Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Wynn Macau reported net revenue of USD 0.883 billion, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year (YoY) and an increase of 2% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) [1][8][9] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was USD 0.25 billion, down 9.5% YoY, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 28.7%, a decrease of 2.95 percentage points YoY [1][4][12] - For the first half of 2025, total revenue reached USD 1.75 billion, down 7.2% YoY, and adjusted EBITDA was USD 0.51 billion, down 18.4% YoY [1][8] Gaming Revenue - Total gaming revenue in Q2 2025 was USD 0.9 billion, an increase of 2% YoY, but below the industry growth rate of 8.3% [3][11] - The total betting amount reached USD 10.28 billion in Q2 2025, up 17.4% YoY, with VIP betting increasing by 27.1% YoY [2][10] - The VIP win rate for Wynn Palace was 2.86%, lower than the expected range of 3.1% to 3.4% [2][10] Market Share and Outlook - Wynn Macau's market share in Q2 2025 was 11.9%, down 0.5 percentage points from 12.4% in Q1 2025 [5][13] - The company plans to invest USD 200-250 million in capital expenditures for property upgrades in 2025 [5] - A new entertainment center at Wynn Palace is expected to open in early 2028, pending government approval [5] Risks - Potential risks include lower-than-expected macroeconomic growth, stricter gaming regulations in Macau, and increased competition in overseas gaming markets [6][13]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the discretionary sector, including Nike, Midea Group, JD Group, Gree Electric, Haier Smart Home, Anta Sports, and others [1]. Core Insights - The new consumption theme is experiencing a resurgence, with the market increasingly focusing on risk/reward dynamics [4][5]. - Various sectors within discretionary consumption have shown different performance trends, with jewelry, gaming, and daily necessities outperforming the MSCI China index [4][11]. - The report highlights that most sectors are still undervalued compared to their historical averages over the past five years [17]. Sector Performance Overview - The jewelry sector saw a significant increase of 8.3%, driven by rising gold prices and strong sales growth from major players [5][14]. - The gaming sector also performed well, with notable increases in stock prices for Sands China and Galaxy Entertainment, supported by robust gaming revenue growth in Macau [5][14]. - The snack sector rose by 2.9%, with specific companies benefiting from the new consumption trend [5][14]. - The cosmetics sector experienced a 1.8% increase, with strong growth reported on e-commerce platforms [5][14]. - Conversely, the overseas sportswear sector declined by 0.5%, reflecting concerns over the U.S. economic cycle and competitive pressures [5][14]. Valuation Analysis - The expected PE ratios for various sectors in 2025 indicate that most are below their five-year historical averages, suggesting potential for future growth [17]. - For instance, the overseas sportswear sector has a projected PE of 31.8, which is 51% of its historical average, while the domestic sportswear sector is at 13.0, or 75% of its historical average [17]. - The jewelry sector's expected PE is 27.9, representing 49% of its historical average, indicating a favorable valuation compared to past performance [17].

Group 1 - MGM China announced a share buyback plan to repurchase 1 million shares at a cost of approximately HKD 16.36 million on August 8, 2025 [1]

港股今日震荡走软，三大指数盘中均一度跌超1%，恒指再度失守两万五关口，并止步四连涨。截止收 盘，恒生指数跌0.89%或222.81点，报24858.82点，全日成交额为2067.2亿港元；恒生国企指数跌 0.96%，报8895.28点；恒生科技指数跌1.56%，报5460.3点。全周来看，恒指累涨1.43%，国指累涨 1.03%，恒科指累涨1.17%。 中银国际指出，香港股票市场流动性持续充裕，今年以来交易额上升。预计今年下半年内地投资者通过 南向交易对香港上市股票的强劲需求将持续，主要得益于高质量科技/高端制造股票的选择、港股的估 值吸引及股息较高。该行预测2025年内地-香港南向交易净流入将达1.2万亿元人民币，高于2024年的 7440亿元人民币及2023年的2894亿元人民币。 蓝筹股表现 中芯国际(00981)领跌蓝筹。截至收盘，跌8.19%，报48.66港元，成交额108.62亿港元，拖累恒指30.81 点。中芯国际二季度业绩显示，该集团取得收入22.09亿美元，同比增加16.2%，环比减少1.7%；归母净 利润1.32亿美元，同比下降19.5%。展望第三季度，中芯国际给出的收入指引为环比增长5% ...

智通财经APP获悉，港股今日震荡走软，三大指数盘中均一度跌超1%，恒指再度失守两万五关口，并 止步四连涨。截止收盘，恒生指数跌0.89%或222.81点，报24858.82点，全日成交额为2067.2亿港元；恒 生国企指数跌0.96%，报8895.28点；恒生科技指数跌1.56%，报5460.3点。全周来看，恒指累涨1.43%， 国指累涨1.03%，恒科指累涨1.17%。 中银国际指出，香港股票市场流动性持续充裕，今年以来交易额上升。预计今年下半年内地投资者通过 南向交易对香港上市股票的强劲需求将持续，主要得益于高质量科技/高端制造股票的选择、港股的估 值吸引及股息较高。该行预测2025年内地-香港南向交易净流入将达1.2万亿元人民币，高于2024年的 7440亿元人民币及2023年的2894亿元人民币。 蓝筹股表现 中芯国际(00981)领跌蓝筹。截至收盘，跌8.19%，报48.66港元，成交额108.62亿港元，拖累恒指30.81 点。中芯国际二季度业绩显示，该集团取得收入22.09亿美元，同比增加16.2%，环比减少1.7%；归母净 利润1.32亿美元，同比下降19.5%。展望第三季度，中芯国际给出的收 ...

Group 1: Semiconductor Industry - Citi maintains an "outperform" rating for SMIC with a target price of HKD 59.2, reporting a 1.7% quarter-over-quarter revenue decline to USD 2.21 billion, which is better than expected. Gross margin was 20.4%, exceeding the 18-20% forecast range, while net profit was USD 132.5 million, 24% below market expectations. Q3 revenue is expected to grow by 7% quarter-over-quarter to USD 2.34 billion, slightly below market expectations [1] - Citi maintains an "outperform" rating for Hua Hong Semiconductor, raising the target price to HKD 50.5. The company began price adjustments in Q2, which are expected to reflect in the second half, leading to a single-digit increase in average selling prices. The 2026 and 2027 earnings forecasts were raised by 18% and 12%, respectively, while the 2023 earnings forecast was lowered by 31% due to increased taxes [2] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Industry - CMB International maintains a "buy" rating for BeiGene with a target price of HKD 225, noting that Q2 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with core product sales continuing to grow. The company is positioned as a benchmark for Chinese innovative drugs, with strong global sales of its products. The second half of 2025 is expected to be a critical period for new product approvals and clinical data releases, which may catalyze stock price growth [2] Group 3: Gaming and Hospitality Industry - CICC maintains an "outperform" rating for MGM China, reporting Q2 2025 results that exceeded expectations, with net income and adjusted EBITDA recovering to pre-pandemic levels, driven by strong performance in Macau. Management expects continued strong performance during the summer and is focused on product updates and high-end market segments [3] Group 4: Telecommunications Infrastructure - CICC maintains a "strong buy" rating for China Tower, highlighting its position as a global leader in communication infrastructure. The company's strategic layout and shared mechanisms are expected to release significant profits as existing assets depreciate. Long-term growth is anticipated from new business drivers and deepened sharing mechanisms [4] Group 5: Consumer Goods Industry - CICC maintains an "outperform" rating for Uni-President China, reporting H1 2025 results that exceeded market expectations. The beverage business remains stable amid increased competition, while the food business continues to grow. Cost advantages and improved capacity utilization are driving margin improvements, with a steady growth trend expected for the year [5] Group 6: Technology Industry - CICC maintains an "outperform" rating for Xiaomi Group with a target price of HKD 70, forecasting a 64.84% year-over-year increase in adjusted net profit for Q2 2025. The company remains among the top three globally in smartphone shipments, with strong IoT revenue expected. The release of new production capacity is anticipated to enhance order delivery [6] - CICC maintains a "buy" rating for AsiaInfo Technologies, noting that while H1 2025 revenue was pressured by cost-cutting measures from operators, innovative business trends are positive. Revenue from AI model applications and delivery services is expected to grow significantly, helping to stabilize overall revenue [7] Group 7: Robotics Industry - CICC initiates coverage on Yujiang with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 61, highlighting the company's focus on collaborative robots and product line expansion. The company is expected to show significant growth potential and diverse international business layouts [8] Group 8: Medical Services Industry - Citi maintains an "outperform" rating for Tigermed with a target price of HKD 62.6, noting an 83% increase in stock price year-to-date as the Chinese innovative drug market improves. Net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised by 31%, 30%, and 30%, respectively, with positive sales growth in Q2 [9]

瑞银发布研报称，永利澳门(01128)控股股东永利渡假村(Wynn Resorts)公布，澳门调整后物业EBITDA 为2.54亿美元，较去年同期下降约10%，EBITDA达2.66亿美元，低于预期，主要是博彩表现低于预期。 该行维持永利澳门目标价为6.1港元，其评级为"中性"。 瑞银指，永利澳门管理层预料博彩需求于6、7月加速，调整后EBITDA运行速度为每日330万美元。管 理层将继续进行物业升级改造，以保持竞争力，包括扩建永利皇宫主席俱乐部博彩区，以及翻新永利大 厦客房。管理层预计，活动及娱乐中心的建设将于2028年之后完成，但需获得政府批准。该行指，永利 澳门管理层将今年资本支出指引下调5,000万美元，至2亿至2.5亿美元，明年指引维持不变，为4.5亿至5 亿美元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Wynn Macau's parent company, Wynn Resorts, announced an adjusted property EBITDA of $254 million, a decrease of approximately 10% year-over-year, with EBITDA at $266 million, falling short of expectations due to underperformance in gaming [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Adjusted property EBITDA for Wynn Macau is reported at $254 million, down about 10% compared to the same period last year [1] - Total EBITDA reached $266 million, which is below market expectations primarily due to weaker gaming performance [1] Group 2: Management Outlook - Wynn Macau's management anticipates an acceleration in gaming demand in June and July, with an adjusted EBITDA run rate of $3.3 million per day [1] - The management plans to continue property upgrades to maintain competitiveness, including the expansion of the Wynn Palace Chairman's Club gaming area and renovations of the Wynn Tower rooms [1] Group 3: Capital Expenditure Guidance - The management has lowered the capital expenditure guidance for this year by $50 million to a range of $200 million to $250 million, while maintaining next year's guidance at $450 million to $500 million [1] - The construction of the activity and entertainment center is expected to be completed after 2028, pending government approval [1]

本文源自：金融界AI电报 里昂发表研究报告，永利澳门次季核心物业息税折旧摊销前利润较上季增长1%至19.79亿港元，低于预 期。即使永利皇宫贵宾厅赢率低于正常水平导致季绩表现不如预期的原因之一，但经运气调整(luck- adjusted)后贵宾厅利润率亦略低于预期。该行指，永利将今年特许经营相关的资本支出目标下调至2亿 至2.5亿美元，但由于永利澳门专属Chairman's Club贵宾博彩区扩建和永利塔酒店客房的翻新，预计会 略有影响。该行维持永利澳门目标价为7港元，评级为"跑赢大市"。 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,081.63, down 0.69% for the day but up 25.15% year-to-date[3] - The Hang Seng Technology Index rose to 5,546.73, increasing by 0.26% daily and 23.24% year-to-date[3] - The S&P 500 index closed at 6,340.00, down 0.08% for the day and up 7.33% year-to-date[3] Stock Performance Highlights - Xiaomi's stock fell nearly 4% ahead of its Q2 2025 earnings announcement, with expected revenue of 112.6 billion RMB, slightly below market expectations[7] - Sands China Ltd. shares rose over 5% due to a strong recovery in Macau's gaming industry, driven by increased outbound tourism and higher gaming budgets[7] - Apple Inc. shares surged 5% after announcing a $100 billion investment in the U.S., boosting related stocks like AAC Technologies, which rose over 9%[7] Sector Movements - Semiconductor stocks were active, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising 1.5%[9] - Gold stocks saw widespread gains, with China Gold International up over 7% as Citigroup adjusted its bearish outlook on gold prices, predicting a rise due to economic conditions[7] - The healthcare sector faced challenges, with Eli Lilly's stock dropping 14.14% after disappointing clinical trial results for its weight-loss drug[9] Economic Indicators - U.S. job market data showed a decline in confidence, contributing to mixed performance in U.S. markets[7] - The Atlanta Fed President indicated a potential interest rate cut later this year, reflecting ongoing concerns about inflation and economic growth[13] - Japan's government revised its GDP growth forecast down to 0.7% for the fiscal year, impacted by U.S. tariffs and inflationary pressures[13]