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百元生死局:酱酒难以承受之“轻”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 02:15
一瓶标价156元的茅台嫡系酱酒,在电商平台悄然跌至60元左右。渠道价格体系的波动,成为大众酱酒市场残酷洗牌的缩影。 8月6日,一份编号为"黔茅保销通〔2025〕59号"的内部文件在业内流传。文件显示,贵州茅台酒厂(集团)保健酒业销售有限公司宣布,即日起停止生产 旧版"台源酒"(53°500ml*6,2023年上市款)。引人注目的是,就在停产令发布的两天前(8月4日),一款采用全新红色酒瓶设计,融入中国结、祥云、 喜鹊、不老松、葫芦等传统图案元素的新品"台源红",在乙巳年茅台红缨子高粱丰收季活动上重磅亮相,并宣布提质不提价,坚守百元级亲民定位,实 现"品质越级,价格普惠"。 当前,大众价格带的白酒市场,正成为观察中国酒业变革的绝佳窗口。然而,在百元价位带上,酱酒品类的表现却逊于清香、浓香、兼香等其他香型。透 过台源酒这场迅速的新旧迭代,似乎折射出百元酱香正艰难突围的行业现实。 10亿大单品的价格倒挂之痛 犹记2023年3月,台源酒以156元/瓶的定价甫一上市,便凭借其茅台嫡系光环及集团旗下唯一的"百元级"大众酱香战略单品定位,在线上渠道引爆抢购热 潮,屡现"秒罄"盛况。当年,其销售额便强势突破10亿元大关,成为 ...
男子带开封五粮液被拦两分钟喝8两
Xin Lang Ke Ji· 2025-08-14 18:43
Core Viewpoint - The incident involving a young man consuming a bottle of opened Wuliangye at a train station highlights the regulations surrounding the transport of alcoholic beverages on trains in China, particularly the restrictions on opened bottles [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Regulations on Alcohol Transport - Passengers are allowed to bring sealed alcoholic beverages on trains, provided they meet specific criteria: the packaging must be intact, the label must be clear, the alcohol content must be between 24% and 70%, and the total volume must not exceed 3000 milliliters per person per trip [1] Incident Details - A young man from Shandong, after attending a gathering, attempted to take an opened bottle of Wuliangye onto a high-speed train but was stopped at security. In a rush, he consumed 8 taels (approximately 300 milliliters) of the liquor in two minutes at the security checkpoint, which was recorded by his friends [1] Customer Service Response - When inquired about the rules regarding opened alcoholic beverages, the customer service representative from 12306 advised that it is generally not recommended to consume opened alcohol while traveling on the train [1]
贵州茅台_2025 年第二季度业绩回顾_尽管系列酒受政策影响,仍实现稳健的符合预期的销售增长;-Kweichow Moutai (.SS)_ 2Q25 Results Review_ Resilient in-line sales growth despite Series Spirits under policy impact; Easing
2025-08-13 02:16
Kweichow Moutai (600519.SS) 2Q25 Results Review Company Overview - **Company**: Kweichow Moutai - **Ticker**: 600519.SS - **Industry**: Consumer Staples (Alcoholic Beverages) Key Financial Results - **1H25 Results**: Sales increased by 9.1% year-over-year (yoy) to Rmb89.4 billion, and net profit (NP) rose by 8.9% yoy to Rmb45.4 billion, aligning with the full-year sales growth target of 9% yoy [1][3] - **2Q25 Results**: - Total sales reached Rmb39.7 billion, up 7.3% yoy, slightly below Goldman Sachs estimates (GSe) of Rmb39.9 billion [1][11] - Net profit was Rmb18.6 billion, a 5.2% increase yoy, which was 3% lower than GSe of Rmb19.1 billion [1][11] Product Performance - **Moutai Spirits**: Revenue increased by 11% yoy to approximately Rmb32.0 billion [9] - **Series Spirits**: Revenue declined by 7% yoy to about Rmb6.7 billion, impacted by a high base from the previous year (up 43% in 2Q24) and policy effects [1][9] - **Sales Channels**: - Wholesale sales grew by 1% yoy, while direct sales surged by 17% yoy, driven by non-standard Moutai sales [1][9] - Direct sales accounted for 43% of total spirits sales in 2Q25, compared to 46% in 1Q25 and 40% in 2Q24 [1][9] Margin and Expense Analysis - **Net Profit Margin (NPM)**: Decreased to 46.8%, down 0.9 percentage points yoy [1][9] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Contracted by 0.3 percentage points to 90.5% [1][9] - **Selling Expenses**: Increased by 0.5 percentage points to 4.5% of revenue, while administrative expenses decreased slightly [1][9] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - **Customer Advances**: Dropped by 45% yoy to Rmb5.5 billion, indicating reduced prepayment demand due to anti-extravagance policies [1][9] - **Note Receivables**: Increased significantly to Rmb2.8 billion from Rmb332 million a year ago, suggesting more support to the distribution channel [1][9] Price Trends and Market Outlook - **Wholesale Price Trend**: Original case Feitian Moutai's wholesale prices fell to around Rmb1,900 in late July but have shown slight recovery recently [1][9] - **Future Expectations**: Anticipated shipment increases for the Mid-Autumn Festival may lead to short-term volatility, but the company is expected to manage channel health effectively [1][9] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - **Earnings Revision**: Adjusted 2025-27E sales estimates down by 1-2% due to weaker Series spirits sales and margins [8][13] - **Target Price**: Updated target price is Rmb1,742, reflecting a 23.4x 2026E P/E [14][16] - **Current Valuation**: Trading at 19x/18x 2025E/26E P/E with a 2025E dividend yield of 3.8% [1][16] Risks and Considerations - **Key Risks**: Potential regulatory changes, environmental concerns, slower macroeconomic recovery, capacity constraints, and volatility in US interest rates [15] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: Maintain Buy rating based on resilient sales growth and strategic management of market challenges [1][16]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-13 00:58
Moutai’s dividend yield has surpassed Agricultural Bank of China’s for the first time, boosting the premium liquor maker’s appeal to income investors despite slowing growth https://t.co/h8rusXqesq ...
杏花村里酒成链香成片
Si Chuan Ri Bao· 2025-08-12 22:48
Core Insights - The article highlights the significance of the Fenjiu industry in Shanxi Province, particularly in Fenyang, where the production of Qingxiang (fragrant) liquor is a key economic driver [1][3][4] - The region has established a robust infrastructure for liquor production, including the largest Qingxiang liquor production base in China, contributing significantly to local GDP and employment [3][4][5] Group 1: Industry Overview - Fenyang has become the largest production base for Qingxiang liquor in China, with the liquor industry contributing 50% of the city's GDP, 60% of tax revenue, and 40% of employment [3][4] - The region's liquor production is supported by a historical legacy, with Fenjiu being recognized as a living fossil of Chinese liquor history, boasting a 1500-year history [2][3] Group 2: Production and Market Dynamics - The production process involves nearly 20,000 earthen jars, which are meticulously maintained to ensure the quality of the liquor [1] - The Qingxiang liquor market is projected to exceed 100 billion yuan in sales revenue by 2024, indicating a steady growth trend rather than a rapid surge [4][5] Group 3: Strategic Developments - The Fenjiu Group is focusing on optimizing its product structure and enhancing brand and channel development to maintain double-digit growth [4][5] - The local government has initiated plans to consolidate smaller liquor enterprises into a larger group to enhance competitiveness and market presence [6][7] Group 4: Future Prospects - The "Xinghua Village Fenjiu" professional town aims to become a world-class gathering area for Qingxiang liquor and a model for high-quality development in the liquor industry by 2025 [8] - The projected total output value of the liquor industry in the region is expected to reach 50 billion yuan by the end of 2025 [8]
珍酒李渡卖88元啤酒:跨界之后,渠道与业绩会水土不服吗?
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-08-12 09:43
8月8日,珍酒李渡董事长吴向东曾重点预告的88元"牛市"啤酒正式上线招商,南都湾财社-酒水新消费 指数课题组记者注意到,这一产品上线后随即受到各界的强烈关注。 此前,珍酒李渡已发布盈利预警,今年上半年该公司营收和归母净利润预计同比下降。面对上半年业绩 收缩,珍酒李渡在公告中指出,今年下半年,公司将采取三大措施进行"对冲",分别系增加光瓶白 酒"大珍"市场推广、下半年调整产品渠道和深入宴席布局等。在这三大措施外,业界同时认为,横 向"跨界"啤酒,是珍酒李渡试图培养"第二曲线"的选择。 不过,珍酒李渡"高调"进入啤酒领域,市场也存在疑问,其相对较高的定价系"虚高"还是"物有所值"? 横向跨界啤酒是否会水土不服?但从股价走势来看,宣布"跨界"啤酒后,珍酒李渡的股价却接连上涨。 88元一瓶定价引热议 价格虚高还是"物有所值"? 南都湾财社记者了解到,"牛市"啤酒对外产品宣传为:啤酒花的原产地来自美国雅基玛山谷,大麦芽来 自加拿大和澳大利亚,酵母来自德国和比利时,啤酒酿造用的水则取自浙江湖州的莫干山,另外还运用 了橡木桶"过桶"(通过浸泡熟成中吸取橡木桶味与酒体融合)技术,是"珍酒李渡花费三年打造出来的 精品"。 对比 ...
贵州藏酒济南发布三款战略新品,老国营酒厂发力质价比时代
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-08-11 03:01
藏樽酒主攻高端商务领域,强调陈香层次与醇厚口感,以品质撬动高端市场。 国家一级品酒师罗吉洪指出,三款产品均依托茅台镇核心产区120.44平方公里的生态资源,结合老国营酒厂的传统工艺,实现"高质低价"突破。 行业领袖论道质价比革命 齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点 孟广鑫 济南,2025年8月8日——贵州藏酒酒业今日于济南润华皇冠假日酒店举办"共生共赢2025新品发布会",正式推出藏醇酒、藏韵酒、藏樽酒三款战略新品。中 国酒类流通协会副主席刘员、中国酒业协会副秘书长甘权等200余位行业代表齐聚,共同探讨白酒行业深度调整期下大众酱香的消费趋势与市场机遇。 新品精准覆盖多元场景 贵州藏酒此次发布的三款新品瞄准差异化市场: 藏醇酒定位大众日常饮用市场,以酱香清雅、口感柔顺为特色,定价亲民,旨在成为普通消费者的"口粮酒"; 藏韵酒聚焦商务宴请场景,突出复合香与陈香舒适感,满足中端商务需求; 仁怀酱酒集团总经理王小军则重申产区稀缺性价值:"离开仁怀市,酿不出纯正酱香酒。"藏酒凭借"国企+大师"双背书体系,强化品质公信力,为质价比革 命注入信任基石。 创新渠道策略激活厂商共赢 贵州藏酒董事长何伟华现场发布三大合作模式: 区县代理实行"一 ...
崇州市醉红楼酒业经营部(个体工商户)成立 注册资本5万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-09 09:16
Core Insights - A new individual business named "Cangzhou Zuihonglou Liquor Industry" has been established, with a registered capital of 50,000 RMB [1] - The legal representative of the business is Zou Changlin [1] - The business scope includes liquor sales, food sales, food internet sales, and retail of tobacco products, subject to relevant approvals [1] Business Scope - Licensed projects include liquor operation, food sales, food internet sales, and tobacco retail [1] - General projects consist of internet sales of pre-packaged food, retail of edible agricultural products, daily necessities sales, and sales of daily consumer goods [1] - The business can operate independently based on its business license, except for projects that require approval [1]
今世缘“内涵”洋河营销翻车?董事长顾祥悦紧急表态:可以讲自己好话,不允许讲别人坏话!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-27 11:00
Core Viewpoint - The competition between Jiangsu's leading liquor companies, Yanghe and Jinshiyuan, intensifies amid industry adjustments, with marketing strategies and product offerings becoming focal points of rivalry [2][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - In 2022, Yanghe's revenue surpassed 30 billion yuan, with net profit exceeding 10 billion yuan in 2023, although it has shown a declining trend in recent years [3]. - In 2024, Yanghe's revenue decreased by 12.83% to 28.876 billion yuan, and net profit fell by 33.37% to 6.673 billion yuan; in contrast, Jinshiyuan's revenue grew by 14.32% to 11.544 billion yuan, and net profit increased by 8.8% to 3.412 billion yuan [3]. - Yanghe has achieved national expansion, with revenue from outside Jiangsu exceeding that from within, while Jinshiyuan remains primarily focused on its home market [3]. Group 2: Product Strategy - Jinshiyuan emphasizes "relationship" culture in its branding, positioning its flagship product, Guoyuan, as a key player in both local and national markets [4]. - Yanghe has adapted to market demands by launching the Yanghe Daqu high-line light bottle liquor, which has seen significant sales success, indicating a strong consumer response [4][5]. - Yanghe's product strategy leverages its extensive old liquor reserves and production capacity, while Jinshiyuan's old liquor strategy is still in the preparatory phase [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The recent marketing campaigns from both companies reflect a competitive landscape, with Jinshiyuan's ads perceived as a subtle critique of Yanghe's offerings [2]. - Industry analysts suggest that Yanghe is restructuring for future growth, while Jinshiyuan is rapidly trying to capture market share, though it faces challenges in governance and production capacity [6].
“禁酒令”叠加跌价!商务场合出走的高端白酒,加速走向大众
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-06-25 13:16
Core Viewpoint - The high-end liquor market is facing significant challenges due to the implementation of strict anti-waste regulations and price declines driven by promotional activities, leading to a transformation in consumption patterns towards more casual settings [2][6][7]. Group 1: Policy Impact - The recently issued "anti-waste regulations" have imposed strict limitations on alcohol consumption in government settings, significantly affecting high-end liquor sales [3][4]. - Although the impact on government consumption is minimal, the indirect effects on business receptions are notable, with a decrease in the frequency of such events [5][6]. Group 2: Price Decline - High-end liquor prices have dropped significantly, with products like Feitian Moutai priced around 2000 yuan, and other brands like Wuliangye and Guojiao 1573 also seeing substantial price reductions [2][5][8]. - The online sales channels have experienced the most pronounced price declines, particularly during promotional events like the "618" sales [5][8]. Group 3: Changing Consumption Patterns - High-end liquor is shifting from business receptions to more personal consumption scenarios such as family gatherings and casual drinking, driven by both policy changes and price adjustments [7][9]. - The demand for high-end liquor remains resilient among high-net-worth individuals, but the overall consumption landscape is evolving towards a more mainstream market [9][11]. Group 4: Industry Response - Companies are adapting by exploring new consumption scenarios and marketing strategies, such as promoting high-end liquor as part of lifestyle experiences and engaging with younger consumers through innovative marketing [10][11]. - The industry is transitioning from a focus on enterprise-led sales to a consumer-driven approach, emphasizing product quality and emotional connections with consumers [11].