Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.33% to 4136.16 points, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.79% and the ChiNext Index gained 0.63%[1] - The Hang Seng Index closed up 0.45% at 26749.51 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising 0.62% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 0.51%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was 240.9 billion HKD[1] Currency and Trade Tensions - The Japanese yen rebounded strongly, nearing the 160 mark against the USD, marking its largest single-day gain since August of the previous year[8] - U.S. President Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on all Canadian exports to the U.S. if Canada reaches a trade agreement with China[8] ETF and Market Sentiment - Continuous outflows from broad-based ETFs in China have raised concerns about potential reductions in state-owned fund holdings, leading to increased interest in small-cap stocks[12] - From January 15 to 22, approximately 67.5 billion USD was sold off from 14 ETF products by the central government, indicating a significant market impact[12] Corporate Developments - Dongpeng Beverage plans to raise up to 10.141 billion HKD through an IPO, with a share price set at 248 HKD, representing a 12.5% discount compared to its A-share price[10] - BYD aims for overseas sales of 1.3 million vehicles in 2026, a nearly 24% increase from last year's 1.05 million deliveries[14]

Group 1 - The overall market trend for 2026 is expected to be optimistic, driven by a combination of fundamental, liquidity, sentiment, and policy factors [1][2] - China's GDP has surpassed 140 trillion, indicating a strong economic achievement that supports market performance [1] - Despite a recent cooling in market sentiment, the overall bullish sentiment remains high, and the market is currently undergoing a necessary adjustment phase [2] Group 2 - Historical analysis shows that previous bull markets have been characterized by short bursts of activity followed by long periods of adjustment, which negatively impacted investor experiences [3] - The current market environment is being guided towards healthier long-term development through measures such as increased margin requirements and regulatory support [4] - The AI sector remains a key focus for 2026, with strong growth expected in upstream computing power and semiconductor equipment due to expansion and rising demand [5][6] Group 3 - The innovative drug sector is projected to continue its growth trajectory in 2026, focusing on new drug platforms and expanding applications for existing treatments [6]

Group 1 - Precious metals experienced a strong upward trend last week, driven by geopolitical tensions, a weakening dollar, and continued global central bank gold purchases, with international gold prices approaching $5000 and silver prices surpassing $100 [1] - The macro environment for the non-ferrous metals sector is expected to remain generally favorable through 2026, with potential for continued upward movement [2] - The ongoing Federal Reserve rate cut cycle, escalating geopolitical conflicts, and the trend of de-dollarization are expected to provide sustained support for gold prices [2][3] Group 2 - Demand for copper, aluminum, and lithium is expected to strengthen, while supply constraints are likely to persist, leading to sustained price increases for these commodities [2] - Strategic minor metals such as tungsten, tantalum, and antimony are also positioned for investment opportunities due to supply-demand mismatches and geopolitical factors [3] - The demand for minor metals is significantly increasing due to their critical role in high-tech industries such as AI, military, and semiconductors [3]

沪铜周报 特朗普夺岛TACO，铜牛窄幅踏步 研究员：肖艳丽 投资咨询号：Z0016612 日期：2026-01-23 中辉期货有限公司 交易咨询业务资格 证监许可[2015]75号 目录 Contents 观点摘要 宏观经济 供需分析 总结展望 工作计划安排 WORK SCHEDULE 沪铜观点摘要 【核心观点】建议铜短期多单继续持有，移动逢高止盈，充分回调后仍是布局良机，长期依旧看 好铜，保持定力和耐心 【策略展望】 4 特朗普夺岛TCAO，欧美关系反复，美国经济数据强劲，基本面，全球铜显性库存高位，淡季 累库拖累铜价，短期多空激烈博弈，争夺10万关口，铜高位震荡，建议短期铜多单移动止盈， 关注30日均线支撑，长期铜多单保持定力。中长期看，铜作为中美博弈的重要战略资源和贵 金属平替资产配置，在铜精矿紧张和绿色铜需求爆发背景下，对铜依旧看好。 短期沪铜关注区间【98500，105500】元/吨，伦铜关注区间【12500，13500】风险关注：中 美关系，铜矿干扰，需求不足 工作计划安排 WORK SCHEDULE 美国经济数据超预期，特朗普夺取格陵兰岛TACO -200 0 200 400 600 800 1 ...

Report Title - Copper Weekly Report, dated January 26, 2026 [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - Last week, copper prices showed a strong and volatile trend. The main reasons were the upward revision of the US GDP growth rate in Q3 2025, the mild performance of the core PCE in November, and the robust consumer spending. Trump's announcement of deploying the US fleet to blockade Iran further fermented the global risk - aversion sentiment. The continuous new highs of gold and silver limited the downward adjustment space of copper prices. AI and new - energy transformation provided strong impetus for the refined copper consumption market. Fundamentally, the tight supply pattern at the mine end continued, the output of domestic smelters declined marginally, the global visible inventory continued to rise, the domestic trade spot premium increased, and the C - structure of the near - month contract widened [2][7]. - Overall, the further fermentation of overseas risk - aversion sentiment continuously boosted the valuation center of copper prices. The better - than - expected performance of the US economic fundamentals made the market confident about the future expansion of the global refined copper consumption market. Fundamentally, the resumption of production of overseas interrupted mines was slow. The global refined copper continued to accumulate inventory, but the supply in the distribution areas was still tight. New trends were gradually replacing traditional drivers as the mainstream in the refined copper consumption market. It was expected that copper prices would continue to oscillate strongly at a high level in the short term. Attention should be paid to the latest interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve in January [2][10] Summary by Directory I. Market Data - **Price Changes**: LME copper rose from $12,808.50 to $13,128.50 per ton, a 2.50% increase; COMEX copper rose from 584.85 to 593.7 cents per pound, a 1.51% increase; SHFE copper rose from 100,770 to 101,340 yuan per ton, a 0.57% increase; international copper rose from 89,650 to 91,120 yuan per ton, a 1.64% increase. The Shanghai - London ratio decreased from 7.87 to 7.72. The LME spot premium decreased from $61.52 to - $66.06 per ton, a - 207.38% change. The Shanghai spot premium decreased from - 125 to - 180 yuan per ton [3] - **Inventory Changes**: As of January 23, the total inventory of LME, COMEX, SHFE, and Shanghai bonded area increased to 1.067624 million tons. LME copper inventory increased by 28,125 tons (19.59%); COMEX inventory increased by 19,691 short tons (3.63%); SHFE inventory increased by 12,422 tons (5.82%); Shanghai bonded area inventory increased by 7,800 tons (7.83%) [6] II. Market Analysis and Outlook - **Macro - aspect**: The US core PCE in November increased by 2.8% year - on - year, in line with expectations. Personal consumption expenditure increased by 0.5% month - on - month, and personal income increased by 0.4% month - on - month, indicating robust consumer spending. The annualized growth rate of the US GDP in Q3 2025 was revised up to 4.4%. The IMF raised the US economic growth forecast for 2026 to 2.4%. Trump's actions and statements on geopolitical issues and the Federal Reserve's policy and personnel appointment further fermented the market risk - aversion sentiment, and the new highs of gold and silver boosted the copper price valuation center. In China, the industrial added value of large - scale industries in December increased by 5.2% year - on - year, with different growth rates in various industries [7][8] - **Supply - demand aspect**: Rio Tinto's copper production in Q4 increased by 5% year - on - year. In November, the domestic copper production was basically flat month - on - month. The import of copper concentrates in November reached 2.526 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 13.1%. In terms of demand, traditional industries were affected by high copper prices at the beginning of the year, while emerging industries such as new - energy vehicles, photovoltaics, AI data centers, and robots showed good prospects [9] III. Industry News - **Rio Tinto**: Its Q4 copper production increased by 5%. The expansion of the Oyu Tolgoi underground mine in Mongolia offset the decline in the Escondida copper mine in Chile. It is in key acquisition negotiations with Glencore and must make a formal offer by February 5 [11] - **Lundin Mining**: Due to the decline in the underground mining efficiency of its Candelaria copper mine in Chile, it lowered its copper and gold production guidance for 2026. The company's stock price fell by more than 10% on Thursday [12] - **Capstone Copper**: A copper mine in northern Chile has been shut down due to a nearly three - week labor strike, intensifying the global copper supply shortage [13] IV. Related Charts - The report provides 18 charts, including the price trends of Shanghai copper and LME copper, LME copper inventory, global visible inventory, etc., with data sources from iFinD and Tongguan Jinyuan Futures [15][16][20]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Jinhui Co., Ltd. (stock code: sh603132) experienced a trading halt with a price increase of 10.02% to 17.7 yuan, resulting in a total market capitalization of 17.927 billion yuan and a trading volume of 91.8165 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The company is undergoing a governance structure transformation, revising over 30 management systems, eliminating the supervisory board, and enhancing the board of directors' functions to modernize governance and improve efficiency [1] - Jinhui Mining has completed the acquisition of 100% equity in Haosen Mining, adding 56.6 square kilometers of mining rights and discovering medium to large-sized mineral deposits, significantly increasing resource reserves [1] - The management team, consisting of 15 directors and supervisors, collectively increased their holdings by 6.33 million yuan, nearing the planned upper limit, indicating confidence in the company's future [1] - The influx of capital into the stock on the day of the trading halt may have been influenced by these factors, suggesting a combination of technical and fundamental positive impacts [1]

1月26日，香港恒生指数开盘涨0.35%，恒生科技指数涨0.05%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 涨跌 涨跌幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | HSI | 恒生指数 | 26844.04c 94.53 | 0.35% | | HSTECH | | 5801.15c 3.14 0.05% | | | HSBIO | 恒生生物科技 | 15924.23c -12.84 - -0.08% | | | HSCEI | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9188.19c 27.38 0.30% | | | HSCI | 恒生综合指数 | 4135.95c 13.37 0.32% | | | 代码 | 名称 | 规价 | 浙先 | 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9868 | 小鹏汽车-W | 73.750 | -3.050 | -3.97% | | 9888 | 百度集团-SW | 155.100 | -5.400 | -3.36% | | 9626 | 哔哩哔哩-W | 253.800 | -8.800 | -3.35% | | 1024 | ...

声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型基于第三方数据库自动发布，任何在本文出现的信 息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成 个人投资建议。受限于第三方数据库质量等问题，我们无法对数据的真实性及完整性进行分辨或核验， 因此本文内容可能出现不准确、不完整、误导性的内容或信息，具体以公司公告为准。如有疑问，请联 系biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2026年1月26日，兴业银锡（sz000426）触及涨停，涨停价63.67元，涨幅10%，总市值1130.55亿元，流 通市值1130.27亿元，截止发稿，总成交额14.40亿元。 根据喜娜AI异动分析，兴业银锡涨停原因可能如下，资源并购+业绩增长+控股股东重整： 1、公司完成 对宇邦矿业85%股权和大西洋锡业100%股权收购，增强了资源储备，国际化资源布局稳步推进。这有 助于提升公司的长期竞争力和可持续发展能力，为未来业绩增长奠定基础。 2、2025年1 - 9月公司营收 40.99亿元，同比增长24.36%，净利润13.64亿元，同比增长4.94%，三季度业绩实现稳健增长。经营活 动现金流净额2 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened higher on January 26, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.35% to 26,844.04 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 0.05% to 5,801.15 points, the National Enterprises Index increasing by 0.3% to 9,188.19 points, and the Red Chip Index gaining 0.25% to 4,227.98 points [1] - Major technology stocks generally performed well, with Alibaba up 0.59%, JD Group up 1.05%, Xiaomi up 0.33%, NetEase up 0.77%, and Meituan up 0.41%. However, Bilibili saw a slight decline of 0.15% [1] - The gold and non-ferrous metal sectors opened higher, with Old Poo Gold rising by 5.33%, Zijin Gold International up by 3.5%, Luoyang Molybdenum up by 3.83%, and Zijin Mining up by 2.92% [1] - Chip stocks opened strongly, with Meijiayin Holdings surging over 166%. The new consumption concept sector also saw gains, with Pop Mart rising over 4% [1] - Oil stocks were active, with CNOOC rising over 2%, while automotive stocks weakened, with Xpeng Motors dropping over 1% [1] Company News - China Merchants Bank reported a revenue of 337.53 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.01%, and a net profit of 150.18 billion yuan, up by 1.21% [2] - Everbright Securities achieved a revenue of 10.86 billion yuan in 2025, a growth of 13.18%, and a net profit of 3.73 billion yuan, increasing by 21.92% [2] - Shanghai Fudan expects a revenue of approximately 3.93 billion to 4.03 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.46% to 12.25%, but anticipates a net profit decrease to between 190 million and 283 million yuan, down by approximately 66.82% to 50.58% [2] - Minyin Capital forecasts a net profit of approximately 130 million to 170 million HKD for 2025, representing a significant increase of 155.9% to 234.6% [3] - Asia Cement (China) expects a net profit of approximately 85.6 million yuan for 2025 [4] - Xinda International Holdings issued a profit warning, expecting a net profit of approximately 74 million to 82 million HKD for the year [5] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation reported an oil production of 39.7 million tons for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, and a natural gas production of 41.253 billion cubic meters, up by 4.02% [5] - Zijin Mining's Giant Dragon Copper Mine Phase II project has officially commenced production, becoming the largest copper mine in China [6] Industry Insights - Huadian International Power's total power generation for 2025 is expected to be 262 million megawatt-hours, a decrease of approximately 6.99% year-on-year [7] - China Life plans to invest 4 billion yuan to establish a partnership focused on AI-driven technological innovation and industrial upgrading in the Yangtze River Delta, and intends to contribute 8.492 billion yuan to establish a partnership focused on the elderly care industry [7] - China National Offshore Oilfield Services released a strategic guidance for 2026, expecting capital expenditures of approximately 8.44 billion yuan [9] - The commercial aerospace sector is anticipated to grow significantly, with private commercial rocket companies expected to play a crucial role in the national team, creating market opportunities in satellite manufacturing and rocket launching [10] - The demand for space photovoltaics is projected to reach nearly 10 GW due to existing low-orbit satellite plans, benefiting photovoltaic equipment manufacturers involved in the development of process routes [10]

Group 1 - Indonesia's government expects nickel ore production quotas for 2026 to be between 250 million tons and 260 million tons, a significant decline from 2025's quotas [1] - The Indonesian government is tightening regulations on nickel mining, including increasing the tax rate on nickel ore from a fixed 10% to a floating range of 14%-19% and implementing stricter controls on new nickel smelting capacity [1] - CITIC Securities predicts that if the 2026 production quotas are implemented, Indonesia's nickel output could drop to 2.6 million to 2.7 million tons, leading to a global nickel supply shortage of 200,000 tons and potentially raising LME nickel prices to $22,000 per ton [1] Group 2 - Liqin Resources has submitted application materials for a proposed A-share issuance to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and has received an acceptance notice, indicating its involvement in the complete nickel industry chain [2] - Zhongwei New Materials has strategically invested in upstream nickel, phosphorus, and lithium resources globally since 2022, with expectations to self-supply 30,000 tons of metal nickel by 2026, enhancing profits by 20-30 million yuan [2] - Xinjiang Xinxin Mining owns several nickel-copper mines and other mineral resources, indicating its significant presence in the mining sector [2]