4 billion) and the value of its stake in YingShi Innovation (70 billion), suggesting that Thunder operates more like a venture capital firm disguised as a tech company [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - Nine years ago, Thunder invested in YingShi Innovation, which was then a small player in the 360-degree panoramic camera market, and has since seen a remarkable return of 18 times its investment as YingShi's stock surged upon its listing [3] - Thunder's investment strategy is characterized by a strong industry insight, having accurately predicted the growth of panoramic technology and VR, positioning itself effectively in the next generation of interactive technology [3] - The company demonstrated remarkable long-term commitment by holding onto its stake in YingShi for nine years despite fluctuations in its core business, contrasting with the behavior of retail investors who often chase short-term gains [3] Group 2: Market Valuation Dynamics - The current market valuation of Thunder appears undervalued given that the market often discounts non-controlling equity stakes, and the weakness in Thunder's core business has negatively impacted its overall valuation [4] - Even with a conservative 50% discount on YingShi's stake, the value would still exceed 35 billion, which is eight times Thunder's current market valuation, indicating a significant value gap [4] Group 3: Investment Insights - The article emphasizes that the sector's potential is more critical than timing, as Thunder recognized the potential of VR technology in 2016 when it was still considered a niche market [5] - The success of YingShi is attributed to its dominant market share, capturing nearly 67% of the global market, which underscores the importance of market leadership [5] - The narrative suggests that patience is a virtue in investing, as many investors may not endure the long wait for substantial returns [6]