Core Viewpoint - Expedia Group (EXPE) is expected to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 8, with revenues estimated at $3.03 billion, reflecting a 4.76% increase year-over-year, and earnings per share projected at 42 cents, indicating a 100% increase from the previous year [1][4]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EXPE's first-quarter 2025 revenues is $3.03 billion, a 4.76% increase from the prior year's quarter [1]. - The earnings consensus is 42 cents per share, revised down by 2 cents in the last 30 days, but still suggests a 100% increase year-over-year [1]. Historical Performance - EXPE has exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 45.86% [2]. Growth Factors - The company's performance is anticipated to be influenced by international demand, strategic investments, and cost discipline [4]. - Gross bookings are projected to grow by 4% to 6%, with revenue growth expected between 3% to 5%, excluding a two-point foreign exchange headwind and the Easter shift [5]. - Underlying growth, when excluding these factors, is expected to be between 7% to 9% [5]. Segment Performance - Vrbo is likely to continue its growth momentum, supported by expanded urban inventory and improved supply quality [6]. - Brand Expedia is expected to benefit from merchandising actions in air and package products, driving incremental bookings without additional marketing costs [6]. - The B2B segment, which accounted for 27% of total bookings in 2024, is expected to remain strong, particularly in the APAC region [7]. - Advertising revenues, which grew by 25% in the fourth quarter, are anticipated to continue being a significant contributor to top-line growth [8]. Profitability Metrics - Adjusted EBITDA margins for the first quarter are expected to remain flat to slightly up year-over-year, reflecting sustained overhead and marketing efficiency [9]. - Cost-saving actions taken in 2024 are expected to support profitability despite seasonal and foreign exchange pressures [9]. Earnings Outlook - According to the Zacks model, EXPE has a positive Earnings ESP of +14.86% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a favorable outlook for an earnings beat [10].

"与此同时，游玩体验的多样性和趣味性越发重要，海岛度假、雨林徒步、沙漠骆驼骑行、星空露营、 茶山采风等玩法备受消费者青睐，避开人流、躺平式度假、深度体验在地文化等需求集中释放。"飞猪 旅行相关负责人表示。 "近年来，高速公路、高铁及机场网络不断拓展，为低线城市游客的出行提供了极大的便利，三四线城 市游客旅游渗透率不断提高，并逐渐成为旅游市场的新兴力量。"途牛旅游网相关负责人表示，今年"五 一"假期，六盘水、葫芦岛、漳州、遵义等客源地出游人次同比增长均超过了70%。此外，大同、营 口、揭阳、宿迁、南平、阜阳等地用户的出游热情也保持了较高的增长趋势。 新华财经北京5月6日电（记者丁雅雯、李唐宁）旅游平台的数据显示，今年"五一"假期，"反向旅游"再 度走热，县城高星酒店预定火爆。 （文章来源：新华财经） "五一"假期，不少人将目光投向了性价比更高的县域地区。美团旅行显示，今年"五一"假期，县城高星 酒店预订量同比增长超80%。相比拥堵的热门城市，"诗画江南"浙江桐庐县、"长诗圣地"安徽怀宁 县、"皖北江南"安徽凤台县、"上梅古镇、蚩尤故里"湖南新化县均成为人们寻找"松弛感"的热门之选。 "'味蕾游'的走红也让众多小 ...

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that Expedia (EXPE) will report quarterly earnings of $0.42 per share, reflecting a 100% year-over-year increase, with revenues expected to reach $3.03 billion, a 4.8% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 4.9% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [2]. - Prior to earnings releases, revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Revenue- B2B' will reach $924.59 million, marking an 11% increase year-over-year [5]. - 'Revenue by Service Type- Lodging' is expected to be $2.36 billion, reflecting a 6.1% year-over-year change [5]. - 'Revenue- Trivago' is projected at $74.76 million, indicating a 6.8% increase from the prior year [5]. - 'Revenue by Service Type- Air' is estimated at $114.41 million, suggesting a slight decline of 0.5% year-over-year [6]. - 'Revenue- Advertising, Media and other' is expected to reach $277.37 million, a 12.3% increase from the previous year [6]. - 'Revenue- International' is projected at $1.22 billion, reflecting an 11.3% increase year-over-year [7]. - 'Revenue- United States' is estimated at $1.85 billion, indicating a 3.3% year-over-year change [7]. Gross Bookings - Analysts forecast 'Gross bookings - Total' to reach $31.85 billion, compared to $30.16 billion from the previous year [7]. - 'Gross bookings - Merchant' is expected to be $18.83 billion, up from $16.86 billion year-over-year [8]. - 'Gross bookings - Agency' is projected at $13.81 billion, compared to $13.30 billion from the prior year [9]. Key Metrics - The consensus estimate for 'Stayed room nights/ Booked room nights' stands at 106, up from 101 year-over-year [8]. - 'Stayed Room Night /Booked room nights Growth' is expected to be 8.1%, compared to 7% in the same quarter last year [8]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Expedia have returned +14.1%, significantly outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.4% [9].

Core Insights - The travel and tourism sector in China experienced a significant surge during the "May Day" holiday, with a 30% increase in travel orders compared to the same period in 2023, marking the highest level of interest in the past three years [1][2] - The rise in travel interest is attributed to diverse travel experiences such as culinary tours, performance tourism, and coastal trips, with online dining transactions from non-local tourists skyrocketing by 189% [1] - There is a growing trend towards county-level tourism, with bookings for high-star hotels in county areas increasing by over 80% year-on-year, as travelers seek more affordable and less crowded destinations [1] - The "please take 4 days off and rest for 11" trend has led to increased interest in long-distance travel, with certain northern regions seeing tourism transaction growth exceeding 113% [1] Travel Demographics and Preferences - The post-95 generation accounted for 45% of travel orders during the "May Day" holiday, indicating a strong demand for personalized and in-depth travel experiences [2] - There was a remarkable 390% year-on-year increase in leisure camping orders, with Beijing, Chengdu, Huzhou, Xi'an, and Hangzhou being the top five cities for such bookings [2] - Orders related to clubs and exhibitions also saw a significant increase, with a growth rate of over 200% [2] Consumer Behavior and Promotions - Online platforms, particularly Meituan, played a crucial role in stimulating consumer spending through promotional activities, including the "Wonderful May Day" campaign, which offered various dining and entertainment discounts [2] - As of May 5, 2023, orders for local specialty dishes from non-local tourists increased by over 105%, highlighting a strong preference for regional cuisine [2] - The trend of traveling alongside performances has emerged as a new way to experience tourism, with orders for packages related to music festivals and concerts rising by 180% during the holiday [2]

Core Insights - Airbnb reported first-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of 24 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4% [1] - Revenues reached $2.272 billion, a 6.1% year-over-year increase, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.44% [1] - The Gross Booking Value for Q1 2025 was $24.5 billion, up 7% year-over-year [2] Revenue Details - Nights and Experiences Booked totaled 143.1 million, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase [2] - Average Daily Rate (ADR) was $171, down 1% year-over-year, but grew 1% excluding forex [2] - Nights booked on the app increased 17% year-over-year, comprising 58% of total nights booked [3] Operating Details - Adjusted EBITDA was $765 million, a 3.7% increase year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 30.8% [4] - Operating income for Q1 2025 was $38 million, with an operating margin of 1.7%, down 3% year-over-year [5] Balance Sheet & Cash Flow - As of March 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $11.492 billion, up from $10.6 billion at the end of 2024 [6] - Net cash provided by operating activities was $1.8 billion for Q1 2025, down from $1.9 billion in the year-ago quarter [6] - Free cash flow generated in Q1 2025 was $1.781 billion, with $4.356 billion over the trailing 12 months [7] Share Repurchase - Airbnb repurchased shares worth $807 million in Q1 2025, with $2.5 billion remaining under repurchase authorization [7] Q2 Forecast - For Q2 2025, Airbnb expects revenues between $2.99 billion and $3.05 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 9-11% [8] - ADR is anticipated to remain flat year-over-year, with moderate growth expected in Nights and Experiences Booked [10] - Adjusted EBITDA is expected to increase year-over-year, with EBITDA margins flat or slightly down compared to Q2 2024 [10] 2025 Outlook - For the full year 2025, Airbnb expects an adjusted EBITDA margin of 34.5%, indicating strong profitability while pursuing growth [11]

Group 1: AI Implementation - Airbnb has begun rolling out an AI-powered customer service bot in the U.S., with 50% of users already utilizing it, and plans to extend this feature to all users this month [1] - The introduction of the AI bot has resulted in a 15% reduction in the need for customers to contact live human agents [2] - Airbnb is taking a cautious approach to AI, focusing first on customer service before exploring other applications like travel planning [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Competitors such as Expedia and Booking.com are heavily investing in AI technologies, offering features like itinerary building and real-time travel updates [5] Group 3: Financial Performance - Airbnb reported a total revenue of $2.27 billion for the first quarter, reflecting a 6% increase year-over-year, but forecasts for the current quarter are slightly below analysts' expectations due to anticipated slowing travel demand [6]

Core Insights - The tourism market during the "May Day" holiday in 2025 is experiencing a significant increase in activity, with the National Railway Group expecting to transport 144 million passengers over the 8-day period, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.9% [1] - To accommodate the peak travel demand, the National Railway Group plans to operate an average of over 12,000 passenger trains daily, utilizing measures such as train doubling and night high-speed trains to enhance capacity [1] - Data from Ctrip indicates that the distance of travel for tourists has notably extended, with over 80% of accommodation bookings being for intercity stays during the "May Day" period [1] - Tuniu's data shows a remarkable increase in group booking numbers, with a 220% week-on-week growth in reservations for the "May Day" holiday [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the growing trend of AI-assisted travel planning, highlighting the emergence of various platforms offering AI-generated travel itineraries and recommendations [1][12][13] - It emphasizes the complexity and time-consuming nature of traditional travel planning, which has led to the rise of services that create personalized travel plans based on user preferences and requirements [1][6][12] Group 1: AI Travel Planning Features - Alibaba's travel platform, Fliggy, has launched an AI feature called "Ask Me," which generates travel plans by considering user preferences, budget, and other personalized needs [6][12] - Other online travel agencies (OTAs) like Ctrip and Tongcheng have also developed AI tools for travel planning, integrating their resources to provide comprehensive services [13][17] - User feedback indicates that while these AI tools can generate detailed itineraries, they may still have limitations in accuracy and speed, with some users reporting errors in generated plans [12][18] Group 2: Data and Privacy Challenges - The effectiveness of AI travel planning tools heavily relies on data collection, organization, and analysis, raising concerns about user privacy and data security [21][22] - The integration of various data sources is often challenging, which can lead to inaccuracies in recommendations and user experiences [21][22] - Ethical considerations regarding algorithmic biases and the prioritization of certain products over others can further complicate the reliability of AI-generated travel plans [21][22] Group 3: User Expectations vs. Reality - Users have high expectations for AI travel assistants, envisioning a seamless experience akin to a personal assistant that can understand and fulfill their travel needs [22] - However, the current capabilities of AI travel planning tools fall short of these expectations, indicating that significant advancements are still needed to achieve the ideal user experience [22]

Core Insights - Booking Holdings (BKNG) reported first-quarter 2025 earnings of $24.81 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 43.83% and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 21.7% [1] - Revenues reached $4.76 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.58% and growing 8% year over year, with a 10% increase on a constant currency basis [2] Financial Performance - BKNG's earnings have consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 18.98% [1] - Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was approximately $1.1 billion, representing a 21% year-over-year growth and exceeding the high end of guidance by 28% [12] - Merchant revenues accounted for $2.91 billion (61.3% of total revenues), up 22.2% year over year, while agency revenues were $1.56 billion (32.8% of total revenues), down 11.3% year over year [4] Operational Highlights - The company achieved a record of 319 million room nights in the first quarter, marking the first time it exceeded 300 million in a single quarter, with a growth of over 7% year over year [5] - Total accommodation listings reached approximately 31 million, with alternative accommodations listings growing by 9% year over year to about 8.1 million [6] - Connected Trip transactions grew by 35% year over year, representing a high single-digit percentage of total transactions [7] Expense Management - Marketing expenses increased by 10% year over year, accounting for 3.8% of gross bookings, which was in line with expectations [8] - Adjusted fixed operating expenses decreased by 3% year over year, primarily due to lower general and administrative expenses [11] - Sales and other expenses as a percentage of gross bookings were 1.5%, slightly lower than the previous year, aided by efficiencies in customer service [10] Guidance - For Q2 2025, BKNG expects room night growth between 4% and 6%, gross bookings growth in the range of 10-12%, and revenue growth also between 10% and 12% [15]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a total revenue of €124.1 million for Q1 2025, representing a 22% year-over-year increase compared to Q1 2024 [12][13] - The adjusted EBITDA loss for Q1 2025 was €6.5 million, which was better than internal expectations [14][15] - Operational expenses increased by €20.7 million to €133.7 million, primarily due to a €21.4 million increase in selling and marketing expenses [15][16] - The company has €118.6 million in cash and cash equivalents and no long-term debt, maintaining a strong financial position [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Referral revenues grew by 44% in Rest of World, 19% in Developed Europe, and 18% in Americas, driven by increased branded channel traffic and improvements in booking conversion [14] - The company observed a stable return on advertising spend (ROAS) globally at 118.1%, with improvements in Developed Europe but reductions in the Americas and Rest of World [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average Daily Rates (ADRs) were up in all three segments, with a slight increase in length of stay in Americas and Developed Europe, while Rest of World remained stable [22] - Click prices and Average Booking Values (ABBs) were slightly up globally in Q2, with positive trends in Developed Europe and Rest of World, but slightly negative in Americas [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three strategic priorities: brand marketing, enhancing the hotel search experience, and empowering partners [4][5][9] - Brand marketing investments are expected to scale further, with localized campaigns in Brazil and Japan showing promising results [5][54] - The acquisition of Hollisto is aimed at simplifying operations and enhancing conversion rates through the Book and Go product [28][32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the outlook for 2025, raising revenue growth guidance to mid-teens percentage and anticipating positive adjusted EBITDA in the latter half of the year [17][60] - The company is confident in its ability to navigate short-term volatility due to its diverse market presence and strong brand recognition [25][66] Other Important Information - The company announced a leadership change, with Robin Harries stepping down as CFO and Dr. Wolff Schmull taking over the role [74][75] Q&A Session Summary Question: Trends in the US versus other markets - Management noted strong double-digit growth across all regions, with slight differences in consumer behavior and traffic patterns [21][23] Question: Commentary on Hollisto acquisition - The acquisition is expected to enhance conversion rates and user experience, with the team successfully executing on strategic goals [28][30] Question: Risks and opportunities related to AI - Management discussed the potential of AI to enhance user experience while acknowledging the competitive landscape posed by AI hyperscalers [36][40] Question: Brand investments and their effects - Brand investments are yielding compounding benefits, positively impacting click-through rates and overall marketing efficiency [41][43] Question: Full year guidance and macroeconomic considerations - The company sees significant potential in scaling brand marketing investments and remains optimistic despite potential macroeconomic slowdowns [60][66]