Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Hold" [1] Core Insights - The long-term care insurance (LTCI) system in Japan has diversified elderly care services, addressing the challenges posed by an aging population and declining birth rates. The LTCI was officially implemented in 2000, with a focus on providing comprehensive care for the elderly [3][24]. - The LTCI system in Japan is characterized by government leadership, diverse service providers, varied service offerings, and a well-integrated community care system. This has led to improved efficiency and sustainability in elderly care [4][25]. - The implementation of LTCI has spurred the growth of the elderly care service industry, increasing demand for professional caregivers and related products, significantly expanding the market size from 3.6 trillion yen in 2000 to 9.6 trillion yen by 2013 [34]. Summary by Sections Long-term Care Insurance Development - Japan's LTCI system was established to address the needs of an aging population, with mandatory participation for individuals aged 65 and older, and those aged 40-64 with specific health conditions [3][24]. - The system has evolved through three phases: initial establishment, service refinement, and diversification of care options [25]. Market Dynamics - The LTCI has led to a significant increase in private sector participation in elderly care services, enhancing service quality and efficiency through competition [5][30]. - In China, the LTCI pilot program began in 2016, expanding to 49 cities by 2024, with 180 million participants, indicating a growing demand for elderly care services [6][35]. Company Performance - Reliable Co., a leading company in medical care and disability care products, has shown steady growth, with domestic revenue accounting for 58.03% in 2024. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for high-quality elderly care supplies [8][38].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Hold" [1] Core Insights - British American Tobacco (BAT) forecasts a revenue growth of 1-2% for H1 2025, with adjusted operating profit expected to increase by 1.5%-2.5% [3][18] - The Glo Hilo product has shown positive market response, with a significant increase in conversion rates in Serbia and expected revenue acceleration in the second half of the year [3][19] - The heated tobacco market is projected to reach approximately $34.463 billion in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 12.22% [3][23] Summary by Sections Weekly Topic - BAT's H1 2025 performance forecast indicates a slight decline in market share in key markets, but a recovery in the US market with a 10 basis point increase in sales volume and revenue share [3][18] - The Velo product line has seen a market share increase to 29.7%, with double-digit revenue growth, while the Glo Hilo's innovative launch is expected to boost performance in the latter half of the year [3][18] Weekly Market Review - From June 2 to June 6, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.13%, with the light industry manufacturing sector increasing by 2.18%, ranking 8th among 31 sectors [4][28] - The textile and apparel sector saw a 1.89% increase, ranking 11th among the same sectors [4][28] Key Data Tracking Home Furnishing - In the week of May 25 to June 1, 2025, the transaction area of commercial housing in 30 major cities was 2.1262 million square meters, a 3.25% increase month-on-month [7][36] - The sales area of commercial housing for the first four months of 2025 was 28.3 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 2.8% [7][36] Packaging and Paper - As of June 6, 2025, the prices for various paper products showed slight fluctuations, with needle pulp priced at 5977.5 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.43% [8][48] - The price of waste paper products remained stable, with waste yellow board paper priced at 1478 yuan/ton [8][48] Textile and Apparel - As of June 6, 2025, the cotton price index in China was 14561 yuan/ton, showing a slight decrease of 0.12% [10][10] - In April 2025, the retail sales of clothing and textiles reached 108.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [10][10]