证券研究报告·公司点评报告·基础建设 中国电建（601669） 2025 年一季报点评：营收平稳增长，毛利率 下行致盈利继续承压 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 609,844 | 634,552 | 648,864 | 675,132 | 705,015 | | 同比（%） | 6.50 | 4.05 | 2.26 | 4.05 | 4.43 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 12,949 | 12,015 | 12,490 | 13,220 | 14,245 | | 同比（%） | 13.24 | (7.21) | 3.95 | 5.85 | 7.75 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.77 | 0.83 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 6.28 | 6.77 | 6.51 | 6.15 | 5.71 | [Table_Tag] [Ta ...

公司报告 | 年报点评报告 中国核建（601611） 证券研究报告 风险提示：核电站核准及开工进度不及预期，基建地产投资增速不及预期， 应收账款减值风险，工程订单结转速度放缓。 | 财务数据和估值 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 109,385.02 | 113,541.28 | 120,914.42 | 130,773.84 | 141,590.88 | | 增长率(%) | 10.34 | 3.80 | 6.49 | 8.15 | 8.27 | | EBITDA(百万元) | 13,726.84 | 15,000.17 | 12,308.45 | 13,145.36 | 13,854.64 | | 归属母公司净利润(百万元) | 2,062.83 | 2,064.22 | 2,316.18 | 2,603.03 | 2,933.68 | | 增长率(%) | 17.57 | 0.07 | 12.21 | 12.38 | 12.70 | | EPS(元/股) ...

建筑装饰/基础建设 中国电建（601669.SH） 营业收入同比增长，新能源业务进展强势 2025 年 04 月 30 日 《营业收入同比微增，境外业务增长 明显—公司信息更新报告》-2024.11.4 《新签订单规模稳定增长，减值拖累 业 绩 表 现 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.9.3 《抓住能源电力发展机遇，电力工程 龙头业绩可期—公司首次覆盖报告》 -2024.7.5 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | 杜致远（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | duzhiyuan@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 证书编号：S0790524070001 | 证书编号：S0790124070064 | 营业收入同比增长，新能源业务进展强势，维持"买入"评级 中国电建发布 2024 年年度报告，公司营业收入同比增长，归母净利润有所下滑， 毛利率水平维持稳定，公司筑牢传统业务基建工程优势的同时，围绕新能源电力 打造第二成长曲线。由于公司传统业务规模呈现缩减趋 ...

建筑装饰/基础建设 中国电建（601669.SH） 营业收入同比增长，新能源业务进展强势 2025 年 04 月 30 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 4.85 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 6.24/4.33 | | 总市值(亿元) | 835.47 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 633.97 | | 总股本(亿股) | 172.26 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 130.72 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 39.53 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 中国电建 沪深300 相关研究报告 《营业收入同比微增，境外业务增长 明显—公司信息更新报告》-2024.11.4 《新签订单规模稳定增长，减值拖累 业 绩 表 现 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.9.3 《抓住能源电力发展机遇，电力工程 龙头业绩可期—公司首次覆盖报告》 -2024.7.5 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | 杜致远（联系 ...

公司报告 | 季报点评 中国能建（601868） 证券研究报告 Q1 扣非大涨 24%，新业务布局持续推进 Q1 业绩稳健增长，维持"买入"评级 25Q1 公司实现营收 1003.71 亿元，同比+3.05%，归母净利润为 16.12 亿元， 同比+8.83%，扣非净利润为 13.86 亿元，同比+24.03%。一季度公司主要经 营指标逆势增长，主要经营指标创历史同期新高。新兴业务增强转型主引 擎作用显现，科技创新成果加速转化，世界首套 300 兆瓦级压缩空气储能 项目实现全容量并网发电，氢能、AI 赋能等新业务布局持续推进，我们维 持公司 2025-2027 年归母净利润 87.9、94.1、101.7 亿元，维持"买入"评 级。 新签合同持续保持较快增速，保障公司经营稳健成长 一季度公司完成新签合同额 3889 亿元，同比增长 5.8%。核心业务工程建 设新签合同 3640.5 亿元，同比+15.5%，其中，传统能源、新能源及综合智 慧能源、城市建设、综合交通新签合同分别为 833.4、1680.3、738.9、119.4 亿元，同比分别+6.1%、+20%、+57.8%、+96.7%，新能源业务持续高增 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - Short-term profitability is under pressure, but overseas expansion opens new opportunities [6] - The company has a strong order backlog, which supports future revenue growth despite current performance challenges [8] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 248.564 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.46% year-on-year [8] - The company’s gross margin for Q1 2025 was 8.46%, a decrease of 0.13 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company’s total uncompleted contract amount reached 7.234 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.1% compared to the end of the previous year, indicating a solid order book [8] Business Segments - Revenue from infrastructure construction, design consulting, equipment manufacturing, and real estate development for 2024 was 216.796 billion, 4.670 billion, 6.246 billion, and 6.671 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -7.99%, -2.21%, -5.77%, and +59.48% [8] - The company signed new contracts worth 560.1 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 9.9%, with domestic contracts down 13.6% and overseas contracts up 33.4% [8] Profitability and Valuation - The company’s projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 28.7 billion, 29.7 billion, and 30.9 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +2.88%, +3.70%, and +3.94% [8] - The current price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to be 4.78, 4.61, and 4.43 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]

证券研究报告 建筑装饰 | 基础建设 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 04 月 30 日 证券分析师 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | 29 | | | | 2025 | 年 | 04 | | 日 | 月 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | | | 8.91 | | | | | 一 年 / 低 | | 最 | 高 | 内 | | | | 9.12/5.19 | | | 最 | | （元） | | | | | | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [7][18]. Core Views - The company's revenue and profit showed steady growth in Q1 2025, with operating income reaching 22.986 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.98%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.774 billion yuan, up 0.99% year-on-year. The new signed orders increased by 18.87% year-on-year, reflecting a recovery in production and operations [1][4]. - The gross margin slightly decreased to 14.51%, down 1.29 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio improved, indicating enhanced cost control capabilities [2]. - The infrastructure investment in Sichuan province is expected to grow, with a target of 280 billion yuan in 2025, which supports the company's long-term performance [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 8.098 billion yuan, representing a 12.32% increase year-on-year. The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.93 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.58 [5][12]. - The company plans to maintain a cash dividend payout ratio of 60%, leading to a dividend yield of 6.3% for 2025 [4][5]. - The company's total assets are projected to be 235.25 billion yuan in 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 77.16% [12][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Railway Construction Corporation (601186.SH) [4][6] Core Views - Q1 performance remains under pressure due to fluctuating gross margins, with traditional infrastructure investments still needing improvement. The company reported total revenue of 256.8 billion, a year-on-year decline of 6.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.15 billion, down 14.5% [1][2] - The company has a substantial backlog of contracts amounting to 78,613 billion, which is 7.4 times the revenue expected for 2024, indicating a strong order book that could stabilize future performance as new funding sources are expected to accelerate project execution [1][2] - New contracts in emerging sectors such as mining and electricity have seen rapid growth, while overseas orders continue to increase significantly. The total new contract amount for Q1 was 492.8 billion, a decrease of 10.5% year-on-year, with infrastructure projects accounting for 85% of the total [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 7.51%, a decrease of 0.28 percentage points year-on-year. The expense ratio was 4.15%, down 0.07 percentage points, indicating effective cost control [2] - Operating cash flow showed improvement, with a net outflow of 38.95 billion, which is 7.65 billion less than the previous year [2] Contracting and Order Book - The new contract amount for Q1 was 492.8 billion, with infrastructure projects seeing a decline of 13%. However, contracts in emerging sectors like mining and electricity grew significantly, with increases of 66% and 139% respectively [3] - Domestic and overseas contracts were 4,487 billion and 442 billion respectively, with overseas business maintaining rapid growth [3] Profit Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 21.5 billion, 21.6 billion, and 21.9 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.58, 1.59, and 1.61 yuan per share [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Railway Construction Corporation (601186.SH) [4][6] Core Views - The company's Q1 performance remains under pressure due to fluctuating gross margins and a need for improvement in traditional infrastructure investments. However, cash flow has shown some improvement [1][2] - The company has a substantial backlog of contracts, amounting to 78,613 billion, which is 7.4 times the revenue expected for 2024, indicating a strong order book that could stabilize future revenue as new funding sources are deployed [1] - New contracts in emerging sectors such as mining and electricity have seen significant growth, while overseas orders continue to increase [3] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 256.8 billion, a decrease of 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.15 billion, down 14.5% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 7.51%, a decline of 0.28 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio improved slightly to 4.15% [2] - The company’s operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 38.95 billion, which is an improvement compared to a larger outflow in the previous year [2] Contract and Order Summary - In Q1 2025, the new contract value was 492.8 billion, down 10.5% year-on-year, with infrastructure projects accounting for 85% of the total new contracts [3] - Emerging engineering orders, particularly in railways, mining, and electricity, have seen substantial increases, with growth rates of 66%, 139%, and 29% respectively [3] - Domestic and overseas new contract values were 448.7 billion and 44.2 billion respectively, showing a year-on-year decline of 13% for domestic contracts but a 30% increase for overseas contracts [3] Earnings Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 21.5 billion, 21.6 billion, and 21.9 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.58, 1.59, and 1.61 [4]