Tobacco
Search documents
Altria(MO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 3.6% in Q3 and by 5.9% for the first nine months [20] - Adjusted operating companies income (OCI) for smokeable products grew by 0.7% to nearly $3 billion in Q3 and by 2.5% to $8.4 billion for the first nine months [20] - Adjusted OCI margins expanded to 64.4% for both Q3 and the first nine months, representing margin growth of 1.3 percentage points and 2.7 percentage points respectively [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic cigarette volumes declined by 8.2% in Q3 and 10.6% for the first nine months when adjusted for trade inventory movements [21] - The oral tobacco products segment saw adjusted OCI decline by less than 1% in Q3, but adjusted OCI increased by 3.3% with margin expansion of 1.8 percentage points to 69% [24][25] - Helix's reported shipment volume for on! increased by nearly 1% in Q3 and approximately 15% for the first nine months [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The nicotine pouch category grew to 55.7 share points, an increase of 11.1 share points year-over-year [7] - The e-vapor category included approximately 21 million vapers, up nearly 2 million versus a year ago [13] - The discount segment of the industry expanded by 2.4 share points year-over-year, with Basic capturing over half of that growth [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its smoke-free portfolio and exploring international opportunities through a collaboration with KT&G [5][18] - The launch of on! PLUS is seen as a premium product aimed at appealing to both adults who dip and competitive nicotine pouch consumers [10] - The company is committed to returning value to shareholders, as evidenced by a recent dividend increase and an expansion of the share repurchase program [5][27] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumers are under pressure but are seeing some consistency in gas prices and inflation [33] - The company is optimistic about the regulatory environment, particularly with recent FDA actions that may streamline product authorizations [16] - The company raised the lower end of its 2025 guidance range, expecting adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $5.37-$5.45, representing a growth rate of 3.5%-5% from a base of $5.19 in 2024 [26] Other Important Information - The company returned nearly $6 billion to shareholders in the first nine months, including $5.2 billion in dividends and $712 million in share repurchases [27] - The balance sheet remains strong, with a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2x as of September 30 [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on fourth quarter earnings growth and smokeable OCI - Management acknowledged the impact of share repurchase and MSA legal fund expiration on earnings growth, while monitoring consumer spending in a dynamic marketplace [31] Question: Drivers behind the moderation in cigarette industry decline - Management indicated that consistency in consumer pressures and stepped-up enforcement in e-vapor are influencing market dynamics [34] Question: Performance and positioning of on! in a competitive environment - Management expressed satisfaction with on!'s performance despite competitive pressures, highlighting steady retail takeaway volume [37] Question: Opportunities from the KT&G partnership - Management outlined three prongs of the partnership: expanding modern oral initiatives, exploring non-nicotine opportunities, and improving operational efficiencies [40] Question: Pricing strategy for on! PLUS - Management confirmed that on! PLUS is positioned as a premium product, with introductory price promotions planned for its launch [48] Question: Impact of FDA pilot program on product launches - Management emphasized the importance of a functioning regulatory system and indicated that decisions will be made in the long-term best interest of the company [57]
Altria(MO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 3.6% in Q3 and by 5.9% for the first nine months [18] - Adjusted operating companies income (OCI) for smokeable products grew by 0.7% to nearly $3 billion in Q3 and by 2.5% to $8.4 billion for the first nine months [18] - Adjusted OCI margins expanded to 64.4% for both Q3 and the first nine months, representing margin growth of 1.3 percentage points and 2.7 percentage points respectively [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic cigarette volumes declined by 8.2% in Q3 and 10.6% for the first nine months when adjusted for trade inventory movements [18] - Marlboro expanded its share of the premium segment by 0.3 to 59.6% in Q3 [19] - The oral tobacco products segment saw adjusted OCI decline by less than 1% in Q3, but adjusted OCI margin expanded by 2.4 percentage points to 69.2% for the first nine months [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The nicotine pouch category grew to 55.7 share points, an increase of 11.1 share points year over year [5] - The e-vapor category included approximately 21 million vapers, up nearly 2 million versus a year ago [11] - Retail share for oral tobacco products was 31.1% for Q3 and 32.9% for the first nine months [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its smoke-free portfolio and exploring international opportunities in innovative smoke-free products [4][15] - A collaboration with KT&G was announced to explore opportunities in international innovative smoke-free products and non-nicotine products [4][16] - The company aims to maintain profitability in the premium segment while also investing in the discount segment to capture price-sensitive consumers [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumer spending remains under pressure due to macroeconomic factors, but they are optimistic about maintaining profitability [30] - The company raised the lower end of its 2025 guidance range, expecting adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $5.37 to $5.45 [24] - Management emphasized the importance of a functioning regulatory system and the need for accelerated product authorizations from the FDA [14][54] Other Important Information - The company returned nearly $6 billion to shareholders, including $5.2 billion in dividends and $712 million in share repurchases [25] - The board authorized the expansion of the share repurchase program from $1 billion to $2 billion, which now expires on December 31, 2026 [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on fourth quarter earnings growth deceleration - Management acknowledged the impact of share repurchase and MSA legal fund expiration on earnings growth, while monitoring consumer spending [29][30] Question: Drivers behind the moderation in cigarette industry decline - Management indicated that consistency in gas prices and inflation may have contributed to the moderation in decline [31][32] Question: Performance and positioning of ON in the nicotine pouch category - Management expressed satisfaction with ON's performance despite competitive pressures and highlighted the importance of retail takeaway volume [33][34] Question: Opportunities from the KT&G partnership - Management discussed three pronged opportunities: expanding ON internationally, exploring non-nicotine products, and improving operational efficiencies [36][39] Question: Clarification on duty drawbacks and EPS growth - Management stated that duty drawbacks are an additional benefit but emphasized the need for a functioning regulatory system for long-term decisions [52][54] Question: Impact of FDA pilot program on ON+ launch - Management clarified that decisions will be based on long-term interests and the functioning of the regulatory system [53][54]
Altria Group Reports Q3 Beats, but Sales Slow
247Wallst· 2025-10-30 13:34
Core Viewpoint - Altria reported mixed Q3 financial results, beating earnings expectations but missing revenue targets [1] Financial Performance - The company exceeded earnings expectations, indicating strong profitability [1] - Revenue figures fell short of market expectations, suggesting potential challenges in sales growth [1]
Altria (MO) Tops Q3 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 13:16
Altria (MO) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.45 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.44 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.38 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +0.69%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this owner of Philip Morris USA, the nation's largest cigarette maker would post earnings of $1.37 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.44, delivering a surprise of +5 ...
Altria(MO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-30 13:00
Financial Performance - Altria's adjusted diluted EPS increased by 3.6% from $1.40 in Q3 2024 to $1.45 in Q3 2025[8] - For the first nine months of 2025, Altria returned nearly $6 billion to shareholders, including $5.2 billion in dividends and $712 million in share repurchases[98] - Altria increased its quarterly dividend by 3.9% to $1.06 per share[19] - The company expanded its existing share repurchase program from $1 billion to $2 billion[19] - The company is raising the lower-end of its full-year 2025 guidance range and now expects to deliver adjusted diluted EPS in a range of $5.37 to $5.45, representing a growth rate of 3.5% to 5.0% from 2024[95] Oral Tobacco Category - The oral tobacco industry volume increased by 14.5% for the six months ended September 30, 2025[22] - Oral nicotine pouches retail share of the oral tobacco category increased by 11.1 percentage points from Q3 2024 to Q3 2025, reaching 55.7%[22] - on! reported shipment volume increased by 0.7% in Q3 2025, with 42.2 million cans shipped[25] - For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, on! reported shipment volume increased by 14.8% to 133.6 million cans[25] - on!'s share of the oral tobacco category increased by 0.8 percentage points to 8.7% for the nine months ended September 30, 2025[28] Regulatory and Enforcement - Horizon submitted a combined PMTA & MRTPA to the FDA[32] - The FDA launched a pilot program to streamline PMTA reviews for oral nicotine pouches, and applications for on! PLUS are included in the program[47, 49]
Altria forecasts tepid annual profit on sluggish tobacco demand
Reuters· 2025-10-30 12:17
Core Insights - Altria's annual profit forecast is significantly below market expectations due to decreased demand for cigarettes and oral smoking alternatives like on! nicotine pouches [1] Company Summary - Altria is experiencing lower demand for its traditional cigarette products and newer oral smoking alternatives, which is impacting its profitability outlook [1] Industry Summary - The tobacco industry is facing challenges with declining demand for traditional smoking products, indicating a potential shift in consumer preferences towards healthier alternatives [1]
5 Dividend Stocks to Hold for the Next 10 Years
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-30 08:12
Core Insights - Consumer-facing businesses with strong brand power are positioned to grow dividends and enhance investor portfolios in the long term [1][2] Group 1: Company Summaries - **Pool Corp.**: The largest wholesale distributor of swimming pools and related supplies, Pool Corp. has established recurring revenue streams through installation and maintenance services. The company has increased its dividend for 14 consecutive years, despite economic downturns, making it a potential buying opportunity as consumer sentiment rebounds [4][6]. - **PepsiCo**: A dominant player in the food and beverage sector, PepsiCo has a diverse portfolio that includes well-known snack brands. The company has increased its dividend for 52 consecutive years, benefiting from strong pricing power and consistent demand for its products [7][8]. - **Clorox**: Known for its cleaning products and household goods, Clorox has maintained a strong return on invested capital averaging 19% over the past decade. The company has a dividend yield of over 4% and is approaching five decades of uninterrupted dividend increases, despite recent challenges [9][10]. - **Home Depot**: As a leading home improvement retailer, Home Depot benefits from a cultural inclination towards home spending. The company has a 15-year dividend growth streak and is expected to continue this trend as housing turnover increases in the coming decade [11][12]. - **Philip Morris International**: Transitioning from traditional cigarettes to smoke-free products, Philip Morris generates over 40% of its sales from next-generation products. The company has consistently raised its dividend since 2008, indicating strong growth potential in the evolving nicotine market [13][14].
British American Tobacco (BTI) Suspends U.S. Vape Rollout Following Regulatory Pressure
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-30 01:55
Core Insights - British American Tobacco (BTI) has suspended its U.S. vape rollout due to regulatory pressure from the FDA [2][3] - The suspension highlights the challenges faced by major tobacco companies in a market increasingly affected by unregulated products [3][4] - The U.S. market for smoking alternatives is valued at $22 billion, indicating significant competition and profit erosion [3] Regulatory Challenges - The FDA has intensified efforts to regulate unlicensed products, prompting BTI to halt its pilot program for the Vuse One vape [2][3] - The decision to pause the pilot was made by Reynolds American, BTI's U.S. arm, which had previously planned to launch the product without FDA authorization [3][4] Market Context - The initiative to introduce the unlicensed vape was seen as a significant shift in BTI's engagement with FDA regulations, attracting attention from various stakeholders [4] - The competition from unregulated products, particularly those imported from China, poses a threat to established tobacco companies [3]
This Dividend Stock Yields 4% and Just Raised Its Guidance. Should You Buy It Now?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 23:30
Core Insights - Philip Morris International (PMI) has shown significant stock performance, with a 68% increase over the past two years and a 22% rise year-to-date, indicating strong investor interest despite regulatory challenges in the tobacco industry [1][2][4] - The company is transitioning towards a smoke-free future, focusing on innovative products like iQOS and ZYN, which are gaining traction in the market [5][12][21] - PMI has a strong dividend history, raising dividends for 18 consecutive years, with a recent increase of nearly 9%, resulting in a yield close to 4% [9][10][22] Stock Performance - PM stock has surged 68% over the past two years and 12% in the last 52 weeks, with a year-to-date increase of about 22% [1][2] - The stock is currently trading at 20.9 times forward adjusted earnings, reflecting a premium investors are willing to pay for its transition to smoke-free products [8] - Despite a recent dip of 10% in the stock price, analysts view this as a potential buying opportunity, with several maintaining "Buy" ratings and optimistic price targets [6][17][20] Financial Performance - PMI reported Q3 revenue of $10.8 billion, a 9.4% year-over-year increase, driven by strong pricing in combustible tobacco and growth in smoke-free products [11][12] - Adjusted EPS for Q3 was $2.24, up 17.3% annually, exceeding expectations due to record smoke-free profits [11] - The company has a payout ratio of 74.7%, indicating a commitment to returning cash to investors [10] Future Outlook - For 2025, adjusted EPS is forecasted between $7.46 and $7.56, suggesting growth of 13.5% to 15.1%, with total product volume expected to rise by about 1% [14][16] - Organic revenue growth is projected between 6% and 8%, with capital expenditures focused on smoke-free innovations [15] - Analysts expect continued growth in smoke-free product revenues, with a strong market presence anticipated for iQOS and ZYN [19][20] Market Position - PMI is one of the largest tobacco companies globally, with a market capitalization of approximately $244.2 billion and a workforce of over 83,000 [3] - The company is navigating regulatory pressures and declining smoking rates by investing in smoke-free alternatives, which are now 41% of total sales [12][21] - The stock has a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating, reflecting confidence in PMI's resilience and long-term growth potential [20][22]
2 High-Yield Stocks With Fresh Catalysts
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 23:00
Core Insights - Income investing is most effective when dividends are linked to sustainable business models rather than yield traps [2] - The best opportunities combine high current income with credible catalysts for future payouts [2] Company Analysis - Philip Morris International (NYSE: PM) has raised its dividend by 8.9% to an annualized $5.88, resulting in a current yield of 3.84% [5] - Smoke-free products accounted for 39% of total revenue in 2024, a significant increase from negligible levels a decade ago [6] - The company has seen success with Iqos heated-tobacco devices in Japan and parts of Europe, and ZYN nicotine pouches are the fastest-growing nicotine format in the U.S. [6] - Recent developments include the dismissal of a pricing antitrust lawsuit against ZYN and the FDA's withdrawal of a proposed menthol cigarette ban, which strengthens the company's market position [7] Valuation and Yield - A pharmaceutical company is trading at 8 times forward earnings with a 7% yield, while raising revenue guidance and reentering the obesity drug market [9] - Both Philip Morris and the pharmaceutical company offer immediate income along with turnaround potential, although there are regulatory and execution risks involved [9]