Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Datadog (DDOG US), indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [20]. Core Insights - Datadog reported total revenue of US$953.2 million for 4Q25, reflecting a 29.2% year-over-year growth, which is 4% above both the forecast and Bloomberg consensus [1] - The company experienced strong revenue growth from both non-AI customers and AI-native customers, with non-GAAP net income after tax adjustments reaching US$217.4 million, up 22.5% year-over-year [1] - For 2025, total revenue is projected to grow by 27.7% year-over-year to US$3.4 billion, with a non-GAAP operating profit margin (OPM) of 22.4% [1] - Management has guided for 1Q26 revenue growth of 25-26% year-over-year, with a conservative full-year revenue growth forecast of 18-20% for 2026 [1] Financial Performance - Datadog's platform had over 32,700 customers by the end of 4Q25, a 9% increase year-over-year, with significant growth in large customers [8] - The company reported a remaining performance obligation (RPO) of US$3.46 billion, up 52% year-over-year, indicating strong future revenue visibility [8] - The net dollar-based retention rate was approximately 120% in 4Q25, consistent with the previous quarter and up from high-110% in 4Q24 [8] Revenue Forecasts - Revenue projections for FY26E are set at US$4.1 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of approximately 18-20% [10] - Adjusted net profit for FY26E is expected to be between US$779.2 million and US$792.7 million, with an adjusted EPS of US$2.08-2.16 [10] Target Price and Valuation - The target price for Datadog has been adjusted to US$196.9 from US$203.7, based on a valuation of 16.3x 2026E EV/sales [1][2] - The current price of Datadog is US$114.01, indicating a potential upside of 72.7% to the target price [2]

Market Overview - Major equity averages experienced a decline towards the end of the trading day, despite the S&P 500 hitting a record high earlier in the session [2][5] - The S&P 500 closed down approximately 0.3%, the Nasdaq down about 0.6%, while the Dow saw a slight increase of 0.1% [6] - Trading volume in the S&P 500 was down 15% from the ten-day average, indicating a cautious market sentiment [4] Economic Indicators - Investors are awaiting a significant jobs report, which is expected to influence market sentiment and the Federal Reserve's decisions [5] - The upcoming inflation report on Friday is also anticipated to provide insights into the U.S. economy [5] Company Performances - Datadog's stock rose nearly 14% after beating expectations in its fourth-quarter results, despite a weaker full-year forecast [10] - Spotify saw a significant increase of almost 15%, attributed to adding 38 million new users, reaching a total of 751 million [12] - European Wax Center's stock surged 43% after agreeing to be taken private by General Atlantic, valuing the company at approximately $330 million [14][15] Notable Declines - Alphabet's shares fell 1.8% after raising nearly $3 billion in debt, highlighting the funding needs of tech companies [16] - Coca-Cola's stock declined as the company projected organic sales growth of 4-5% for 2026, slightly below analyst expectations [17] - Wealth management firms, including Charles Schwab and Raymond James, experienced declines of 7.4% and 8.8%, respectively, following the launch of a new tax planning offering by Altruist [18] Earnings Reports - Ford reported an adjusted EPS of $0.13, below the estimated $0.18, and projected adjusted EV for 2026 between $8 billion to $10 billion [20] - Robinhood's stock dropped approximately 7% in after-hours trading after its fourth-quarter net revenue missed analyst estimates [21] - Lyft's stock fell about 15% in after-hours trading despite authorizing a new share buyback, as the outlook for the first quarter was lower than expected [23][24] - Zillow Group met revenue estimates but provided a first-quarter revenue outlook that was below analyst expectations [25]

Company Overview - Robinhood's fourth quarter revenue missed expectations, leading to an almost 8% decline in after-hours trading [1] - The stock was already down about 40% from its all-time high in October, raising concerns about its performance during the current crypto downturn [4] Financial Performance - Key metrics showed deceleration, particularly in net deposit growth, which continued to decline into January [2] - Despite the topline miss, management's commentary on future business growth and transaction volumes was constructive, indicating a decent outlook [3] Crypto Market Impact - Crypto revenue has decreased from over 20% to an expected near 10% of total business, with a potential 50% haircut to current trading volumes during a crypto winter [6] - This scenario would only result in a manageable 10% hit to Robinhood's EBITDA [6] Business Diversification - Robinhood is better positioned during the current crypto downturn due to its diversified product lineup, including a significant increase in net interest income and new offerings like retirement accounts and banking products [9][10] - The company is evolving into a more comprehensive financial app, which enhances its resilience compared to previous downturns [8] Options Trading Growth - Options trading, which constitutes about 25% of Robinhood's revenue, is expected to see significant growth, potentially up to 40% due to increased penetration and new product offerings [12][14] - The options market is less cyclical, allowing for trading in both up and down markets, which supports long-term growth for Robinhood [13] Prediction Markets - Robinhood's entry into prediction markets is seen as a potential growth area, leveraging its strong distribution capabilities despite increasing competition [15] - The company has announced a partnership that enhances its control over economics and product innovation in this space [16]

Group 1: Cybersecurity Threats - The RCtea zombie network is rapidly spreading, targeting IoT devices in China, with nearly 10,000 infected devices reported [1][2] - The peak number of active infected devices reached 4,870 in a single day, with a maximum of 278,000 server access requests [1] - The network employs advanced encryption and anti-tracking mechanisms, capable of launching various DDoS attacks [1][2] Group 2: Smartphone Market Insights - By 2025, the global smartphone active device stock is expected to grow by 2%, with an extended replacement cycle nearing four years [3][4] - Eight smartphone brands have surpassed 200 million active devices, collectively holding over 80% of the market share [4] - Apple and Samsung are the only brands with active device counts exceeding 1 billion, together accounting for 44% of the global market [4] Group 3: Automotive Industry Developments - Xiaomi's first-generation SU7 has officially ceased production, with nearly 370,000 units delivered [6][7] - The new generation SU7 is expected to launch in April 2026, with a price range starting from 229,900 yuan [8][9] Group 4: AI and Technology Advancements - GitHub has integrated OpenAI's GPT-5.3-Codex into Copilot, improving performance on agentic coding tasks by approximately 25% [2][3] - ByteDance's Seedream 5.0 image generation model has been launched, enhancing accuracy and speed in image creation [14] - Alibaba's Qwen-Image-2.0 model has been released, achieving high scores in image generation and editing capabilities [15][17] Group 5: E-commerce Trends - Taobao's flash sales for New Year goods saw a 347% increase in sales, with orders from third- and fourth-tier cities rising over 580% [12] - The online retail landscape is shifting, with down-market areas becoming the main consumer base for New Year shopping [12] Group 6: Legal and Corporate Changes - MiHoYo has terminated its partnership with Shanghai Huiye Law Firm, placing it on a blacklist for future collaborations [13] - Envision Energy has withdrawn its lawsuit against MiHoYo, which has been approved by the court [13]

Core Insights - BlackLine (BL) reported revenue of $183.18 million for the quarter ended December 2025, marking an 8.1% year-over-year increase and a slight surprise of +0.13% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $182.95 million [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period was $0.63, compared to $0.47 a year ago, resulting in an EPS surprise of +7.82% against the consensus estimate of $0.58 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Total customers reached 4,394, slightly below the average estimate of 4,424 based on two analysts [4] - The retention rate was reported at 105%, exceeding the average estimate of 104% from two analysts [4] - Revenue from professional services was $9.95 million, surpassing the four-analyst average estimate of $8.92 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 17.5% [4] - Subscription and support revenues totaled $173.23 million, slightly below the average estimate of $174.1 million, with a year-over-year change of 7.6% [4] - Gross profit from professional services was $2.09 million, in line with the two-analyst average estimate of $2.1 million [4] - Gross profit from subscription and support was $135.64 million, compared to the average estimate of $137.45 million from two analysts [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, BlackLine's shares have returned -25.2%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite remained unchanged [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG) stock posted huge gains in Tuesday's trading. The company's share price surged 13.7% despite a 0.4% drop for the S&P 500 and a 0.6% drop for the Nasdaq Composite in the session. Datadog published its fourth-quarter results before the market opened this morning and delivered sales and earnings that beat Wall Street's targets. The company also issued strong forward guidance. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, c ...

Core Viewpoint - Datadog (DDOG.US) reported its Q4 and full-year 2025 financial results, exceeding market expectations in both revenue and earnings, while also providing guidance for Q1 and full-year 2026 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q4 revenue reached $953 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 29.1%, surpassing market expectations by $34.8 million [3] - Non-GAAP earnings per share were $0.59, exceeding market expectations by $0.04 [3] - Non-GAAP operating income was $230 million, with a Non-GAAP operating margin of 24% [4] Group 2: Cash Flow and Financial Position - Operating cash flow amounted to $327 million, while free cash flow was $291 million [4] - As of December 31, 2025, total cash and cash equivalents were $4.47 billion [4] Group 3: Customer Growth - The number of customers with annual recurring revenue exceeding $1 million reached 603, a 31% increase from 462 in the same period of 2024 [4] - Customers with annual recurring revenue exceeding $100,000 totaled approximately 4,310, up 19% from 3,610 in 2024 [4] Group 4: 2026 Guidance - For Q1 2026, revenue is expected to be between $951 million and $961 million, with market consensus at $934.08 million [4] - Non-GAAP operating income is projected to be between $195 million and $205 million, with Non-GAAP earnings per share expected to range from $0.49 to $0.51, while market consensus is $0.52 [4] - For the full year 2026, revenue is anticipated to be between $4.06 billion and $4.10 billion, aligning with market consensus of $4.10 billion [5] - Non-GAAP operating income for 2026 is expected to be between $840 million and $880 million, with Non-GAAP earnings per share projected to be between $2.08 and $2.16, while market consensus is $2.34 [5]

Core Viewpoint - Varonis Systems, Inc. is facing a securities class action lawsuit due to allegations of misleading investors about its transition to a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model, which resulted in significant financial losses for shareholders [1]. Company Performance - The lawsuit claims that Varonis executives misrepresented the company's ability to convert its legacy on-premise customer base to its new SaaS platform, leading to a 63.9% year-over-year decline in term license subscription revenues disclosed on October 28, 2025 [1]. - Following this disclosure, Varonis's stock price plummeted by 48%, dropping from $63.00 to $32.34, resulting in a loss of approximately $3.8 billion in market capitalization [1]. Allegations of Misleading Statements - The litigation alleges that Varonis provided false assurances regarding its SaaS transition, claiming it was "well on our way to becoming a SaaS company" and that it would "accelerate [its] SaaS transition" [1]. - The company reportedly misrepresented its conversion potential, stating that it had a "massive opportunity to increase the ARR from our existing customer base," while the reality indicated a struggle to convince on-premises users to migrate [1]. Financial Guidance and Performance Issues - Following a disappointing Q3 performance, Varonis significantly reduced its Q4 revenue and full-year annual recurring revenue (ARR) guidance [1]. - The lawsuit highlights that weaker renewals in both the Federal vertical and non-Federal on-prem subscription business contributed to the company's performance miss, contradicting previous optimistic statements from Varonis [1].

Core Insights - The current market environment shows an under allocation to small and mid-cap stocks, with only 3% allocated compared to a typical 7.5% for the Russell 3000 [1] - Valuations for small-cap stocks are reasonable, with the Russell 2500 growth index trading at 21.5 times forward earnings, which is below the S&P 500's typical range [1] - Small and mid-cap stocks are expected to outperform larger stocks due to better growth prospects, with mid-cap sales growth projected at 16% compared to 11% for the S&P 500 [1] Market Dynamics - There is a noticeable rotation from mega-cap tech stocks to sectors like energy, materials, and small and mid-sized companies [2] - The economic environment is conducive for small caps to outperform, particularly as interest rates decline and inflation remains low [3] - The shift in investment focus is expected to continue, benefiting small and mid-cap stocks at the expense of mega-cap tech [4] Sector Performance - Hardware and semiconductor sectors are benefiting from increased capital expenditures, particularly for AI data centers, while software companies are facing challenges [4] - Small-cap software stocks have seen a significant decline, down 40% year-over-year, while hardware companies are thriving [5] - Companies like Datadog and Dynatrace are highlighted as strong performers in the observability space, with solid growth prospects [5] Investment Opportunities - AI applications are emerging in various sectors, including law enforcement and healthcare, with companies like Axon and Tempest AI leading the way [7][8] - The healthcare sector is also seeing investment opportunities, particularly in cancer diagnostics and biologics manufacturing [8] - The focus is on identifying companies with strong fundamentals and competitive advantages that can deliver significant growth over a 3 to 5 year horizon [10] Economic Implications - A broadening market with increased investment in small and mid-cap stocks is seen as healthy for the overall economy, benefiting consumer spending [11] - The expectation is that the economic benefits will be more widely distributed, positively impacting the stock market across all capitalizations [11]

The sell-off was already in full swing in mid-January, but it has intensified in recent weeks. So, assuming that just because a stock was down a lot to kick off the year would have been a big mistake. Or assuming that just because Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) is highly diversified doesn't mean it can't sell off in a major way.It's a common mistake to look at a beaten-down stock, especially one that is down big in a short period, and assume that it can't keep falling. Just look at a chart of the 10 largest holdi ...