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生物股份(600201):业绩短期承压 持续创新厚积薄发
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:24
Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing short-term performance pressure due to intensified industry competition and declining product prices, but it maintains a strong focus on innovation and has a solid pipeline of new products, leading to a "buy" rating. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue is projected to be 1.255 billion yuan, a decrease of 21.45%, with a net profit of 109 million yuan, down 61.58% due to increased competition and reduced margins [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue is expected to be 352 million yuan, an increase of 1.06%, while net profit is projected at 76 million yuan, down 27.57% [1] - The company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 251 million, 348 million, and 448 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.22, 0.31, and 0.40 yuan [1] Group 2: Market Position and Product Development - The company's gross margin and net margin for 2024 are 53.86% and 8.30%, respectively, showing declines of 5.33 percentage points and 9.04 percentage points [2] - The company maintains a strong market share in key products, with a 23% market share in pig circovirus vaccines and a 40% market share in brucellosis vaccines [2] - Several major products are set to launch in 2024, expected to contribute to revenue growth in 2025, including over 30 million yuan from the ruminant mycoplasma vaccine and over 10 million yuan from the cat trivalent vaccine [2] Group 3: Research and Development - In 2024, the company invested 179 million yuan in R&D, accounting for 14.25% of its revenue [3] - The company has secured production licenses for several important vaccines, including the Rev.1 strain of the Brucella vaccine, and is developing the world's first mRNA vaccine for feline infectious peritonitis [3] - The safety and efficacy of the African swine fever subunit vaccine meet the standards set by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, and the company is progressing with the review process [3]