Report Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - In July 2025, the price of natural rubber rebounded, and the shipping index declined. The production of semi-steel tires remained stable, and the operation rate of all-steel tires increased. The import demand from Europe and the United States was advanced due to tariffs and anti-dumping measures. Long-term globalization and proximity to major consumer markets in Europe and the United States are effective ways for tire companies to avoid trade barriers. Chinese leading tire companies are expected to compete in international markets with cost control and brand influence [58]. Summary by Section Cost End - In July 2025, the average price of butadiene was 9,116.30 yuan/ton, a month-on-month decrease of 1.14% and a year-on-year decrease of 29.87%. The average price of natural rubber was 1,770.65 US dollars/ton, a month-on-month increase of 3.96% and a year-on-year increase of 4.46%. The average price of styrene-butadiene rubber was 11,964.13 yuan/ton, a month-on-month increase of 0.77% and a year-on-year decrease of 21.65%. The average price of carbon black was 6,267.74 yuan/ton, a month-on-month decrease of 2.30% and a year-on-year decrease of 20.25%. The average price of nylon cord fabric was 17,971.40 yuan/ton, a month-on-month decrease of 2.33% and a year-on-year decrease of 19.31% [4][5]. - In June 2025, the natural rubber production of ANRPC member countries was 883,700 tons, a month-on-month increase of 5.37% and a year-on-year decrease of 5.94%. China's natural rubber production was 103,200 tons, a month-on-month increase of 7.05% and a year-on-year decrease of 2.37%. China's natural rubber consumption was 619,500 tons, a month-on-month increase of 0.45% and a year-on-year increase of 3.80%. China's import volume of natural rubber was 436,300 tons, a month-on-month decrease of 1.24% and a year-on-year increase of 29.43% [15]. - In July 2025, the average value of the Baltic Freight Index (FBX) was 2,531.25 points, a month-on-month decrease of 25.46% and a year-on-year decrease of 50.19%. The CCFI (East Coast of the United States route) index was 1,247.30, a year-on-year decrease of 30.43% and a month-on-month decrease of 7.31%. The CCFI (West Coast of the United States route) index was 983.60, a year-on-year decrease of 40.68% and a month-on-month decrease of 14.44% [19]. Production End - In June 2025, China's output of rubber tire casings was 102.749 million pieces, a year-on-year increase of 10.01%. In the first half of 2025, the cumulative output of rubber tire casings in China was 590.694 million pieces, a year-on-year increase of 12.21%. In July 2025, the output of all-steel tires was 12.75 million pieces, a month-on-month increase of 1.03% and a year-on-year increase of 7.78%. The output of semi-steel tires was 56.97 million pieces, a month-on-month increase of 3.15% and a year-on-year increase of 0.04% [24]. - In July 2025, the average monthly operation rate of Chinese semi-steel tires was 73.80%, a month-on-month decrease of 3.25 percentage points and a year-on-year decrease of 5.41 percentage points. The average monthly operation rate of all-steel tires was 64.61%, a month-on-month increase of 0.65 percentage points and a year-on-year increase of 7.58 percentage points [30]. Demand End - From January to June 2025, China's cumulative export of new pneumatic rubber tires was 349 million pieces, a cumulative year-on-year increase of 5.40%. In June 2025, China exported 29.3664 million passenger car tires and 10.8498 million truck and bus tires. In the first half of 2025, China's cumulative export volume of truck and bus tires was 2.3347 million tons, a cumulative year-on-year increase of 5.34%, which supported the production and sales of tire companies [34]. - In the original equipment market as of the end of June, the demand for semi-steel tires was generally stable, with a sharp decline in Europe and the United States, while the Chinese market remained positive due to automobile subsidy policies. In the all-steel tire market, the North American market continued to deteriorate, and the European market confirmed growth in the second quarter. In the replacement market, affected by tariff expectations, sales and imports in Europe and the United States increased, and overall demand rose. The Chinese market remained stable [38]. - In June 2025, China's gasoline consumption was 11.7357 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 8.08%. Diesel consumption was 16.0427 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.92%. In June 2025, China's heavy truck market sold about 97,900 vehicles, a month-on-month increase of 10.25% and a year-on-year increase of 37.14% [41]. - In July 2025, China's logistics industry prosperity index was 50.5%, a month-on-month decrease of 0.3 percentage points. The road freight rate index was 105 points, a month-on-month decrease of 0.06% and a year-on-year increase of 1.89%. The road transport market is expected to maintain a stable operation in the second half of the year, with the freight rate index possibly experiencing a slight oscillatory correction [46]. - According to EIA statistics, in July 2025, the average daily consumption of motor vehicle refined oil in the United States was 8,941.75 thousand barrels, a month-on-month decrease of 2.80% and a year-on-year decrease of 3.04%. The average daily consumption of diesel was 3,509.75 thousand barrels, a month-on-month decrease of 6.15% and a year-on-year decrease of 4.09% [47]. - In June 2025, the number of registered passenger cars in Europe was 1.2437 million, a month-on-month increase of 11.72% and a year-on-year decrease of 5.13%. In the first half of 2025, the cumulative number was 6.8155 million, a year-on-year decrease of 0.92%. In the second quarter of 2025, the sales volume of the European replacement tire market decreased by 3.5% year-on-year to 57.044 million pieces. Among them, the sales volume of passenger car tires decreased by 4% year-on-year to 51.609 million pieces, and the shipment volume of truck and bus tires decreased by 5% year-on-year to 2.452 million pieces [55]. Industry News - Michelin's operating profit in the first half of the year decreased by 18%. General Shares' net profit attributable to the parent company in the first half of the year decreased significantly. In July, China's automobile production and sales increased significantly year-on-year. From January to June 2025, the import volume of rubber tires in the United States increased by 6.8% year-on-year. Sailun Tire acquired 100% of the equity of Bridgestone Shenyang Factory. Zhongce Rubber changed the use of some raised funds [56][57]. Monthly Summary and Outlook - In July 2025, the price of natural rubber increased, and there is an expectation of further increase. The shipping cost decreased month-on-month and may continue to fall after the impact of tariffs and geopolitics cools down. The production of semi-steel tires remained stable, with some inventory pressure, while all-steel tires had a good inventory situation. Domestically, logistics demand was stable, and automobile production and sales decreased month-on-month, expected to remain stable overall. Overseas, the replacement market in Europe and the United States was better than the original equipment market, but export demand may be under pressure due to international trade frictions [59].

Group 1 - The company plans to write off accounts receivable totaling RMB 15,688,602.98, which has already been fully provisioned for bad debts as of June 30, 2025, resulting in a net book value of RMB 0 [1][2] - The accounts receivable being written off are from customers that have been canceled or have not been recoverable for a long time, and the company retains the right to pursue these debts in the future [2][3] - The write-off will not impact the company's profits as the bad debt provision is 100%, and the action aligns with accounting prudence principles, reflecting the company's financial status accurately [2][3] Group 2 - The write-off of accounts receivable complies with the relevant accounting standards and regulations, ensuring a fair representation of the company's financial condition and asset value [3] - The write-off does not involve related parties and does not harm the interests of the company or its shareholders, particularly minority shareholders [3]

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Double Star (000599) reported a decline in revenue and an increase in net loss for the first half of 2025, indicating challenges in production capacity and rising raw material costs [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved an operating income of 2.272 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.31% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 186 million yuan, compared to a loss of 57.1 million yuan in the same period last year [1] Reasons for Performance Changes - The new tire project in Cambodia is still under construction, leading to insufficient capacity to offset the production from the original Guangrao Jixing, resulting in a higher proportion of truck tires that negatively impacted sales gross margin [1] - The overall raw material costs increased year-on-year due to a more than 15% rise in natural rubber prices [1]

青岛双星8月13日披露2025年半年报，公司上半年实现营业收入22.72亿元，同比下降0.31%；归属于上 市公司股东的净亏损1.86亿元，上年同期亏损5709.69万元；基本每股收益-0.23元。 ...

青岛双星公告，2025年上半年营业收入22.72亿元，同比下降0.31%。净利润亏损1.86亿元，上年同期净 利润亏损5709.69万元。 ...

Price and Market Overview - As of August 7, the market price of butadiene in Shandong is 9375 CNY/ton, with no change [1] - The CIF price of butadiene in China is 1090 USD/ton, with no change [1] - The market price of styrene-butadiene rubber (BR9000) in Shandong Qilu Petrochemical is 11550 CNY/ton, down by 50 CNY/ton [1] Production and Operating Rates - In July, China's butadiene production was 453,600 tons, up by 3% month-on-month [2] - The production of styrene-butadiene rubber was 129,200 tons, up by 5.5% month-on-month [2] - The production of semi-steel tires was 56.97 million units, down by 1.1% month-on-month but up by 7.8% year-on-year [2] - The production of all-steel tires was 12.75 million units, up by 1% month-on-month and up by 5.1% year-on-year [2] - As of August 7, the operating rate of the butadiene industry is 69.8%, down by 0.3% [2] - The operating rate of high-styrene butadiene rubber is 68.2%, down by 5.9% [2] - The operating rate of semi-steel tire manufacturers is 69.7%, down by 0.4% [2] - The operating rate of all-steel tire manufacturers is 60.1%, up by 1.3% [2] Inventory Levels - As of August 6, the port inventory of butadiene is 14,700 tons, up by 4,300 tons [3] - The factory inventory of styrene-butadiene rubber is 24,150 tons, up by 350 tons, a 1.5% increase [3] - The inventory of traders is 7,290 tons, down by 230 tons, a 3.1% decrease [3] Market Insights - As of August 7, the supply of butadiene has not increased as expected, leading to a stable price, while natural rubber prices have strengthened, boosting BR prices [5] - The main contract for synthetic rubber BR2509 closed at 11,535 CNY/ton, with a 0.22% increase compared to the previous settlement price [5] - Despite some butadiene production facilities restarting, there are also ongoing maintenance activities, leading to a slight decrease in domestic production [5] - The expected increase in butadiene imports in August may not meet expectations due to shipping schedules concentrated in the latter half of the month [5] - The supply side shows a mix of restarts and short-term shutdowns, with limited inventory reduction expected for styrene-butadiene rubber [5] - Demand for semi-steel tires remains high, with increasing pressure on both domestic and export sales, making it challenging to raise operating rates [5] - Overall, while cost support remains, the supply-demand balance for BR is expected to be loose, leading to short-term fluctuations [5]

Group 1 - Shandong Dongcai New Materials Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 20 million yuan, co-funded by Shandong Wanda Chemical Co., Ltd. and Shandong Naisite Carbon Black Co., Ltd., with Wanda Chemical holding 99% of the shares [1] - The establishment of Dongcai New Materials marks Wanda Chemical's strategic move to extend its new materials industry chain, focusing on high-value areas such as new material technology research and development, big data services, and technology import and export [1][2] - Naisite has been recognized as a "Little Giant" enterprise in the carbon black industry for 2024, developing multiple carbon black products that meet the demands of new energy vehicle tires for high conductivity and low rolling resistance [1] Group 2 - Wanda Chemical has been exploring high-end carbon black product development and production, establishing a comprehensive R&D system covering general, specialty, and pigment carbon blacks [2] - The rubber tire industry in Dongying City has formed a complete industrial system centered on rubber tires, but faces challenges such as low cluster development levels and insufficient collaboration among enterprises [2] - The Dongying City Rubber Tire Industry Development Plan (2024-2028) aims to enhance industry concentration and optimize the supply chain, targeting an industry revenue exceeding 100 billion yuan and positioning several local companies among the top 75 global tire manufacturers [2] Group 3 - Dongcai New Materials is expected to leverage Wanda Chemical's foundational product production capabilities to focus on high-performance and functional transformation of basic materials, providing customized solutions for industry enterprises [3]

Group 1 - In May 2025, China's rubber tire exports reached 860,000 tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.5% [1] - The export value for the same period was $2.107 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 10.1% [1] - The data is sourced from China Customs and organized by Zhiyan Consulting [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company is leveraging its smart transformation advantages to capture opportunities in the domestic electric vehicle market through collaborations with major domestic automakers [2] Group 1 - The company is actively responding to the strategic needs of the Yajiang Hydropower Station by developing tire products that meet specific demands [2] - The company aims to seize market share in the new energy vehicle sector by enhancing its product offerings in the domestic supply chain [2]

Core Viewpoint - Yanzhou District is focusing on strengthening its industrial chain to promote high-quality development of the local economy through collaboration and innovation [1][2][3] Group 1: Industrial Development - The district has established a collaborative mechanism involving "total chain leader + chain leader + chain master," resulting in 14 industrial chains with dedicated service teams for each [1] - Five key industries have been identified: paper packaging, rubber tires, high-end equipment, health food, and high-end chemicals, along with a billion-level new energy industry [1][2] Group 2: Innovation and Technology - Yanzhou District is implementing four major actions to drive technological innovation: increasing high-tech enterprises, building high-level platforms, attracting high-level talent, and accelerating technology transfer [2] - The district has added 49 provincial innovative small and medium-sized enterprises and established 19 provincial-level innovation platforms since last year [2] Group 3: Business Environment - The district has optimized its business environment by streamlining processes, reducing time and materials needed for project approvals, achieving a 70% reduction in approval times for various services [2] - Yanzhou District has ranked first in the city and among the top in the province for five consecutive years in terms of business environment [2] Group 4: Economic Indicators - Currently, there are 195 large-scale industrial enterprises in the district, including 8 national "little giant" enterprises and 77 provincial specialized enterprises [3] - The district is actively transforming its vision for high-quality economic development into practical outcomes in manufacturing [3]