国际油价下跌超2%。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌1.5%，阿里巴巴跌0.5%，拼多多跌1.3%，百度跌1.4%，京东跌1.9%，网易跌 4.1%。 市场概述 *三大股指收高，纳指涨近0.6%； *中长期美债收益率上扬； *美联储会议纪要显示12月降息或落空。 周三美股小幅收高，投资者等待英伟达收盘后发布的季度财报；与此同时，美联储10月会议纪要公布 后，美国国债收益率上升。截至收盘，道指涨47.03点，涨幅0.10%，报46138.77点，纳指涨0.59%，报 22564.23点，标普500指数涨0.38%，报6642.16点。道指、标普500指数结束日线四连阴。 明星科技股普涨，谷歌涨2.8%并创下历史新高。这得益于市场对其新一代人工智能模型 Gemini 3 的乐 观预期，该模型已于周二推出。 芯片巨头英伟达涨2.8%。公司于盘后发布的财报显示，营收和盈利均超出华尔街预期，并给出强劲的 四季度营收指引。盘后大涨超5%。 近期，由于市场担忧估值过高，科技股（尤其是人工智能相关个股）备受压力。"这份财报可能成为 （人工智能）相关交易的成败关键，"D.A.戴维森在给客户的报告中表示。 "鉴于英伟达对全球股市情绪的巨 ...

此外，劳氏将年度调整后每股收益预期下调至约12.25美元，此前预期区间为12.20至12.45美元。 家居装修零售商劳氏公司(LOW.US)美股周三盘前公布第三季度财报，加入竞争对手家得宝(HD.US)的 行列，同样预计年度利润和销售额将增长乏力。本年度，受经济不确定性和居高不下的通胀影响，美国 人纷纷推迟大额家居装修支出。 数据显示，该零售商财年第三季度营收为208.1亿美元，与市场预期的208.2亿美元基本持平，调整后每 股收益为3.06美元，超出市场平均预期的2.97美元。 公司预计全年总销售额为860亿美元，高于此前845亿至855亿美元的预期，增长得益于近期的一项收购 交易。不过公司表示，剔除一次性因素的行业核心指标——同店销售额，预计将同比持平，而此前给出 的预期区间为持平至增长1%。 今年，劳氏已耗资数十亿美元收购了Foundation Building Materials(基础建筑材料公司)和Artisan Design Group(工匠设计集团)，旨在增强对专业承包商的吸引力。这一策略与家得宝的举措不谋而合。 这一黯淡预期出台的背景是，美国家庭正艰难应对各类开支上涨，从食品杂货、汽车保险到医 ...

Group 1: James Hardie (JHX) - James Hardie's stock price plummeted over 34%, marking the largest drop since 1973, closing at $18.64 per share with a market capitalization of $8 billion [1][2] - For Q1 of FY2026, the company reported a net sales figure of $900 million, a 9% year-over-year decline, and an adjusted net profit of $127 million, down 29% year-over-year [2] - The CEO highlighted uncertainty in the market, attributing the decline to high borrowing costs and a bleak outlook for North American operations, particularly in single-family home construction [2][3] Group 2: Home Improvement Retailers - Home improvement retailers Lowe's and Home Depot expressed similar concerns regarding the impact of high interest rates on consumer spending and large renovation projects [3] - Lowe's projected a stable overall home improvement market for the year, while acknowledging short-term challenges such as rising mortgage rates and consumer affordability issues [3] Group 3: Palantir Technologies - Palantir's stock fell 1.1% to $156, marking the sixth consecutive day of decline, with a total drop of over 16% during this period [1][4] - The stock has dropped 18% from its recent intraday high, causing it to fall out of the list of the 20 most valuable companies in the U.S. [5] - A short report from Andrew Left of Citron Research claimed Palantir's stock is disconnected from its fundamentals, suggesting a fair value of $40 compared to its current valuation [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights significant stock price declines for James Hardie and Palantir, indicating challenges in the construction materials and data analytics sectors due to market conditions and investor sentiment [1][3][5]. Group 1: James Hardie (JHX) - James Hardie's stock price plummeted over 34%, marking the largest drop since 1973, closing at $18.64 per share with a market capitalization of $8 billion [1][3]. - The company's latest financial report for Q1 of FY2026 showed a 9% year-over-year decline in net sales to $900 million and a 29% drop in adjusted net profit to $127 million, attributed to high borrowing costs and a bleak outlook for North American operations [3][4]. - CEO Aaron Erter noted that uncertainty is prevalent among customers and contractors, with weak market demand primarily due to a slowdown in single-family home activities, particularly in the southern U.S. [3][4]. Group 2: Palantir - Palantir's stock fell 1.1% to $156, marking its sixth consecutive day of decline, with a total drop of over 16% during this period [1][6]. - The company is experiencing its longest downturn since April 2024, with its stock down 18% from recent highs, causing it to drop out of the list of the 20 most valuable companies in the U.S. [7][8]. - Andrew Left from Citron Research criticized Palantir's valuation, suggesting it should be around $40 based on fundamentals, despite the company recently reporting its first $1 billion quarterly revenue, which exceeded Wall Street expectations [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - Home Depot is strategically expanding its presence in the professional contractor market through acquisitions, aiming to sustain growth amid challenges in the DIY segment [2][4]. Group 1: Acquisition Strategy - Home Depot announced the acquisition of GMS for approximately $4.3 billion, indicating a strong push into the professional contractor market [2]. - GMS operates a vast network of around 320 distribution centers and offers products like gypsum wallboard and ceiling materials, which are key to Home Depot's strategy [2][3]. - This acquisition follows Home Depot's previous $18 billion purchase of SRS Distribution, marking a significant shift towards capturing larger orders from professional clients [2][4]. Group 2: Market Position and Growth - Home Depot's sales growth in the U.S. for stores open for at least a year was only 0.2% in the first quarter, highlighting the need for a strategic shift [4]. - The company aims to diversify its customer base beyond DIY consumers to include professionals handling complex projects, such as pool installations and roof repairs [4][5]. - Home Depot's sales reached $159.5 billion last year, nearly double that of ten years ago, showcasing the effectiveness of its acquisition strategy [5]. Group 3: Comparison with Competitors - Home Depot's acquisition strategy contrasts with other retailers like Lowe's, which have faced challenges and losses from their acquisitions [6][7]. - Approximately 70% of mergers and acquisitions fail, but Home Depot's careful approach has yielded significant long-term benefits, setting a standard for other large companies [7].

Core Insights - Lowe's reported better-than-expected same-store sales despite weakened consumer confidence and economic volatility, with a same-store sales decline of 1.7% for the quarter ending May 2, but expects this key sales metric to remain flat or grow by up to 1% for the year [1] - The company's revenue for the quarter was $20.93 billion, a year-over-year decline of 2.2%, which fell short of market expectations, while earnings per share were $2.92, exceeding market expectations by $0.05 [1] - The decline in same-store sales was partially attributed to adverse weather at the beginning of the quarter, but growth in online business and professional contractor (Pro) services helped mitigate this impact [1] Industry Context - Despite economic turmoil, U.S. consumers have not significantly reduced or altered home spending, as indicated by the performance of Lowe's and its main competitor, Home Depot [1] - High interest rates have led many consumers to postpone large projects while still engaging in smaller projects, which has helped both companies meet or slightly exceed Wall Street expectations [1] - Home Depot executives noted that the worst economic scenarios seem to be behind them, aided by a diversified supply chain, and they expect to maintain current price levels amid stable spending and limited stockpiling due to tariffs [1] Performance Guidance - Lowe's anticipates total sales for 2025 to be between $83.5 billion and $84.5 billion, with market expectations averaging $84.31 billion; comparable sales are expected to remain flat or grow by 1% [3] Operational Footprint - As of May 2, 2025, Lowe's operates 1,750 stores with a retail space of 195.3 million square feet [4]

Group 1: Company Performance Expectations - Home Depot (HD.US) is expected to report a first-quarter sales increase of 8% year-over-year, reaching $39.26 billion, while Lowe's (LOW.US) is projected to see a 2% decline in revenue to $20.95 billion [1] - Adjusted earnings per share for Home Depot are anticipated to decrease to $3.56, and for Lowe's, to $2.87 [1] - Analysts are generally optimistic, with 11 out of 13 analysts rating Home Depot as "buy" or equivalent, and 10 out of 15 analysts rating Lowe's as "buy" [1] Group 2: Analyst Insights and Market Conditions - UBS analysts do not expect any significant surprises in the first-quarter results but remain positive on the stocks due to stable demand and potential improvement in the housing market later this year [1] - Morgan Stanley analysts view these retailers as "high-quality barometers" and expect them to maintain previous annual forecasts, although they may widen guidance ranges to reflect uncertainties [2] - Concerns over consumer spending due to tariff uncertainties have led to a downgrade in same-store sales forecasts for both Home Depot and Lowe's [2] Group 3: Broader Economic Context - Walmart (WMT.US) reported solid quarterly sales but indicated that tariffs and economic volatility would lead to price increases, creating pressure on competitors like Home Depot and Lowe's [3] - Recent performance from consumer-facing companies has been weak, with several firms lowering annual forecasts amid demand fluctuations and economic uncertainty [3]