Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The aviation industry accounts for approximately 3% of global carbon emissions, equating to about 1 billion tons of CO2 equivalent annually, with a target set for significant reductions in carbon intensity by 2050 [4][6] - Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) and hydrogen are identified as primary fuel sources for commercial aviation, with SAF being a promising option for decarbonization [4][5] - The report emphasizes the importance of policy measures and regulatory frameworks to drive the adoption of low-carbon fuels in the aviation sector [4] Summary by Sections Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) - SAF has been developed through various processes, with Honeywell's Ecofining™ technology being a notable method that converts 11 types of biomass into renewable fuels [5][10] - The availability of feedstock for SAF production is currently limited, but future advancements in agricultural practices and new production routes like ethanol-to-jet (ETJ) and biomass-to-liquid (BTL) are expected to meet increasing demand [16][17] Carbon Emission Intensity - The carbon intensity (C.I.) of SAF varies significantly based on production routes and feedstock types, with traditional jet fuel having a C.I. of approximately 85-95 g CO2e/MJ, while ETJ can range from 24-78 g CO2e/MJ [20][22] - The report highlights that using sugarcane or forestry residues for SAF production can achieve lower C.I. compared to corn-based SAF [21][25] Infrastructure Reuse - SAF can utilize existing infrastructure for transportation and distribution, making it a more immediate solution for airlines compared to hydrogen, which requires significant infrastructure investment [29][30] - Refining facilities can be repurposed to produce SAF, providing a cost-effective transition for the industry [29] Structural Price Advantages Compared to Hydrogen - The report discusses the cost structure of renewable hydrogen production, which is heavily influenced by electricity prices, and suggests that SAF may currently be more economically viable [31][34] - Renewable hydrogen's production costs are projected to decrease as technology advances, but current costs remain higher than those for SAF [34][35] Inelastic Demand for Air Travel - Historical data indicates that high fuel prices do not significantly reduce passenger numbers, suggesting that airlines can pass on costs to consumers without drastically affecting demand [37][38] - The report notes that consumer willingness to travel remains strong, with a significant percentage of potential travelers expressing a desire to travel as much or more than before the pandemic [37][40] Market Development Milestones - The report outlines key milestones for the adoption of SAF and renewable hydrogen, including policy incentives and infrastructure investments, with a target of 5% SAF adoption by 2030 and 20% by the mid-2030s [53][54] - The current capacity for hydrogen production is insufficient to meet future aviation fuel demands, highlighting the need for further investment in infrastructure [54][55]

Group 1 - The Japanese government has urgently implemented a comprehensive plan to mitigate the negative impacts of U.S. tariff policies on its businesses and consumers [1][3] - The plan includes measures such as improving corporate consulting systems, enhancing financing support for businesses, maintaining employment, stimulating domestic consumption, transforming industrial structures, and increasing competitiveness [1][3] - Prime Minister Kishida emphasized the potential fundamental changes to the international economic order due to U.S. tariffs, particularly affecting Japan's key industries like automotive and steel [3][8] Group 2 - Specific measures include lowering gasoline prices, providing subsidies for electricity and gas, and easing conditions for employment adjustment subsidies for companies that maintain employment without layoffs [3][4] - Japan is planning to increase imports of U.S. corn as a bargaining chip in tariff negotiations, with an estimated import volume of about 11.5 million tons valued at approximately 459 billion yen in 2024 [4] - The Bank of Japan is facing uncertainty regarding its interest rate decisions due to the impact of U.S. tariffs, with expectations of maintaining the current rate at 0.5% and potentially lowering growth forecasts [6][8]