运筹帷幄 决胜千里 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货品种套利数据日报（2025 年 7 月 3 日） 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | | 动力煤（元/吨） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2025/07/02 | -180.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/07/01 | -180.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/30 | -180.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/27 | -181.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/26 | -183.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 动力煤基差 基差（右） 动力煤现货价:秦皇岛 期货结算价(活跃合约) :动力煤 www.bcqhgs.com 1 杭州市求是 ...

2025年5月份，全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降3.3%，环比下降0.4%；工业生产者购进价格同比下降 3.6%，环比下降0.6%。1—5月平均，工业生产者出厂价格和购进价格比上年同期均下降2.6%。 一、工业生产者价格同比变动情况 5月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格下降4.0%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约2.98 个百分点。其中，采掘工业价格下降11.9%，原材料工业价格下降5.4%，加工工业价格下降2.8%。生活 资料价格下降1.4%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约0.36个百分点。其中，食品价格下降1.4%， 衣着价格持平，一般日用品价格上涨0.6%，耐用消费品价格下降3.3%。 工业生产者购进价格中，燃料动力类价格下降9.8%，黑色金属材料类价格下降7.3%，化工原料类价格 下降5.4%，农副产品类价格下降2.6%，纺织原料类价格下降2.5%，建筑材料及非金属类价格下降 1.1%；有色金属材料及电线类价格上涨4.6%。 二、工业生产者价格环比变动情况 5月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格下降0.6%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约0.44 个百分点。其中，采掘工业价格下降 ...

日度报告——综合晨报 美国 ADP 就业不及预期，美越或将达成贸易 协议 [T报ab告le_日R期an：k] 2025-07-03 宏观策略（外汇期货(美元指数)） ADP 就业不及预期 最新的 ADP 就业远不及预期，但是市场对此反应较为平淡，美 元指数短期反弹。 宏观策略（美国股指期货） 合 今年 8000 亿"两重"项目清单全部下达完毕 晨 报 "反内卷"和海洋经济板块出现明显上涨，而军工股则有所回 落。股指成交缩量窄幅震荡。对于"反内卷"需要注意其更多 指向中下游行业以及部分新兴行业而非简单地上游行业。 黑色金属（动力煤） 7 月 2 日北港市场动力煤报价暂稳 高温持续下，电厂日耗维持季节性高位，短期煤价有所企稳。7 月初，前期安监环保影响陆续环节。内蒙产区已经陆续放开。 整体煤价预计在夏季维持稳定。 农产品（豆油/菜油/棕榈油） 印度：6 月份棕榈油进口量增加 61%至 95.3 万吨 印度 6 月棕榈油进口大幅增长，参议院禁止北美以外燃料申请 45Z 税收抵免。 特朗普称美越达成贸易协议 小非农意外爆冷，但三大股指表现维持强势，市场继续等待周 四晚公布的非农数据。 综 宏观策略（股指期货） 有色金 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report outlines the independent financial advisory opinion regarding Xinjiang Baodi Mining Co., Ltd.'s plan to issue shares and pay cash to acquire assets, along with raising supporting funds through a related transaction. Group 1: Transaction Overview - The transaction involves Xinjiang Baodi Mining acquiring 82% equity of Xinjiang Congling Energy Co., Ltd. from Congling Industrial and 5% from JAAN Investments, while raising funds from up to 35 specific investors [4][5]. - The total cash consideration for the transaction is approximately 89.375 million RMB, with the total fundraising amount not exceeding 560 million RMB [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Impact - Post-transaction, the company's total assets are projected to increase from 658,262.10 million RMB to 779,440.88 million RMB, reflecting an 18.41% growth [8]. - The company's liabilities will rise from 266,624.28 million RMB to 323,309.00 million RMB, marking a 21.26% increase [8]. - The equity attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 307,009.35 million RMB to 371,503.41 million RMB, a 21.01% increase [8]. Group 3: Operational Synergies - The acquisition will enhance the company's iron ore resource volume to approximately 4.6 billion tons, a 21.75% increase, thereby improving its operational capabilities [6][7]. - Xinjiang Congling Energy's high-grade iron ore resources will significantly boost the company's competitive position in the market, particularly in the production of iron concentrate [6][9]. Group 4: Share Structure and Control - The total share capital of the company will increase from 800 million shares to 916,528,117 shares post-transaction, maintaining a public shareholding ratio above 10% [7][8]. - The control structure of the company will remain unchanged, with Xinjiang Guoziwei as the actual controller [7][8]. Group 5: Regulatory Compliance - The transaction has undergone necessary decision-making processes and will require approval from relevant regulatory authorities before implementation [9].

Company Overview - Xinjiang Baodi Mining Co., Ltd. was established on November 14, 2001, and was transformed into a joint-stock company in 2013. The company is listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange with stock code 601121 and operates in the black metal mining industry, primarily producing iron concentrate [1][2]. Restructuring Transaction - The company plans to acquire 82% of Xinjiang Congling Energy Co., Ltd. from Congling Industrial Co., Ltd. and 5% from JAAN INVESTMENTS CO.LTD through a combination of issuing shares and cash payments. Following the transaction, Congling Energy will become a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company [2][4]. - The total amount of funds raised in this transaction will not exceed 560 million yuan, which is 100% of the asset purchase price. The issuance of shares will not exceed 30% of the company's total share capital before the transaction [4][5]. Financial Reporting Basis - The pro forma financial statements are prepared under the assumption that the restructuring is completed on January 1, 2024, and reflect the company's sustainable operations. The financial statements are based on the assumption that the relevant proposals will be approved by the shareholders' meeting and the China Securities Regulatory Commission [7][12]. - The estimated purchase price for the 87% equity stake in Congling Energy is 685.125 million yuan, with 89.375 million yuan paid in cash and 595.75 million yuan through share issuance [7][9]. Important Accounting Policies - The company adheres to the Chinese Accounting Standards, ensuring that the financial statements accurately reflect the financial position and operating results as of March 31, 2025 [14][15]. - The company uses a 12-month operating cycle for asset and liability liquidity classification and recognizes financial instruments based on their cash flow characteristics and management business model [23][29].

-1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 日期 01-13 01-26 02-08 02-21 03-05 03-18 03-31 04-13 04-26 05-09 05-22 06-04 06-17 06-30 07-13 07-26 08-08 08-21 09-03 09-16 09-29 10-12 10-25 11-07 11-20 12-03 12-16 12-29 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 焦煤--基差 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 日期 01-14 01-28 02-11 02-25 03-10 03-24 04-07 04-21 05-05 05-19 06-02 06-16 06-30 07-14 07-28 08-11 08-25 09-08 09-22 10-06 10-20 11-03 11-17 12-01 12-15 12-29 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 焦炭--基差 | | 黑色产业数据每日监测（7.02） | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品 ...

黑色商品日报 黑色商品日报（2025 年 7 月 2 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | 钢材 | 螺纹钢：昨日螺纹盘面窄幅震荡，截止日盘螺纹 2510 合约收盘价格为 3003 元/吨，较上一交易收盘价格 上涨 6 元/吨，涨幅为 0.2%，持仓减少 4.81 万手。现货价格小幅波动，成交维持低位，唐山地区迁安普方 | 低位整理 | | | 坯价格下跌 20 元/吨至 2900 元/吨，杭州市场中天螺纹价格持平于 3090 元/吨，全国建材成交量 10.09 万 | | | | 吨。据市场传闻，唐山 7 月 4-15 日的硬减排措施，保证安全和煤气平衡的前提下，原则上从控转炉(小转 | | | | 炉 40 分钟/大转炉 60 分钟，全天)开始，高炉采取对应的减产措施(高炉休风停产)，烧结机、球团、白灰、 | | | | 发电、轧钢等装备采取停产措施(不少于 30%，以装备计)，部分钢厂表示已接到通知。环保限产有所加码， | | | | 对市场情绪形成一定提振。螺纹现货处于供需双弱局面，市场矛盾不突出，驱动也不明显。预计短期螺纹 | | | | ...

宏观 宏观：央行提出加大货币政策调控强度，保持流动性充裕，引导金融机构加大信贷投放，明 确探索"互换便利和股票回购增持再贷款"常态化制度，支持证券、基金、保险公司参与市 场维稳，要求从宏观审慎角度评估债市运行，防范资金空转，推动融资成本下降。6 月制造 业 PMI 为 49.7%（+0.2%），非制造业 PMI 50.5%（+0.2%），装备制造（51.4%）、高技术制造 （50.9%）持续扩张，但小型企业 PMI 降至 47.3%（-2.0%）。 市场分析：上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500、中证 1000 指数收盘价分别为 2717.71、3942.76、 5934.67、6373.77 点，较前一日分别上涨 0.21%、0.17%、0.33%、0.28%。IM/IC 基差显著 扩张，IH/IF 基差变动温和。 参考观点：四大指数呈现多强空弱态势，关注中小盘期指逢低多配机会，大盘期指区间波段 就机会。 原油 宏观与地缘：中东局势暂缓，同时市场炒作美联储 7 月降息以及 OPEC+7 月会议增产预期， 有消息称沙特或将寻求增产以寻回丧失的市场份额。 市场分析：特朗普推文称将拉低油价，鼓励美国大力投资新油 ...

| 2025/07/02 | | 国贸期货出品 ITG 国贸期货 | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可[2012] 31号 | | | | 黑色金属研究中心 | 执业证号 | 投资咨询证号 | | 张宝慧 | F0286636 | Z0010820 | | 黄志鸿 | F3051824 | Z0015761 | | 节子勖 | F03094002 | Z0020036 | | | 远月合约收盘价 | RB2601 | HC2601 | 12601 | J2601 | JM2601 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (元/吨) | | | | | | | | 7月1日 | 3016.00 | 3136.00 | 685. 00 | 1427.50 | 857.00 | | | 涨跌值 | -7.00 | -4.00 | -7. 50 | -36. 50 | -29.00 | | | 涨跌幅(%) | -0.23 | -0. 13 | -1.08 | -2. 49 | -3.27 - | | | 近月合约收盘价 ...

金属期权 2025-07-02 金属期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 金属期权策略早报概要：（1）有色金属偏多震荡，构建看涨期权牛市价差组合策略和做空波动率策略策略；（2） 黑色系区间盘整震荡逐渐走弱，适合构建卖方期权中性组合策略；（3）贵金属黄金高位盘整弱势回落，构建现货 避险策略。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （% ...