格隆汇12月3日丨新里程(002219.SZ)在互动平台表示，公司暂无发展儿童纸尿裤和成人失禁护理用品的 计划。医疗服务及医药工业是公司目前的核心业务，公司将持续深化"医疗+医药"双轮驱动战略，进一 步完善业务布局，增强健康科技内涵。 ...

Group 1 - The company has no plans to develop children's diapers and adult incontinence care products [1]

Group 1 - The elderly population in Linyi, Shandong Province exceeds 2.6 million, making it the city with the largest elderly population in the province [1] - The People's Bank of China in Linyi is promoting financial services integrated into the "Filial Piety Linyi" elderly care brand, focusing on creating a comprehensive financial product system for the elderly [1] - Agricultural Bank of China Linyi Branch has issued a loan of 60 million yuan to Aishule Health Products, a leading company in adult incontinence care, highlighting the growth potential of the elderly care industry [2][3] Group 2 - The Agricultural Bank of China Linyi Branch has established a regular tracking mechanism for elderly care projects, optimizing financial support strategies and offering various tailored loan products [3] - As of August, the loan balance for the elderly care industry in Linyi reached 329 million yuan, a 67.9% increase from the beginning of the year [3] - The People's Bank of China in Linyi is building a multi-level elderly care service system that combines home, community, and institutional care, supported by local ecological resources [4] Group 3 - The total amount of elderly deposits in Linyi reached 413 million yuan, a 116.2% increase from the beginning of the year, indicating a growing financial product system for the elderly [5] - Financial institutions in Linyi have established over 1,300 bank branches with green channels for the elderly, providing various facilities to enhance accessibility [5] - The city is advancing several key health and elderly care projects, with 50 major projects underway, including the Yunmeng Sun City International Health and Wellness Town [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Hold" [1] Core Insights - The long-term care insurance (LTCI) system in Japan has diversified elderly care services, addressing the challenges posed by an aging population and declining birth rates. The LTCI was officially implemented in 2000, with a focus on providing comprehensive care for the elderly [3][24]. - The LTCI system in Japan is characterized by government leadership, diverse service providers, varied service offerings, and a well-integrated community care system. This has led to improved efficiency and sustainability in elderly care [4][25]. - The implementation of LTCI has spurred the growth of the elderly care service industry, increasing demand for professional caregivers and related products, significantly expanding the market size from 3.6 trillion yen in 2000 to 9.6 trillion yen by 2013 [34]. Summary by Sections Long-term Care Insurance Development - Japan's LTCI system was established to address the needs of an aging population, with mandatory participation for individuals aged 65 and older, and those aged 40-64 with specific health conditions [3][24]. - The system has evolved through three phases: initial establishment, service refinement, and diversification of care options [25]. Market Dynamics - The LTCI has led to a significant increase in private sector participation in elderly care services, enhancing service quality and efficiency through competition [5][30]. - In China, the LTCI pilot program began in 2016, expanding to 49 cities by 2024, with 180 million participants, indicating a growing demand for elderly care services [6][35]. Company Performance - Reliable Co., a leading company in medical care and disability care products, has shown steady growth, with domestic revenue accounting for 58.03% in 2024. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for high-quality elderly care supplies [8][38].

Core Viewpoint - The company is facing significant pressure on its performance due to fluctuations in raw material prices, which have severely squeezed profit margins despite a steady expansion in the market for consumer paper products in China [1][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 8.151 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.84%, and a net profit of 77.18 million yuan, down 76.8% year-on-year [3]. - This marks the fourth consecutive year of declining net profits for the company, with net profits decreasing by 35.85%, 39.77%, and 4.92% in the years 2021 to 2023 respectively [3]. - The impact of raw material price fluctuations has been a significant factor in the company's poor performance, with previous statements indicating that rising raw material costs and increasing market competition have created substantial operational pressures [3][4]. Strategic Initiatives - In response to the cost pressures from raw material price volatility, the company has been attempting diversification through the introduction of new product lines, such as the sanitary napkin brand "Duo Lei Mi" launched in 2019, which is seen as a future growth driver [4]. - The company has also expanded into adult incontinence products and home cleaning products, including laundry pods and liquids, and has ventured into skincare with the launch of a hand cream named "Yue Ji Rou" in September 2024 [4]. - Despite these diversification efforts, the main business of consumer paper products still accounts for over 90% of revenue, with other business lines contributing less than 10% [4]. Competitive Landscape - The company's declining performance is attributed not only to rising raw material costs but also to intensified competition within the consumer paper industry, with competitors like Hengan International and Vinda International impacting market share and sales performance [5].