证券研究报告 | 2025年07月22日 制造成长周报（第 23 期） 优于大市 宇树科技开启上市辅导，黄仁勋称机器人将成 AI 下一波浪潮 行业动态：人形机器人-7 月 14 日，全国首个人形机器人运动科学联合 实验室落地亦庄；7 月 15 日，宇树科技王兴兴等将亮相中外记者见面会； 7 月 16 日，湖北发起"机器人总动员"：给予造梦者 50%购房补贴；7 月 17 日，五八机器人高原震区演习显身手；7 月 17 日，陆军摩步分队 开展人装协同攻击演练；7 月 17 日，优必选 WalkerS2 全球首个实现自 主换电，可 7*24 小时工作；7 月 18 日，智元将携手德马科技展示机器 人物流作业。人工智能-7 月 14 日，META 将在人工智能领域投资数千亿 美元；7 月 16 日，黄仁勋称机器人将成 AI 下一波浪潮；7 月 18 日，工 信部将推动大模型落地制造业重点行业。核聚变-7 月 18 日，中国首台 直线型场反位形聚变装置即将点亮；深海科技-7 月 16 日，深海采矿与 环境保护关键技术专题论坛在京举办。 政府新闻：人形机器人-7 月 14 日，全国机器人标委会邀专家修订《国 家机器人标 ...

Core Insights - Marathon Fusion claims to have developed a method to convert mercury into gold using nuclear fusion reactions, potentially doubling revenue for future fusion power plants [1][4] - The technology is based on existing fusion principles and involves neutron bombardment to achieve nuclear transmutation [5][7] - The company estimates that each gigawatt of fusion power generated could produce approximately 5,000 kilograms of gold, equating the value of gold produced to the power generation revenue [1][8] Industry Context - The nuclear fusion sector has seen significant investment, with $2.6 billion raised in the past year, bringing total investments to $9.8 billion [4] - The global annual gold production is around 3,500 tons, and Marathon believes that the gold produced from fusion reactions can be absorbed by the market without affecting gold prices [8] Technical Details - The proposed method involves introducing mercury-198 isotopes into the fusion reactor's breeding blanket, where high-energy neutrons convert it into mercury-197, which decays into stable gold-197 [5][9] - The technology does not compromise the power output or tritium breeding capabilities of the fusion reactor [7] Commercial Potential - The potential for doubling revenue from fusion power plants has garnered attention, with experts expressing excitement about the theoretical feasibility of the technology [4][8] - Marathon Fusion was founded in 2023 and has raised $5.9 million, including approximately $4 million in government grants [8] Challenges - The main challenge involves the potential radioactivity of the produced gold due to the presence of other mercury isotopes, requiring a storage period of 14 to 18 years for safety [9] - While particle accelerators have previously synthesized gold, the yield has been minimal and costly, highlighting the uniqueness of Marathon's approach [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing significant developments, including the establishment of the first humanoid robot sports science laboratory in Beijing and various government initiatives to support the sector [17][19]. - Major companies like Yushutech are initiating IPO preparations, which could enhance their market position and accelerate the commercialization of humanoid robots [33]. - The report emphasizes the importance of AI infrastructure, driven by increasing demand for data centers, which will benefit companies involved in gas turbines and chillers [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The humanoid robot sector is witnessing rapid advancements, with notable events such as the launch of the first humanoid robot sports science lab and various military exercises showcasing robotic capabilities [17][20][21]. - The government is actively promoting the humanoid robot industry through financial incentives and policy frameworks aimed at fostering innovation and development [19][31]. Company Developments - Yushutech has begun its IPO counseling process, with its major shareholder controlling approximately 34.76% of the company [33]. - Dualin Co. is planning to issue H shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to expand its financing channels and international presence [32]. Key Investment Targets - The report identifies several key investment opportunities within the humanoid robot supply chain, including companies specializing in joint modules, dexterous hands, reducers, and sensors [3]. - AI infrastructure investments are highlighted, with a focus on companies that will benefit from the growing demand for data centers and related technologies [3]. Market Performance - The report provides a detailed analysis of the stock performance of key companies in the humanoid robot and AI sectors, indicating positive trends and potential growth opportunities [16].

Group 1: Economic Growth and Innovation - The added value of high-tech manufacturing in China increased by 9.5% year-on-year in the first half of the year, contributing 23.3% to the overall industrial growth [1] - R&D expenditure as a percentage of GDP in China has approached 2.7%, surpassing the EU average and nearing the OECD average [2] - The number of effective invention patent applications in China reached nearly 5 million in the first five months, growing by 12.8% [2] Group 2: Technological Advancements - Significant technological achievements include the launch of DeepSeek model, amphibious firefighting aircraft AG600 receiving certification, and advancements in quantum computing and nuclear fusion [2][3] - The number of national-level manufacturing innovation centers has reached 33, supporting the industrialization of technological achievements [2] Group 3: Industry Transformation - The structure of the economy is steadily adjusting, with high-tech manufacturing and high-tech service investments growing by 9.5% and 8.6% respectively [4] - The production of industrial robots increased by 32% year-on-year, and the added value of smart vehicle equipment manufacturing grew by 26.8% [4] Group 4: Green Development - The production of new energy vehicles, lithium-ion batteries for vehicles, and solar batteries increased by 36.2%, 53.3%, and 18.2% respectively in the first half of the year [4] Group 5: Financial Support for Innovation - The total amount of loans for technological innovation and technological transformation reached 1.7 trillion yuan, 1.9 times that of the end of last year [7] - A new "technology board" in the bond market has been established to promote the construction of a technology finance system [6][7]

Group 1: Controlled Nuclear Fusion Industry - The industry has entered a period of intensive infrastructure construction, with 14 major projects under construction in China, totaling an investment scale of 136.2 billion yuan [2] - The current projects are primarily in the planning stage, indicating that the next 3-5 years will be a critical window for bidding [2] - Investment participants are diverse, including research institutions, state-owned enterprises, and private companies [2] Group 2: Quantum Computing Development - Denmark plans to build the world's strongest quantum computer, Magne, with a joint investment of 40 million euros (approximately 668 million yuan) from Novo Nordisk Foundation and the Danish government fund EIFO [3] - The Magne quantum computer will utilize advanced quantum error correction technology and high-fidelity qubits, making it one of the first level-2 quantum computers globally [3] - The quantum technology industry is rapidly accelerating, with a market valuation reaching hundreds of billions of dollars, driven by applications in various fields such as chemistry, finance, and AI [3] Group 3: Embodied Intelligent Robots - The market is increasingly focused on the practical application of embodied intelligent robots, particularly in logistics operations [4][5] - Logistics is expected to be one of the first sectors to adopt embodied intelligent robots due to the large volume of work and the simplicity of tasks involved [5] - The reliance on manual labor in logistics presents an opportunity for robots to replace human labor in basic tasks, thereby freeing up workforce resources [5] Group 4: AI Agent Business Model Transformation - The business model of AI Agents is shifting from "providing tools" to "delivering value," indicating a potential revaluation opportunity for SaaS companies [6] - Recent developments include the launch of various AI Agent products by companies like OpenAI and Microsoft, which aim to automate complex research tasks [6] - The integration of AI capabilities into enterprise solutions is expected to enhance operational efficiency and value delivery [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Ruiyuan Growth Value Mixed Fund, managed by prominent fund managers Fu Pengbo and Zhu Lin, has maintained a high asset allocation in sectors such as electronics, internet technology, precision manufacturing, and pharmaceuticals, with significant contributions from the PCB industry [1][2]. Fund Performance - As of the end of Q2, the net asset value of Ruiyuan Growth Value Mixed A shares was 1.2955 CNY, with a growth rate of 5.80%, outperforming the benchmark return of 1.67%. The C shares had a net asset value of 1.2634 CNY, with a growth rate of 5.70% [1]. Holdings Overview - The top ten holdings of the fund as of Q2 included Shenghong Technology, Tencent Holdings, CATL, China Mobile, Luxshare Precision, Xinyi Technology, Cambricon Technologies, Juxing Technology, Sanofi Biologics, and Maiwei Co., with new entry Xinyi Technology and exit of Guanghui Energy compared to Q1 [2]. Market Dynamics - The fund's managers noted fluctuations in the US-China tariff agreements, which impacted global markets. The domestic capital market managed to stabilize amid these changes, with expectations of a potential decline in exports due to demand and inventory factors [2]. Policy and Economic Environment - The Chinese government is addressing "involution" in development through policies aimed at correcting distorted factor prices, with a focus on boosting overall commodity prices. The current economic environment differs from past supply-side reforms due to weak overall demand [3]. Investment Strategy - The fund has increased its holdings in companies related to the export chain despite short-term impacts, while reducing exposure to traditional energy companies due to market style influences and fundamental pressures. The fund has also increased its allocation to the pharmaceutical sector, focusing on innovative drugs and traditional medicine benefiting from AI [4]. Future Outlook - The upcoming mid-year reports from listed companies will be used to assess the operational status and future development of existing holdings. The fund aims to identify industries and companies with upward trends in prosperity, optimizing its portfolio to manage net value fluctuations effectively [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the nuclear fusion industry, indicating a potential stock price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index within the next 12 months [4]. Core Insights - The successful plasma ignition of the HHMAX-901 device by Hanhai Fusion marks a significant breakthrough in China's commercial exploration of controlled nuclear fusion, particularly in the field-reversed configuration (FRC) technology [1][2]. - FRC technology is gaining attention due to its simpler system structure and lower costs, positioning it as a frontrunner for commercialization in the nuclear fusion sector [1]. - The report suggests that the commercialization of the nuclear fusion industry is accelerating, urging continued attention to the sector's catalysts [3]. Summary by Sections Event Highlights - On July 18, Hanhai Fusion successfully conducted the plasma ignition ceremony for its HHMAX-901 device, representing a major milestone in the commercial application of nuclear fusion technology in China [1]. - The FRC technology, which Hanhai Fusion focuses on, is characterized by its ability to create a closed magnetic field through reverse current, forming a self-organizing magnetic structure [1]. Company Developments - Hanhai Fusion's HHMAX-901 project began in June 2024, with significant progress made in physical design and engineering, culminating in the successful ignition of plasma [2]. - The company plans to leverage the HHMAX-901 as a platform to advance research in controllable nuclear fusion technology and accelerate breakthroughs in core components [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in vacuum chambers, high-power electronic tubes, superconductors, and capacitors, including Guoguang Electric, Xuguang Electronics, and Yongding Co., among others [3].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - The records primarily discuss the **renewable energy sector**, specifically focusing on **wind power**, **solar energy**, and **robotics** technology. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Focus Areas in Renewable Energy**: The company is targeting areas such as wind power, electric grids, and robotics as key growth sectors, indicating a belief in their potential for recovery and growth in valuation [1] 2. **Telecom Sector Performance**: The telecom sector has shown a significant decline of approximately 7.7 points, but remains over-allocated in institutional portfolios, suggesting a cautious outlook [2][3] 3. **Robotics Development**: The development of humanoid robots is nearing mass production, with challenges primarily in software, particularly in motion control and cognitive functions [4][6] 4. **Investment Opportunities in Robotics**: There are numerous investment opportunities in humanoid robotics, particularly in the areas of motion control and the physical structure of robots [8][9] 5. **Battery Technology Trends**: The shift towards solid-state batteries is seen as a necessary trend for humanoid robots, with significant advancements expected in the coming years [11][13] 6. **Wind Power Growth**: The wind power sector is experiencing a surge in bidding, with a projected increase in installed capacity, indicating a strong growth trajectory [23][25] 7. **Market Dynamics**: The overall market for renewable energy is characterized by a mix of overcapacity and controlled supply, with a focus on maintaining stability among leading firms [27] 8. **Investment Recommendations**: Specific companies and sectors, such as solid-state batteries and robotics, are highlighted as promising investment opportunities, with a focus on valuation and growth potential [26][35] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Technological Advancements**: The records emphasize the importance of technological breakthroughs in solid-state batteries and robotics, which are expected to drive future growth [14][15] 2. **Global Market Considerations**: The records mention the significance of overseas markets, with many companies deriving a substantial portion of their revenue from international operations [24] 3. **Long-term Outlook**: The long-term outlook for the renewable energy sector is cautiously optimistic, with expectations of gradual recovery and growth in demand over the next few years [32][34] 4. **Challenges in the Industry**: The records also highlight challenges such as supply chain pressures and the need for companies to adapt to changing market conditions [33][34] This summary encapsulates the key insights and trends discussed in the conference call records, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the renewable energy and robotics sectors.

Group 1 - The first humanoid robot sports science joint laboratory has been established in Beijing Yizhuang through a strategic partnership between Beijing Humanoid Robot Innovation Center and Li Ning (China) Sports Goods Co., Ltd [2] - The humanoid robot industry in China is projected to reach a market size of 5.3 billion by 2025 and 38.7 billion by 2028, indicating significant growth potential [2] - The commercialization of humanoid robots is progressing, with multiple manufacturers launching mass production versions and some products already being utilized in factories, highlighting a trend towards practical applications [2] Group 2 - The 13th meeting of the China-Korea Joint Coordination Committee on nuclear fusion was held in Hefei, aiming to enhance cooperation in magnetic confinement nuclear fusion and advance the ITER project [3] - Continuous technological breakthroughs and policy implementations are expected to accelerate the engineering and commercialization processes of nuclear fusion technology, presenting investment opportunities across the entire nuclear fusion industry chain [3] Group 3 - Meta is set to invest several hundred billion dollars in artificial intelligence, with expectations to become the first to launch a 1GW+ supercluster laboratory [4] - The capital expenditure in AI data centers (AIDC) is primarily focused on power supply systems, which account for 69% of the value, followed by cooling systems at 18%, indicating a significant investment focus in these areas [4] Group 4 - CATL's subsidiary, CATL Intelligent, has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with T3 Mobility to jointly promote the development of Robotaxi based on CATL's Rock Solid skateboard chassis platform [5] - The skateboard chassis allows for high integration of modules including power, braking, steering, thermal management, and autonomous driving, which can significantly reduce development costs for automotive companies by 60%-70% [6] - CATL's position as a leading battery manufacturer, combined with its extensive downstream customer base, is expected to accelerate the penetration of CTC chassis in the market [6]

Group 1 - The report highlights that China is transitioning from high-speed growth to high-quality growth, with economic indicators resembling the later stages of Japan's third consumption society and the brand consumption phase in the US [1] - For essential consumption, the investment strategy focuses on low-valuation, high-quality growth stocks with high dividend yields, particularly in the food and beverage and textile sectors [1] - In the optional consumption sector, there are signs of improvement in macroeconomic data, suggesting a potential turning point, with recommendations to select companies showing operational improvements based on financial reports [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that the A-share market has shown a breakthrough in indices, with a shift in style, where mid-cap indices performed strongly while large-cap indices lagged [3] - Domestic economic indicators such as CPI and PPI are showing mixed signals, with CPI returning to positive growth while PPI's decline is widening, indicating a complex economic environment [3][29] - The report suggests focusing on sectors like real estate, steel, and non-bank financials, which have been characterized as "cold" industries but are currently leading the market [3] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of the banking sector, noting that policy support and increased asset allocation from insurance companies could enhance the attractiveness of bank stocks [8] - The report identifies specific banks for investment, including Chengdu Bank and Agricultural Bank of China, based on their potential for improved asset quality and profitability [8] Group 4 - The report discusses the robotics industry, particularly the application of cycloidal reducers in humanoid robots, highlighting their advantages in torque and shock resistance [10] - Companies like Double Ring Transmission are collaborating with Tesla on developing small RV reducers, indicating a growing interest in this technology [10] Group 5 - The scientific instruments industry is characterized by a significant presence of foreign brands, with domestic brands still underrepresented, indicating a strong potential for domestic substitution [11] - The report notes that the mass spectrometry market in China is valued at 16.712 billion yuan, with foreign companies holding over 90% of the global market share, highlighting the need for domestic innovation [11]